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Forex Forum Archive for 04/13/2020

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dc CB 22:00 GMT April 13, 2020
Fear of Chaos

Do they really think the sheeple are that dumb---or is this assumtion a bridge too far?

Follow this logic.
Bernie endourses Biden

East Coast high population state Governors Presser --- We Have a Plan to ReOpen......UPDATE UPDATE Breaking News.
West Coast high population (OrangeManBad he's the Devil) Governors hold annc thru Gavin(California)Newsom, that they are going to present a Plan to ReOpen ---- Tomrw --- Tuesday April 14.

Inquiring Minds want know know.
Which one of these East/West Coast Governors will be vying for the Democrat Nomination for El Presidente Untitas.... Against DJT...Because you must Nominate a Proven Crisis Type Leader.....not an addled Used-to-Be...To sucessfully challenge OrangeMan Bad.

Tallinn viies 21:12 GMT April 13, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
UK lock down extended another 3 weeks.

Mtl JP 20:48 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

New York Fed says it will slow down pace of repo operations

Published: April 13, 2020 at 3:42 p.m. ET

dc CB 20:20 GMT April 13, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 April 2020

tech Green
NQ futures +100

AT Trader john 20:10 GMT April 13, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 April 2020

Late Monday
DJ: -329
SP: -28.2

2-yr 0.237% +1.2
Spread 10s-2s +50.0 (+49.5)

10-yr
US: 0.732% +0.1
UK: 0.306% +0.1
DE: -0.346% -0.3

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0918 (1.0926)
GBPUSD 1.2525 (1.2505)
EURGBP 0.8716 (0.8735)
USDJPY 107.52 (107.86)

Last Week 1.0968-1.0893 ( pips)
mon: 1.0968-1.0893 (75)
fri: 1.0942-1.0919 (23)
thu: 1.0952-1.0841 (111)
wed: 1.0902-1.0830 (72)
tue: 1.0926-1.0784 (142)


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AT Trader john 20:07 GMT April 13, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 April 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 14 Apr 2020
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
Wed 15 Apr 2020
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
AA 14:00 CA- Bank of Canada
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 16 Apr 2020
A 05:00 EZ- Industrial Production
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 17 Apr 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:00 US- LEI


dc CB 19:52 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

from the WayBack Machine
Trump: we'll take another look at re-opening after April 15.

"He's crazy....He willing to let people die to save "his re-election"
He's A MONSTER who only cares about his businesses losing money." PEOPLE WILL DIE!!!!!!!!

Kalamazoo KM 19:47 GMT April 13, 2020
Painters
Reply   
Kzoo Painters

Kzoo Painters

dc CB 19:46 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

Update (1520ET): Not content to let Cuomo and his fellow governors on the East Coast have all the fun, California Gov. Gavin Newsom said he'd release a plan on Tuesday outlining how he'll reopen his state. He said Oregon, Washington and California have developed a cooperative "framework" to get their local economies back on line.

Governors around country (including Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, who expressed impatience in delaying the reopening much longer over the weekend) have now committed to releasing plans for reopening their economies. If a few days pass, and those plans aren't out, that's not going to be great for the market's confidence.

dc CB 18:56 GMT April 13, 2020
usd

Boris Johnson praises NHS as country's greatest national asset after saying 'he could have gone either way' 'We will defeat this coronavirus and defeat it together,'

Inquiring minds want to know.
What treatment did BoJo get, during his care.
Anyone know? Was this ever reported? State Secret?

Mtl JP 18:49 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

macron continuing to keep his peasants under lock-n-key until may 11

Tallinn viies 18:36 GMT April 13, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
journalists reporting about historical agreement between Opec+ that ended oil price war.


