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Forex Forum Archive for 04/17/2020

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Mtl JP 21:01 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



that was a dastardly stop hunt
but they did not yet get them all

avagoodone !

dc CB 20:21 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



extrapolate this over the 5 to 10 stocks that move the market.
add in the ETFs that all contain those same stocks

OPEX

london red 19:57 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

its the new buying stocks half hour before the close that everyone never talked about but did

london red 19:55 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

JP, at 10 to before the close on every up day, order imbalance, easy money.

Mtl JP 19:53 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



angry furious them fumes...

london red 19:48 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

running on fumes now...3015/40 res, abv there air v thin, nonexistant

Mtl JP 19:44 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



or just gone after stops to clean up the non-believers (pessimists)

Mtl JP 19:37 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

stoks rushing uP into the close maybe on
03:28 Lawmakers signal that deal could be near to deliver more coronavirus aid to small businesses - MarketWatch

GVI Forex Blog 19:04 GMT April 17, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 April 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 April 2020

dc CB 18:58 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



5ver

london red 18:57 GMT April 17, 2020
eurusd

ive said this before, a rock and a hard place. if u prove china is liable for anything, then u must enforce a punishment. if u do not, u r weak. it may be better to look incompetent and not reach any conclusions, at least not officially.

dc CB 18:53 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

here's the MBS sked.
link below the Treas sked

Quick smack down in Treas futures

Fed Sked for next week Treas

Mtl JP 18:51 GMT April 17, 2020
eurusd

haha viies that is a good one:
how do you collect from a nuclear-armed communist , rofl

Tallinn viies 18:49 GMT April 17, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
our news papers are writing here that China ows Europe trillions to compensate virus costs.

lets see if Trump starts to talk about it.
what will happen then ?
stock indexes up antother 25%?

Europe Is Taking a Harder Look at China After Virus Suspicions

Mtl JP 18:49 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



Gap that still disturbs

Mtl JP 18:36 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

red u not thinking of gap to 2480-ish ?

london red 18:34 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

bonds yields up on fed reducing punch in bowl. dwn to 15bn a day from 30bn, frm nxt week. maybe stocks take a dump to fill gap.

Mtl JP 17:47 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



my current trading mood
u ?

Mtl JP 16:28 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

Fed’s balance sheet has increased to a record $6.42 trillion this week as the central bank has been buying Treasury debt and asset backed mortgage securities to keep those markets functioning.

huh... do they NOT know ?
Treasury will ask bond-market middlemen if liquidity remains a problem.

By Sunny Oh

Mtl JP 16:22 GMT April 17, 2020
no one immune from foot-in-mouth disease:
11:51 Dr. Oz apologizes for suggesting it may ‘only cost us’ 2% to 3% of American lives to reopen schools - MarketWatch

Mtl JP 16:19 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

12:06 Cuomo Says It Will Be 12 to 18 Months Until the Virus Is Under Control in New York - Barron's

Mtl JP 16:07 GMT April 17, 2020
USDCAD 1.4025
-
justin trudeau spraying yet more OPM:
- $1.7 billion to clean up orphan oil wells
- a $750 million emission-reduction fund

Paris ib 15:50 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

CB..... does that sound to you like these people are in control? I don't think so. Don't know what they are scared of exactly but this whole Virus dog-and-pony show looks like a last-minute panic plan.

Mtl JP 15:45 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

justin trudeau just announced yet another help, or how he likes to call it "support". This time $500 million to artists and professional sports.

This boy is just revelling in his element of help-n-support by throwing out and about OPM. Gigagobs of it. To general applause from peasant bobbleheads

dc CB 15:44 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

Mike Cernovich
Hoaxed Movie (buy it on iTunes here) has been banned by Amazon. When you try buying Hoaxed on Amazon you get this message:

“Our agreements with the content provider don’t allow purchases of this title at this time.”

That’s spin for Amazon banned the film as Amazon has all rights to sell / distribute it.
Others have told me that Amazon has begun removing Hoaxed from the devices of purchasers.

