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Forex Forum Archive for 04/03/2020

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GVI Forex Blog 20:57 GMT April 3, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 April 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 April 2020

Israel MacroMicro 20:37 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

the serious flows out EM definitely to cause crude demand in EM to remain under pressure at least this year.

no more buy a car to your wife and girlfriend too in EM countries. time to calm down for a while

Mtl JP 20:12 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd



that - mini depression time, only - would be a problem
as still crazed enthusiasts in the market
the table needs not only cleaning but dis-infecting

Tallinn viies 20:11 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
Im just trying to say that trump is just talking nonsense and russians and saudis will realize that soon. then it is time to sell.

london red 20:03 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

viies, no amount of pushing on string will work. its all about demand. they can play their tricks but price ends up lower until demand increases. its mini depression time. their games may work in normal economics conditions, but not here. techs may work for it short term, but look to economics to call changes in trend.

Israel MacroMicro 20:01 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

of course viies
super steroids given to workers to cut production asap to save US oil industry

Tallinn viies 20:00 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
tuesday brent may contract expired. before expiry´first and second month spread was around 4,5 dollars.
wednesday it open up with hugu cap. was not even near to close the cap.
then thursday trump orchestrated big bluff and previous day high was taken out. first to second month spread started to narrow. as brent jumped buy technical bying spread came close to 1,00 today. very often during contracts rolling major trend chances taking place. Im not sure if this is the one but no need to try short just yet as people still trying to pop it up. if they are done and not friends anymore then time to sell again.

Mtl JP 19:48 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

like a market managing communist:
‘I am not doing this to try and get the price of oil up, what I’m trying to do is keep it from crashing into the single digits.’

That’s Ryan Sitton, the commissioner of the Texas Railroad Commission, on CNBC Friday afternoon explaining his efforts to help do his part to stabilize crude-oil prices

Tallinn viies 19:26 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
this is good one...
I think saudis and russians will immideatelly cut production :)


* 03-Apr-2020 22:23.03 - TRUMP, AT WHITE HOUSE MEETING WITH OIL INDUSTRY EXECUTIVES, SAYS "WE’LL WORK THIS OUT AND WE’LL GET OUR ENERGY BUSINESS BACK”

Mtl JP 19:25 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

figuratively speaking -> a metaphor for __ ?

Minneapolis DRS2 19:17 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

Traders are going home and liquidity is thin. The sellers are going home, and the buyers are the only ones in the office (figuratively speaking).

Mtl JP 19:16 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd



DLR challenging its channel S line

Mtl JP 19:15 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

1.0818
-
huh what is this ... enthusiasm for euro or aversion to dlr ?

Mtl JP 19:12 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

yak making the rounds of conscripting medical personnel as regional needs may shift around ... sending medics there where they r needed more from places where they may be needed less.

I am sensing govt hammers going to swing bit more next

london red 19:07 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

russia and saudis manage the thoughts of their folks well. no PC all force.

Mtl JP 19:01 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

red 18:38 and I tot between the two the headchopper , vs putin, would be the one more vulnerable to an internal social upheaval

Israel MacroMicro 18:43 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

funny times
all this drama started because lack of ability to agree about 500k bpd cut, now they can agree about 15m bpd cut

sure, why not?

PAR 18:38 GMT April 3, 2020
Crude
Reply   
A US president who loves cartels?

The world is full of surprises.

london red 18:38 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

they will all reduce as nowhere to store. its all cloak and mirrors. demand drop is many times 30mbpd. trump is trying to stop a move to $10. russia can live with 20 as can saudis for some time. us shale needs 50. so maybe they can bring price to 30 which still means profits for them but keep us shale firmly in bankruptcy alley. but will no deamnd price isnt going to hold there but drift back down to 20 and maybe less.

