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Forex Forum Archive for 03/08/2020

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Tallinn viies 23:59 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
cap and fibos and stuff are very nice and usefull stuff but if mercedes will cost on monday 30% less than on friday then after small investigation of the reasons (due dilligence) people will buy it. they know soon it will be 20-25 percent more expensive again. as soon as stocks are empty and overcapacity liquidated. same applies to crude oil. it is still the same crude oil that it was last week. they still need it.and 25-30% discount is good discount

HK [email protected] 23:56 GMT March 8, 2020
Once Swiss Gold refineries will shut, Gold will make a Palladium.
Reply   
.
USD/JPY the way to 99 is open.

HK [email protected] 23:52 GMT March 8, 2020
USE FIBO, and your imagination, scan the fundamentals.
Reply   
.
Never depend on automatic programs.

HK [email protected] 23:40 GMT March 8, 2020
AT Trader john 22:17 Gaps all over the place.
Reply   
.
It has to be determined if those gaps are breakaway gaps or not.

If yes more gaps(continuation gaps) will appear.

Mtl JP 23:40 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

so atm we are probably in a seesaw battle for driver theme dominance
CoronaV /:/ Crude

Israel MacroMicro 23:19 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

looking for a sombrero soon, lucky low picked with MXN/JPY :)

Mtl JP 23:15 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

one could think times are approaching "bargain times" for QE buying up any/everything

Israel MacroMicro 23:08 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd

ES to print 3150+ before 2650
imo

london red 23:03 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd

ive got around 2632 but yes. that was a potential feed in zone for me. but if economic hinderance drags on a bit further we may overshoot. 2500, maybe 2300/2100 if extends. i dont think prev peaks at 1600 are poss. we would need persistant economic decline caused by some massive financial failures as per 2008.

Tallinn viies 23:00 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
so sp500 on the way to 2650?
200 week ema has been good support since 2012 when prices spurted above.

london red 22:56 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

its still just in liquidation mode JP. if we are ever to see proper long positioning it would be around 1.30!

Mtl JP 22:54 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

and to think the puppy was around 1.0775 only few days ago !

Israel MacroMicro 22:52 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd

viies 22:45

exactly, the only reason I am running with half size for now. waiting for European session to fill the position

london red 22:49 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

euro powering thru 200 wk ma wkly cloud top and wkly channel 11345-76 zone. nxt is prev high at 11412 and shelters more stops. 11448 is a 50% retracement of 103xx/125xx.

AT Trader john 22:48 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

I recommend caution, especially at this time in the session. Authorities will not be liking the instability.

Tallinn viies 22:47 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
it is. I promised to myself in the beginning of the year that If I see 32 usd barrel I buy no matter what. it cam earlier than I thought but now it is here and I will take my 10 dollars what they offer to me. closing the cap needed only

london red 22:45 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

sounds like gambling to me bro...

Tallinn viies 22:45 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
wondering if brent margin call selling done for now or every single major center openening starts new wave of liquidaton?
72000 contracts so far with 44 minutes

Israel MacroMicro 22:40 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

of course red
but Russian culture is about their way and that way is never in direct line. I trust Russian accounting and mathematics to make oil to serve them also at $9.95 but just not yet

Israel MacroMicro 22:37 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

I am loaded with risk in the indices battlefield
soon some ccys and commodities

all with stops risking exactly what will not harm my mood before taking the next round

london red 22:36 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

think about it, maybe a low price serves some interest for him. may do more harm to others eg us. russia will always get by as its folks dont have much to lose.

Israel MacroMicro 22:34 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

red

I cannot imagine Putin allowing this month getting to the end before he gets oil where he wants.

london red 22:32 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

29.74 wti if you are feeling brave, but a monthly close there will do so that still leaves anything poss as far as downside is concerned. spoos now lower low and below s&p 50% of 2855/60 but needs to open below and close below to count. never bet heavy against us stocks, better to pick up pieces if fall.

Israel MacroMicro 22:27 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

with all those gaps jpkovsky must feeling himself in heaven

Israel MacroMicro 22:22 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

30yr under 1%
lol

AT Trader john 22:17 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

Gaps all over the place...

Tallinn viies 22:16 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
I am a brave man.
bought brent at 33.33.
will keep it until 28 not traded.

