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Forex Forum Archive for 03/1/2020

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HK RF@ 23:58 GMT March 1, 2020
Baby Dow aiming at 18100 as final target.

All this must happen fast enough so Stox will begin pulling up B4 2020 elections.

HK RF@ 23:46 GMT March 1, 2020
Baby Dow aiming at 18100 as final target.
Fundamentals worldwide are supporting a big continuous decline.

By that time Gold will reach it's climax at 2200.

Minneapolis DRS2 23:31 GMT March 1, 2020
buttigieg is out
News reports say Pete Buttigieg has dropped out of US president race.

dc CB 23:28 GMT March 1, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 Mar 2020

"Chair Powell has realized that there is a global health crisis underway."

the other CBers got that too. Though PowPow is the only one with any amunition left.

It was an amusing Reality TV show, when the worst that could happen to any of the players was that they'd get fired with the attached 'pension'...aka Chair at some ThUnk Tank.

Now "people could die", as Bernie so often said during that TV show.
The Game Has Changed.
"When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro." Hunter S.Thompson.

Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas
srarring Johnny Depp as HST.

Mtl JP 23:17 GMT March 1, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 Mar 2020

GBP 1.28069
'We do not accept time pressure' in UK talks,

says French Europe minister

AT Trader john 22:31 GMT March 1, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 Mar 2020

100% odds on a RBA 25 bp cut Tuesday.

Just about every other major central bank is expected to ease shortly as well.

AT Trader john 22:24 GMT March 1, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 Mar 2020

Fed Fed Funds sentiment indicator last 95% in favor of a 25 bp cut in Fed funds on Mar 18 and 5% in favor of a greater 50bp cut as Chair Powell has realized that there is a global health crisis underway.

HK RF@ 22:08 GMT March 1, 2020
Bad omen for Stox. Risk Off
China reports highest daily increase in virus cases in a week.

BEIJING � China yesterday reported the biggest daily rise in coronavirus cases since Feb 22, as more infections emerged among prison inmates in the epicentre of the outbreak, but officials emphasised the overall situation continues to improve.

A total of 573 new infections were reported on Saturday, compared with 427 a day earlier, according to the National Health Commission. Some 565 of these were in Wuhan, where the outbreak emerged late last year.

The official China News wire service reported that 233 of the Wuhan cases were from the city's prison system.


HK RF@ 21:58 GMT March 1, 2020
As idiot as a person can be
Some radical Muslims in Iran with the permission of the government, lick the shrine and tells the other people: come and lick, then you be safe against a corona virus. Islamic republic in Iran/mashhad/29-2-2020


HK RF@ 21:53 GMT March 1, 2020
We consider this holy shrine to be a place of healing.
Coronavirus: Iranian pilgrims lick 'healing' shrines amid outbreak


HK RF@ 21:32 GMT March 1, 2020
France confirms 130 coronavirus cases
Government bans confined environment of more than 5,000 people as precautionary measure.


AT Trader john 21:29 GMT March 1, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 Mar 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 2 Mar 2020
Final Mfg PMIs all day
Tue 3 Mar 2020
AA 04:30 AU- RBA Decision
Wed 4 Mar 2020
Final Service PMIs all day
A 13:15 US- ADP Payrolls
AA 15:00 CA- BOC Decision
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
A 19:00 US- Beige Book
Thu 5 Mar 2019
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Productivity

GVI Forex 21:06 GMT March 1, 2020
Risk off
Early fix suggests risk off start.

dc CB 17:45 GMT March 1, 2020

Send in the Clowns


dc CB 17:32 GMT March 1, 2020

dc CB 14:02 GMT
dc CB 17:31 GMT 02/29/2020
not a care in the world beyond........
let's go to a crowded rally. est 30,000
BRISTOL - yesterday
This is a report from the same 'paper' that celebrated the Greta Children worried about Climate Change rally. ???

Coronavirus: England only has 15 beds for worst respiratory cases
Feb 27
The Guardian
This morning:

The Guardian
2h ago 10:31
Health authorities are trying to trace people who had come into contact with a 35-year man from Shenzhen who had been working in BRISTOL and tested positive for coronavirus. He took a Cathay Pacific flight from London Heathrow to Hong Kong on Thursday.

Hk Ab 17:05 GMT March 1, 2020
nt, still holding your gold longs?

dc CB 15:38 GMT March 1, 2020

SANTO STEFANO LODIGIANO, Italy � Outside a small bar on the edge of northern Italy's coronavirus "red zone," patrons watch as paramedics in protective suits, gloves and face masks attend a house call across the street.