Hoaxed Movie has been Banned by Amazon!

dc CB 15:39 GMT April 17, 2020
ib
it's available, but it was removed from the Amazon Streaming service. Perhaps Jeffy was miffed about AWS - CIA Cloud Contract. ???? who knows but it got pulled.

Paris ib 15:32 GMT April 17, 2020
So you can't get it? Good grief. I saw it no problem. Well it's worth a watch.

This is free to watch I think

Mtl JP 15:23 GMT April 17, 2020
EURO 1.0878
-
IF puppy closes the day (and week) N of 1.08
and below 1.09, odds are it will keep its short-term uP bias for a re-test of and attempt at N of 1.09

dc CB 15:22 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

Hoaxed was trending #1 Documentary streaming on Amazon ----- Until Amazon removed it from the service --- No reason given.
Amazon customers who has put the film in their cue for later viewing found it removed NoLongerOffered.

Paris ib 15:16 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

FWIW Europe is further along the road to tyranny than you guys are. The Italians positively look forward to fascism and snitching on their neighbour and strutting around in fancy uniforms. I was kinda counting on you guys breaking free, so good luck.

Something to watch:

Hoaxed

Paris ib 15:05 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

CB hope you guys manage to sort this out. I think the majority wants to do that. The creeps can't win. That's just my opinion. They will try (being psychopaths and more than a little desperate) but the will fail. Boy they still can't accept they didn't get the President they wanted. Like malfunctioning robots... slightly laughable. All the best.

Mtl JP 15:01 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

EURO 1.08922 HoD sofar
-
lets c IF my earlier musing re 1.09 holds

dc CB 14:54 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

it's way way worse than simple incompetence.

There are forces at work that are using this pandemic to attempt to change the fundamentals of this Democratic Republic that is known as United States of America.
And there are very upfront about their intentions, 'if your face' UP FRONT
_____________________________________________________
(Obama's Attny General)
Eric Holder: Here’s How the Coronavirus Crisis Should Change U.S. Elections—For Good

How important do you think mail-in ballots will be to both the presidential election and other voting in 2020?

There has to be a sea change in our thinking there.

TIME Magazine

Mtl JP 14:41 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



nagging gap -> POOF !
-
MacroMicro 22:06 GMT April 16, 2020
SHORT potions opened with all US indices

- expecting y r getting FILTHY rich. attaboy

london red 14:40 GMT April 17, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

spx gap 2806. channel sup by 2733. so could see a false break at 2750/60 faded back up. its the channel frm lows so almost certain to give a bounce if not continuation to new high.

london red 14:25 GMT April 17, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

us 10 below 0.60 closing in on 0.555 atl

Amman wfakhoury 14:22 GMT April 17, 2020
by the way
consolidation still active

Amman wfakhoury 14:20 GMT April 17, 2020
GBPUSD

Thanks a lot
How much you rate this signal from 0-100

Paris ib 14:18 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

This whole thing still looks like an enormous fiasco: partisan politics, partisan media, absence of information, no organisational skills anywhere, journalists bleeting their heads off (why don't they run for election instead and shut the f.ck up in the meantime?), countries actually closing down with hardly any deaths (first pre-emptive strikes with no evidence now pre-emptive quarantine). This will run its course but no-one comes out of this looking anything but incompetent. Or have I missed someone? Japan seems calm, but I have no inside information on that one.

Pasig evan 14:14 GMT April 17, 2020
GBPUSD

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Yes, Wfakhoury, unbelievable but true, didn’t expect 100 pips possible with such risks. Congrats!

AT Trader john 14:01 GMT April 17, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Leading Indicators February, 2020



NEWS ALERT
-6.70% vs. -7.00% exp. vs. +0.10% (rev -0.20%) prev.


