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Forex Forum Archive for 03/05/2020

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Israel MacroMicro 23:25 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

FDAX / definitely stronger

go go go Brute :)

HK [email protected] 23:25 GMT March 5, 2020
Today Goldbugs are silent. I gave here an accurate scenario about what gold will be doing some days

.
All is nice and good.
But should be remembered that some players are keeping positions since March LO, and PPT is still lurking around(especially on Friday).

For long term players patience will pay for 1750.

Jump in/out players may expect the unexpected.

Israel MacroMicro 23:23 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

jpKovsky

ES / YM / NQ / CL / CAD / USD

all about to get stronger. EUR/CAD attractive

good luck

HK [email protected] 23:12 GMT March 5, 2020
US Senate Unanimously Honors China’s Coronavirus Whistleblower
Reply   
.
An irresponsible act of a doctor honored by US senate.

Mtl JP 22:42 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

MaMi - see/use the "Archive" button top-right-ish ?

else here is the pablum bottle:
ref wfakhoury 16:25 GMT February 11 (poof!)

Mtl JP 22:27 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

so they saved SnP from 3K

I d not be BoD unless I see a series - more than 2 - of convincing uP consecutive days

HK [email protected] 22:03 GMT March 5, 2020
USD/JPY expect 104-105 range until wkly close .
Reply   
.
Baby-Dow not looking that good too.

Israel MacroMicro 21:40 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

at least I was right about answering Mr. Meisler's question about 2020 high/low. my answer was neither and since the question asked we have seen lower lows and higher highs. at that time. I was lonely with that opinion among the people answered. fact!

dc CB 21:36 GMT March 5, 2020
Auctions
Reply   
Treas next week
10th, 11th,12th.
38bln in 3s, 24bln in 10s, 16bln in 30s.
all done by 1PM.

US goes Daylight Savings Time on Sun the 8th.

Tallinn viies 21:26 GMT March 5, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd took out january high. now speculation starts if yearly low in place. right now this last 400 points move up has been short covering of short positions taken from the beginning of the year. Would be interesting to see tommorow what IMM postions are showing. how much short postions covered with tuesday standing. last week numbers showed max short positions over long time.

dc CB 21:12 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

and so the MarkIT begins the monthly speculation. trying to game the US NFP Number............................(sarcasim)

AT Trader john 21:11 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

Late Thursday
DJ: -969
SP: -106.2

2-yr 0.580% -6.1
Spread 10s-2s +33.2 (+27.8)

10-yr
US: 0.912% -0.8
UK: 0.324% +0.1
DE: -0.690% -1.3

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1200 (1.1179)
GBPUSD 1.2942 (1.2917)
EURGBP 0.8652 (0.8665)
USDJPY 106.37 (106.78)

this week 1.1036-1.1230 (194) pips

thu: 1.1119-1.1230 (111)
wed: 1.1096-1.1186 (90)
tue: 1.1096-1.1212 (116)
mon: 1.1036-1.1090 (54)
fri: 1.0951-1.1053 (102)


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Israel MacroMicro 21:03 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

where is brother wfak, we all need the only one's guidance during times pandemic hysteria

dc CB 20:53 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

Bankers first into the lifeboats.

JPM --Reuters

Israel MacroMicro 20:51 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

sure!
get out with paperbag (better for the environment) and catch the falling skies and add hysteria sauce on top of it.

dc CB 20:47 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

PPT ?
'SkyNet'
building began in 2009-2010 ...in f6kin' New Jersey...lol

the Floor of the NYSE is just a set background for CNBC

NJ, MAHWAH

london red 20:42 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

euro close to prev high 11239 abv which are big stops, as we approach period of lower liquidity.

AT Trader john 20:39 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

Look out for PPT on Friday!!

Israel MacroMicro 20:37 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

MaMi & Brute !!

AT Trader john 20:37 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

PPT-= Plunge Protection Team

AT Trader john 20:35 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

PPT ??
DJIA -963...

dc CB 20:32 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

AT Trader john 20:08 GMT 03/05/2020
nope this is not nearly over.

john, you got that right.