Mtl JP 18:33 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

cut 10-15 million barrels per day FROM
what current total level of production?

dc CB 18:32 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

Brent is the way to go, or spread . it's the only one that's not "land locked". Don't know if you saw, supposedly, Russia aand Saudis want the US to cut too...only fair this hurting us all. No word at to Trump doing this compromise. See next week.

Tallinn viies 18:10 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
there was Reuters story today that major trading houses started to put floor clauses to their contracts. so if they sell mid price minus discount then outright price can not go below ZERO.
sic!

london red 18:07 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd

viies, world is going into a short depression. they could stop altogether and oil still drops - every storage tanker avaliable is full. your negative oil joke may not be wrong certainly when looking at less blends that have added costs. for sure canadian and maybe wti. north sea brent likely safest as cheapest after extraction to storage at sea.

Tallinn viies 18:04 GMT April 3, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
what a week. trump bluffing helped oil higher. will see if it going to collapse on monday or not.
US plan that Russia and Saudis need to cut 10-15 million barrels per day is wonderful. if will work. then US will pump 13 million barrels per day and saudis I do not know much they gonna cut as they pump currently 10 millions and russia pumping 11 million currently. It is going to be intresting how they solve this probleem. russia cuts 5 milion saudis cut 10 million zero and then US will continue 13 million? could it work :)

london red 17:54 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

ft100. descending triangle good for 5000 if base busted. prob too little time today. prob.

london red 17:52 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Minneapolis DRS2 16:34 GMT 04/03/2020

hiding away in a little hick town in EE. little usa lol.

Paris ib 17:45 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

MacroMicro.., thanks I'll check it out

Mtl JP 17:44 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

maybe coz justin pointed out to djt that tons of canadian nurses cross the bridge to work in US everyday.. that there is a two <-> way consideration

dc CB 17:41 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT

Donald J. Trump✔@realDonaldTrump
We hit 3M hard today after seeing what they were doing with their Masks. “P Act” all the way. Big surprise to many in government as to what they were doing - will have a big price to pay!
8:52 PM - Apr 2, 2020

President Donald Trump on Thursday invoked the Defense Production Act against 3M to acquire more medical masks to fight the coronavirus.
The president responded to the news reported by Fox News host Tucker Carlson that 3M was sending masks to foreign countries instead of shipping them to the United States

Billionaire Mark Cuban also exposed 3M distributors for making as much money as possible with the masks and even spoke to the White House about the “price gouging” he said was taking place.
______________________________________________
I linked to that Tucker segment last nite.

haifa ac 17:24 GMT April 3, 2020
European leaders warn coronavirus could lead to the breakup of their union
Reply   
BERLIN —The coronavirus pandemic, with its simultaneous health and economic crises, is deepening fault lines within Europe in a way some leaders fear could prove to be a final reckoning.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/european-leaders-warn-coronavirus-could-lead-to-the-breakup-of-their-union/ar-BB125QZz

Every system/large operation has to go thru some kind of a learning curve (USA had to go thru the Civil War, for example)
The EU never had a crucial test of its foundation and raison d'etre. Perhaps the Virus will do it.

PAR 17:23 GMT April 3, 2020
Trump Organization
Reply   
If the ( greatest) president of the USA needs a bailout
you know the situation is catastrophic.

Mtl JP 17:09 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

awww...
IMF's Georgieva says nearly $90 billion in capital has fled from emerging economies
- MarketWatch

Minneapolis DRS2 17:08 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

EUR/USD is not a pair for that style of trading...not now, anyway.

Mtl JP 17:05 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS



today DRS2, today
loser horse

Minneapolis DRS2 17:01 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

34 pips you say?

If you sold from last Friday and maintained a position all week, then you would have 340 pips.

The lesson (that took me a long time to learn) is that the standard EUR/USD trade in modern times is to sell all rallies. There are of course exceptions to this most general of rules, but the fact of the matter is that right now nobody is really buying EUR/USD. The pair is only being sold...it is just a question of where it is being sold from. For today at least, it is being sold from everywhere, hence its limited range due to lack of fuel.