I think it is very far from truth. war is not over. just small pause.
War started 1 month ago after russians did not want to participate in next wave of production cuts offered by opec.

after russian oil minister Novak didnt get approval from boss Putin to participate saudis decided to attack.
during the weekend after talks collapsed Saudis published APRIL OSP (official selling price) to different part of the world. OSP is basically discound to mid price. So saudis decided to widen their discounts to this part of the world where russians are selling their crude.
biggest discounts were introduced to europe and china.
from -2 they offered their crude with around -10 dollars below mid price (minus 10 dollars).
price opened on sunday evening on the world markets with a drop more than 10 dollars.
saudis wanted to show to russians what they can do and how they can influence the price.
then things started to happen. after Novak walk away on friday brent closed near 45 usd/b. it took 3 weeks and brent droped to 22 usd/barrel.

Trump got very nervous and called to saudis and ordered to stop this silly war. (maybe pegged, not sure).
so now after 1 week and 2 days passed from Trump tweet that he is going to fix oil market journalist reporting about big agreement.
BUT oil war is is still going on and big differences are still there...
saudis published today their MAY OSP (official selling price). it was delyed over a week, saudis wanted to see how other market participants are ready to participate in oil production cuts.
today they finally published it and suprise suprise they didnt not back off. they kept very big european discounts, around -10 minus to mid price. increased asian discounts and only place they took pedal off was America. so just to keep Trump happy.
russian and saudis price war will continue...
also saudis said today they still preparing to be ready export 13 million barrels in near future if needed.

oil war is still on

dc CB 18:36 GMT April 13, 2020
Expected live at 2 p.m. ET: The governors of New York, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and New Jersey are expected to lay out a joint plan to reopen the region.

so Live now

Mtl JP 18:34 GMT April 13, 2020
usd

loser Sanders says he endorses Joe Biden for president
-
Gold at 1720+

"There Are No Temporary Measures, Just Permanent Lies" - Mish

dc CB 18:10 GMT April 13, 2020
usd

Mtl JP 16:28
Legal experts contradict Trump, saying president doesn’t have full authority

translation: we need to keep this thing locked down long enough so tha the sheep will clamor for Bill Gates' Tracking Device. 'cauz we need to know 'Who's GOT IT'

dc CB 17:55 GMT April 13, 2020
usd



If epidemic is the mover, next will be the "vaccine".

Fauci sez we won't be 'safe' until we have a vaccine
Back in the 1980s Fauci was one of the point guys during the AIDS epidemic(at the CDC.
He said basically the same thing.
We are still waiting for the AIDS vaccine.

There's trillions more $$$$$ in a vaccine for the entire world population, than there is in using Hydrochloroquine in combinations...

Mtl JP 16:41 GMT April 13, 2020
usd

conditional believer:
-
New York Gov. Cuomo says 'I believe the worst is over if we continue to be smart' about coronavirus - CNBC.com

Mtl JP 16:28 GMT April 13, 2020
Trump says he and governors will ‘shortly’ make decision on re-opening states - April 13, 2020 at 12:21 p.m. ET
By Robert Schroeder

Legal experts contradict Trump, saying president doesn’t have full authority

Mtl JP 16:17 GMT April 13, 2020
while Spain loosening coronavirus lockdown,
next up the very unpopular macron to inform his peasants what lockdown plans he has for them.
french msm predicting macron to keep em locked up

hk ab 16:08 GMT April 13, 2020
usd
Reply   
If epidemic is the mover, next will be the "vaccine".

And volatility will be back.

swiss frank 15:46 GMT April 13, 2020
EURO
Reply   
I think it's safe to sell eur again. EUR seems unable to hold a bid and is weak on the crosses. Or maybe thats why it can't hold a bid.... No entry yet but looking. Possible key reversal (down) on the daily with a close below 1.0920. Trend line connecting hourly lows starting at 1.0770 broken. Trendline connecting the lows starting from 1.0650 on the 4 hour chart would be a decent first objective following short entry. Failure at 1.0920 would be possible place to jump in. See how!

hk ab 15:30 GMT April 13, 2020
gold
Reply   
should not go under 1690 to maintain this bull run.

hk ab 15:29 GMT April 13, 2020
metals
Reply   
bitcoin and XAG seems not following......

hk ab 15:27 GMT April 13, 2020
gold
Reply   
strangely we don't see Kwun and RF anymore.....

margin call?

