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Forex Forum Archive for 03/23/2020

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Mtl JP 21:23 GMT March 23, 2020
stunned

New bet coming up at bottom of hour:
President Trump speech

The bet:
which will he chose
- economy
- people's lives

swiss frank 20:17 GMT March 23, 2020
stunned

Mtl JP 19:52 GMT 03/23/2020
V at 136-ish

Yes for me. I bought a little already. Looking at 120 to buy a little more as eventual part of several holdings. I also already bought some MSFT and looking to add if it gets to 100. Others I'm looking at are INTC if gets to 45 and MCD at 100. Must stress tho these are long term buy and holds -> possible pass on to heirs....

Mtl JP 20:02 GMT March 23, 2020
stunned

think it got slammed on tokyo postponment ?

AT Trader john 20:00 GMT March 23, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 24 March 2020

LATE Monday
DJ: -423
SP: -53.6

2-yr 0.308% -6.0
Spread 10s-2s +46.7 (+57.6)

10-yr
US: 0.772% -16.5
UK: 0.419% -0.2
DE: -0.387% -0.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0641 (1.0732)
GBPUSD 1.1580 (1.1559)
EURGBP 0.9187 (0.9287)
USDJPY 111.18 (110.91)

last week 1.0652-1.1237 (585) pips

mon: 1.0827-1.0637 (193)
fri: 1.0852-1.0639 (223)
thu: 1.0655-1.0982 (327)
wed: 1.0802-1.1085 (263)
tue: 1.0956-1.1189 (233)


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london red 19:59 GMT March 23, 2020
stunned

JP, V still about 10% abv dec 18 low. and for foreginers, its got even more expensive (strong usd). u would hope, still a way to go to downside. goes for mastercard too, which i prefer, but like both. we will see.

GVI Forex 19:55 GMT March 23, 2020
Political/Covid-19 Forum
Reply   
Many years ago we created a Political Forum to be used during times of global crises.

It has for the most part been dormant of late but we are now reviving it.

It is an open forum where you can discuss anything to do with the current Covid-19 crisis. It is a place where you will feel you are not alone,

Go to www.global-view.com and in the upper menu bar, click on Forums, and you will see a link to the Political Forum (there is also a link in the forum directory on www.global-view.com)

Please contact us with any questions.

Regards,

Jay Meisler and John Bland
Co-founders, global-view.com

Mtl JP 19:52 GMT March 23, 2020
stunned

V at 136-ish
---------
frank... I like Visa. Long term.
still ?

GVI Forex Blog 19:36 GMT March 23, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 March 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 March 2020

PAR 19:34 GMT March 23, 2020
Same tricks as in 2008
Reply   
Create panic and make Congress vote crazy laws to help the 1%

History repeats itself.

Mtl JP 19:17 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

john 18:38 some folks, in order to make a decision, need to FEEL pain.
right on or past their threshold of tolerance

PAR 18:59 GMT March 23, 2020
MARGIN CALL
Reply   
More margin call and other selling into the close as more people get infected.

AT Trader john 18:42 GMT March 23, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 24 March 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 24 March 2020
flash PMIs all day
Wed 25 March 2019
A 09:00 DE- IFO Survey
AA 09:30 UK- CPI
AA 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 26 March 2019
AA 09:30 UK- Retail Sales
A 13:00 GB- BOE Decision
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 26 Jan 2019
A12:30AA Personal Income/Spending
AA 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


AT Trader john 18:38 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

Maybe no stimulus bill today. Still the usual annoying political wrangling. As usual the Congress is not doing itself proud.

Mtl JP 18:26 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

DJIA 18,524.17
-----------------
Senate races to strike coronavirus stimulus deal as Mnuchin says it needs to get done ‘today’ - MSM

see player reaction when they finally spawn one

Mtl JP 18:20 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

for now FED gang's clear (of blame):
Senate fails to advance coronavirus aid bill as talks continue
- msm

HK Kevin 18:16 GMT March 23, 2020
mkt

HK ab, the DOWJ patient will not die, but in a vegetative state

Mtl JP 18:13 GMT March 23, 2020
usd/cad



USDCAD 1.4519
------------------
lets see ... episodes, turns, calls,
wins and losses

Mtl JP 17:46 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

dlrcad 1.4510
---------------
Quebec is ordering all non-essential businesses to close until April 13.
- 30 minutes ago

I suspect rest of canada is not far behind.

london red 17:37 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

most folks the same. take the british. mostly loaded up with personal debt and a mortgage on top. paycheque to paycheque. i always allow for ten years without an income, but then im a pessimistic bastard.