Mtl JP 16:56 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

"Small businesses flooded lenders with emergency loan applications on Friday morning as the spigot opened on $350 billion in relief money.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that community banks had processed 700 loans for $2.5 million before 9 a.m. An hour later, he said the total was up to $4 million, a sign of the surging demand. Larger banks are expected to go live later in the morning, Mr. Mnuchin added." .../..

NYT

Mtl JP 16:51 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

1.0978
one of the clear trading horse losers today is the sofar 34-pip range EURO

Israel MacroMicro 16:44 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

ib 15:29

since 1970 at least, the symbol XAU/CHF is the superior compass to sense the cycle/trend you are expecting. timing is crucial at least as the strategy

Minneapolis DRS2 16:34 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Call me provincial, but I would not expect to see Corona in London. Is it a widely known brand over there?

Mtl JP 16:34 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

locked down ?
got some spare raw computing power ?
how about coding talent ?
only 32000 letters (but they are naturally savvy)

weekend or two or three challenge

london red 16:29 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

nfp fell 701k and in the worst news of the day grupo modelo suspends production of corona beer. Nooooooooooooooooo! good job i stocked up

no more corona

Mtl JP 16:22 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

w gates is concurrently building at least 7 factories for promising corona anti-dotes. does not matter if only one comes thru. the other six is just cost of biz.

Minneapolis DRS2 16:17 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

I'd rather deal in N95 masks than jugs of Tide.

Mtl JP 16:11 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

an asset currency? N95s !

Belgrade Knez 16:08 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

HK Kevin 16:04 GMT 04/03/2020

on my chart all gaps are filled.

HK Kevin 16:04 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

Re: dlr index chart, there were 3 gaps on the downmove starting 20 Mar. Would these gaps be filled?
Mtl JP 13:30 GMT 04/03/2020
corr / 108 = 100.8

swiss frank 16:00 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

IB I can follow the logic that current circumstances may not be usd positive or supportive in the medium term. Problem is US catches a cold, the rest of the world gets pneumonia (no bad joke intended)... What would you favor as an asset currency? Or is it a dollar index the big short play?

PAR 15:52 GMT April 3, 2020
Modern Monetary Policy

France is heavily dependent on China and Chinese tourists and that is a major problem at the moment.

As the Chinese no longer invest in France, Macron is turning his eyes to Coronabonds.

HK Kevin 15:52 GMT April 3, 2020
GBP/CHF

Hi Fran, took profit on GBP/CHF. Need to reduce exposure since I am also long EUR/GBP
swiss frank 14:55 GMT 04/03/2020
No thanks necessary Kevin. Glad its working out.

swiss frank 15:50 GMT April 3, 2020
aud/cad
Reply   
I like this a lot lower

HK Kevin 15:50 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/GBP The Driving Force

The range for the past 2 days is 120 pips. Hopefully we will see 0.8860 once yesterday's high 0.8845 broken and it will form a daily reversal

london red 15:48 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

cable at 200hma last time was 118...

Minneapolis DRS2 15:44 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

The ones whose panties are really in a bind are the globalists.

The virus thing is forcing the world to take sides...something that the globalists have tried very hard to suppress.

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

President Trump ordering 3M to stop exports of N95s twisting justin trudeau's panties

Israel MacroMicro 15:38 GMT April 3, 2020
Modern Monetary Policy

par

he doesn't care because realised HOW he can keep citizens at home as long he wishes. actually all the politicians worldwide realised that.

this time Corona, next time JohnnieWalker?

Mtl JP 15:33 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

red I am guessing that currently fundy drivers are dominated by flows
market is dysfunctional despite or maybe because of the powells, munchkins and kudlows of thr world

PAR 15:30 GMT April 3, 2020
Modern Monetary Policy
Reply   
Macron is spending like there is no tomorrow.