One of the figures in white describes the patient�s cough to a colleague over the phone. The bar flies with rumors.

�We�re all going to get it,� said 22-year-old Claudia Ghidoni, sitting at a plastic table with two friends, the first time she said she�s been out of the house since Italian cases of covid-19 jumped last week.

pPW lnk

Israel MacroMicro 15:29 GMT March 1, 2020

when I buy chewing gum and pay cash, with the change I can get 88 of your kind. when someone tells you are dumb, take it as compliment. got it dishwasher?

HK RF@ 15:21 GMT March 1, 2020

This will not help TA35

Brace for losing your shirt too.

Over 60 El Al pilots-in-training fired due to coronavirus losses.

About 50 pilots being trained by El Al in order to join the company, as well as 14 additional pilots who had already been accepted to jobs in the company were fired as well. Flight attendants who were being trained were also let go and two future courses for flight attendants were canceled.


HK RF@ 15:11 GMT March 1, 2020

Israel MacroMicro

Brace for losing your pants.

Israel MacroMicro 14:50 GMT March 1, 2020

to make things clear, I am a long time TASE trader. I am not saying that the corrective/crash move is over. I am saying that 2018 low and 2020 high range made a bounce from the 50% line in addition to the close on the 50% daily range. the post from the ego tripping dishwasher mentioning TASE are not having a single support of fact that may offer a clue about world indices the coming week.

so you know to beware of the junk he posts here regularly.


Israel MacroMicro 14:31 GMT March 1, 2020

today's range and close exactly on 50% of days range and that when Friday was not a trading day in TASE. there is nothing more 'neutral /wait and see' from such a trading day. simply ridiculous to draw conclusions from TASE price action today.

Israel MacroMicro 14:23 GMT March 1, 2020

even the shoe of the world's most dumb person should tell you that the Tel Aviv stock exchange literally closed the day exactly as world indices closed Friday. not a single statement about tomorrow with world indices taken by TASE.

Israel MacroMicro 14:14 GMT March 1, 2020
it's ridiculous that ego tripping dishwasher from HKG is expressing his "opinion" about the Tel Aviv stock exchange. this is the bottom of the food chain claiming to be the ruler on nature. ridiculous!

dc CB 14:02 GMT March 1, 2020

dc CB 17:31 GMT 02/29/2020
not a care in the world beyond........
let's go to a crowded rally.
Bristol - yesterday

This is a report from the same 'paper' that celebrated the Greta Children worried about Climate Change rally. ???

Coronavirus: England only has 15 beds for worst respiratory cases
NHS says system will struggle if more than 28 patients need artificial lung treatment.
Feb 27

The Guardian

HK RF@ 13:48 GMT March 1, 2020
When business interest are above public safety; Here is an example.
"Why did Iran not stop flights to China? There is a rational explanation -- China is one of the last countries buying their oil. They need to maintain the economic link," Coville said.

"With the sanctions, we can say that the government has lost at least 30 percent of its budget revenues. This has inevitably had an impact on their health system," he added.

More stupid attitude is being adapted by the EU by keeping borders open with Italy.

BTW Smart money do not take chances for today:

TA-125 Index1,524.39 −18.16 (-1.18%)

PPT action is not impressing anyone in TLV.

So expect DOW to drop on Monday.


haifa ac 12:53 GMT March 1, 2020
Just a reminder
About a year ago Buffett was quoted:

Warren Buffett says no textbook could have predicted the strange economy we have today

� Buffett highlights that unemployment remains so low, yet interest rates and inflation are not rising. At the same time the U.S. government continues to spend more money than it takes in.
� These conditions are not sustainable for the long term, Buffett says.
� �No economics textbook I know that was written in the first couple of thousand years that discussed even the possibility that you could have this sort of situation continue and have all variables stay more or less the same,� he says.

Good traders are usually right and EARLY. either bc or Jesse Lauriston Livermore said that.
Most likely Buffett knew what he was saying and we may have seen the end of a mega bull market. Only caveat is that neither bull or bear markets do not START with a major disaster. The most dramatic news come usually at the END of the move.

HK RF@ 12:32 GMT March 1, 2020
K.I.S. COrVIR is now no less a social/political problem no less than a medical one. Must be watched.

Everyone tries to find the light at the end of his tunnel, it is just normal.

london red 12:16 GMT March 1, 2020
K.I.S. COrVIR is now no less a social/political problem no less than a medical one. Must be watched.