Mtl JP 15:21 GMT April 13, 2020
gold

ab - 1750, then 1790 then ... out of solar system

Bali Sja 15:19 GMT April 13, 2020
Sell usd
Reply   
Cable is so comfy now above 1.25, stay with the long trend.

hk ab 15:17 GMT April 13, 2020
gold
Reply   
no stop above 1700?.......

dc CB 15:13 GMT April 13, 2020
Fear of Chaos

NYU scientists: Largest U.S. study of COVID-19 finds obesity the single biggest factor in New York’s hospitalizations

"The chronic condition with the strongest association with critical illness was obesity, with a substantially higher odds ratio than any cardiovascular or pulmonary disease," write lead author Christopher M. Petrilli of the NYU Grossman School and colleagues in a paper, "Factors associated with hospitalization and critical illness among 4,103 patients with Covid-19 disease in New York City," which was posted April 11th on the medRxiv pre-print server. The paper has not been peer-reviewed, which should be kept in mind in considering its conclusions.

Part of a ZDNet Special Feature: Coronavirus: Business and technology in a pandemic

Mtl JP 15:04 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

bit of (comical?) irony in sight of folks driving up to food banks in lincolns and pickups...

london red 15:04 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

new entry may be when hyg fills fed "im buying any $hit" gap 78.36-77.63 a zone to load up at or tgt.

Mtl JP 15:04 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

bit of (comical?) irony in sight of folks driving up to food banks in lincolns and pickups...

Mtl JP 14:57 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
1h
....disaster, the Energy Industry will be strong again, far faster than currently anticipated. Thank you to all of those who worked with me on getting this very big business back on track, in particular Russia and Saudi Arabia.

1h
Having been involved in the negotiations, to put it mildly, the number that OPEC+ is looking to cut is 20 Million Barrels a day, not the 10 Million that is generally being reported. If anything near this happens, and the World gets back to business from the Covid 19.....

dc CB 14:41 GMT April 13, 2020
Today's WTF

4/13/20
Last week, The Mail on Sunday carried an article propagating a groundless theory that links the origin of Covid-19 to a lab in Wuhan.

The article also discredits China’s effective efforts in combating Covid-19 and promoting international co-operation.

There has been no scientific or medical conclusion yet on the origin of Covid-19, as relevant tracing work is still under way.

The World Health Organisation has made repeated statements that what the world is experiencing now is a global phenomenon, the source is undetermined, the focus should be on containment and any stigmatising language referring to certain places must be avoided.

letter from the Chinese Embassy in UK

dc CB 14:30 GMT April 13, 2020
Today's WTF

No seeds for you!
Forget that 'Victory Garden'

Lawn & Garden Retailer

Mtl JP 13:58 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

Clarida also said that "there is nothing fundamentally wrong with the economy"

dc CB 13:53 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

Mtl JP 13:47
clarida giveth.. market taketh

so you did sell clarida's commt's, right?
it was free money.

dc CB 13:49 GMT April 13, 2020
Today's WTF
Reply   
dc CB 13:18 GMT April 12, 2020 Reply
Corona Precautions.
dc CB 09:58 GMT 04/10/2020
Two sides of the same issue ===== FOOD.

See the links to the news stories in that post, then ask the question that no one is askiing.

Given that this is a Food Distribution Problem and NOT a Food Shortage Problem: Where is 'American Success story poster multi billonaire' Jeff Bezos -- who owns the largest consumer goods distribution system in the US?
*******************************************************
So Yeh the Bezore noticed. And Guess What The F^(K!!!
NO SOUP FOR YOU!

