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Forex Forum Archive for 04/22/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


london red 20:02 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

the good news is they didnt break yest highs for any indicies. the bad news is there is always tomorrow.

london red 19:59 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

the new 3:30 train. always good for a few on a >2 +/- day
channel res on 1/4/8h and daily from around 2809 to 2825, the daily rising tomorrow to around 2847.
tomorrow another 5m job another 3% up to test 2880/85? bad start to wk bad for bears which need under 2720 fast or we see 2934 by friday close

Mtl JP 19:58 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

03:31 S&P 500 companies spent $7 trillion on buybacks and dividends and ‘been rewarded’ by coronavirus bailouts, says Social Capital CEO
- MarketWatch

Mtl JP 19:55 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

I show some R at 2807.50 first
fwiw

london red 19:43 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

buy side imbalance coming up. maybe test of 2820/25 res for spx

AT Trader john 19:03 GMT April 22, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 23 April 2020

Late Wednesday
DJ: +457
SP: +62.8

2-yr 0.217% +1.2%
Spread 10s-2s +41.6 bps (+38.1 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.633% +6.2
UK: 0.325% -0.2
DE: -0.406% +1.4

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0814 (1.0834)
GBPUSD 1.2314 (1.2325)
EURGBP 0.8780 (0.8798)
USDJPY 107.74 (107.73)

This Week 1.0897-1.0803 (94 pips)
wed: 1.0885-1.0803 (82) mon: 1.0897-1.0842 (55)
fri: 1.0892-1.0813 (79)
thu: 1.0913-1.0817 (97)


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GVI Forex Blog 18:50 GMT April 22, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 22 April 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 22 April 2020

dc CB 18:34 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

New rules

CME

Paris ib 17:57 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

All their models.... are junk.

COVID is no different.

A closer look

Paris ib 17:53 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

"rewrite their risk models"

Are these models anything like the COVID models put out by Fauci and his ilk? They still pretending these models are anything more than junk?

Good grief.

The Independent Variable is like an in joke. The models are always and everywhere are con. But they still teach this crap in tertiary education and close down half the world on the back of it.

The Red Line is Reality

PAR 17:28 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

That collateral is not worth much anymore or like in Singapore has already been sold to someone else.
Good luck.

Tallinn viies 17:27 GMT April 22, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
from reuters…


U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell opened the door to allowing U.S. states to file for bankruptcy to deal with economic losses stemming from the coronavirus outbreak that are punching big holes in their budgets. McConnell, in a radio interview, said Republicans would not support giving state and local governments more money in future coronavirus aid legislation, saying those funds could end up being used to bail out state pensions.

Speaking on the Hugh Hewitt syndicated radio program, McConnell said he instead "would certainly be in favor of allowing states to use the bankruptcy route."

Mtl JP 17:07 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

ya, banks seizing barrels of oil / oilfields , their loan collateral, haha
RBC, at $83, the biggest canadian lender to canadian oil still in 86/82 price range.

AT Trader john 16:48 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

Saw an article earlier that after the WTI fiasco that banks have been forced to rewrite their risk models to allow for negative prices in commodities. This could certainly change some things in a big way...

AT Trader john 16:43 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

Its been a liquidating market in EURUSD most of the NY session. Stops all the way down. Each new local low triggers another round of selling.

Paris ib 16:30 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

JP... thanks for that advice, which seems to be: join the orgy while it's going there is nothing else in town, otherwise you will end up bitter and twisted and unhealthy. Well thanks but no thanks. I mean I heard there is lots of money to be made in all sorts of unethical ventures (drug trafficking, child exploitation, arms running.... let's leave that to the CIA they seem to enjoy it).

Crisis of leadership is right. My god... choose your lie. And now we have yet another (profitable for some) war in the offing.

Pompeo having a good time

Mtl JP 16:23 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

ib - c my 15:57

bit like of my X's says "the "program" is there, whether I line up or not."
She is an expert at collecting, nearly doubling her $33/hr teacher pay.

It really is all in ability to adapt attitude and mindset to environmental circumstances. It is a skill. One actors use to go in and out of character.

Inflexibility to adapt to adopt can lead to morisity, frustration and sentiment of misery. Over time and ultimately also to health issues.

swiss frank 16:20 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Yeah the real crisis here is leadership. What it comes down to is what lies one chooses to believe...

Paris ib 16:10 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

But if you are looking to make money from all of this the method is pretty simple: front run the FED. It helps if you are in charge of the FED buying. And none of this seems to be illegal.