Haifa ac are you long stocks or something?

haifa ac 12:00 GMT March 1, 2020
K.I.S. COrVIR is now no less a social/political problem no less than a medical one. Must be watched.

this is a little prophetic and prophecy was bequeathed to the fools, nevertheless:
THere is a lot of blessing in disguise:
1. China has been brought back to more realistic size and the fear of its dominance has been squleched
2. Iran's fear of their Atomic bomb and destructive power have been diminshed
3. The gap between the haves and the havenots--may have peaked.
4. More families will get to know members of their clan they have not seen in years
5.The human race is learning some humiliation which vanished lately with the ME generation
6.people may find that the blue bird (Maurice Maeterlinck' immortal story about the search for happiness) is a true story, not just a fairy tale.
7. Corroboration of the "fact" that markets do go thru corrections.
8. TINA (there is no alternative) may have finally died

I am sure there are more. Life is beautiful.

HK RF@ 11:02 GMT March 1, 2020
Wherever you turn, it is all a massive coverup by politicians.
Leader of states are afraid of social disorder for not taking sufficient steps to prevent the spread of the disease.
Social disorder or even revolutions are at their gates.

If that professor(Ben Gurion Univ) think that the panic is overdone, let us see how Israel is opening it's gates to all flights and boarder crossing to the world.

It is not that only old people become sick, the whole economy and life of people get disrupted even when young people get sick.

Let this respectful professor go and sleep good night.

haifa ac 10:18 GMT March 1, 2020
Phlegm-50% cause of death
interesting results from chinese post-mortem analysis of covid19 deaths:
1.most die from damage to the lungs and immune systems
2.most important conclusion is to protect the lungs from fibrosis
3.1/2 died from spittle/mucus/phlegm ==i.e. choking
they recommend to treat the lungs first

Syd 08:39 GMT March 1, 2020
AUD/USD Forecast: Doubly unlucky
Any more news on Adam (Athens ).... looks like we may have lost an old soldier... :((
Australian dollar closes at an 11 year low against the US.
China slowdown concerns strike at the resource based economy.
The aussie was lower for both economic and safety reasons.

haifa ac 07:50 GMT March 1, 2020
Prof: The panic is overdone
professor of contagious diseases at Ben Gurion Univ says--we are exaggerating. The corona attacks limited populations: Older people and people with previous medical problem. Most deaths are from other existing complications from bacteria that can be treated. Children are safe. Deaths from regular flu are common and nobody panics.
Perhaps some sane opinions start surfacing.

haifa ac 06:21 GMT March 1, 2020
Idlib==major threat on Europe
While the corona grabs all attention--something serious happens in Turkyey. The bottom line is that Erojan demands help from Nato according to the treaty and last night ordered the Turkish army to STOP blocking millions of muslim refugee from flooding Greece and Europe
50000 immigrants flocked the border. they may be able to slow the land flight but not the sea. If all the refugee in Turkey flood Europe-- this will make the corona look like a joke

we shall see

HK RF@ 01:26 GMT March 1, 2020
Mama Mary keeps Philippines safe; Steady 3 infected; One dead. Never increases.

HK RF@ 00:56 GMT March 1, 2020
�Healthy people, if you are healthy, you�ll probably go through a process and you�ll be fine,� he sa
Trump is just believes in Darwinism.

And how about the weak and sickly?
Do they have any reason to panic?
With such a statement the answer is... YES!!!

This president shows insensitivity to potential victims.

With such a silly statement, I see a stock market crash on Monday.

And his popularity may crash too.

dc CB 00:45 GMT March 1, 2020

Send in the Clowns

first time in his three presidential runs that he won a state primary or caucus.

Hey Joe, where you going with that gun of mine, Hey Joe

HK RF@ 00:38 GMT March 1, 2020
Monday, US: Corona pops all over US; PPT has a big job for Monday.
...........................Bybye Baby-Dow:(..........................

AT Trader john 00:27 GMT March 1, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 Mar 2020

LATE Friday
DJ: -357
SP: -24.5

2-yr 0.927% -17.6
Spread 10s-2s +23.5 (+22.2)

US: 1.162% -13.7
UK: 0.450% -0.8
DE: -0.606% +0.8

Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1038 (1.1014)
GBPUSD 1.2821 (1.2822)
EURGBP 0.8608 (0.8591)
USDJPY 107.98 (108.39)

This week 1.0805-1.1053 (248) pips

fri: 1.0951-1.1053 (102)
thu: 1.0880-1.1006 (126)
wed: 1.0855-1.0909 (54)
tue: 1.0830-1.0883 (28)
mon: 1.0805-1.0872 (67)

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100-day avg: 1.1053
200-day avg: 1.1097

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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