The situation is worse than the Weimar republic which saw stock markets rise, not crash.

Negative rates only make the situation worse eliminating all risk-free assets.

Paris ib 15:29 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

The economy has been shut down, we know that. Statistics are pointless. What we need to know is when the economy will be opened up again and what we need to monitor is how the rules are being changed during the shut down.

The way things stand: buy Walmart and MacDonalds and Amazon. Sell travel and tourism. As for currencies: what is planned? No idea. Ideas making the rounds:
- new global crypto currency (bit vague)
- regionalisation of trade
- new regional alliances

The U.S., it appears, has and will be self-isolated. I don't see that as USD positive in the medium term.

london red 15:12 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

Kudlow needs to speak to JP Morgan and the other banks

Mtl JP 14:58 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

10:55 Kudlow calls banks ‘ready to go’ for small-business lending program
10:55 Fed's Daly: Job losses won't stay big if we fight the pandemic effectively
- mrktwatch

swiss frank 14:55 GMT April 3, 2020
GBP/CHF

No thanks necessary Kevin. Glad its working out.

Mtl JP 14:40 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020



red my vista, fwiw

HK Kevin 14:30 GMT April 3, 2020
GBP/CHF

Hi Frank, thanks for the free lunch.
I seldom trade this pair, except in 2015. Still remember the day 15 Jan when SNB abandon the EUR peg. A super big win of my trading life even it's only a few lots.
swiss frank 17:35 GMT 04/02/2020
In. See how...

london red 14:12 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

JP, not able to, its from netdania, the s&p fxcm feed. 1hr.
20th,21st feb, 4th march. 31st march twice. current hr 2549.

dc CB 14:10 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

maybe the DESK placed a call to Simon Potter...and after he told them what idiots they were, said "sell the VIX" you bunch of f^(ing Tools. and hung up

Mtl JP 14:08 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

red plz post pic of 2555 channel - tia

london red 14:04 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

50% increase in hospital deaths y/y where i am. yet, they say, move on nothing to see here

AT Trader john 14:04 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

ISM better than expected. Probably the last one...

AT Trader john 14:02 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI March 2020

U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

52.5 vs. 48.0 exp. vs. 57.3 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


HK Kevin 13:58 GMT April 3, 2020
oil and cad

My intraday view on USD/CAD has turned from bearish to neutral to slightly bullish. The 20-daily sma has formed a strong support of every retracement over the past few days admist recovering oil price.

dc CB 13:57 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

red
they're running the NYC crematoriums to capacity, talking about sending the excess Upstate.

it's way to grim...but hell yes... sell

london red 13:54 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

nice CB, but dow appears to be looking at old reruns...s&p 1700-2100 interests me. maybe some light pickings 2175 (oh so close)

dc CB 13:48 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

the team was on the backfoot since the game began.
no matter what the pitcher thru "The Sultan of Swat" hit it out of the park. It was grim.

But coming back from the 7th inning stretch, they brought in a new relief pitcher. A new draft pick from China.

So now in the bottom of the 8th, The Wuhan Wonder, has been throwing smokers right past The Big Guy like nobody's business, making the Sulltan look more like Mighty Casey.

(No Opening Day ---- jonesing for sports)

AT Trader john 13:45 GMT April 3, 2020
U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI March 2020





ALERT
39.8 vs. 39.1 exp. vs. 39.1 prev.


london red 13:38 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

CB, think go higher before lower. they got crude now pinned into monday so maybe they do some gains and hopefully a sell off from c 2552 into close

dc CB 13:36 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

where's the beef.

April goes into 1st notice next week.
Trading month June ...opened 6 mins ago and hit $81

Mtl JP 13:30 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

corr / 108 = 100.8

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

MacroMicro 13:22 allways down to that peski singular decision about one's tolerance for heat/pain eh ?