"In one of many hallucinatory headlines from this week, the head of the global allocation team for BlackRock – the company that’s administering Fed buying programs – said his company would henceforth be betting on the Fed’s bets.

“We will follow the Fed and other DM central banks by purchasing what they’re purchasing, and assets that rhyme with those,” said BlackRock’s Rick Rieder."

The Trickle Up Bail Out

Paris ib 16:05 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

red what makes them any different from the FED or the Bank of England or any of our nice Central Banker friends?

"ordinary people receive aid through programs that are piecemeal, complex, and riddled with conditions."

" “relief” programs aimed at the top income levels were immediate, staggering in size and scope, and often appeared as grants rather than loans."

Matt Taibbi

Paris ib 15:58 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

JP I can not listen to any of our dear leaders without finding them repellent. Justin is just one among many. The "caring ones" left of centre are particularly repulsive IMVHO.

What's the deal with Iran? A war in the offing? For the purpose of distracting the population? "All in this together" while a Police State is erected in plain sight. The script is a bit laughable but that's what they're running with. Somehow I find it really hard to take ANY of this seriously.

Meanwhile GOLD? A con? Or the next big thing?

The Kind One

Mtl JP 15:57 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

so... the trick is ...
cozy up !

london red 15:50 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

typical ecb, helicopter money for regular folk is taboo yet handing out left right and centre for all those cosying up

Mtl JP 15:39 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

justin trudeau at his best, continues:

Trudeau announces $9B aid for students, including monthly benefit

PAR 15:39 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

That's why she is paid € 36.000/month plus perks.

PAR 15:32 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Stealing cash from European citizens with negative interest rates seems to be legal but handing out cash directly to European citizens would be illegal. SHE IS A LAWYER

Lagarde draws line on how far ECB largesse can go

LAWYERS LOGIC

PAR 15:23 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
The ECB Prepares the Way for Buying Junk Bonds

As the ECB already accepts as collateral Greek government debt, which is several notches below investment grade, surely the Rubicon has already been crossed. The central bank is also buying Greek sovereign bonds so why not match the Fed’s response by acquiring corporate bonds recently downgraded to junk? The Fed’s move tightened U.S. spreads on BB-rated debt by more than 300 basis points. It would help lower corporate borrowing costs across Europe too. That’s a noble aim.

As with the Fed, it’s a worrying thing for the ECB to be holding ever more risky credit. But these are truly dangerous times for the economy. We’ll just have to fall back on the hope that these are temporary measures until the world recovers.

ECB - A distressed debt Hedge Fund?

AT Trader john 15:07 GMT April 22, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 23 April 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 23 April 2019
Flash PMIs all day
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
Fri 24 Jan 2019
AA 06:00 UK- Retail Sales
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan

haifa ac 14:47 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

I use P&F all the time (even StockCharts.com even tho they are very crude). But I am too old and have too many scars to think that they are a holy grail. They work ONLY when the CM (Wyckoff) wants to use them.
If you know how to use them they can be a very useful tool. There are very few millionaires who trade only P&F, not even Dorsey.

Bali Sja 14:42 GMT April 22, 2020
Sell cable
Reply   
Cable should be capped under 12330 definitely otherwise 12350 to be sell level again, but any climb above 12370 may give something else

Bali Sja 14:36 GMT April 22, 2020
Sell cable
Reply   
Cable looks heavy while below 12350, agree with that, but i am also aware that a surprise pop may happen before the real big down

AT Trader john 14:32 GMT April 22, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +15.02 v +16.1 exp v +19.100 prev.
Distillates: +7.880 v +2.900 exp v +6.300 prev.
Gasoline: +1.017 v +3.700 exp v +4.900 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



Kl Fs 14:26 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

Yes agree, try short cable 12322, adding near 12340-45, stop above 12380

Kl Shawn 13:56 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

While it is below 12350 even better with stop above 12377

Jkt Abel 13:54 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

Sell cable while below 12370 IMO

Mtl JP 13:45 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

stocks on the uP

Gallup: 25% of U.S. workers fear they'll lose their jobs due to the coronavirus pandemic - msm

PAR 13:44 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

It seems to be working.

Mtl JP 13:41 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

ac d'u use point & figure charts ?
in fx ?

haifa ac 13:25 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

"Does Trump think"

Now, that's a thought.