Israel MacroMicro 22:16 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

$27.40 STOP

and load as much you can afford such stop :)

AT Trader john 22:13 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

Prices approximated

AT Trader john 22:12 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

WTI $32.00 vs close $41.09

Israel MacroMicro 22:11 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

getting ready to collect some "risk"

AT Trader john 22:09 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

SP~ -132
DJIA ~ -927

Tallinn viies 22:09 GMT March 8, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
screen showing brent low at the open 31.04 dollars barrel
wow

HK [email protected] 21:31 GMT March 8, 2020
Obedient nutty SwissY; Only 25% support border closure with Italy.
Reply   
.
The survey, conducted from March 3-6 among 1,074 people across the country, also found that two-thirds felt little or no threat from the virus, 24% classified the risk of Covid-19 as medium, 8% as high. The values had hardly changed compared with the previous week.

Every fourth person was in favour of closing the borders with Italy, which is one of the countries hit hardest by the virus, along with China, South Korea and Iran.

On Sunday Italy ordered a virtual lockdown across a swathe of its wealthy north in a drastic attempt to try to contain a rapidly growing Covid-19 outbreak (see box).

The Swiss government and European health ministers have so far spoken out against closing the borders because of the far-reaching consequences.

Likely most Swissy are infected by PC-virus too.

HK [email protected] 21:19 GMT March 8, 2020
EU leadership in a gathering of confusion mode.(image)
Reply   


.
PC is always right, will never apologize.

london red 21:14 GMT March 8, 2020
Relax; Corona cases out of China increasing in parabolic mode only.

yes this is why you can be 100% sure there will be more cases and deaths given average age is older and controls slacker. i was thinking 26xx on s&p but it has potential to more from q1 to q2 almost certainly and likely q3, its just impossible to say where growth numbers will sit right now.

HK [email protected] 21:10 GMT March 8, 2020
Where is the Magnificent Guy with the number spitting machine; Forever wrong!!!
Reply   
.
But stubbornly publishing with never ending confidence. Hahahaha

HK [email protected] 21:07 GMT March 8, 2020
Relax; Corona cases out of China increasing in parabolic mode only.

.
Yes indeed PC is destroying the world.

Few days ago I posted that the EU is more horrified of border closure than the corona virus.

Now that they learn how stupid they are, they likely beg Italy to quarantine itself, just not to impose it on it and be viewed NON-PC.

EU is running by donkeys pays now the price.

london red 21:00 GMT March 8, 2020
Relax; Corona cases out of China increasing in parabolic mode only.

the west is too eager not to hurt anyones feelings to force folks to do what is required to get a hold on the speed of the rollout of the disease. non PC efforts required in a PC world. so will get worse before improves.

london red 20:56 GMT March 8, 2020
Relax; Corona cases out of China increasing in parabolic mode only.

give it another week or two

HK [email protected] 20:55 GMT March 8, 2020
Relax; Corona cases out of China increasing in parabolic mode only.
Reply   
.
Not yet exponential so relax.

Israel MacroMicro 20:54 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

in case Russia is not part of this Saudi move and sees themselves screwed, how they will ensure that the Saudis reconnect with reality? - in case it's well planned move among Russia and Saudi Arabia than expect the move down to last until there is not a single leveraged player left in the oil production business. how many US jobs oil at $20 to cause?

nuf nuf ... good luck

Israel MacroMicro 20:43 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

$10 Saudi discount om crude
by Tuesday, still a valid offer?

Israel MacroMicro 20:41 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

MXN/JPY @ 5 area

buy and hold

Israel MacroMicro 20:38 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

USD/CAD

to open in fake break area and to rise bit more, than I sell

Mtl JP 20:36 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

fwiw
risk assessment / before thing happens
advisory / too late, thing has already happened

london red 20:33 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

priced close to 200 month ma which is by 104. 10434/10402/10370 areas of interest nearby

Mtl JP 20:21 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

should be nice down gap on dlryen w/fr close at 105.345

Mtl JP 20:09 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

virus of fear in saddle
paranoïa getting a grip

london red 19:57 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

tin hat time folks, the black stuff opening around 10 bucks lower, yen close to 104 as we stand. stocks will get absolutely hammered tomorrow. they may rally back to create an almighty tail but on what. rates wont do it, fiscal stim wont do it.

Israel MacroMicro 19:46 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

hallelujah

welcome volatility

Hitler didn't cancel 1936 Olympics and a virus will cancel Tokyo 2020

lol

Paris ib 19:41 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

Talk is that the Monte Carlo Grand Prix will be cancelled

Mtl JP 19:29 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

No Olympic Games IF coronavirus
not under control by end of May

AT Trader john 19:23 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

yes its summer "time", but still winter.

