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Forex Forum Archive for 02/13/2020

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dc CB 23:31 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus

“We wanted to let you know that we have had a confirmed case of coronavirus from a patient who self-presented at the A&E department of University hospital Lewisham (UHL) last Sunday (9 February).

Hospital personnel were concerned when they became aware that a coronavirus carrier had been on the premises. However, Travis emphasised that members of the public were not put at risk because she was taken to be tested by a route that avoided patients.

The Uber driver has little chance of contracting the infection because he was not with the woman long enough, Public Health England said. “As the journey was less than 15 minutes the driver did not have close sustained contact with the individual and is not considered high risk,” said Dr Rachel Thorn Heathcock, a PHE consultant.

London coronavirus patient turned up at hospital in Uber taxi

dc CB 22:52 GMT February 13, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 14 Feb 2020

ICYMI

FRBNY released the new schedule and amt's for the TOMO and POMO that begins Friday. Buy a big bunch of flowers for your best girl.
POMO 10:30-11:00AM - $7.5bln

HK [email protected] 21:53 GMT February 13, 2020
To catch up with the reality we need some accounting adjustment.
Reply   
.
If we don't get today at least 35000 new Corona cases and 500 dead, we shall never catch up with the real number:(

AT Trader 20:23 GMT February 13, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 14 Feb 2020

Late Thursday
DJ: -82
SP: -0.6


2-yr 1.434% -0.8
Spread 10s-2s +17.1 (+17.6)
10-yr
US: 1.605% -2.2
UK: 0.648% -0.5
DE: -0.392% -0.4


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0841 (1.0855)
GBPUSD 1.3051 (1.3022)
EURGBP 0.8305 (0.8334)
USDJPY 109.79 (109.84)

this week 1.0835-1.1057 (222) pips

thu: 1.0835-1.0889 (54)
wed: 1.0865-1.0926 (61)
tue: 1.0892-1.0925 (11)
mon: 1.0942-1.0957 (13)
fri: 1.0942-1.0986 (36)


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50-day avg: 1.1079
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200-day avg: 1.1114

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GVI Forex Blog 20:01 GMT February 13, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 13 February 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 13 February 2020

Israel MacroMicro 19:58 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

sense of "strange" last hour ahead

dc CB 18:34 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

One day after a solid 10Y auction, moments ago the US Treasury closed off the week's coupon issuance when it sold $19 billion in 30Y bonds with a high yield of 2.061%, which not only stopped through the When Issued 2.068% (the third consecutive stop through), but more importantly, with the yield sliding sharply from last month's 2.341%, it was the lowest 30Y auction yield on record!
(banned on Twitter)

dc CB 17:31 GMT February 13, 2020
Life in the insane lane

It's no longer the message. It's who the messenger is.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

The ban was so questionable, it sent shockwaves across the mainstream media, even making it as far as CBS National News, who stated: "The financial website Zero Hedge is now barred from Twitter after publishing an article relaying a conspiracy theory that a Chinese scientist might be to blame for the coronavirus outbreak."

This morning, CNBC's Eunice Yoon did an interview with Joe Kernen on Squawk Box where she offered an update on-the-ground in China. Among the topics discussed with Kernen was the origins of the virus. Yoon admitted in her discussion with Kernen that there was a "theory" going around China that the virus could be man made.

"Maybe This Was Man Made" - CNBC Questions Coronavirus Origins As ZeroHedge Remains Banned On Twitter

AT Trader john 16:54 GMT February 13, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 14 Feb 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 14 Feb 2020
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 15:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan

Mon 17 Feb 2020
US- Holiday


Minneapolis DRS2 15:46 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus

Here is a story from the AppleInsider website. It promises what appear to be good trading opportunities if you understand the industry implications of what they are saying:

"As Apple deals with interruption of the COVID-19 epidemic in China, its Android competitors face all the same issues. Except that they make far less money and operate on much thinner margins across fragile shipment volumes. They were also hoping for a leg up on Apple provided by early support for 5G and new folding screen form factors, both of which are complicated by production interruptions related to factory closures and delayed promotion due to canceled industry events."

