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Forex Forum Archive for 02/29/2020

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Mtl JP 22:32 GMT February 29, 2020
TRUMP

Send in the Clowns
---------------------
CNN’s Michael Smerconish: “Can either coronavirus or Bernie Sanders be stopped?”

I’m Michael Smerconish in Philadelphia.

AT Trader john 21:48 GMT February 29, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 Mar 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 2 Mar 2020
Final Mfg PMIs all day
Tue 3 Mar 2020
AA 04:30 AU- RBA Decision
Wed 4 Mar 2020
Final Service PMIs all day
A 13:15 US- ADP Payrolls
AA 15:00 CA- BOC Decision
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
A 19:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 5 Mar 2019
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Productivity
Fri 6 Mar 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment
A 13:30 US/CA- Trade

dc CB 21:34 GMT February 29, 2020
1st US death

This is reprinted from the original piece from the Washington Post, as presented by the Stamford Advocate, dated 28 February 2020: (Carl Goldman, to the Washington Post, writes:)

An American Coronavirus Patient Speaks Out

Paris ib 18:39 GMT February 29, 2020
The Beer Virus

France has been struggling with the Yellow Vest protestors for months, although the protests weren't getting much press.

NOW... the virus and public gatherings are banned (as of today)

Problem solved :-)

No more Y

GVI Forex 18:19 GMT February 29, 2020
1st US death
Reply   
1st US death from the virus reported in Washington state

haifa ac 17:53 GMT February 29, 2020
Best Prevention of corona-WASH HANDS
Reply   
The best prevention against the coronavirus is still washing your hands. Here's the proper way to do it

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/28/health/how-to-wash-hands-coronavirus-trnd/index.html

dc CB 17:39 GMT February 29, 2020
WWO vs WHO

Target

tweet

dc CB 17:31 GMT February 29, 2020
WWO vs WHO

not a care in the world beyond........
let's go to a crowded rally.

"...This emergency is being completely ignored by the politicians, the media and those in power.
Basically, nothing is being done to halt this crisis..."

Bristol - yesterday

Israel MacroMicro 17:03 GMT February 29, 2020
China factory activity shrank at its fastest rate on record in February

ASIA/PACIFIC: China's manufacturing PMI has plunged to a level worse than that reached during the global financial crisis. This is enough to shock the market, especially the USDCNY

source: ING bank

dc CB 16:15 GMT February 29, 2020
WWO vs WHO



South Carolina primary

the image chosen by the Drudge Rept

https://www.drudgereport.com/

Andorra la Vella 15:55 GMT February 29, 2020
'pandemic bonds'; "Part of the RESCUE THE ELITE"

Vaccines are pointess against viruses.

HK [email protected] 15:19 GMT February 29, 2020
'pandemic bonds'; "Part of the RESCUE THE ELITE"
Reply   
.
Soon people will realize what Western leaders are doing for rescuing them, and riots or even revolutions may break out in different places.
That on top of grave world economy.

If a vaccine or cure will not be found on time.

dc CB 14:23 GMT February 29, 2020
WWO vs WHO

more indepth look at those 'pandemic bonds'

Whitney Webb via MintPressNews.com,

A little known specialized bond created in 2017 by the World Bank may hold the answer as to why U.S. and global health authorities have declined to label the global spread of the novel coronavirus a “pandemic.”

The Delay In Declaring The Covid-19 Outbreak A "Pandemic"

HK [email protected] 14:16 GMT February 29, 2020
To the rescue of Baby-Dow and the Elite.
Reply   
.
This is what things will look like in the west, and the population to the waste.
Everyone for his own.

What happens now in face of the plague, exposes the stupidity of the world leaders.

Israel MacroMicro 13:23 GMT February 29, 2020
Martin Armstrong

frank - you guess right when recession is official you know when there is top in place with indices.