1K days to 2K days.
'SkyNet' Algos trade on...fearless of anything 'cept a Computer Virus.

Minneapolis DRS2 20:29 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

On EUR/USD the daily stops are probably acting like magnets. Next up is 1242 (judging from the AT daily chart anyway).

Israel MacroMicro 20:28 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

ES / 2996 LONG

AT Trader john 20:20 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

DJIA new leg down -1107.

london red 20:19 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

that was what used to happen in past sell offs. they bounce hard but the following day they gave up that and more. thats how you knew more was to come.

london red 20:18 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

it will be a statement if they wipe out and beat yesterdays gain. a pyschological statement pointing to more losses.

london red 20:14 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

s&p approaching 3k but really needs to make lower low 2973/75

AT Trader john 20:08 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

nope this is not nearly over.

Mtl JP 19:58 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

john r u BTFD ?
if not now, when ?

AT Trader john 19:50 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020

DJIA just tests a loss of -1,000 again today, then rebounds.

london red 19:50 GMT March 5, 2020
ft100. double top in play below 6595 (presently 6625) to tgt c 6400. it clearly will be led by s&p if to happen. s&p presently making a fight of it. if closes hour over 3033 then 56-60 poss. abv there gap fill poss.

GVI Forex Blog 19:43 GMT March 5, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 5 March 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 5 March 2020

PAR 19:35 GMT March 5, 2020
EUROPEAN BANKS
Reply   
German Commerzbank hit all-time record low on ECB policies of punitive rates.

Israel MacroMicro 19:32 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

$44-$59 for oil until the spring/summer
imo

Mtl JP 19:27 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

imo nathan was simply not afraid of being patient, playing when no-one would and definitely not averse to taking profits. morals not an issue

Israel MacroMicro 19:13 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

jp

you with Nathan's capabilities to act differently?

Paris ib 19:13 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

Nathan Rothschild.... the one I remember is the one by David Ricardo and the Rothschilds.... Battle of Waterloo: Ricardo had reporters working for him and everyone knew it on the floor. He faked out the market. Started selling.... everyone panicked in London, thought the Battle of Waterloo had been lost. Then he cleaned up. Made out like a bandit. Of course he had to retire from the floor immediately thereafter. I think he would have been lynched had he showed his face again. And I do believe that's when the Rothschilds also established their fortune (could be wrong about that last bit)... someone can look it up :-)))))

Now this guy is remembered for Comparative Advantage (a nonsense theory if ever there was one) and no-one remembers the heist.

Mtl JP 19:07 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

SnP LoD 3011.50 sofar

Israel MacroMicro 19:07 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

ib

as public enemy #1 here is my idea, hysteria kills more than reason for hysteria. for example: how many people lost money because of the financial crisis? how many people lost money because of the hysteria around a financial crisis?

of course, feel free to replace financial crisis and money with other parameters.

point is, it's always 1/100000 grabbing gains from the hysteria orchestrated.

Mtl JP 19:06 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

are you aspiring to ape nathan rothschild's profiting lesson ?

Paris ib 19:00 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

Ooops.... feels like the Oil crises of 1973 and 1979.

Feels very co-ordinated. But we are not privy to the plan.

Paris ib 18:58 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

"It is my understanding that, now, the CDC is lumping together presumptive cases and confirmed cases, and calling them: CASES.

Certainly, that strategy would immediately multiply the total number of CASES and also multiply fear among the uninformed population.

A presumptive case would be a person who has not been tested for the coronavirus; or he has been tested, but the results are not yet in." Jon Rappoport

The REAL question to ask is: why is this hysteria being encouraged? And all of the answers to that question are NOT encouraging:

- Emergency laws to restrict freedom
- The big financial reset involving the USD as reserve currency

Can't think of anything else offhand, except maybe also an attempt to get the price of Oil lower and try to further disrupt the Ruble and the Russian economy. Feels like the 1973 and 1979. And both of them were planned operations. Some people got very, very rich. Most ordinary people suffered inflation and straightened economic conditions. Call it a direct transfer of wealth.