Amman wfakhoury 13:53 GMT April 17, 2020
GBPUSD

Amman wfakhoury 09:55 GMT 04/17/2020
Amman wfakhoury 09:00 GMT 04/17/2020
What is the direction of GBPUSD for today
up or down or consolidation (zic zac) ?
This is the first important thing to know.
___________________
No one knows
it is zic zac between 12410-12510
_______________________
Incredible Call

Amman wfakhoury 13:47 GMT April 17, 2020
I am flying to 10880 as my Master wfakhoury signal
Reply   


EURUSD at 10880

Mtl JP 13:41 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



gap... nagging

dc CB 13:30 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

Boy all the AIDS players are showing up.
When will Robert Gallo make an appearance??

GilmoreHealth.com's Robert Miller writes that contrary to the narrative that is being pushed by the mainstream that the COVID 19 virus was the result of a natural mutation and that it was transmitted to humans from bats via pangolins, Dr Luc Montagnier the man who discovered the HIV virus back in 1983 disagrees and is saying that the virus was man made.

Mtl JP 13:21 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

EURO 1.0865
-
not expecting massive moves
S at 1.08-ish,
Res 1.0880/90
odds of N of 1.09 looking tuff

dc CB 13:17 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

AMZN is down 30+ bucks in premarket.
One guy not too happy to see the reOpening of Bidness...Jeffy boy will lose some of his deathgrip on the consumer markets.

You soon may not to wait in line for a 1st come 1st serve place when tring to buy food a Whole(Bezos)Foods. So sad.

Mtl JP 13:15 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

looking for cause / reason why demand for the DLR
tia for ideas; I am looking for down impetus

--
achtung:
14:00 A US Leading Indicators con: -7.00% pre: 0.10%

PAR 13:08 GMT April 17, 2020
Consumer Spending
Reply   
Paul Donovan


There are three baskets of consumer spending in a lockdown. Some spending is stable or increases. Some spending is delayed (people will buy, once shops reopen). Some spending is lost in a lockdown. In Europe, about a quarter of consumer spending is "lost". If you cannot get your hair cut in a lockdown, you do not get three haircuts the week the hair salon reopens.

▪ This means lockdowns can force some people to "store" (save) money. A person working from home with unchanged income can save. A person on a European furlough (receiving most of their income) can save. A person who is unemployed or on a US furlough does not have the income to save.

▪ If consumers have had little drop in income, and have not increased spending on things like Netflix and food at home too much, they will have "forced" savings. If consumers are secure in their jobs this money should be spent post-lockdown. This will give an additional (short-lived) boost to economic activity as lockdowns end.

Pasig evan 12:47 GMT April 17, 2020
GBPUSD

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Nice call on Gbp range, that was timely and fast! Took the profit at 1.2490 as stocks stalled & 80 pips good enough, thanks!
Look forward to more call like this.

dc CB 12:41 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

AT Trader john 10:41

Just like the Gilead thing, when I saw who wrote it...Feurstei(sp?), he used to be the 'rumor' spreader in BioTech for none other than The Street.com...you know who's specious info outlet. He got heat for the same kind of nuz breaks many times.

My take on today is that it's more due to OPEX than Gilead and Trump. Take a look at the options for AMZN and you'll see that what was driving its price moves yesterday were Options trading.

so the Options sellers(puts and calls) over this crash-o-matic 4 weeks across al the big stocks and the Index ETFs are going to use this "windfall of NUZ) to zero out all those "buyers' profits.

SnP Monthly Options have a Last Trade on the Thurs close. These options 'settle' based on the Opening Range price the following morning- Friday- Today.

Some people got HOSED big time, some people had a miracle move in their P/L stats. All on Gilead plus Trump After the Market move, last evening.

So once the Settlement is set --- in the first 15mins...it should get 'inneresting'

london red 12:38 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

17.12 nov 2001 wti. below there 14 bucks then 10.

Paris ib 12:31 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

Deaths Singapore: ten
I don't know if it can spread in warm weather but it's impact is lessened. Don't have details of the 10 deaths: ages, condition etc.

Mtl JP 12:21 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

... still spreading in Singapore
a practical police state

HK Kevin 12:14 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

Covid disappears with warm weather. What I know is this China virus is still spreading in Singapore.