Q4/20-Q1/21 = top as you quoted
Q1/21-Q2/21 = top during the summer

just "guess" the timing of official recession, that's all :)

Israel MacroMicro 13:17 GMT February 29, 2020
China factory activity shrank at its fastest rate on record in February

JP - not asking for your forecast on analysis, just sort of your understanding/guess.

when during 2020 DXY will start closing above 100.20 on monthly Base? - TIA

swiss frank 13:15 GMT February 29, 2020
Martin Armstrong
Reply   
Sometimes hard to see exactly what he's saying but appears to be directional Change in February (which we have seen) followed by higher volatility until the next directional change April/May. In other words this is the beginning of the slingshot move.

ECM & Market Crash

Mtl JP 13:09 GMT February 29, 2020
China factory activity shrank at its fastest rate on record in February

MacroMicro 13:03 suggest to wait for Jay's sage reflection on this specific case

Mtl JP 13:06 GMT February 29, 2020
hypocricy from chinese communists
---------------------------------------
REUTERS FEB 26, 2020
China to Russia: End discriminatory coronavirus measures against Chinese

“The special monitoring of Chinese nationals on Moscow’s public transportation does not exist in any country, even in the United States and in Western states,” the Chinese Embassy letter, dated Feb. 24, whined. bua-ahhhhh

Enter chinese communists' mouthpiece with this whine (his "opinion"):
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
Editor-in-chief of Chinese and English editions of the Global Times

18h
The US hasn’t imposed much restrictions on large scale gatherings, and individuals are not taking particular precautionary measure. The President stressed the risk is low. In my opinion, all this makes the US vulnerable to coronavirus.

Israel MacroMicro 13:03 GMT February 29, 2020
China factory activity shrank at its fastest rate on record in February

JP - what's next?

equity indices closed the week -10% for the week and -5% for the month, give and take few.

WHEN central bankers to announce actions they are about to take?

trading with that approach is the realistic manner for gains during the coming week. the beer virus is not a fact based issue. imo better trade with IB fact based approach than trying to milk the pips cow with the masses panic barometer.

Mtl JP 12:53 GMT February 29, 2020
China factory activity shrank at its fastest rate on record in February



Jay.... re your GVI Forex 10:24 -- in a follow-up (to complete the statement) so-what: how do you plan on juicing posi-pips from the "record low" PMI on Monday: ___

TIA

Friday USDCNY closed - on my feed - 6.9773

Israel MacroMicro 12:48 GMT February 29, 2020
CL / WTI
Reply   
Buy Crude
Entry: 38.50-43.50 Target: 52 Stop: risk management

big words avoided, a position trading for realistic, responsible, risk management traders.

time frame for trading strategy theme: up to 7 months.

target for gain in the underlying asset: 20% over the average net cost.

risk: being wrong about the time frame

solutions for the risk: patience, financial power, calmness, focus and patience patience patience.

HK [email protected] 12:25 GMT February 29, 2020
I guess it fixes the protest problem for Hong Kong
Reply   
.
Trump do you like to get some of them?

We can give you as many as you like, they have already raised the US flag.

HK [email protected] 12:21 GMT February 29, 2020
Instead of building hospitals, airlift the sick to an isolated vessel far in the sea.
Reply   
.
A proper Compartmentation of a hospital ship can keep isolated Corona infected people unit cured or dead.

But I am sure if you try to transfer Baby-Cry Americans or European to such a ship, they will go wild and kick with their legs.

In the US an attempt to isolate people will be met with a volley of bullets hahaha

Paris ib 12:16 GMT February 29, 2020
IRAN IS FINISHED.

Enjoy lockdown.

I guess it fixes the protest problem for Hong Kong

HK [email protected] 12:06 GMT February 29, 2020
IRAN IS FINISHED.
Reply   
.
Newly elected Iranian MP dies from coronavirus
----------------
TEHRAN, Iran -- Health Ministry spokesman says Iran preparing for possibility of ‘tens of thousands’ coming to test for new coronavirus.