"While we have increased order capacity by more than 60 percent due to COVID-19, we still expect the combination of restricted capacity due to social distancing and customer demand will continue to make finding available delivery windows challenging for customers. To help, in the coming weeks, we will launch a new feature that will allow customers to secure time to shop. This feature will give delivery customers a virtual “place in line” and will allow us to distribute the delivery windows on a first come, first served basis. "
Stephenie Landry, Vice President of grocery at Amazon.
https://blog.aboutamazon.com/company-news/new-ways-were-getting-groceries-to-people-during-the-covid-19-crisis

mazon Pauses Grocery Orders Amid "Unprecedented Demand"

Mtl JP 13:47 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020



clarida giveth.. market taketh

PAR 13:43 GMT April 13, 2020
How many very well paid people work at the ECB and at European Institutions

BlackRock is a top 3 investor in all 8 of the world’s largest oil companies and controls shares in fossil fuel companies worth $87.300.000.000 that hold 3.270.000.000 barrels of fossil fuel reserves.

Now hired by EU to work on environmental rules for banks.

Looks good. What could go wrong?

AT Trader john 13:34 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

risk-off in U.S. shares on the NY open.

Mtl JP 13:24 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

furthermore.. according to clarida
"demand is impacted very adversely. On the net it is disinflationary. I don’t think it is deflationary. I think we have the tools to keep the economy out of deflation."

Mtl JP 13:20 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

The Fed has also cut interest rates to near zero, and any talk of an increase is “a long way down the road,” Clarida said. - about an hour ago

dc CB 12:44 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

Mtl JP 11:31
Clarida's comments = rocket fuel

Just shows how thin the market is.
ICYMI---Earnings reporting starts tommrow with the Big Banks.

dc CB 12:37 GMT April 13, 2020
CRUDE

PAR 08:31 GMT
Why would Trump tax Joe Sixpack with higher crude prices?

you really don't know anything about the US crude market, do you.

haifa ac 12:02 GMT April 13, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows
Reply   
Is Turkey going to implode?!
The Ruble was repelled form 82 back to 72.

bali sja 11:41 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

and Morgan Stanley said bottom is in for audusd

Mtl JP 11:38 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

to go with or against... or who cares
07:26 Goldman Sachs abandons its bearish near-term view on stocks, says the bottom is in - MarketWatch

Mtl JP 11:31 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020



Clarida's comments = rocket fuel

Mtl JP 10:43 GMT April 13, 2020
How many very well paid people work at the ECB and at European Institutions



PAR some celebrate; some agonize
it is like the Earth: while one half is in the sun, the other is in dakness
-
Fed's Clarida says he is confident central bank will be able to unwind massive lending programs

bali sja 10:37 GMT April 13, 2020
buy gbpusd
Reply   
looks like 12470 will hold ground, even if temporarily pierced through for 12720-50, below 12420 then i am wrong

AT Trader john 10:33 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

Early Monday
DJ: -313
SP: +38.6

2-yr 0.225% 0.0
Spread 10s-2s +50.0 (+49.5)

10-yr
US: 0.725% +0.3
UK: 0.306% +0.1
DE: -0.346% -0.3

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0909 (1.0938)
GBPUSD 1.2484 (1.2468)
EURGBP 0.8737 (0.8814)
USDJPY 108.04 (108.45)

Last Week 1.0952-1.0784 (168 pips)
mon: 1.0968-1.0933 (35)
fri: 1.0942-1.0919 (23)
thu: 1.0952-1.0841 (111)
wed: 1.0902-1.0830 (72)
tue: 1.0926-1.0784 (142)


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50-day avg: 1.0964
100-day avg: 1.1030
200-day avg: 1.1057

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Amman wfakhoury 10:24 GMT April 13, 2020
GBPUSD 12450
Reply   
12450 will be reached if price closed below 12480 and keeps below it.


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

AT Trader john 10:18 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 13 Apr 2020
AA EZ/GB- Holiday
Tue 14 Apr 2020
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
Wed 15 Apr 2020
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
AA 14:00 CA- Bank of Canada
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 16 Apr 2020
A 05:00 EZ- Industrial Production
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 17 Apr 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:00 US- LEI


PAR 08:50 GMT April 13, 2020
How many very well paid people work at the ECB and at European Institutions
Reply   
Are they all stupid. Do they really always need outside advisers like BlackRock, McKinsey etc. Are there no European alternatives?