Mtl JP 11:50 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

About Trump's re-opening guidelines
-
the achili's heel atm is that current testing is massively deficient at only 1%

Paris ib 11:13 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

LE PARISIEN – When you apply the treatment, after how long can a patient with Covid 19 be cured?

DIDIER RAOULT – What we know for the moment is that the virus disappears after six days.

For the record

Mtl JP 10:59 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

Stocks' mood
-
Asia up 3%
Europeans up ~3%
US looking up 3%

Paris ib 10:47 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

John we are not trading on facts but on headlines. This whole thing has been media driven and I don't see why that won't continue. Watch the headlines to see how this hoax is managed and where we are going.

Covid disappears with warm weather

Mtl JP 10:46 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020



DLRx's energy

AT Trader john 10:41 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

Starting off early today with a risk on bias on the back of the Gilead news and the Trump plan to reopen the economy. Both appear to be less than they seam. Gilead is pushing back on the Chicago reports and NYC saw a near 10% increase in new infections yesterday, so caution into the weekend might be warranted? The GBPUSD iand EURGBP are all over the place already today.

I'm just taking it one session at a time.

Mtl JP 10:29 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

Overnite
-
china GDP in negative, for first time since china started keeping record
- china also revising wuhan corona deaths (due to change in record-keeping method they say)

Corona in US: 700,000 infected; ~30,000 poof'd
Trump's opening plan getting mixed response from governors

Debt Death Bomb
IMF squealing about many ("hundreds") countries potentialy going "default"

Paris ib 10:27 GMT April 17, 2020
The Beer Virus

So where are we?

Well watch the media. Coming up (we're told) the Greatest Depression since, well the Great Depression. And this because we all had a semi-enforced month-long break from normal economic activity. Hey, pretty fragile world we live in. Anyhow after our little break: economic catastrophe naturally looms, specially since the powers-that-be helpfully handed out money willy-nilly all over the globe.

So how to pay for it? Slaps forehead - OF COURSE - new Taxes. Temporary new taxes (they are always temporary - income tax was introduced temporarily to fund WWI). So hey we are all gonna be on the government subsistence income and TAXES have to rise.

Seeing this headline in Italy and Australia.... haven't really checked elsewhere.

Special mention to the Australians: closed down the economy on the back of 65 (sixty five) recorded deaths (to date). in 2018/2019 they recorded 3,000 deaths from flu and similar without any real panic. But hey dole queues are off the charts (they kindly raised the crappy dole), all international travel is verboten (tourism has tanked - quelle surprise) and the politicians are actually patting themselves on the back about how well they handled the crisis. Let's not even mention that moron in New Zealand who seems to think she is kind (kindness being the thing to aim for over there when really competence would be good).

Meanwhile back at the farm Donald is trying to open the U.S. economy up before the whole thing craters with ongoing opposition from Fauci (#FireFauci) and the Democrats. So all going to plan: please welcome the return of total government control of everything. Worked well before, nothing to worry about.

jkt abel 10:19 GMT April 17, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

thanks frank, as planned i joined you from above 8920, mine was 8928
yo-yo up and down but i think we would get some in our favor

Amman wfakhoury 09:55 GMT April 17, 2020
GBPUSD

Amman wfakhoury 09:00 GMT 04/17/2020
What is the direction of GBPUSD for today
up or down or consolidation (zic zac) ?
This is the first important thing to know.
___________________
No one knows
it is zic zac between 12410-12510

swiss frank 09:43 GMT April 17, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

Yes. Sadly.

jkt abel 09:36 GMT April 17, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

frank, still have audcad running?

swiss frank 09:35 GMT April 17, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

well, well, well....

PAR 09:14 GMT April 17, 2020
FED BALANCE SHEET
Reply   
Fed balance sheet has hit fresh ATH at $6,367.9bn as Powell keeps printing press rumbling. Total assets rose by another $284.7bn, now equals to 29.1% of US GDP, fresh record. Since the Fed announced its bailouts on Mar15, it has printed and handed to Wall Street $2,055.9bn.