Mtl JP 18:51 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

01:39 Virgin Atlantic cuts CEO pay as airline industry predicts $113 billion hit from coronavirus
- MarketWatch

Purk Clogland 18:40 GMT March 5, 2020
USD/JPY scalps

Free trade now, half out, rest be. 106.44

Israel MacroMicro 18:39 GMT March 5, 2020
FDAX

in my standards 11830 is okay to make a punt with some. actually most :)

Purk Clogland 18:29 GMT March 5, 2020
USD/JPY scalps
Reply   
LONG: started small 1/5 : 106.29. add 10616, 10606 106 10595. Last one is the biggest.

Mtl JP 18:25 GMT March 5, 2020
WHO

CB 18:15
...Take the 8:15 into the city
There's a whistle up above
And people pushin', people shovin'
And the girls who try to look pretty
And if your train's on time
You can get to work by nine
And start your slaving job to get your pay
If you ever get annoyed
Look at me I'm self-employed
I love to work at nothing all day
And I'll be...
Taking care of business every day ...

ref 14:59 link

Israel MacroMicro 18:25 GMT March 5, 2020
FDAX
Reply   
Buy
Entry: 11760 Target: 6% Stop: 2%

will add against the same STOP if goes down

AT Trader john 18:22 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

DJIA -970

Mtl JP 18:20 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

players not yet in panic over losses as tesla still holding N of 700

Israel MacroMicro 18:17 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

there will be space to add a needle to ER across the globe when this hysteria warms up

dc CB 18:15 GMT March 5, 2020
WHO

and yet

HSBC evacuates London offices after worker tests positive for coronavirus,
The bank's research department was cleared this morning and will now undergo a deep clean as staff work from home.

Metro North

AT Trader john 18:14 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

"Every day, more than 750,000 people pass through Grand Central, which is more than the entire population of Leeds, or roughly the population of San Francisco." -- Google

Israel MacroMicro 18:14 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

with such counting and hysteria, maybe better to publish numbers of the none infected as after reading that I should trust that infected are the majority. come on, you know better than that

dc CB 18:07 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

No special news COVID-19 continues to overhang the markets

that lawyer (diagnosed) from New Rochelle, who infected his family and his friend - who apparently drove him to the hospital - who infected his family.
Commuted to Manhattan daily....how does a suburban Westchesterite lawyer get from New Rochelle to Manhattan, he takes Metro North to Grand Central Station in midtown. End point for all the Weschester commuters on Metro North's 3 lines.

R U kidding me

Israel MacroMicro 18:07 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

jp

if that 0.90 was not fact of reality I should laugh

Mtl JP 17:57 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

10yr 0.90 .... more moRE MORE cut !!
pronto

AT Trader john 17:55 GMT March 5, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader for 6 Mar 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 6 Mar 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment
A 13:30 US/CA- Trade

AT Trader john 17:51 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

DJIA -951
SP -104.96
10s 0.909% -0.8bp at new record low yield.
No special news COVID-19 continues to overhang the markets. I assume most will be avoiding equity longs into the weekend...

london red 17:51 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

new hour coming up lets see if they close under 3033. if they do then topside negater abv 3060 (abv 3085 bullish). if they dont close below u are looking for early hour rally then fade back to lows or at least under 3033 at close of hour.

london red 17:46 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

2973/75 is the big one today. if they blow that and stay below, the topside is done today unless someone cuts/qe etc

dc CB 17:44 GMT March 5, 2020
WHO

Seattle closes 26 schools

Mtl JP 17:43 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

3k on hunger radar

london red 17:38 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

0648 a biggie but watch out for the feds silent buyers

Mtl JP 17:28 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

usyen 106.45 at S
below should poop to 106.05 fairly fast

Israel MacroMicro 17:26 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

red, you and that 2600 :)

starting to question my strategy lol

Mtl JP 17:25 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

next S 3036.5-3034.50ish

dc CB 17:23 GMT March 5, 2020
WHO

the app---just in time for a 'pandemic'

The product, called Locate X and sold by Babel Street, allows investigators to draw a digital fence around an address or area, pinpoint mobile devices that were within that area, and see where else those devices have traveled, going back months, the sources told Protocol.