Israel MacroMicro 18:00 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

USA summer time?

AT Trader john 17:44 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

buy stox futures (PTT)

Mtl JP 17:31 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

john 15:29 re If oil prices crash, so will stocks...

so what ... ____
do you think the FED would do ?

PAR 16:40 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

A reverse oil chock should be a huge boost for European oil importing countries and should stimulate consumer demand for other products.

Free oil for everybody would be fantastic.

Only Greta gets angry.

dc CB 16:39 GMT March 8, 2020

Coronavirus
Population Control
Martial Law



dc CB 18:50 GMT 03/07/2020
There are now 57 cases in Westchester County
_________________________________________________
As of Sunday, New York state has 105 confirmed cases.
Westchester: 82

Cuomo made an appearance on Sunday Morning Futures on Fox News, where he hopes that NYC will "avoid massive quarantines used in China and Italy."

Cuomo said there's "no reason" at the moment to shutdown mass transportation in the city, however that clearly will change when the number of cases spike, and the fact that Cuomo is contemplating it means that this will likely be the next escalation in the fight against the pandemic.

Israel MacroMicro 15:58 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

jpkovsky

definitely considering an activation of alternative plan in case the first one fails.

Mtl JP 15:55 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

2600 - 2450
have u reviewed your strategy yet mami?

Israel MacroMicro 15:47 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

doesn't mean that $25 will not happen next year :)

Israel MacroMicro 15:45 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

waiting for Kramer to repeat that and I get all-in long.

lol

Mtl JP 15:40 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

$20 (or better yet $10) oil should quel the headchoppers' appetite for toys from Raytheon, Lockheed, Boeing, Gen Dynamics, Northrop etc

******
Comedy Blast From the Past:
"SOLID INVESTMENT": Haifa ac 10:37 GMT May 11, 2003
$10 crude in 3 to 5 years...

AT Trader john 15:29 GMT March 8, 2020
OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: $20 oil in 2020 is coming CNBC

"Weekend risks"

If oil prices crash, so will stocks...

hk ab 15:25 GMT March 8, 2020
dlr/jpy
Reply   
what could be the impact on dlrjpy if Olympiad is cancelled?

Mtl JP 15:02 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

can or can not see
keeping an open mind by not so as allow brain to fall out
---------------------------------------------------------------
Safe bet: No one knows where the coronavirus epidemic will end.
Current official numbers are likely bullchitt.
Even the bullchit numbers currently trac at exponential growth.

Hope: authorities are spewing propaganda about being ready and able to contain.

Theory: authorities are not ready nor able to contain it.

Numbers: every week coronavirus cases are approximately quadrupling.
Bottom line, ceteris paribus:
by end of month (of March) coronacase count will exceed 3 million (does not count china)

Credible or not (you chose) Harvard U epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch forecast projects thusly:
the puppy could end up infecting 40% to 70% of the world’s adult population could become infected with the new coronavirus, and of those, 1% could die from COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus. (In a later tweet, Lipsitch revised his estimates downward, to 20% to 60% of adults becoming infected.) and if this and that "there are going to be millions of people dying,”

AT only 1% mortality rate that figures to 30 million deads. (Little more than pop of Shanghai for ex)



The number, in the grand global scheme of things, is not very significant. It is only significant when folks start to imagine that their personal odds of "winning the lottery" are suddenly high. And their reaction.

Visual acuity, opinion and imagination:
All combined , kneejerk reaction is towards a decline in global economy, sometimes extending into Recessionary visions.
To climate screamers, the so-called "supply shock" (an economists' term) is welcome news giving Planet a bit of reprieve from pollution.

Israel MacroMicro 13:46 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

jp

I cannot see ES going 1% under 2890 this round before getting near 3200. imo

Mtl JP 13:25 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020



one ytd line to play: 2850

Israel MacroMicro 13:23 GMT March 8, 2020
TA35

the plan

under 2900 using 5/15 minutes ticks to collect longs
let's see what that brings

Israel MacroMicro 13:02 GMT March 8, 2020
TA35

jp

let's try taking ES towards 3170+ area?
buy the dips for me

Mtl JP 12:36 GMT March 8, 2020
TA35

.

beard

Mtl JP 12:32 GMT March 8, 2020
TA35

forget iran
as long as folks dont read and follow the mask instruction manual ...
ya dont think the beard is an efficient <20nm hepafilter d'u?