Mtl JP 13:14 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

corr: below USDCAD should be 1.4133

Mtl JP 13:12 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

USDCAD 1.3148
-
puppy looking like it wants to test the 20-day (1.4059)
personally prefer s/t buys in dips while above the 20

PAR 13:02 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

Does Trump think a war with Iran would boost oil prices?

Does that solve the storage problems?

london red 12:56 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

snp 2825. a break sees test of 2880/85. a failure can see lows of day.

swiss frank 12:54 GMT April 22, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

1 month swap looks like .1080/.1270

Mtl JP 12:52 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

GBP 1.2352
-
on the UP, probably because usd leg down is driving

AT Trader john 12:31 GMT April 22, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: CPI March 2020




NEWS ALERT
mm: -0.60% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
yy: +0.90% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.



haifa ac 12:27 GMT April 22, 2020
Do Americans think with their dick?!
Reply   
Stimulus bankrolls 22% jump in pornography site traffic, 204% in hard-hit Washington state

With little to do but shelter in place, some are apparently spending their $1,200 coronavirus stimulus checks on a little stimulation.

The adult live model site Cams.com told Secrets that it has seen a 22% surge in its traffic since the checks started arriving.

“While it remains to be seen whether the stimulus money has saved our economy, it did provide people with some fast cash to spend right now,” said Gunner Taylor, director of strategic development for FriendFinder Networks, of which Cams.com is part of.

“What's especially interesting is that many people are splurging on adult entertainment and indulging their sexual fantasies. Since April 13, we've seen a 22% uptick in traffic to our livestreaming site, and tips to our models have increased by 40%,” he told us.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/stimulus-bankrolls-22-jump-in-porn-site-traffic-204-in-hard-hit-washington-state

Mtl JP 12:23 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

DJT twitt watch:
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
14 min
I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea.
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
·
27 min
States are safely coming back. Our Country is starting to OPEN FOR BUSINESS again. Special care is, and always will be, given to our beloved seniors (except me!). Their lives will be better than ever...WE LOVE YOU ALL!

Mtl JP 12:20 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

frank 08:30 April 21, 2020 you-know-who
good eye.
timed uP bias remains

Mtl JP 12:16 GMT April 22, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

what is the swap on the turk ?

haifa ac 12:05 GMT April 22, 2020
Turkish Lira approaching 8.2018 lows

6.998

I cannot see how they can avoid a dramatic move.

Mtl JP 11:56 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

EURO 1.0870
-
puppy between 1.0880/40

break out N trgts 1.095, on the downside towards 1.0750

USD currently lagishing, low energy.

Mtl JP 11:41 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

for the record:
Mexico central bank unveils $31 billion stimulus, cuts rates
Reuters·17 hours ago

Mtl JP 11:06 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

Stocks in:
- Asia: mixed / down
- europe: uP .5 - 1%
- US : looking to open uP atm

wti ~$11

Central Kwun 10:43 GMT April 22, 2020
GOLD

Buy Gold
Entry: 1698 Target: Stop: 1678

my 1692 TP at 1705, pending buy again

Mtl JP 09:37 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

via Reuters:
- The Spanish government will propose to its European Union partners that they create a 1.5 trillion euro ($1.63 trillion) recovery fund financed through perpetual debt to aid ...

- Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte has repeated calls for the European Union to issue common euro zone bonds to demonstrate the bloc's solidarity...

- Merkel signalled readiness on Monday to finance economic recovery in Europe from the coronavirus pandemic through a bigger European Union budget and the issuance of joint debt via the European Commission.

- EU may need $1.7 trillion post-coronavirus package - French EU commissioner

- Lagarde drew the line on how far the ECB could go in helping virus-stricken euro zone countries on Wednesday, saying lending to governments directly would be illegal and handing out cash to citizens difficult.

- The European Union (EU) council should reach an initial consensus on the common financial response to the coronavirus pandemic during its next summit on Thursday - Sanchez

- ECB's Rehn calls for solidarity between European countries

- EU official says 'big divide' between member states on recovery aid

AT Trader john 09:33 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020

Wednesday
DJ: +347
SP: +45.4

2-yr 0.207% +0.2%
Spread 10s-2s +38.1 bps (+36.0 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.588% +1.7
UK: 0.312% +1.5
DE: -0.461% +0.2

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0863 (1.0850)
GBPUSD 1.2357 (1.2330)
EURGBP 0.8789 (0.8805)
USDJPY 107.61 (107.64)