PAR 17:21 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

Are really all Americans poor. Can't they survive one month at home in the greatest economy of the world?

swiss frank 17:16 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

And meanwhile in Spain the government of Madrid has commandeered the largest indoor ice rink. Dead bodies piling up too fast exceeding morgue and cremation capacity.

Mtl JP 17:12 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

Cuomo orders hospitals to increase capacity by 50%

he sounds like he is aping ccp's xi

Mtl JP 17:05 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

AOC said to give money to ALL: peasants as well as princes

give money ... even the FED is not THAT stupid: loans, loans, loans
as far as they eye can see, corral the peasants

PAR 17:01 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

That's why you need to give cash directly to the people and not to obscure SPV 's

Purk Clogland 16:50 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN

Euh PAR, people need monnie to do that, in a month there are no jobs left, who pay for the ferryman?

PAR 16:46 GMT March 23, 2020
LOCK DOWN
Reply   
Posted by: Paul Donovan

20 Mar 2020
Share this page
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Fear of the coronavirus has caused governments to lock down parts of the economy. In Europe and parts of the United States, bars, restaurants and some shops have shut.
Total consumer spending will not fall to zero. In Europe and the US, housing and utilities are the largest part of consumer spending. That does not fall. Food eaten at home will rise as people stop eating out. It will increase with panic buying. Spending on health is unlikely to fall. Spending on communication is unlikely to fall. Parents with teenage children home from school will need to spend on mobile phone services.
Some spending is delayed. People are less likely to buy home furnishings when stores are closed. However, when stores reopen, they will spend. This delay is "pent-up demand."
Some spending is lost. If a local restaurant is closed, people will not delay eating until the restaurant reopens. Spending can go back to normal after the crisis. There is no pent-up demand to take spending above normal.
In the Eurozone, stable or rising spending is around 60% of consumption. Delayed spending is 15% of consumption. Lost spending is 25% of consumption. Consumption suffers a lot in a lockdown. It will not go to zero.

Mtl JP 16:18 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

decent ... they didn't believe...
how about letting the ignorant get the punishment in proportion to the amount of [they didn't believe] ?

but noooo...
“You all think you’re invincible. You’re not. Enough is enough,”
“Go home and stay home.” - justin trudeau fe moments ago

like telling a bike rider: put on a helmet!
why... why... when darwinism is so efficient (as history proves)

PAR 15:57 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

That's for US companies and crooked directors.

Not for decent human dying from Corona because they didn't believe in social distancing.

Stay at home and trade in these volatile markets. It makes your broker happy and rich. And maybe yourself as well, but that is less certain.

Mtl JP 15:52 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

PAR re "FED liquidity"
- IF your dying, THAT is best time to load and load and LOAD UP on FED's liquidity. IE take ALL the loans that you'r able to shovel to them. And woop it up.

In an ass-backward logique would be a youg healthy turkey load up on unlimited debt to the fiat peddlers; it is volontary self-condemnation to the moneychangers, to drink from their chalice of poison

hk ab 15:38 GMT March 23, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Gold stox are sold like hell today....couldn't be with a reason ;)

hk ab 15:34 GMT March 23, 2020
mkt
Reply   
DOWJ is saved but patients die.....

hk ab 15:34 GMT March 23, 2020
mkt
Reply   
DOWJ is saved but patients die.....

PAR 15:18 GMT March 23, 2020
MARGIN CALL
Reply   
Expect more forced selling by noon NY time.

PAR 15:04 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

If you are dying you don't care about FED liquidity.

Mtl JP 14:36 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity



under unlimited QE, trading for good nerves,
no trends

Mtl JP 14:32 GMT March 23, 2020
eurusd

viies I am thinking of past the "80% of the market" point

PAR 14:20 GMT March 23, 2020
CORONAVIRUS
Reply   
This is not a central bankers problem. It is a medical problem.

