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Forex Forum Archive for 04/24/2020

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Mtl JP 20:45 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

Fed balance sheet expands to record $6.6 trillion in latest week
- April 23, 2020 - By Greg Robb

The Fed’s balance sheet is likely to peak at $9 trillion in early or mid-June and then slip to $8 trillion by the end of the year

Mtl JP 20:40 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

The Fed Should Go Negative Next Week

To fight a deepening recession, it should take U.S. interest rates below zero for the first time ever.

By Narayana Kocherlakota

Mtl JP 20:33 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

for the record
SPX: 2,836.74, +38.94, +1.39%

S&P 500 Index

Mtl JP 20:30 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

EURO HoD 1.08189 and POOF ! goes the stop 15-20 mins ago

dc CB 20:22 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi



after the lockdowns end...the 'fear' remains. It will never be out of mind.

Over 65ver goes grocery shopping.

Mtl JP 19:56 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

ib 15:47 she 's still hissing to "listen to science, to the experts" and for "world leaders to act together"

london red 19:52 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

strong close to wk with certain test of 28880/85 nxt wk and likely 2934. 3005/25 cannot be ruled out. again, as this week a poor start to week will result in a stronger finish, but way mkt closing today argues for monday teusday rally, which can work for bears if there is failure to backfill into this weeks range nxt week. an early wk/mid wk test of 2934/30xx almost certain to fail but if approached end of wk, is less certain to force a negative fallback.

Mtl JP 19:12 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

Hughes oil rig count:
378 down from 438

Mtl JP 18:59 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

I did not bother read the article as the headline seems to say all I need to know: "Those Mnuchin Fracker Loans Look More Like Equity"
- Bloomberg

-

just as the FED reduces its daily "purchases", Trump signs off on additional $484B spray hose

GVI Forex Blog 18:31 GMT April 24, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 April 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 April 2020

Pasig evan 18:05 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Test

dc CB 18:02 GMT April 24, 2020
coronavirus pandemic will define the modern era



I learned everything I need to know about control and Sheep management

Paris ib 17:15 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

JP thinking about this. We have markets without price discovery. The authorities effectively set price, akin to the supressed inflation of the ex-USSR. The trouble with that is this can continue for some time until something gives (like last September when short term rates sky rocketed to 10 percent before the FED stepped in without calling it QE). When the thing blows it can blow quickly but u gotta watch for signals. Obviously I wouldn't want to be holding either the USD or Treasuries but I'm not sure you can make a fortune going short right now either. Gold and select real assets will give you safety and longer term gains (or at least conserve real purchasing power). I want to look up the whole September debacle... it was triggered by the Chinese refusing Treasuries as collateral... in August (or something like that).

Israel MacroMicro 17:11 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

cash session of US indices in very narrow ranges, done for today?

dc CB 16:49 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

The natural air conditioner created some 13 million years ago with the formation of Santa Monica Bay has helped charm and cool Angelenos from the time people first inhabited this land. The chance to enjoy ocean breezes, and perhaps a swim, seemed like a Los Angeles birthright.

But the coronavirus pandemic has upended many truths of earlier eras. Now the people of Los Angeles will enter their sixth week under a stay-at-home order, facing a weekend of 90-degree-plus temperatures, with all 72 miles of the Los Angeles County coast closed to one and all.

The people appear prepared to abide. At least most of them. At least for now.

California stay-at-home faces its biggest test: A heat wave driving people to the beach

dc CB 16:41 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

Update (1205ET): Following yesterday's bombshell revelation that a preliminary random testing of 3k New Yorkers for coronavirus antibodies had turned up 21% of test subjects in NYC as positive, NY Gov Cuomo said Friday that the number of hospitalized patients in his state continued to decline.

The state's "total hospitalizations" number hit its lowest level in almost a month.

Mtl JP 16:35 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

eoro 1.0788
-
maybe time to go after some stops on the downside for the week-end:
1.0782, 1.0776, below 1.0763
but not holding high expectations

Mtl JP 16:18 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

ib 16:15 - did-do u discern a profit opp in your post ?

Paris ib 16:15 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

Ooops forgot the biggie:

The FED will be scooping up all the debt.

8 trillion give or take to be auctioned but that's not a problem because the FED will buy it all so yields won't shoot to the ceiling.

And that's supposed to be USD neutral? hahahahahaha

Paris ib 15:47 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

Actually Greta doesn't do happy.

Who cares? #F.ckGreta

Paris ib 15:45 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

Think of what was achieved:

Protests in Hong Kong and Paris were shut down.
Protests worldwide are on hold permanently.
France and Italy are closer to forcing Eurobonds on Europe.
Business was bailed out big time in the States.
There is now an official excuse for a recession.
There is now an excuse for government surveillance.

Greta is happy.