Babel Street has kept Locate X a secret, not mentioning it in public-facing marketing materials and stipulating in federal contracts that even the existence of the data is "confidential information." Locate X must be "used for internal research purposes only," according to terms of use distributed to agencies

Smart Phones --- the "sheep dog app"

london red 17:19 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

lol only trade relatively small fry downside, big bucks saved for buying the dip. presently highly in cash hoping for 2600 so likely it wont go down that far!

Mtl JP 17:17 GMT March 5, 2020
Winners and Losers

winners and losers
---------------------
here is a dude - Mark DeCambre - whining about "volatility"

1,000 points here, 1,000 points there,

Mtl JP 17:10 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

red plz step down with one of your gazzilions on that neckline

london red 17:00 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

200dam to fight but shs hourly triggered on break under 3033 neckline which takes you to 3k. hourly up channel the topside trigger will be 3070 during next hours trade.

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

mental illness, as margaret thatcher proved, is no impediment to work as psychopath in charge of a country

and IF one sits down for a bit of tea for calm reflection ...

dc CB 16:54 GMT March 5, 2020
WHO

WHO's Dr. Tedros said Thursday during the NGOs daily presser that now is the time to "pull out all the stops" to combat the virus - which is ironic, considering the agency won't officially label the outbreak a 'pandemic'

Mtl JP 16:49 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

some buyers at 3055 snp

dc CB 16:48 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

Covid-19 Arrives In Nevada, Tennessee

Mtl JP 16:41 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

3061 poof

dc CB 16:41 GMT March 5, 2020
WHO
Reply   
did they declare a "pandemic" yet?
And blow up the half a Billion in Pandemic Bonds.
They had to hold their tongue until late July for the bonds to mature>

Mtl JP 16:33 GMT March 5, 2020
some arguing going on in SnP between 3080 and 3070

PAR 16:33 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Why replace Trump.

He has no manners, he's a bully but he did a great job.

Mtl JP 16:31 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

MaMi - no interest in garbage heap of history

dc CB 16:31 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

as seen on ZH tues...part of a longer analysis.
re: CTAs quant based trading (aka big managers of OTPM )

as Nomura's Charlie McElligott warned, a close above 3079 today would see the signal go from current "+16%" (long) back to "+100%" signal, leading to further aggressive buying and more shorts squeezed), and that sparked the gamma flip melting futures up towards yesterday's rate-cut highs...

Israel MacroMicro 16:28 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

brute

Elizabeth goes, BOJ comes in?

london red 16:25 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

hourly close at or below 3061 reqd to get dome downside but while abv 200dma there is risk of another run at 3125 and a big tail on daily candle

dc CB 16:24 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

the Seal is Dealed.

the New York Times reports.
Elizabeth Warren Dropping Out Of Presidential Race

Trump V one of two addled white guys. So much for the 'diversity' MANdate of the Hypercrit Parti

So it goes.

Mtl JP 16:23 GMT March 5, 2020
USDYEN 106.72
if 106.50 breaks S
106.05/00 comes on trgt radar

london red 16:23 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

hourly cash close channel now 3069, its coming from below so hourly close abv reqd to draw in buyers.

Israel MacroMicro 16:13 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

yes Elizabeth don't go
EVEN you going away to make wonders with my LOADED

Mtl JP 16:12 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

fwiw former rockstar of cbanking carney on yakdeck at top of hour
45 minutes later BoC's Poloz yaks on "Economic Progress" - or lack of it

Israel MacroMicro 16:12 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

Elizabeth please don't go
Warren we need

Mtl JP 16:08 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

red I see jumping around 3070 atm

Israel MacroMicro 16:06 GMT March 5, 2020
USD/JPY

you want to be always right?
be a dishwasher!

Israel MacroMicro 16:05 GMT March 5, 2020
USD/JPY

you can't be right if you are not prepared to show as wrong :)

PAR 16:05 GMT March 5, 2020
S & P
Reply   
How long before S & P downgrades European banks?

Tomorrow?