If you are sick J.Powell is not going to cure you. Don't count on him or you will die. He is a lawyer.

Stay in your home. That is the only solution to stop the virus from spreading. Not difficult and not the end of the world.

Plenty of things you can do. Be creative.

Tallinn viies 14:16 GMT March 23, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
what is net for FED?
BOJ is a role model. buying stocks etf-s, I guess BOJ owns already 80% of the market.

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT March 23, 2020
FED

The FED has gone out on a bet of lasso-ing more folks into more debt under the mushroom feeding propaganda and guise of "support the U.S. economy".

I am asking myself what is the next tool the fiat peddlers are already fingering when their current unlimited QE tool fails.

Tallinn viies 13:48 GMT March 23, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
selling euro on upticks is ok until previous day high holds if this is taken out then charts start to conc entrate to key reversal pattern.

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT March 23, 2020
usd/cad



"The hardest thing as a trader is to reverse gears when one episode ends and another begins." - Jay, March 22, 2020 - 16:44:45

pic is 5min suggestion decision-making bar

swiss frank 13:32 GMT March 23, 2020
usd/cad

Thanks JP. I sold at 1.4410. See how...

Mtl JP 13:31 GMT March 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 23 Mar 2020

euro 1.0802 HoD
-
I am biased selling (scalping) rallies
N of 1.0825-ish nixes

Mtl JP 13:22 GMT March 23, 2020
usd/cad

cad$ imo is a windsock dependent on the whims of winds from the US and to lesser extent larger global energy vectors - trudeau's and poloz' domestic efforts have the approximate effect of a mosquito's turd hitting the windshield.
I am expecting cad$ to tend more down than up (usdcad uP).

In the immediate 1.44 is the line.
below it risk is for 1.42 as the wild card is the USD crapping on unlimited printing

swiss frank 13:04 GMT March 23, 2020
usd/cad
Reply   
Can Cad sustain these levels? 1.4200 this week? 1.4000 maybe even? Maybe?

Mtl JP 12:50 GMT March 23, 2020
FED

March 23, 2020

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
For release at 8:00 a.m. EDT

The Federal Reserve is committed to use its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time and thereby promote its maximum employment and price stability goals. .../..

The Lawyer & PhDs

HK Kevin 12:40 GMT March 23, 2020
New Model of Carry Trades
Reply   
I think USD will become the new funding ccy of carry trade. No more JPY, CHF and EUR. Lend USD to buy everthing

london red 12:39 GMT March 23, 2020
FED

bitch back under 2350

HK Kevin 12:35 GMT March 23, 2020
FED

Would FED buy every US citizen debt? Make America Great!

Mtl JP 12:24 GMT March 23, 2020
FED

..."new lending programs"... haha

deepah peasant, this way, more moRE in debt.
brilliant !

Mtl JP 12:21 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

Fiat peddlers just will not be denied - printing is all they know.

The so-what:___
- prepare for purchasing power deterioration, economic recession, price inflation and ultimately interest rates rising fast

london red 12:19 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity

imp for mkt to close below 2350 to maintain downside pressure. they may sell into this rally. if not 2640 is poss this wk.

GVI Forex 12:09 GMT March 23, 2020
Fed Liquidity
Reply   
Fed announces QE each day this week, stocks up, dollar down

HK Kevin 12:09 GMT March 23, 2020
FED
Reply   
USD plunges on this?
Fed announces unlimited QE and sets up several new lending programs

Paris ib 11:45 GMT March 23, 2020
We're not broke it's the PANDEMIC

"a video of Professor Didier Raoult, one of the world’s most renowned infectiologists, because by announcing the existence of a proven drug in China against Covid-19, he highlighted the lack of a medical basis for the measures taken by President Macron"

Where do we go with this?

PAR 11:44 GMT March 23, 2020
We're not broke it's the PANDEMIC

Everybody just stay home for one month.
That is not so difficult.

Government should give cash to people who need it and not to anybody else.

AT Trader john 11:25 GMT March 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 23 Mar 2020

Other U.S.
2Q20 GDP forecasts:

JPM -14%
GS -24%

St Louis Fed Bullard -50% ??