The DLR is uP over last two days , sofar on firm foot
maybe use the channel lines or 108 for biased trades

haifa ac 13:26 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

That is true. How can people who NEVER had a first thought-- have a second one?!

Mtl JP 13:22 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

albatross of debt ("recue program")
-------------------
Lenders call on Washington for more clarity on small-business rescue program a day before Friday launch
- MarketWatch

it is slightly refreshing - to me - that at least some folks are having 2nd thoughts

Israel MacroMicro 13:22 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

jp

enjoy hot or don't touch hot?

Mtl JP 13:17 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020



currently DLR is hot

dc CB 13:11 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

Katerina Ang
✔@katerinareports
Big shift: Singapore government says due to some unexplained community transmissions of #COVIDー19, it will no longer discourage the wearing of face masks.
4:22 AM - Apr 3, 2020

Mtl JP 12:55 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

djt + munchkin = bobbsey twins

dc CB 12:55 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

Yields on the 5Y are rising.
VIX is falling.
head fake into Stox CASH open???

Mtl JP 12:51 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020



EURO 1.0783
zoom zoom from one week to the next
clearly, says sherlock,
1.08 is the bias price line

dc CB 12:50 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

Mtl JP 12:15
WTI popping - thanks to Trump's oil diplomacy
___________________________
Speaking at a White House news conference on Thursday, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said energy companies squeezed by the oil-price war can turn to the Federal Reserve’s lending facilities for aid but won’t get direct loans from his department.

“I have very limited ability to do direct loans out of the Treasury,” he said, suggesting that distressed shale companies should instead beg the Fed

AT Trader john 12:47 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Much worse than expected. Clearly virus effects hit earlier than expected.

dc CB 12:47 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

April COMEX Gold...Prelim at close 4/2
Deliveries 1433 contracts (X 100 oz)
OI remaing 4087 contracts

AT Trader john 12:44 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Employment March, 2020







ALERT

NFP Jobs:
-701K vs. -81K exp. vs. +273K (r 275K ) prev.
Rate: 4.40% vs. 3.80% exp. vs. 3.50% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. 0.30% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


dc CB 12:41 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

Trump challenges the Economy that Obama was handed by GWB.
God Bless the UniParty

chart

london red 12:39 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

s&p channel off 2020 high 2552.

Mtl JP 12:38 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

RED what does "slight recession into a small depression" mean ?
it is the "into" that bubulates me

london red 12:35 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

better than expected but only due to fall of ref wk. wkly claims for 2 wks already have 10 million claims.

Mtl JP 12:33 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

nfp -701K

Mtl JP 12:30 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

EURO 1.008
-
R 1.0850
S 1.0760

london red 12:28 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

spoos already given up gains. until they price out slight recession into a small depression, the mkt wont be able to bottom.

Mtl JP 12:27 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020



mysteries and whimsicals of FX

Mtl JP 12:21 GMT April 3, 2020
CREATIVE DESTRUCTION

coronavirus
race between Florida vs Louisiana
----

The 10,000 Plus Club

Mtl JP 12:15 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

WTI popping - thanks to Trump's oil diplomacy
Equities futures higher - thanks to FED relaxing lending rules

That's the ticket !! more ! moR.... !!

AT Trader john 12:02 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

WTI popping
last $28.02 EURUSD steady
Equities futures higher

PAR 10:19 GMT April 3, 2020
CREATIVE DESTRUCTION
Reply   
My one time Harvard colleague Joseph Schumpeter thought inevitable and even beneficial what he called “creative destruction” — the cyclical process by which the system eliminates the people and institutions which are mentally too vulnerable for useful economic service.