Israel MacroMicro 16:04 GMT March 5, 2020
USD/JPY

adding each 5 pips lower WITH same STOP

Israel MacroMicro 16:01 GMT March 5, 2020
USD/JPY
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 106.68 Target: Stop: 106.23

trying to fish a bottom :)

PAR 15:54 GMT March 5, 2020
SPANISH BANK
Reply   
Spanish Banks down over 5% as new banking crisis looms in Europe.

PAR 15:29 GMT March 5, 2020
Every crisis has it bright side.
Reply   
Mega conditions on:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeRE_GJx3UU

london red 15:27 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

s&p tried and so failed at 3067 hourly up channel

Mtl JP 15:18 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

18/03/20 19:00 AA USFRB Fed Rates 1.00% 1.25%
from gv's econ calnd'r

Mtl JP 15:11 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

CB 14:52 thks but I could never translate it into practical tactical profiTrade. u ?

US 10yr .93 = players telling FED gang CUT !! (on the 18th)
more moRE !!

Israel MacroMicro 15:10 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

US indices

stop bit under Tuesday's lows probably to hold for two weeks. waiting for coming dips to LOAD.

PAR 15:08 GMT March 5, 2020
Lagarde s Priorities.
Reply   
Modelling in Von Furstenberg dresses and imposing punitive interest rates on hard-working European citizens and savers.

https://www.vogue.com/article/diane-von-furstenberg-france-legion-of-honor

Mtl JP 14:59 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

PAR 14:11 re Give me a break.

crank it uP

dc CB 14:55 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

NYC Mayor Says 2 Newest Covid-19 Patients Likely Infected In The US; Virus Spreads To New Jersey

HK [email protected] 14:53 GMT March 5, 2020
Buy: Toilet paper/TA35 SL not needed.
Reply   
'
Follow MR. Epstein-Ahmed from the HolyLand.

TA-35 Index
TLV: 142
1,527.85 −37.80 (-2.41%)
5 Mar, 4:34 pm GMT+2 ·

dc CB 14:52 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT 03/05/2020
all that is missing is liquidity issues

as you requested:
REPO today Not Responding to Powell Rate Cut

14 day Term: 72.550BILLION submitted for what all know is a MAX 20.000 Bln that will be accepted.

london red 14:50 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

JP mkt is trying to do v shaped recovery from bad data that is yet to happen! Its impatient, they want to get back to normal but hirus and data must get worse before better.

Mtl JP 14:50 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

DJIA off ~700pts 20mins in

Israel MacroMicro 14:49 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

2850/900-3150/200 as long FACTS doesn't show other.

good luck :)

Israel MacroMicro 14:47 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

for me it's simple no on

those accumulated toilet paper to "combat" the virus are about to sell risk now. of course, I am buying risk when they sell.

HK [email protected] 14:29 GMT March 5, 2020
Good NFP, bad for the USD. All know the bride is affected by Corona Virus..
Reply   
.
Today the global view counts, so forget about NFP.

Minneapolis DRS2 14:11 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

The WHO president is not just incompetent...he is corrupt as well. The WHO is better off without him, but who knows how much of the organization suffers from the same problems.

PAR 14:11 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

Give me a break. There is always a bid. But maybe not at the price you want. That is capitalism.l

PAR 14:08 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

This time Trump is probably right. The WHO went from NO PROBLEM to it is a PANDEMIC CRISIS in a few days.

So stop the funding or at least fire its incompetent president.
Or better do both.

HK [email protected] 14:08 GMT March 5, 2020
No No panik really not nervous.
Reply   
.
TA-35 Index
TLV: 142
1,535.04 −30.61 (1.96%)
5 Mar, 3:50 pm GMT+2 ·

Still better performer than Baby Dow

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

all that is missing is liquidity issues - i.e no bids from bidders

Mtl JP 13:55 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

lets see
08:45 Dow poised to give up much of Wednesday’s 1,200-point gain as coronavirus fear stalks markets

08:44 President Trump disputes WHO’s coronavirus fatality rate: ‘3.4% is really a false number. Now this is just my hunch.’

MarketWatch

Mtl JP 13:52 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

I was just reading your red 19:12 GMT March 4

markets may be daft , but atm seem skittish
despite yesty's rally


AT Trader john 13:39 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

216K is correct no revisions.