Global GDP forecasts are roughly about flat for the year.

In reality there is a ridiculous about of uncertainty in these forecasts. At a minimum expect a big dip in 2Q20 growth. From then on remains to be seen.

PAR 11:13 GMT March 23, 2020
We're not broke it's the PANDEMIC

If the medical problem is resolved the economy will recover.

No need to bail out everybody. Trump seeking money for Trump corporation, Trump hotels and his friends is disgusting.

Spend that money on medicines.

Paris ib 11:09 GMT March 23, 2020
We're not broke it's the PANDEMIC

They can close down the economy real fast but get this drug out? Not so fast. Why is that?

Another guy cured

PAR 10:33 GMT March 23, 2020
Coronavirus - Different impact on different sectors.
Reply   
Not everything is bad.


THE WINNERS:

Climate
Internet companies
Supermarkets
Pharmaceutical
Logistics/delivery
House working and house partying apps

THE LOSERS

Airlines and hotels
Real Estate
Oil and gas
Investment banking
Traditional non-food retailers
Professional sports
Cinemas Theatre

INBETWEENERS

Banks
Healthcare
Manufacturing
Education


http://theconversation.com/coronavirus-your-guide-to-winners-and-losers-in-the-business-world-134205

AT Trader john 10:13 GMT March 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 23 Mar 2020

Morgan Stanley forecasting -30.1% GDP in 2Q20 for U.S.

Paris ib 10:10 GMT March 23, 2020
The Global Pandemic as Cover for Financial Reset

Bet you the guys in Nigeria weren't following a protocol. Overdosing?

Abstract

PAR 10:10 GMT March 23, 2020
Negative Interest Rates
Reply   
Negative interest rates are hurting cash.

Now the ECB and fraulein von der Leyen want to give citizens cash which then will be taxed by the ECB.

Are they smoking funny cigarettes in Brussel and Frankfurt?

Paris ib 10:08 GMT March 23, 2020
The Global Pandemic as Cover for Financial Reset

“I was at the point where I was barely able to speak and breathing was very challenging,” Giardinieri said. “I really thought my end was there.”

Then, a friend sent him a recent article about hydroxychloroquine, a prescription drug that’s been used to treat malaria for decades and auto-immune diseases like lupus....

Florida patient saved

Paris ib 10:06 GMT March 23, 2020
The Global Pandemic as Cover for Financial Reset

Yeah I heard about that yesterday. I don't know what is going on in Nigeria... I heard it was quinine overdoses. Who knows? Anyone have the source of information?

I just know what is going on in France and the whole story falls over completely if this works, which I expect it to.

There was a story in the New York post about it's use in the States to. Guy was cured apparently.

France

AT Trader john 09:57 GMT March 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 23 Mar 2020

Early Monday
DJ: -645
SP: -77.9

2-yr 0.308% -6.0
Spread 10s-2s +57.6 (+60.0)

10-yr
US: 0.828% -1.1
UK: 0.522% -3.7
DE: -0.366% -2.7

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0675 (1.0642)
GBPUSD 1.1590 (1.1642)
EURGBP 0.9210 (0.9174)
USDJPY 11069 (110.67)

last week 1.0652-1.1237 (585) pips

mon: 1.0769-1.0636 (133)
fri: 1.0852-1.0639 (223)
thu: 1.0655-1.0982 (327)
wed: 1.0802-1.1085 (263)
tue: 1.0956-1.1189 (233)


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Paris ib 09:53 GMT March 23, 2020
The Global Pandemic as Cover for Financial Reset

French doctors are taking things into their own hands and using Chloroquine to treat patients.

Thank you guys!

Taking things into their own hands

UK Mick 09:41 GMT March 23, 2020
Correlations
Reply   
What are the current forex-equity correlations? It isn’t clear to me.

AT Trader john 09:36 GMT March 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 23 Mar 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 23 March 2020
No Major Data
Tue 24 March 2020
flash PMIs all day
Wed 25 March 2019
A 09:00 DE- IFO Survey
AA 09:30 UK- CPI
AA 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 26 March 2019
AA 09:30 UK- Retail Sales
A 13:00 GB- BOE Decision
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 26 Jan 2019
A12:30AA Personal Income/Spending
AA 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Purk Clogland 09:21 GMT March 23, 2020
HOLIDAY

I like the sky now, no polution , at least that is what i see.
What i do not like is msm , they already know what comes...
Already say it for a long time: i see only mfers in the street, for years and years...
As for trading, i like volatility, ranges are fabulous...