Trump Organization, hit by virus, tries to delay loan payments: report

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-organization-hit-virus-tries-delay-loan-payments-032815512.html


kl shawn 10:12 GMT April 3, 2020
oil and cad
Reply   
oil did bounce, but cad was performing less, anyway we take what's on the table on friday, cheers guys

Kl Shawn 15:52 GMT March 31, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 31 March 2020: Reply
Gonna watch the close, below 1.42 keep selling rallies. Oil will not go lower

haifa ac 10:02 GMT April 3, 2020
Interesting lecture- why Covid19 kills?
Reply   
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8xAcQwrb6iE&feature=youtu.be&t=200

turns out the virus does NOT kill us. Our own immune system gets confused (it is called cytokine storm). I do not understand this but it is apparently the nearest we are getting to find a cure.

Paris ib 09:50 GMT April 3, 2020
The Virus, 5G and Martial Law

"In 2012, the pandemic that the world had been anticipating for years finally hit. Unlike 2009’s H1N1, this new influenza strain — originating
from wild geese — was extremely virulent and deadly.

The pandemic also had a deadly effect on economies: international
mobility of both people and goods screeched to a halt, debilitating industries like tourism and breaking global supply chains.

In 2015, the U.S. reallocated a large share of its defense spending to domestic concerns, pulling out of Afghanistan — where the resurgent Taliban seized power once again. In Europe, Asia, South America, and Africa, more and more nation states lost control of their public finances, along with the capacity to help their citizens and retain stability and order."

Rockfeller Publication from 2010

London Trader 09:29 GMT April 3, 2020
GBPUSD
Reply   
It looks like whatever has been supporting gbp has finally eased up.

PAR 09:27 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR ZONE

Is she going to use Soviet-style input-output models developed by the Nobel prize-winning economists Leontief or is she just going to distribute the money to her friends?

Just like doctors can't save everybody's life, governments be it federal, national or European will not be able to save all citizens and companies financially.

The market still has a role to play. Reopen the economy and those with financial reserves will survive, unemployment will come down and the economy will restart.

haifa ac 09:16 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

"Stop buying face masks.
"They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching #Coronavirus Feb 29 2020 "

With all due respect, the mask is NOT SUPPOSED to protect YOU. It is to prevent YOU from SPREADING the virus in case, God Forbid, you are a carrier.
You are saving lives, Not Yours!

Mtl JP 09:13 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR ZONE

..."debt cancellation for Club Med.".. rofl

Ursula von der Leyen
@vonderleyen
Every available € in the EU budget will be directed to address the #coronavirus crisis, rule will be eased to enable the funding to flow rapidly and effectively. With the new solidarity instrument, SURE, the EU will mobilise €100 bn to keep people in jobs & businesses running.

ps / suggest put on your Depends or reach for a barf bag, depending on your allegiance, before going on her twitter acct

Ursula

Paris ib 09:07 GMT April 3, 2020
The Virus, 5G and Martial Law

FWIW The date being touted around for the end of this 'exercise' is 1st of May, with reopening expected on the 4th.

Pompeo and the Live Exercise

Paris ib 09:02 GMT April 3, 2020
The Virus, 5G and Martial Law

The Polio Epidemic "appeared to hit the tidy, stable neighborhoods of San Angelo far harder than those marked by poverty and squalor.... Why did most of its victims appear to come from middle-class surroundings? And why was epidemic polio primarily a disease of the 20th century that struck the world’s more developed nations, especially the United States?"

Keep an open mind on this, if at all possible.



Coronavirus: Successful High-Dose Vitamin C Treatment of Patients

swiss frank 08:59 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

Long term I see 1.10-1.12 as a level that could be looked back on followed by the question why wasn't I selling everything possible up there.

Minneapolis DRS2 08:56 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

The only reason I think of 1.10 is because that seems to be an accepted fair value for EUR/USD (lots of commentary mentioning that figure). So it becomes a magnet...sell when above it, buy when below it.

PAR 08:52 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR ZONE

The ultimate aim of Coronabonds is debt restructuring and debt cancellation for Club Med.