Belgrade Knez 13:37 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

AT Trader john 13:31 GMT 03/05/2020

Weekly Jobless Claims

ALERT vs: 211K expected 213K vs. 219K (r )
------------------------------------------------------

John,
I have jobless 216K and not 211K as you stated .... could you please confirm which one is correct?
thank you.

london red 13:36 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

claims haven't yet reacted but since wkly likely to show fastest change. survey wise philly fed a good one for speed. tomorrows nfp is taken from second wk of feb, old data could even beat as often does.

AT Trader john 13:33 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Productivity 4Q19




ALERT
1.20% vs. +1.40% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.



AT Trader john 13:31 GMT March 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS


Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
216K vs. 215K vs. 219K (r )



PAR 13:25 GMT March 5, 2020
EURUSD

Next excuse for " the Queen of Frankfurt" to go to minus 1%.

The Euro is too EXPENSVE and that is DFLATIONARY.

Israel MacroMicro 13:03 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

want panic? take some!

https://external-preview.redd.it/vxPXEGgL4v8mCGw06IFGsmJNtqWQg-z60xQQ79dHKPY.jpg?auto=webp&s=db7685262e9b352a4888e547f52a244e2ea2cb9f

Mtl JP 12:56 GMT March 5, 2020
Coronavirus has mutated into more aggressive disease, say scientists

2nd case now discovered in Mtl
-
Montreal police investigating acts of vandalism, violence targeting Asian community symbols

“The thought that the coronavirus, the massive coronavirus is associated with Asian people,” he said.

london red 12:51 GMT March 5, 2020
Coronavirus has mutated into more aggressive disease, say scientists

its used to be:
if you owe $1000, its your problem. if you owe $1,000,000 its the banks problem.
the new one is:
if you have $1,000,000 and have coronavirus, its your problem. If you have no insurance and have coronavirus, its everyones problem.

HK [email protected] 12:35 GMT March 5, 2020
Coronavirus has mutated into more aggressive disease, say scientists
Reply   
.
Coronavirus has mutated into two strains, one which appears to be far more aggressive, scientists have said, in a discovery which could hinder attempts to develop a vaccine.

Researchers at Peking University's School of Life Sciences and the Institut Pasteur of Shanghai, discovered the virus has evolved into two major lineages - dubbed ‘L’ and ‘S’ types.

The older ‘S-type’ appears to be milder and less infectious, while the ‘L-type’ which emerged later, spreads quickly and currently accounts for around 70 per cent of cases.

Genetic analysis of a man in the US who tested positive on January 21, also showed it is possible to be infected with both types.

Coronavirus has mutated into more aggressive disease, say scientists

london red 12:32 GMT March 5, 2020
EURUSD

doubt any barrier as one was recently busted. options related selling but spoos stopped falling for now which helps. still the 10 is going to price in more fed cuts so euro will probably test 11213/24 today. big stops over prev high of 11239.

Mtl JP 12:30 GMT March 5, 2020
EURUSD

1.1213 high
trgt or defence, your pick

london red 12:30 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

because mkt opened near yest highs and went str8 down there is no wick on daily candle and with an opening gap to the upside to fill, there is the risk of a rally at some stage off 200dma or around 3000. only a break under 2975 negates any upside all things being equal (ie no fed intervention cuts etc). as long as there is no tail on todays candle (sets up for 3180/3200/3214 if so), then tomorrow can see a very bad down day.

PAR 12:29 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

GS predicts German yields to stay negative till 2025.
That is if the world still exists in 2025.

Lol

London Trader 12:29 GMT March 5, 2020
EURUSD
Reply   
1.12 defence?

Mtl JP 12:27 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020



keeping an eye on DLR's bias

Mtl JP 12:25 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

red ... a rinse-repeat of February 20, 2020
Goldman Sachs warns of stock market correction
?

squid rules

HK [email protected] 12:22 GMT March 5, 2020
HSBC trading floor evacuated after analyst falls ill
Reply   
.
According to Financial News, HSBC have evacuated the research department, which is part of their trading floor.