Paris ib 09:11 GMT March 23, 2020
HOLIDAY

Some good will come of this that's for sure. Up to us where this goes.

"As the coronavirus pandemic sweeps over America, he has ordered US troops to abandon three vital military bases in Iraq"

U.S. withdraws troops in Iraq

Purk Clogland 09:07 GMT March 23, 2020
HOLIDAY

Diary of a PAR, looking forward to all parts Sir...

PAR 09:01 GMT March 23, 2020
HOLIDAY
Reply   
Holiday at home and start to work again when the medical situation is back under control.

Not the end of the world for the economy.

Be creative. We had our first "virtual house party" with the kids and the grandkids. And although we talked a lot about the coronavirus and its economic consequences. It was really very cosy.

The conclusion was that in the economy there are sectors which benefit and other sectors which suffer.

E.g. the supermarkets and pharmacies benefit, the airlines and hotels suffer.

PAR 08:36 GMT March 23, 2020
AIRLINE TICKETS
Reply   
Money which is not spent on buying airline tickets is not lost.

It is still in the hands of the people or deposited at a bank.

It will be spent either later on airline tickets or it will be saved or spent on other items.

This is not the end of the world and is very good for the world climate at the moment.

So people who are not sick should be getting healthier as the climate improves.

hk ab 08:33 GMT March 23, 2020
Gold
Reply   
fwiw, Gold stox in hk got smashed badly today.

Paris ib 07:58 GMT March 23, 2020
The Global Pandemic as Cover for Financial Reset

The time line so far:

September 2019 - Melt down in U.S. money markets. Rates spike to 10%
October 18 2019 - Event 201 - Pandemic simulation held in New York
October 18 - 27 - Joint military exercises in Wuhan
November 17 - Coronavirus appears in Wuhan
January 23 - Lockdown in Wuhan
March 8 - Lockdown in Northern Italy
March 10 - Lockdown for the whole of Italy

Now according to Virologists the virus is not spreading particularly fast and the data is incomplete. What's more the anti-malarial drug chloroquine works both to prevent and cure the virus. The press is furiously downplaying the news of effective treatment while fanning hysteria about the virus.

So where are we?

Well now there is a perfect excuse for a financial market meltdown which was on the cards regardless and there is also a pretty obvious attempt to pin the blame on China.

Deaths from the virus (some faked) stand at around 15.000 - consider that annually deaths from flu like illness come in at between 300,000 - 600,000 globally.

Where's Trump? Initially Trump calls the virus scare a hoax. Which statistically it is. And the medical science backs him up. Then, perhaps when it becomes clear to him that the virus is a cover story for a financial market meltdown, he goes with the story.

Where we go with this? Well if this is an attempt for the U.S. to hold on to international reserve currency status in the midst of a pretty obvious case of bankruptcy: good luck with that.

The inevitable financial crash

Mtl JP 03:16 GMT March 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 23 Mar 2020

fwiw - canadian politicians starting to use language promissing harsher and harshest treatment of folks who do not follow their current corona_V related behaviour suggestions. so far canada has not invoked "emergency measures" which include suspension of constitutional rights and criminal charges. looks like it is now just matter of time.

kl fs 02:09 GMT March 23, 2020
Gold

gold 1480-1500 until London

Mtl JP 02:02 GMT March 23, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 23 Mar 2020

few minutes ago, fwiw
-------------------------
Canadian athletes will not compete at Tokyo 2020 Olympics due to risks of COVID-19

The Canadian Olympic Committee and Canadian Paralympic Committee
saying that they have "made the difficult decision to not send Canadian teams to the Olympic and Paralympic Games in the summer of 2020."

Minneapolis DRS2 01:12 GMT March 23, 2020
Not the KING Minneapolis the DRS2

JP I dunno what caption you would have me put on...although I can imagine a few based on the picture, heh.

hk ab 01:03 GMT March 23, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Bangsters to decide to hammer the gold for money?

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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