Why do you think Macron insisted that Lagarde became president of the ECB while she was doing such a good job at the IMF rescuing Argentina.

swiss frank 08:49 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

Yeah I still have no clue what the rogue AUD move was all about...

I don't know about 1.1000 but is there any order thats too far in this mkt?

Minneapolis DRS2 08:47 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

I'm thinking more like 200 pips back to 1.10...

Mtl JP 08:44 GMT April 3, 2020
sudden rallies ... something like recent "rally" in aud ?

swiss frank 08:44 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR ZONE
Reply   
EU looking at Tuesdays meeting to finally get their act together.

EU to the rescue

swiss frank 08:34 GMT April 3, 2020
Be wary of sudden rallies to the upside.

Yes... Perhaps stating the obvious, in this type of environment (hysteria) its prudent to be cognizant of short covering/position adjustment type move possibilities ahead of a number like NFP (relevant or not?) / Friday following several days of extended moves.

AT Trader john 08:30 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Final Services PMI March 2020




-- NEWS ALERT --

34.5 vs. 34.7 exp vs. 34.7 flash.



london red 08:27 GMT April 3, 2020
The Virus, 5G and Martial Law

cable 12305 50%

Minneapolis DRS2 08:25 GMT April 3, 2020
The Virus, 5G and Martial Law

I dunno about 5G...there are communities here in the US that have put 5G deployments on hold, out of concerns of both cost and health. If I were a betting man (hah!), I would look towards a 6G rather than focusing on 5G. Here in the US anyway, the focus for many communities would be on safety and reliability rather than pure speed.

london red 08:24 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

10778/75 if below then 10740/50

Paris ib 08:21 GMT April 3, 2020
The Virus, 5G and Martial Law

"The great American lockdown that put the economy on ice is fueling hopes of a 5G boom."

And THAT is likely to be catastrophic for human and animal health.

I looked up the Polio Epidemics - which Dr. Thomas Cowan suggests were related to EMF poisoning - and the symptoms were very similar to the symptoms of the Coronavirus: fever/ sore throat/ headache/ fatigue

Look up: The Invisible Rainbow: A History of Electrcity and Life by Arthur Firstenberg

The treatment for Polio suggested by Dr Klenner and Dr Jungblut:

Dr. Klenner administered ascorbate by injection:
“the most effective route was intravenous, but the intramuscular route was satisfactory. He gave at least 350 mg per kilogram of body weight.” That quantity per day is a dose of 25,000-30,000 mg2 or so for an adult.

Make of it what you will, I am just passing on this information.

Dr Sharon Goldberg's Testimony to the Senate

GVI Forex 08:19 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

Posted yesterday (LOD so far 1.0787)

GVI Forex 13:00 GMT April 2, 2020
EURUSD: Reply
Even AT shows little on 1.08xx with 1.0869 (only minor) the only level ahead of 1.0785. Suggests LOD takes on importance in the absence of key stops to go after.

The Amazing Trader

Minneapolis DRS2 08:17 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

I have no crystal ball, sorry...just past experience. The pair did a one-way rally to the upside last Friday, and has been selling off all week. If 1.10 is still a magnet, then now would be a good time to start buying.

jkt abel 08:11 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD

you have a crystal ball for that?

Minneapolis DRS2 08:03 GMT April 3, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
Re EUR/USD: Be wary of sudden rallies to the upside.

AT Trader john 08:01 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

EZ Service PMIs generally revised lower.