It is believed a research analyst has come down with flu like symptoms and may have contracted coronavirus.

LINK

HK [email protected] 12:16 GMT March 5, 2020
First coronavirus death recorded in Switzerland
Reply   
.
The first confirmed death from Covid-19 has been reported in canton Vaud in western Switzerland. A 74-year-old woman died on Wednesday night, the federal authorities saidexternal link on Thursday.

The woman, who had suffered from a chronic illness and was thus considered at high risk, had been a patient in Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV) since Tuesday.

How the woman became infected is unclear. The cantonal authorities said more information would be provided at a press conference this afternoon.

LINK

PAR 11:14 GMT March 5, 2020
European Markets
Reply   
Europe continues it's fall as markets are afraid that the ECB will install deeper penalty interest rates and increase ECB taxes.

AT Trader john 10:19 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

Early Thursday
DJ: -479
SP: -61.6

2-yr 0.629% -0.1
Spread 10s-2s +34.6 (+27.8)

10-yr
US: 0.975% -1.7
UK: 0.378% +0.7
DE: -0.636% -0.8

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1171 (1.1138)
GBPUSD 1.2928 (1.2737)
EURGBP 0.8642 (0.8682)
USDJPY 106.82 (107.31)

this week 1.1036-1.1212 (176) pips

thu: 1.1119-1.1177 (58)
wed: 1.1096-1.1186 (90)
tue: 1.1096-1.1212 (116)
mon: 1.1036-1.1090 (54)
fri: 1.0951-1.1053 (102)
thu: 1.0880-1.1006 (126)


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20-day avg: 1.0922
50-day avg: 1.1030
100-day avg: 1.1057
200-day avg: 1.1097

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AT Trader john 10:07 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 5 Mar 2019
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Productivity
Fri 6 Mar 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment
A 13:30 US/CA- Trade

london red 09:35 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

goldman on the wires on uk/sterling. interesting. says expects 50 or 25 bps cut for march meeting. thats right after comments from new boe chief bailey that cut now isnt warranted.

london red 09:33 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

euro thru 11145 daily channel. now looks to 11180/90 topside. stops abv 11239 big ones

Minneapolis DRS2 09:21 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

Judging from the positioning of the possible stops on the AT charts, it appears that it would be easier to trip the stops into 1300-1400 than it would be to go back down. That's not to say that it can't happen, but so far price isn't dropping. It's dipping and bounces right back.

Israel MacroMicro 09:12 GMT March 5, 2020
RISK OFF

safe to do punting with longs now
scalping forum?

Israel MacroMicro 09:11 GMT March 5, 2020
RISK OFF

done with punting SHORT indices since last evening
waiting for cash to open to maybe reopen shorts

london red 08:49 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

while abv 200dma biased to try higher - euro drops like a stone once rallies are over, so you will know about it. nicer to try to fade high but not always poss, though holding abv 200dma suggests we will another test higher which may be the one to fade, we shall see.

Mtl JP 08:36 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020



EURO 1.1130
Confused atm

PAR 08:22 GMT March 5, 2020
EUROPEAN BANKS
Reply   
The gangrene continues!

london red 08:16 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

china put everything on lock down because they can. pmis are in the 20's and 30's showing just how much things tailed off because of the lock down. and because of this they manage to limit the outbreak for now, though due to the way the virus spreads it likely that it will have an opportunity to infect everyone that is not isolated from society. how bad it affects the young and otherwise well population determines how fast output starts to claw back.

Israel MacroMicro 08:01 GMT March 5, 2020
RISK OFF

ib

you are always welcome about any topic. kudos for your process of processing :)

let's go back to trading. the rest we can blahblah over drinks of our choice :)

PAR 07:58 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020

Situation in China seems to be under control.

Mtl JP 07:49 GMT March 5, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 March 2020



can someone please explain what has made chinese stocks rocket

chinese consumer ?

london red 07:48 GMT March 5, 2020
EURUSD--- It's not complicated!!

euro daily channel today at 11145. thats the up down pivot. dwnside sup 200dma topside res 11180/90

Mtl JP 07:40 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

ib in the meantime Trudeau creates new Cabinet committee to tackle COVID-19 outbreak .

and canadians r laughing at him - sofar ay least

london red 07:38 GMT March 5, 2020
NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES

for CBers, mkt goes dwn and a few folks die is bad. but if a few folks die and mkts held up, job done. result.