HK [email protected] 12:28 GMT March 8, 2020
USD?JPY; Stellar performance tomorrow.
Reply   
Testing the number spitting machine
------------------------------------------
SaaR KaL 13:51 GMT March 6, 2020
well well well: Reply
many reveals in trend

eurusd cable
South


USDJPY North

soon gbpjpy... north

Israel MacroMicro 12:15 GMT March 8, 2020
TA35

jp

MBS the prince is watching his home market more than $200B down so far today. interesting.

Iran to use the chaos to attack for real?

HK [email protected] 12:11 GMT March 8, 2020
7% ... smell of fear OR greed ? Smell of PAAAAANIC!!!!!!!!!
Reply   
.
WE ARE IN THE START OF WW3!!!

HK [email protected] 12:09 GMT March 8, 2020
Israel MacroMicro loaded 1438; Catching falling knives clown.
Reply   
.
Corona only started in Israel, and while propagating it's effect will be felt more on the economy/stox.

Stox are prone to more panic selling. Wait for the widows and the orphans to teach you a lesson.

Mtl JP 11:45 GMT March 8, 2020
7% ... smell of fear OR greed ?

Israel MacroMicro 11:43 GMT March 8, 2020
TA35

of course hysteria
but with me?

lol

Israel MacroMicro 11:41 GMT March 8, 2020
TA35
Reply   
longs loaded 1438
closed at 1483

my playground since decades :)

HK [email protected] 10:24 GMT March 8, 2020
Bye France!!!!!!!!
Reply   
.
Stage 3 Covid-19 epidemic ‘inevitable’ in France

Stage 3 Covid-19 epidemic ‘inevitable’ in France

HK [email protected] 10:17 GMT March 8, 2020
Shocking New Study Concludes That The “Best Case Scenario” For A COVID-19 Pandemic Is 15 Million Dea
Reply   
.
.....

But even in the low-severity model — or best-case scenario of the seven, which the paper acknowledged were not definitive — ANU researchers estimate a global GDP loss of $2.4 trillion, with an estimated death toll of 15 million.

A pandemic that kills 15 million people would change everything.

Shocking New Study Concludes That The “Best Case Scenario” For A COVID-19 Pandemic Is 15 Million Dead

HK [email protected] 10:14 GMT March 8, 2020
TA-35 in panic

.
MAMI will tell you that it is because of my panic posts::))))

haifa ac 09:44 GMT March 8, 2020
TA-35 in panic
Reply   
down more than 7%

HK [email protected] 06:52 GMT March 8, 2020
Prepare for Swiss gold refineries closure. Gold price?????

.
Italy locks down 16 million people in the north in drastic bid to curb coronavirus spread.

More than 16 million people were placed under forced quarantine in northern Italy early on Sunday as the government approved drastic measures in an attempt to halt the spread of the deadly coronavirus that is sweeping the globe.

Shortly after midnight, Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte signed a decree affecting the country's prosperous north, including the Lombardy region and at least 15 provinces in neighbouring regions. The extraordinary measures will be in place until April 3.

Without a "serious" reason that cannot be postponed, such as urgent work or family issues, people will not be allowed to enter or leave the quarantine zones, Corriere Della Sera reported.

These include the entire Lombardy region as well as Venice and its surrounding areas, and the cities of Parma and Rimini - affecting a quarter of Italy's population of 60 million.

A final chance to evacuate from the COVID19 red zone. People rush to catch the last trains leaving Lombardy after government declared the quarantine and lockdown of 16 million people in Northern Italy. The mandatory quarantine will last until early April.

AT Trader john 00:42 GMT March 8, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 9 Mar 2020

Late Friday
DJ: -256
SP: -51.

2-yr 0.506% -7.9
Spread 10s-2s +25.2 (+33.2)

10-yr
US: 0.758% -16.7
UK: 0.230% -0.2
DE: -0.715% +1.3

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1315 (1.1295)
GBPUSD 1.3013 (1.3003)
EURGBP 0.8692 (0.8687)
USDJPY 105.22 (106.52)

this week 1.1036-1.1356 (320) pips

fri: 1.1211-1.1356 (145)
thu: 1.1119-1.1230 (111)
wed: 1.1096-1.1186 (90)
tue: 1.1096-1.1212 (116)
mon: 1.1036-1.1090 (54)


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