Mtl JP 15:42 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

justin "admirer of China's 'basic dictatorship" trudeau at his best again today:
- announced rent relief for businesses forced to shut down during pandemic expected to lower rent by 75 per cent for affected small businesses

- re covit-V and re-opening the country: perish the thought it will not happen anytime soon

Mtl JP 15:35 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

for some reason EURO's praction is
18-12pips choppy around 1.08

Mtl JP 14:52 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

Next week - wednesday - is US' turn

(earlier) On 24 April 2020, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 50 bp to 5.50% per annum.

Bank of Russia

dc CB 14:44 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

Some more DATA for your Math project---get out that slide rule.

As of 6amET Friday morning, the number of deaths linked to the coronavirus in the US stood at 49,963

Mtl JP 14:43 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

EURO 1.08
-
with this ying yang going on I guess the bet is on the close:
above or below 1.08

dc CB 14:34 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

based on New Testing for antibodies...results released yest by Gov Cuomo at his noon presser....the number of people in NYC infected with Covid 19 is estimated to be 21% of the population.

You do the math.

Mtl JP 14:27 GMT April 24, 2020
coronavirus pandemic will define the modern era

Bill is the type that HIRES types with degrees

Mtl JP 14:25 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

re michigan:
10:19 Gallup: 25% of U.S. workers fear they'll lose their jobs due to the coronavirus pandemic - MarketWatch

dc CB 14:22 GMT April 24, 2020
coronavirus pandemic will define the modern era

The novel coronavirus pandemic will define the modern era in the same way World War II shaped an earlier generation, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates says in a 11-page memo outlining his ideas on how best to tackle the disease.

***I never graduated high school and do not hold any advanced degrees in medicine or micro biology or evolutionary biology.

I learned everyrything I need to know about control and Sheep management from my sucess selling the world on my Windows Operating System ... which still has a control system based on DOS.********

Vax and Tag ---- Windows version CVD-19. Can't get a jod without it.

Mtl JP 14:22 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

as march low looking distant now

Mtl JP 14:21 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

above is 1.0826 and 1.0846

Mtl JP 14:19 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

1.0818 POOF !

Mtl JP 14:14 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi

.."estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent"... lets line 'em up and VERIFY (on a 95% confidence)

what would it take to line up:
- volonteer
- $100
- $1000
- ___ ?

AT Trader john 14:07 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final April, 2020



ALERT
71.8 vs. 69.0 exp. vs. 71.0 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


dc CB 14:04 GMT April 24, 2020
‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavi
Reply   
The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent, a risk far lower than previous World Health Organization estimates that were 20 to 30 times higher and that motivated isolation policies.

New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent, or 11 per 100,000 in the population. On the other hand, people aged 75 and over have a death rate 80 times that.

Of all fatal cases in New York state, two-thirds were in patients over 70 years of age; more than 95 percent were over 50 years of age; and about 90 percent of all fatal cases had an underlying illness. Of 6,570 confirmed COVID-19 deaths fully investigated for underlying conditions to date, 6,520, or 99.2 percent, had an underlying illness. If you do not already have an underlying chronic condition, your chances of dying are small, regardless of age

Scott W. Atlas, MD, is the David and Joan Traitel Senior Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution and the former chief of neuroradiology at Stanford University Medical Center.

The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

michigan 71.8 ...
impressive

london red 13:57 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

durables always been volatile they can shake it off, but consumer confidence would be harder to shake off. up soon

Mtl JP 13:53 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

1.0785 S on s/t

Mtl JP 13:48 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

euro 1.0790
maybe some options exp argumenting coming up

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

euro ying yang around 1.08 atm
dip pop dip pop

Mtl JP 12:50 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

but probably not as ugly as acrymony among the EU
letsee where enthusiasts predominate

Mtl JP 12:39 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

them r pretty
ugly
numbers

AT Trader john 12:35 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Durable Goods Orders March 2020



NEWS ALERT
Headline: -14.4% vs. -5.00% exp. vs. +1.20% (r+1.10%) prev.
Ex-Trans:-0.20% vs. -12.0% exp. vs. -0.60%(r -0.70%) prev.





Mtl JP 12:34 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

odds are DLR - 100.45 - likely going to be the driver

Mtl JP 12:32 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

EURO 1.08
-
Looking for down accelaeration
see if 1.08/1.0780 is a lure and trap

PAR 12:10 GMT April 24, 2020
Privatizing profits, socializing losses - Bankruptcy is a way better solution. $16 billion on which
Reply   
“Profit machine Booking.com raises its hand for state aid,” wrote financial daily Het Financieele Dagblad. Evening paper NRC Handelsblad called the request “the dark side of the business climate.” Much of the criticism focused on its use of tax planning and past payouts to investors. Parent company Booking Holdings Inc. has bought back $16 billion worth of stock over the past three years, according to its financial statements.

“Booking paid so much money to its shareholders in recent years that there aren’t any buffers,” said Jaap Koelewijn, corporate finance professor at Nyenrode Business University, by phone. “This is a classic example of privatizing the profits and socializing the losses,” he said.

