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Forex Forum Archive for 02/15/2020

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Mtl JP 23:23 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

more crocodile tears from china's communist trumpet:

Hu Xijin 胡锡进
Ruling elites in Washington have formed a fanatical anti-China axis. They are tearing down international system, casting a shadow over the 21st century. Beijing’s restraint and forbearance is obvious to the world. China is trying hard to avoid escalation of conflicts with the US.
Quote Tweet

The Associated Press
· 9h
U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper portrays China as a growing threat to world order. He used a speech to an international security conference in Germany to criticize the Chinese government.


... trying hard ... says the communist trumpet !

dc CB 22:31 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

The Portable Bloomberg
The Book of Stuff Mikey Sez

WaPo Democracy Dies in Darkness

Israel MacroMicro 20:20 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

CB 17:10

Mikey must be long stox and planning to move 100% into cash few days ahead of the first poll saying he is in the lead.

can't see other agenda than such to making such move. presidency it will not bring. :)

dc CB 18:12 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

bumper sticker


Minneapolis DRS2 17:55 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

Bloomberg is playing with (gun)fire if he picks Hilary as his VP. He should know better than to risk suicide like that.

Israel MacroMicro 15:55 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

insane or about winners and losers?


AT Trader 14:41 GMT February 15, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 17 Feb 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 17 Feb 2020
AA US- Holiday -- All Markets
Tue 18 Fed 2020
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
AA 09:30 UK- Employment
Wed 19 Feb 2019
AA 09:30 UK- CPI
AA 13:30 CA- CPI
A 13:30 US- House Starts/Permits
B 13:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:30 US- PPI
A 19:00 USFRB- FED Minutes
Thu 20 Jan 2019
AA 09:30 UK- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Philly Fed
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
A 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 21 Jan 2019
Flash PMIs all day
AA 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 0AA 13:30 CA- Retail Sales
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales

HK [email protected] 14:03 GMT February 15, 2020
Trump grateful to China for helping save his BABY-DOW.
Mr Trump said: “Well you never know. I think they want to put the best face on it, so you know I mean if somebody, if you were running it you’d probably, you wouldn’t want to run out to the world and go crazy and start saying whatever it is because you don’t want to create a panic.”

Trump defends China's alleged cover-up of coronavirus victims: 'You don't want the world to go crazy'

Mtl JP 11:57 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

Despite the crocodile tears from chinese communists' trumpet,
the communists "China won't free the 'two Michaels' over Canada's coronavirus. Bottom line is that justin "admirer of China's 'basic dictatorship" trudeau shouldn't expect the communists to do him any favours and free the “two Michaels” in return for medical co-operation fighting the new coronavirus. In other words ... justin the chinese communist asslicker is delusional about their principles. Or the chinese are not hurting nuff yet.

jkt abel 11:57 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

since Hu Xijin sounded desperate, you can tell how much China is hurting at the moment
given the bully nature of Trump, i bet he is gonna take it slow and hurt the chinese even more, more weapon for his trade talk pressure

Mtl JP 11:49 GMT February 15, 2020
Life in the insane lane

From Chinese communists' trumpet:
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
The Chinese had the most bitter Valentine's Day. Almost everybody stays at home to avoid date with the coronavirus. No rose, no fancy dinner. Damn COVID-19. Get over soon.
Feb 14
Coronavirus has infected 1,716 medical staff in China, and 6 died of it. It is heartbreaking. The epidemic is overwhelming and devastating. Many hospitals lack high-quality medical protective devices.
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
Feb 13
Situation in Hubei is still uncertain. Outside of Hubei, new cases have dropped for 9th consecutive day, indicating outbreak has been largely under control. Hubei and Wuhan have replaced leaders, at least three counties/cities in Hubei moved to ban all residents from going out.
Feb 12
New infection cases outside of Hubei have dropped for 8 consecutive days. In Beijing with more than 21 million population, the daily new case of infection is around 10 recently. It is now time for the US and other countries to actively consider resuming flights to China.

Hu Xijin 胡锡进
Editor-in-chief of Chinese and English editions of the Global Times - 《环球时报》总编辑

GVI Forex 11:47 GMT February 15, 2020
Weekly Trading Pattern
Once again the weekly pattern was repeated on Friday.

Look in the right sidebar ====>

Mtl JP 09:45 GMT February 15, 2020

dc CB 03:31 - DAVID DAYEN = greta II
365 words ... haha -- “prophets of doom”

what IF it is a stock-pickers environment instead ?

hk win10 06:39 GMT February 15, 2020
A simple model for estimating fair value of Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index

Fair value in year 2020 =
2700 x 1.055 ^ (2020 - 2007) = 5415

A drop below 50% of fair value would offer value buying opportunity for medium to long term investors

Minneapolis DRS2 03:51 GMT February 15, 2020

The virus outbreak is a tragedy for China, but economically speaking it only continues a trend that started before the outbreak started...the moving of critical supply lines out of mainland China. The geopolitical bet by Nixon and Kissinger (remember him?) was that in return for access to the US market, China would open their markets to the world and adopt democratic governing principles for its people.

It didn't happen. China maintained its ways of authoritarianism and corruption, and started broadcasting its dreams of eventually running the world.

In a roundabout, stumbling way, Trump is putting an end to it all. He doesn't have Ronald Reagan's oratory skill ("Tear down this wall!"), but his ways are proving effective just the same.

The world will survive, and even prosper. The Chinese people may even come out of this all right. Xi Jinping's fate as leader is not so clear, nor is the fate of the CCP..."mandate of heaven" and all that.

dc CB 03:31 GMT February 15, 2020

if you’ve been following the business press, this has been the only story in town for the past couple weeks, as everyone tries to game out whether the epidemic is a “black swan” event that could radically change economic fortunes, or just an opportunity to buy the dip. Even the normally prudent Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell highlighted Tuesday at a Congressional hearing that the Fed was “closely monitoring the emergence of the coronavirus, which could lead to disruptions in China that spill over to the rest of the global economy.”

The way this could spill over is simple, and terrifying: A substantial amount of what the world produces originates in or is reliant on China. The nation’s presence as a major market, a manufacturing hub, and a source of materials and components can make any shock of this magnitude catastrophic. For decades, world leaders have allowed multinationals to chase lower labor costs, thereby centralizing production and fixing supply lines. We’re now seeing the tragic fragility associated with that decision.

Perhaps the biggest concern is over medical supplies. China produces and exports a large amount of pharmaceuticals to the U.S., including 97 percent of all antibiotics and 80 percent of the active ingredients used to make drugs here. Penicillin, ibuprofen, and aspirin largely come from China. Last month, the medical supply firm Cardinal Health recalled 2.9 million surgical gowns “cross contaminated” at a plant in China; the blood pressure drug valsartan also saw shortages recently, thanks to tainted active ingredients at one Chinese plant. The combination of supply chain disruptions and increased demand at hospitals if coronavirus spreads to the U.S. could prove devastating.

In a dark irony, most of the world’s face masks—now ubiquitous in China as a precaution—are made in China and Taiwan, and even for those made elsewhere, some component parts are Chinese-sourced. Shortages have led China to declare the masks a “strategic resource,” reserving them for medical workers. U.S. hospitals are “critically low” on respiratory masks, according to medical-supply middlemen. Lack of protective gear could increase vulnerability to the virus, and the one place on earth suffering from production shutdowns is the one place where most of the protective gear originates.

Coronavirus Outbreak is an Economic Red Flag


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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