PAR 07:36 GMT March 5, 2020
It's not complicated

Almost impossible to unwind negative interest rates as everybody has borrowed too much and would go bankrupt if rates go back to ZERO.

PAR 07:27 GMT March 5, 2020
Coronavirus
Reply   
Forget Tesla look at Inovio Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (INO).

PAR 07:21 GMT March 5, 2020
NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES
Reply   
Negative interest rates are a TAX on banks, on consumption, on citizens. They are immoral and make no sense.

Negative interest is hurting Europe immersively and still, more negative rates will hurt more and lead to revolution.

If Lagarde wants to turn the ECB building into "La Bastille"
it'is her choice.

The Coronavirus is a medical problem which needs a medical solution.

Negative rates and the socialisation of losses are NO SOLUTION.

SaaR KaL 06:38 GMT March 5, 2020
It's not complicated

That Was for gold
a sell year into 1200

SaaR KaL 06:35 GMT March 5, 2020
It's not complicated
Reply   
For March
High 1,651.6222

Low 1,559.0314
Mean 1,579.6619

SaaR KaL 06:31 GMT March 5, 2020
EURUSD--- It's not complicated!!
Reply   
for march

expected high 1.1152
expected low 1.0927
Mean value 1.1046
it's not complicated

Paris ib 06:28 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

JP

ONE death in California (don't have the details) and it's a state of emergency? Laugh or cry?

So the playbook continues. Emergency measures (less freedom, more control) everywhere. Watch the media that is the real litmus test. The more alarmist headline, the more likely everything gets shut down. Goes to show how far we have gone down this road already that they can pull this off.

Paris ib 06:21 GMT March 5, 2020
RISK OFF

Macromicro, I thought the Balfour Declaration did that?

I don't know what kind of people are behind these kinds of agreements but they always look to me like an experiment to see just how much they can get away with.

The history of Ireland looks pretty much like a playbook for Palestine, and we're going back to Eluzabeth I with that one. Don't know what to say, no-one cares till it happens to them and no-one thinks it can happen to them and then it does. Honestly don't know what the answer is. But there's a them and us involved and I don't know who the them is. Sometimes I think it's just the idiot monkey mind (left brain) trying to take absolute control. This isn't over. What happens with this 'epidemic' will be interesting. Italy, the home of modern fascism, is freaking out. Over, not over? Meanwhile the show trial for Julian Assange continues and the headlines are about a B-Grade actress called Megan.

Still think 'they' are losing control though. We'll see.

SaaR KaL 05:44 GMT March 5, 2020
eursd and cable
Reply   
will short above 1.1141 to tgt < 1.1005


will Long cable < 1.2798
tgt > 1.2842

HK [email protected] 04:55 GMT March 5, 2020
they want to reduce Muslim population among Israeli citizens by using Trump's "deal"
Reply   
.
Indeed better for the Israelis to send as many as possible Palestinian populations beyond the fence.

Most of them are Jihad supporters, some became spies, and majority are Anti-Zionists yearning for the destruction of the state of Israel.

Those Palestinians are descendants of parents indoctrinated by the Jerusalem Mufti who advised Hitler to burn the Jews, and Hitler took his advice.
There was a plan in Place to destroy the Jews in Israel as The Nazi army was approaching the gate of Palestine.

Likely Israel MacroMicro is one of those stupid blinded Ashkenazi Jews who do not know how to read the mind of an enemy.

The Oriental Jews are the ones who saved Israel from silly people like MAMi, Mr. Nice-Soul.
Why so? Because they were living centuries among Arabs and they and they know them.


Mtl JP 00:52 GMT March 5, 2020
The Beer Virus

fwiw Calif in its declaration of "emergency", recommends folks to verbal-greet and keep min distance of 6 feet between strangers amongst other measures

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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