AppleInsider

Minneapolis DRS2 15:22 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus

It would be nice if a future China government adopted a more open policy of reporting public health incidents. This business of concealing the true numbers will only provide temporary respite for the CCP. The real story is known...not just to the rest of the world, but to the Chinese citizenry as well.

GVI Forex 15:04 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus

FBN's Lawrence says Admin sources believe China is under reporting the number of coronavirus cases by at least 100K in China. Sources add the administration believes China is "severely" under reporting the number of deaths from the virus.

Newsquawk

HK [email protected] 14:29 GMT February 13, 2020
Nort Korea style cure for Coronavirus
Reply   
.
A North Korean official has reportedly been executed after he broke the terms of his coronavirus quarantine.

The trade official had been placed in medical quarantine after returning to the authoritarian country from China.

After the government worker was caught going to a public bath however, he was arrested and immediately shot, North Korean sources told Donga.

Link.

Israel MacroMicro 14:13 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

safe to start selling now
10820 stop for euro may hold today

HK [email protected] 14:13 GMT February 13, 2020
IndoChina the next.
Reply   
.
More than 10,000 people in villages near Vietnam's capital were placed under quarantine Thursday after six cases of the deadly new coronavirus were discovered there, authorities said.

Vietnam shares a porous border with China, and has 16 confirmed cases of the coronavirus, including six in the commune about 40km from Hanoi

Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Burma the next to fall.

Link.

Kl Fs 13:57 GMT February 13, 2020
Still my fav chart

It is gonna close the gap at 1.0770

Swiss Frank 13:55 GMT February 13, 2020
Still my fav chart
Reply   


Maybe a little tricky around the 1.0850 barrier. If no defence/position adjustment inspired bounce then should see further pull towards the line. Maybe.

Israel MacroMicro 13:47 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

setup is to finalise leg down with indices
imo

AT Trader 13:39 GMT February 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
U.S. CPI January 2020



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.20% pre
y/y: +2.50% vs. +2.40% exp. v +2.30% pre
Core:
y/y:
+2.30% vs. +2.50% exp. v +2.30% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index



-------------------------------------------

Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
205K vs: 210K expected vs. 202K (r 203K )



london red 13:32 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

noting in cpi data to cause concern for dollar. poss mkt was expected strong number but with german data tomorrow morning any bounce likely to be sold.

london red 12:48 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

for fwiw eurgbp 8333 is gbpeur 1.20, a big level for import export hedging so will attract a lot of interest

london red 12:44 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

us cpi will make or break present moves but remember german gdp tomorrow will cap any rebound even if cpi misses to downside. options don't suggest much downside yet but really euro needs to move above 110 to negate near term downside risk and start with a close abv 10863 today.

london red 12:43 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

its been happening for a good few days now but its a bet on gbp vs euro. cable broken shs neck at 13033 key on close. a higher close points to a poss 13130. but 13150-132 should be excellent level to sell for mt move under 130 again.

Cape May NJ JB 12:39 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

Any word on the GBP bid?

london red 12:22 GMT February 13, 2020
eur/usd

key fib at 10863 broken, initial tgt will be gap to 10777, full retracement would be to 10340. us cpi if softer can allow for a small rebound but tomorrows german gdp (and eu for that matter) likely to only add to selling pressure so use any bounce to sell into. barrier at 10850 but as i said before, if it doesn't bounce they can't defend the barrier and its doomed to fail.

AT Trader john 12:20 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

Reportedly "real money" behind GBP bid. It sure looks that way.

AT Trader john 12:13 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

GBP higher on that EURGBP sale, through GBPUSD 1.3000.

AT Trader john 12:01 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

EURGBP sale driving EURUSD lower.

GVI Forex Blog 11:44 GMT February 13, 2020
Day Trading Using the Forex Trading Checklist
Reply   

The following is my Forex Trading Checklist that I keep on my desk as a guide to trading. Scro9ll down for part 2 where I show how to day trade using the checklist. 

 

Day Trading Using the Forex Trading Checklist

AT Trader john 11:19 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

European equities soft as well.

Mtl JP 10:37 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

..."new Corona Virus worries"...

thanks to:
1) WHO Has Finally Named The New Coronavirus
Tedros said the name had been chosen to avoid references to a specific geographical location, animal species or group of people in line with international recommendations for naming aimed at preventing stigmatisation.