Mtl JP 11:26 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

EURO s trying ... 1.0805

Mtl JP 10:56 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

Gold challenging R at 1735

Mtl JP 10:53 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

reach for stops at around 1.0819 can not be ruled out

Mtl JP 10:50 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

euro 1.0798 morning high
stops hunt cleaned out trailers,
train lightened

Singapore SC 10:43 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

News in euro?

Mtl JP 09:58 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

“I feel that I’ve had more than enough wealth for myself for some time. I don’t feel I need more.” - Timothy Springer

A 17,000% return on a single stock just made this teacher a billionaire

Mtl JP 09:41 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

Stocks mood
- asia: closed down accross the board
- europe: currently down ~1% +/-
- US mildly optimistic by way of 0.3% uP atm

Mtl JP 09:34 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

and potentially 1.0782/8 above that

Mtl JP 09:22 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

euro 1.0762 - may try to bite into likely stops around 1.0775

swiss frank 08:42 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

yes sorry thats what i was referring to.

swiss frank 08:42 GMT April 24, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Indeed.... Recently it was estimated the BlackRock owned between 3% to 5% of the residential real estate in Spain. Not to mention the hotels...

Mtl JP 08:40 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

frank -euro & your line see march low
on radar, c my 20:33 April 23

AT Trader john 08:28 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

Friday
DJ: -116
SP: -15.3

2-yr 0.225% +0.5%
Spread 10s-2s +37.6 bps (+39.5 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.595% -1.5
UK: 0.278% -1.4
DE: -0.456% -2.8

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Prev day Pivot Pt)
EURUSD 1.0745 (1.0791)
GBPUSD 1.2309 (1.2356)
EURGBP 0.8730 (0.8738)
USDJPY 107.70 (107.64)

This Week 1.0897-1.0727 (170 pips)
fri: 1.0784-1.0727 (27)
thu: 1.0845-1.0756 (89)
wed: 1.0885-1.0803 (82) mon: 1.0897-1.0842 (55)


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20-day avg: 1.0906
50-day avg: 1.0953
100-day avg: 1.1017
200-day avg: 1.1042

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





PAR 08:23 GMT April 24, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Scrapping negative rates could reduce interest rate differentials between Germany and France, Italy, Spain without the ECB needing to buy billions of French, Italian, and Spanish bonds from BlackRock & co.

AT Trader john 08:11 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

IFO does not expect a "V shaped" recovery for Germany.

OURCE: newsquawk.com

PAR 08:06 GMT April 24, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Stopping with negative rates could pump billions into the economy especially in these unprecedented times when citizens want to have cash because of all the medical and political uncertainties.

AT Trader john 08:05 GMT April 24, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

German IFO Survey April 2020



NEWS ALERT

Current Assessment (Conditions): 79.5 vs. 80.5 exp. vs. 93.0 (r. )
Business Climate: 74.3 vs. 80.0 exp. vs. 86.1 (r. ) prev.
Expectations: 69.4 vs. 75.0 exp. vs. 79.7 (r.) prev.


IFO Climate Survey



PAR 08:01 GMT April 24, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
ECB should stop its Negative Interest Rate Policy.

It is hurting everybody and banks are charging higher interest rates on loans because they have to pay the ECB
0.5% on excess deposits.

Kafka seems to be running the ECB. Surrealistic and incomprehensible.

AT Trader john 07:37 GMT April 24, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 24 April 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 24 Jan 2019
AA 07:00 UK- Retail Sales
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


swiss frank 06:50 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO

Sorry that chart didn't come out right. Lower horizontal line missing around 1.0650 recent bottom coincides with diagonal line. Later multiple bottoms 1.05ish.

Swiss Frank 06:46 GMT April 24, 2020
EURO
Reply   


Destiny probably where line meets line

haifa ac 06:44 GMT April 24, 2020
coronavirus pandemic will define the modern era
Reply   
The novel coronavirus pandemic will define the modern era in the same way World War II shaped an earlier generation, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates says in a 11-page memo outlining his ideas on how best to tackle the disease.

“This is like a world war, except in this case, we’re all on the same side,” he writes.

https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/it-is-impossible-to-overstate-the-pain-fight-against-coronavirus-will-define-our-era-bill-gates-says/

haifa ac 05:32 GMT April 24, 2020
USD is tiolet paper

That explains why people flocked to hoard every roll they could get their hands on a few weeks ago.

Central Kwun 04:23 GMT April 24, 2020
USD is tiolet paper
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1723 Target: 3000 Stop: No stop

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-21/bofa-raises-gold-target-to-3-000-as-fed-can-t-print-gold

Bank of American is looking for $3000

Mtl JP 00:51 GMT April 24, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 23 April 2020

EURO 1.0766 - PUPPY TRYING
to break lower. letsee

Mtl JP 00:26 GMT April 24, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 23 April 2020

‘We will not have a vaccine by next winter.’ Like 1918 Spanish flu, CDC says second wave of coronavirus could be even worse

‘We will have coronavirus in the fall. I am convinced of that,’ Anthony Fauci said Wednesday

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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