Mexico Corona mas fina 09:04 GMT April 17, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

Crazy Fridays = opportunity Franklin!

AT Trader john 09:01 GMT April 17, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone final HICP (CPI) March 2020





ALERT
Headline
yy: +0.70% vs.+ 0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.



Amman wfakhoury 09:00 GMT April 17, 2020
GBPUSD
Reply   
What is the direction of GBPUSD for today
up or down or consolidation (zic zac) ?
This is the first important thing to know.

AT Trader john 08:49 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

Friday
DJ: +643
SP: +67.4

2-yr 0.212% +0.7
Spread 10s-2s +42.0 bps (+40.7 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.632% +2.1
UK: 0.293% -0.9
DE: -0.479% +0.2

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0834 (1.0858)
GBPUSD 1.2445 (1.2463)
EURGBP 0.8702 (0.8711)
USDJPY 107.77 (108.58)

This Week 1.0992-1.0817 (175 pips)
fri: 1.0877-1.0817 (60)
thu: 1.0913-1.0817 (97)
wed: 1.0992-1.0857 (135)
tue: 1.0985-1.0893 (50)
mon: 1.0968-1.0893 (75)


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20-day avg: 1.0894
50-day avg: 1.0958
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AT Trader john 08:36 GMT April 17, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 Apr 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 17 Apr 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 14:00 US- LEI

haifa ac 07:46 GMT April 17, 2020
WTI Crude

23 years lows

london red 07:18 GMT April 17, 2020
WTI Crude

18.18 wti an extension tgt

HK Kevin 07:16 GMT April 17, 2020
WTI Crude
Reply   
Killing day of the oil market may be a key driver behind the forex market today

swiss frank 06:46 GMT April 17, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

Huge option activity over the last week in eur/chf 1.0000 strikes.

Meanwhile looks like it could be one of those crazy fridays...

haifa ac 04:25 GMT April 17, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

6.95
looks like a Grand squeeze

dc CB 02:01 GMT April 17, 2020
Stocks

Hope denied.

After a one-two punch of disappointing news for Gilead out of China, where as we reported yesterday a trial of remdesivir in Covid-19 patients with mild or moderate symptoms was suspended as no eligible patients could be recruited according to an update on ClinicalTrials.gov, which in turn followed a trial of the drug in severely ill Covid-19 patients which was also terminated for similar reasons, it felt like one or more hedge funds would seek to manipulate public sentiment - and the market - and get out of an underwater position.

They did just that at 430pm today when the low profile Statnews published a report by Adam Feuerstein, best known for doing the bidding of one or more hedge fund clients, according to which a "Chicago hospital treating severe Covid-19 patients with Gilead Sciences’ antiviral medicine remdesivir in a closely watched clinical trial is seeing rapid recoveries in fever and respiratory symptoms, with nearly all patients discharged in less than a week, STAT has learned."

"Learned" from whom? A hedge fund or two who were long GILD and needed a fake news catalyst to get out? Because last time we checked, double blind, secret drug trials are, er... secret.

ZH

Mtl JP 01:52 GMT April 17, 2020
Stocks

almost all headlines now include "hope" in reference to gilead

Mtl JP 01:33 GMT April 17, 2020
Stocks

Sometimes I get a kick from sequential headlines. ex.:

09:19 Cantor Fitzgerald to lay off hundreds due to coronavirus-related downturn: report
08:44 Dow futures surge more than 700 points amid hope of coronavirus treatment
- MarketWatch

Mtl JP 01:17 GMT April 17, 2020
Stocks



lets see how asia digests "cold water"

dc CB 01:14 GMT April 17, 2020
Stocks

Gilead Pours Cold Water On Report That Sent Market Soaring: "Anecdotal Reports With No Statistical Power"

Mtl JP 01:11 GMT April 17, 2020
Stocks

kashcari mouthing off on fox about merits of staged re-opening

Mtl JP 01:11 GMT April 17, 2020
Stocks

kashcari mouthing off on fox about merits of staged re-opening

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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