2) A Change In How One Chinese Province Reports Coronavirus ...
causing a dramatic spike in reported cases ...

Welcome to
Transparency
Honesty and ...
Trust

Better to look at "new Corona Virus worries" as new profit trade opportunities instead.

AT Trader john 10:37 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

Worth watching: Fed Fund futures 10% odds on 25bp Fed cut on March 18. 90% odds no change. Lousy forecasters, but useful barometer of changes in current market sentiment. Markets trade on sentiment.

AT Trader john 10:24 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

Update:

Markets turning risk-off on new Corona Virus worries
DJ -229
SP -26.3

10s 1.578% -4.9bp

Hillegom Purk 09:49 GMT February 13, 2020
eur/usd
Reply   
Due for correction. 108700, supports the up, or becomes a resistance...
Little green man from 10878-10869..

AT Trader 09:37 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

Early Thursday
DJ: -128
SP: -15.1


2-yr 1.405% -3.7
Spread 10s-2s +17.6 (+18.7)
10-yr
US: 1.581% -4.6
UK: 0.583% -0.3
DE: -0.402% -2.6


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0885 (1.0886)
GBPUSD 1.2967 (1.2968)
EURGBP 0.8394 (0.8990)
USDJPY 109.74 (109.99)

this week 1.0855-1.0957 (102) pips

thu: 1.0855-1.0889 (34)
wed: 1.0865-1.0926 (61)
tue: 1.0892-1.0925 (11)
mon: 1.0942-1.0957 (13)
fri: 1.0942-1.0986 (36)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.0922
50-day avg: 1.1084
100-day avg: 1.1064
200-day avg: 1.1116

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Hillegom Purk 09:31 GMT February 13, 2020
Daxy doo little
Reply   
On my screen, 13666 dax, mark of the beast... on m15 support 13638.

AT Trader john 09:20 GMT February 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 13 Feb 2020
AA 10:00 US- CPI
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 14 Feb 2020
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 15:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan

Mon 17 Feb 2020
US- Holiday


SaaR KaL 07:17 GMT February 13, 2020
SP500 starting to dive ??
Reply   
I mean for 6 months??

HK [email protected] 06:18 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronita Redonita reveal me your secrets tomorrow.
Reply   
.
Tomorrow count will be critical; If numbers will continue ballooning by leaps and bounds, it means that China begins disclosing the real extent of the spread.


And do not forget, tomorrow is Friday, good for nice volatility.

Mtl JP 05:33 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus



it seems at odds with stocks
-- why are they NOT "ploink" in the toilet ?

Israel MacroMicro 01:48 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus



https://mobile.twitter.com/STSLPO/status/1227767805744836608

hk win10 01:08 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus

FYI
Death rate of SARS 15-55%
Death rate of nCorona 0.4% (outside Wubei), 3.2% (inside)

https://news.qq.com/zt2020/page/feiyan.htm?from=singlemessage

GVI Forex 00:52 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus

BEIJING: China's Hubei province, the epicentre of the deadly novel coronavirus outbreak, on Thursday (Feb 13) reported nearly 15,000 new cases in one day.

A further 14,840 cases had been detected, taking the total in the province to 48,206, the local health commission said on its website.

The number of deaths rose by 242 to a total of 1,310 in Hubei alone and 1,355 in mainland China.

The huge jump came as local officials said they were broadening their definition for COVID-19 cases.

Hubei reports nearly 15,000 new COVID-19 cases after broadening definition for infections

Mtl JP 00:16 GMT February 13, 2020
EUR/USD

bit of a chuckle inspiring what
- one calls Initiated ... for a nice bounce that can not wait
- another whines that "It's hard to fight a downward trend..."

may both be winners, maybe one counter-cyclicly within the other's cycle
what is important is trade ideas flow

HK OA 00:07 GMT February 13, 2020
Coronavirus
Reply   
Bad news of of China hits risk

Minneapolis DRS2 00:03 GMT February 13, 2020
EUR/USD

It's hard to fight a downward trend like what has happened, but I can't help but think that calls for additional legs, parity, sub-parity, flash crashes, etc. are exactly the times when head-ripping rallies come about. Be wary.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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