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/health-ministry-spokesman-iran-preparing-possibility-tens-thousands-69302620

------------------
Iran: Coronavirus Death Toll Rises to 43, with 593 People Infected

https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2012/02/29/619773/Iran-coronavirus-Kianoush-Jahanpour
-----------

Newly elected Iranian MP dies from coronavirus

Paris ib 11:37 GMT February 29, 2020
The Beer Virus

Enough useful idiots and we'll all be in lock down.

Do yourself a favour and look up how many people die from flu / pneumonia in your country every year.

Scaredy cats: be careful what you wish for.

More government control, more coercion, more surveillance? Coming right up.

Meanwhile Assange is having an Orwellian moment. And journalists everywhere have taken note.

Paris ib 11:25 GMT February 29, 2020
Italy is finished.

Thanks, I was having a quiet moment... but the scare mongering became too much to ignore.

This virus stuff is sooooo much hype.

Still when you get to trade off facts vs media hype, what do you choose? Go with hype...

The media has an agenda and most people are either too busy, too uninformed or to stupid to do anything but react.

Paris ib 11:21 GMT February 29, 2020
The Beer Virus

It's always: cui bono?

"But some facts are emerging: the presence in Wuhan of a bio-laboratory where Chinese scientists, in collaboration with France, conduct research on lethal viruses, including some sent by the Canadian Microbiology Laboratory. In July 2015, the British government’s Pirbright Institute patented an “attenuated coronavirus” in the USA. In October 2019, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security conducted a coronavirus pandemic simulation in New York City, forecasting a scenario that, if it became a reality, would result in 65 million deaths [1]."

Danucci

Israel MacroMicro 11:11 GMT February 29, 2020
Italy is finished.

ib 10:22

visit here more often, this forum definitely needs some doses of reality at the macro level of things :)

point for me now is about how much is priced in during the correction we just had until we exit range trading due to recession becoming official. one to three quarters ahead?

kl fs 10:28 GMT February 29, 2020
Italy is finished.

we just need a few rising and rapid cases in Germany, then it is all over for EU with all its current problems...

kl fs 10:25 GMT February 29, 2020
New meaning for the "Chinese Syndrome"

So this is THE great reset that has been waited for, and Buffett will be very happy on the other hand to repeat all over again what younger version of him did, but this time with all cash is in hands....so long as he would not be contracted with the virus though, mind that age....phew not a good age to battle with severe pneumonia, good luck

haifa ac 10:24 GMT February 29, 2020
U.S. West Coast Hit, China Factory Output Slumps: Virus Update

"Unexplained infections"
Indeed. seems like the virus is anti Shiite.
Religious Mullahs, singers, football players are being infected in Iran.
Could it be a Sunni virus?!

haifa ac 10:24 GMT February 29, 2020
U.S. West Coast Hit, China Factory Output Slumps: Virus Update

"Unexplained infections"
Indeed. seems like the virus is anti Shiite.
Religious Mullahs, singers, football players are being infected in Iran.
Could it be a Sunni virus?!

GVI Forex 10:24 GMT February 29, 2020
China factory activity shrank at its fastest rate on record in February
Reply   
China's official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to a record low of 35.7 in February from 50.0 in January

Paris ib 10:22 GMT February 29, 2020
Italy is finished.

For the useful idiots: at least the virus shut down all those pesky protests in Hong Kong

and the ones in Wuhan

and can now be blamed for the recession in China.

What's not to like?

"If you’re going to launch a phony epidemic, the ideal place for it is mainland China. The government will lock down that country quicker than a missile fired from a drone. And then nobody will be able to figure out what’s going on"

Cranky Jon again

haifa ac 09:59 GMT February 29, 2020
New meaning for the "Chinese Syndrome"

we plan to go on a slow boat to china

we play this often

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gZfGmVgCwb0

Israel MacroMicro 09:59 GMT February 29, 2020
New meaning for the "Chinese Syndrome"

getting long ELAL now is not a bad idea for 2-3 years time frame. there are some companies with better access to tax payers money. ELAL is one of those.