Patrick Temple-West in Tampa and Mehreen Khan in Brussels 12 MINUTES

BlackRock has secured a key role in advising the EU on how to integrate sustainability into banking regulation, underlining its close relationship with policymakers around the world and marking a win in the asset manager’s efforts to burnish its climate-protecting credentials.

In a filing last week, the European Commission said BlackRock’s Financial Markets Advisory will study how the EU could use environmental, social and governance-related factors in the prudential supervision and regulatory risk analysis of the region’s banks. BlackRock will also analyse how the EU could boost the growth of green finance and the market for sustainable financial products. It beat eight unnamed rivals to secure the role.

The move comes shortly after the same BlackRock consultancy unit won a contract to manage assets for the US Federal Reserve as part of the central bank’s efforts to help markets and the economy struck by the coronavirus downturn. That programme involves overseeing the purchase of exchange traded funds, including some that are operated by BlackRock itself. 

The new EU contract will pay BlackRock €280,000, and will help to bolster the company’s often-criticised credibility on sustainable investing. The investment manager has come under fire for voting against ESG shareholder petitions at companies, and BlackRock was accused of failing to match its green rhetoric with action last year.

Chief executive Larry Fink changed course in his 2020 letter to company executives, saying BlackRock will now assess ESG with the same rigour as conventional credit and liquidity risks. BlackRock is also pushing companies to disclose more information about their environmental risks.

“BlackRock’s proposal was the best offer compared to the other tenders — both technically and financially,” a spokesperson for the commission said in a statement. 

BlackRock

bali sja 08:45 GMT April 13, 2020
sell usd
Reply   
cable broke above 1.25 convincingly, and now tested 1.25 as support, good to go long?

PAR 08:31 GMT April 13, 2020
CRUDE
Reply   
Crude prices tumble on fake Opec deal.

Why would Trump tax Joe Sixpack with higher crude prices?

dc CB 07:11 GMT April 13, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 13 April 2020

NEW YORK (Reuters) - JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), the country’s largest lender by assets, is raising borrowing standards this week for most new home loans as the bank moves to mitigate lending risk stemming from the novel coronavirus disruption.

From Tuesday, customers applying for a new mortgage will need a credit score of at least 700, and will be required to make a down payment equal to 20% of the home’s value.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
JPM reports Earnings Tues 4/14.

Earnings season begins this week, wtih financials leading the way.
WellsFargo WFC also reports Tues, Wed: Citi Goldman Sachs, BAC, Morgan
Stanley, Schwab(the little guy's stock broker), Thurs: Blackrock BLK (the the Fed's Broker)

JPMorgan Chase to raise mortgage borrowing standards as economic outlook darkens

jkt abel 06:55 GMT April 13, 2020
Sell usd

go go go



Jkt Abel 02:32 GMT April 10, 2020
Sell usd: Reply
Audusd new support now 0.63, wont go below until we make more new highs

Jkt Abel 01:32 GMT April 10, 2020
Sell usd: Reply
Audusd target 0.6750
Gbpusd target 1.28-1.30
Euro target 1.12

Jkt Abel 15:18 GMT April 9, 2020
gbp: Reply
Red, i have 12710-12720

Jkt Abel 14:35 GMT April 9, 2020
gbp: Reply
Gvi effect will take us to 1.25-1.28

dc CB 06:49 GMT April 13, 2020
Fear of Chaos

Vaccines, for Bill Gates, are a strategic philanthropy that feed his many vaccine-related businesses (including Microsoft’s ambition to control a global vaccination ID enterprise) and give him dictatorial control of global health policy.
Gates’ obsession with vaccines seems to be fueled by a conviction to save the world with technology.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chairman, Children’s Health Defense

ates’ Globalist Vaccine Agenda: A Win-Win for Pharma and Mandatory Vaccination

dc CB 01:09 GMT April 13, 2020
eurusd

The small trader hosing...
CME WTI (crude) Margin --- single contract $7400. 1/2 size $4200.
Brent $7050

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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