This Week 1.0897-1.0817 (80 pips)
wed: 1.0874-1.0844 (30) mon: 1.0897-1.0842 (55)
fri: 1.0892-1.0813 (79)
thu: 1.0913-1.0817 (97)


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50-day avg: 1.0954
100-day avg: 1.1022
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bali sja 09:23 GMT April 22, 2020
gold

gold above 1700 buy on dips

AT Trader john 09:18 GMT April 22, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader April 22, 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 22 April 2019
AA 06:00:30 UK- CPI
AA 12:30 CA- CPI
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 23 April 2019
Flash PMIs all day
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
Fri 24 Jan 2019
AA 06:00 UK- Retail Sales
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan

hk ab 09:16 GMT April 22, 2020
gold
Reply   
The hindsight King forgot to tell the public that his bought was s/l at 1657 yesterday.......

How nice, dork.

hk ab 09:16 GMT April 22, 2020
gold
Reply   
The hindsight King forgot to tell the public that his bought was s/l at 1657 yesterday.......

How nice, dork.

PAR 08:47 GMT April 22, 2020
CRUDE - Free Markets
Reply   
1. Higher Crude Prices Are Not What Is Needed Amid Sharp Fuel Demand Contraction

2. The Market Is Trying to Do Its Job

3. Only the Market Knows Which Crudes Should Be Cut and in What Quantities

Politicians must leave Oil markets alone

Amman wfakhoury 08:46 GMT April 22, 2020
GOLD

for the time being I am scalping sell till 1693

Clogland Purk 08:41 GMT April 22, 2020
Fligt radar

Fligt = Flight

Clogland Purk 08:33 GMT April 22, 2020
Fligt radar
Reply   
Dunno if this has highlighted here already: a friend of mine said, look at the flight radar... Europe is empty, spain and Italy really no airplanes, etc etc.

Than the US, still full of flights, both commercial and freight...
How do they want to fight this virus when they let everybody fly?
If you lock, you lock.
I am not interested in if there is a virus, there are millions of virusses...

PAR 08:31 GMT April 22, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
The ECB is holding a video conference today where reportedly it will deliberate accepting junk-rated debt as collateral from lenders amid concerns that some sovereign and corporate bonds will soon be downgraded to junk.

PAR 08:10 GMT April 22, 2020
GERMANY
Reply   
Germany is less affected by the coronacrisis than others: Data on electricity usage indicate that blow to German econ has been smaller than in France, Italy, Spain. Traffic-congestion figures for major cities paint a similar picture, acc to Bloomberg Economics.

Central Kwun 08:09 GMT April 22, 2020
GOLD

Buy Gold
Entry: 1692 Target: Stop: 1692

Congrats Wfakhoury San! What is next? I am following you buy gold, remember unlimited QE

Amman wfakhoury 08:01 GMT April 22, 2020
GOLD

Amman wfakhoury 13:52 GMT 04/21/2020
Amman wfakhoury 11:20 GMT 04/21/2020
Gold into consolidation mood between 1665 and 1695
1695 will be reached if price closed above 1679.
if closed above 1679 then any decline below it will return to it.
_______________________________
price returned to 1679 from 1660
__________________________
1695 reached

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Amman wfakhoury 07:58 GMT April 22, 2020
Gold

hk ab 14:37 GMT 04/21/2020
how many novice traders like the hindsight King buying gold for 1695?......


Let's see.
______________________
Please see

Amman wfakhoury 07:53 GMT April 22, 2020
gold

hk ab 17:01 GMT 04/21/2020
History repeats again to penalize wfak's fan who wishes to see 1695.....

How low this time can go?
_______________________________
Price at 1695 and more.
No comments

Sydney ACC 03:08 GMT April 22, 2020
Stockpiling affecting Retail sales figures

ABS tweeted:

Additional analysis indicates monthly turnover doubled for products such as toilet and tissue paper, and rice and pasta. In addition to food retailing, sales were also strong in retail industries selling items related to home offices for example:

SYD LF 02:29 GMT April 22, 2020
Stockpiling affecting Retail sales figures
Reply   
FYI: Australia Retail Trade (Preliminary of Sales) for March is out with a huge +8.2% MoM considering the circumstances. That beat the previous record of 8.1% from 2002 when consumers brought forward purchases ahead of a goods and services tax. The data contains preliminary monthly aggregate estimates of retail turnover in Australia. All in all, ABS says the March increase was the strongest seasonally adjusted rise ever in the series.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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