Israel MacroMicro 09:57 GMT February 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

you should call Saul if you are a Chinese bank. who else can help your clients with such data?

at least it's data of the past and may show that some knew what's ahead :)

Mtl JP 09:31 GMT February 29, 2020
New meaning for the "Chinese Syndrome"

chinese syndromes
micro fungus working on you // walled-in trapped

with "(EL AL) on verge of bankruptcy" how do you plan on getting out from behind an 8-meter tall concrete barrier

Mtl JP 09:20 GMT February 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

physically, the made-in-china virus is 30-50nm

dispelling size matters myth, its effect appears inversely dispoportional knocking the communists' manufacturing into the toilet:

China PMIs February:
Manufacturing 35.7 vs expt'd 45.0
Non-manufacturing 29.6 expt'd 51.0
Composite 28.9 vs 53.0 prior

IF I were a chinese bank ...

haifa ac 08:48 GMT February 29, 2020
New meaning for the "Chinese Syndrome"
Reply   
Who needs nuclear meltdowns when you have a micro fungus working for you.
Quite a black swan. Nobody expected this.

Trump's Trade war against China failed.
Here comes a tiny virus and does it brutally in such a short time. Will take China years to overcome the Corona virus.

When will we start shaking hands again?!

The philosophical aspects of February 2020 will bring many books and movies. Hollywood is already looking for the next Jane Fonda.

HK [email protected] 08:37 GMT February 29, 2020
Italy is finished.
Reply   
.
Italy’s Coronavirus Spread Up 50% in 24 Hours, Reports 650 Cases, 17 Deaths

Italy’s Coronavirus Spread Up 50% in 24 Hours, Reports 650 Cases, 17 Deaths

haifa ac 08:07 GMT February 29, 2020
6,000,000,000

Ooops!
forg0t 3 zeroes

6,000,000,000,000

haifa ac 08:04 GMT February 29, 2020
6,000,000,000
Reply   

The Spectator Index @spectatorindex

JUST IN: Over $6 trillion has been wiped off global stock-markets in the worst week since the Global Financial Crisis
5,160
9:56 PM - Feb 28, 2020

Paris ib 06:40 GMT February 29, 2020
The Beer Virus

"In 2017 there were 233,453 laboratory confirmed cases and 745 deaths."

That's for Australia.

Flu in Australia

Paris ib 06:17 GMT February 29, 2020
The Beer Virus

In 2019 (that is LAST year for the dolts) Australia experienced a bad flu season:

"She was so sick doctors considered putting her in an induced coma.

"Initially it felt to me like a normal cold, the difference was, it escalated quite quickly," she said.

Ms Williams is one of the nearly 217,000 Australians diagnosed with influenza so far this year."

No talk of epidemic. The buzz word was 'climate'.

Interestingly Wuhan is a 5G roll out lab. But only the 'theorists' talk about that. Roll on Brave New World order :-)

Climate related?

HK [email protected] 05:21 GMT February 29, 2020
Per day; More than in China.
Reply   
.
South Korea confirms 571 cases of coronavirus in a day

South and North Korea are finished.

LINK

HK [email protected] 03:55 GMT February 29, 2020
Trump: Democrats’ coronavirus criticism just their latest ‘hoax’
Reply   
.
President Trump jeered Democrats Friday night for criticizing his response to the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak, saying that it was a “new hoax” after a failed attempt to remove him from office over Ukraine.

“They tried to beat you on Russia, Russia, Russia — that didn’t work out too well,” Trump told a cheering crowd in South Carolina. “They tried the impeachment hoax. That was a perfect conversation.”

“And this is the new hoax,” Trump declared.

LINK

Mtl JP 00:46 GMT February 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

winners and losers
---------------------
saturday chinese communists pump out their

Manufacturing PMI
Non-Manufacturing PMI
Composite PMI

"believe what you want" or "what they feed you"

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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