AT Trader john 07:46 GMT April 3, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Final Service PMIs March 2020




ALERT

Final Service PMIs

Eurozone (08:00 GMT)
26.4 vs. 28.2 exp. vs. 28.4 (flash)

Germany (07:55 GMT)
31.7 vs. 34.3 exp. vs. 34.5 (flash)

France (07:50 GMT)
27.4 vs. 29.0 exp. vs. 29.0 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release


AT Trader john 07:45 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

Early Friday
DJ: -283
SP: -29.7

2-yr 0.221% -0.1
Spread 10s-2s +36.8 (+40.8)

10-yr
US: 0.589% -3.8
UK: 0.308% -2.3
DE: -0.447% -1.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0799 (1.0873)
GBPUSD 1.2335 (1.2147)
EURGBP 0.8755 (0.8784)
USDJPY 107.17 (107.66)

This Week 1.1144-1.0792 (352 pips)

fri: 1.0864-1.0792 (72)
thu: 1.0969-1.0821 (148)
wed: 1.1038-1.0903 (135)
tue: 1.1055-1.0927 (128)
mon: 1.1144-1.1010 (134)


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20-day avg: 1.1019
50-day avg: 1.0986
100-day avg: 1.1042
200-day avg: 1.1070

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





swiss frank 07:40 GMT April 3, 2020
Flights in and out of Dubai

Hearing German arms sales to Saudi led Yemeni coalition might be in transit here. Who knows...

AT Trader john 07:30 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 3 Apr 2019
Final Service PMIs all day
AA 12:30 US- Employment

Mtl JP 07:09 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020

a source says
---------------
MOSCOW, April 3. /TASS/. OPEC started preparations for negotiations within the OPEC+ framework, initiated by Saudi Arabia. The meeting may take place next week, a source taking part in the preparations told TASS.

...to reduce production by 10 mln barrels per day in order to offset decline in demand...

TASS

Mtl JP 06:57 GMT April 3, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Apr 2020



current DLR momentum

Amman wfakhoury 05:46 GMT April 3, 2020
Long Gold

Kwun
buy only if closed above 1615 ..otherwise 1595 is coming.

Central Kwun 05:29 GMT April 3, 2020
Long Gold
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1611 Target: Stop: 1598

Gold rush to bullish when USD loss momentum

dc CB 03:51 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

and now let's really gget crazy scared, out of out minds scared.

CNN
A prestigious scientific panel told the White House Wednesday night that research shows coronavirus can be spread not just by sneezes or coughs, but also just by talking, or possibly even just breathing.
"While the current [coronavirus] specific research is limited, the results of available studies are consistent with aerosolization of virus from normal breathing," according to the letter, written by Dr. Harvey Fineberg, chairman of a committee with the National Academy of Sciences.
Fineberg told CNN that he will wear start wearing a mask when he goes to the grocery store.

Experts tell White House coronavirus can spread through talking or even just breathing

Mtl JP 03:23 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

tolerance
----------
Quebec govt now ordered its police to fine folks $1000 - $6000 for disobeying lockdown / social distancing edicts.

Pales against "Shoot them dead": Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte orders police and military to kill citizens who defy coronavirus lockdown.

dc CB 02:43 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

the lead story tonight on Fox's Tucker Carlson pgm.
you should watch it.
6mins

recall that I mused a day ago the the next issue was going to be masks.

Tucker Carlson 4/2/20 -3M is selling lifesaving PPE to foreign countries over US: Florida Official

Mtl JP 02:36 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

really ... Cruelest irony ?:

Cuomo: 'Cruelest irony' that we need China to produce coronavirus supplies

“Gowns and gloves are not complicated components to manufacture.”

dc CB 01:19 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

An ABC News investigation offers sobering insight into how COVID-19 has spread and penetrated so broadly, so deeply and so quickly in the United States. It also helps explain why Americans, no matter where they live, must continue to heed the warnings of health officials to self distance and why the virus likely was here far earlier than first realized.

Travel data of passengers arriving in the United States from China during the critical period in December, January and February, when the disease took hold in that country, shows a stunning 759,493 people entered the U.S.

ABC News

dc CB 00:14 GMT April 3, 2020
Creative Distruction

NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio kicked off his daily press briefing by announcing that he was officially recommending that all New Yorkers wear masks in public.

New York City is US's most populated city and also New York State's most populous city with an estimated population of over 8.5 million people.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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