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Forex Forum Archive for 04/27/2020

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Mtl JP 22:55 GMT April 27, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 28 April 2020

Alleged guru contrasts "Do Not Fight The Fed"
-
Gundlach said he had

put a short position on the S&P 500

london red 21:30 GMT April 27, 2020
Forex View: Expect Month End US Dollar Selling

Re month end rebalancing this will apply to stocks to a certain extent to bonds/stocks ratio. they font have to do it during the last hour but it did happen this way end feb. march a day before.

GVI Forex Blog 21:12 GMT April 27, 2020
Forex View: Expect Month End US Dollar Selling
Reply   

Have you ever heard of the term “month end rebalancing?” 

According to Investopedia, Rebalancing is the process of realigning the weightings of portfolio of assets. Rebalancing involves periodically buying or selling assets in a portfolio to maintain an original or desired level of asset allocation or risk.

Forex View: Expect Month End US Dollar Selling

AT Trader john 20:09 GMT April 27, 2020
Breaking News
Reply   
fmr Starbucks CEO Neil says 20-30% of small businesses and restaurants will fail.

london red 20:03 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

to get that kind of payout on death youd need to be paying a couple grand a year cover. and i expect most of those folks dont/didnt have life insurance so its better than nothing. also worth noting that everyone is entitled to free nhs in the uk, so unlike in the usa, family members continue to be able to access nhs, warts n all. but still free access to a vital service.

Mtl JP 19:57 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

good deal ?
-
Families of U.K. health workers who die from Covid-19 will get payments of up to $75,000

the government announced on Monday

london red 19:56 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

sup for tom intraday is 2853/60 buying that dip shud take u to 2890/00.

london red 19:40 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

2891 gap

london red 19:37 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

order imbalance train coming up. frontrunning the 10 to the hour bullet may take price thru 2885 and test 2890

AT Trader john 19:35 GMT April 27, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 28 April 2020

Monday
DJ: +353
SP: +41.1

2-yr 0.220% +0.4%
Spread 10s-2s +42.2 bps (+39.0 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.642% +2.2
UK: 0.307% +0.6
DE: -0.453% -0.7

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Prev day Pivot Pt)
EURUSD 1.0828 (1.08340)
GBPUSD 1.2419 (1.2411)
EURGBP 0.8717 (0.8729)
USDJPY 107.23 (107.29)

This Week 1.0861-1.0811 (50 pips)
mon: 1.0861-1.0811 (50)
fri: 1.0819-1.0727 (92)
thu: 1.0845-1.0756 (89)
wed: 1.0885-1.0803 (82)

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20-day avg: 1.0875
50-day avg: 1.0951
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Mtl JP 19:35 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

SPX 2,881.99
heading into last half hour

as gap remains

GVI Forex Blog 18:50 GMT April 27, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 April 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 April 2020

Mtl JP 17:19 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

(but also new opportunities)
Opinion: The coming rupture in the U.S.-China relationship will have tragic consequences

By Stephen S. Roach

AT Trader john 17:14 GMT April 27, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 28 April 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 28 Apr 2020
C 13:00 US- Case Shiller
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
B 14:00 US- Richmond Fed
Wed 29 Apr 2020
A 12:30 AU- CPI
A 12:30 US- GDP
B 14:00 US- Pending Homes
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Decision
Thu 30 Apr 2019
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Employment
A 08:55 EZ- GDP
AA 11:45/12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
B 12:30 CA- GDP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:45 US- Chicago PMI
Fri 1 May 2019
May Day Holiday- many
Final Mfg PMIs all day


Mtl JP 17:09 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020



Another Gap
(one I do/will not play)

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

Nancy Pelosi:
- endorses Biden for president
- A Guaranteed Income Is Worthy Of Discussion

Mtl JP 16:50 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

64K Qtn
-
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
·
2h
Why should the people and taxpayers of America be bailing out poorly run states (like Illinois, as example) and cities, in all cases Democrat run and managed, when most of the other states are not looking for bailout help? I am open to discussing anything, but just asking?

Mtl JP 16:34 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

ruled up s/b ruled out

Mtl JP 16:33 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

Earlier generalized enthusiastic risk sentiment was connected to headlines about corona_V. But we are heading into month end. Bagging "enthusiasm" profits can not be ruled up.

Mtl JP 16:25 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

EURO 1.0820
-
earlier puppy looked like it wanted to go N of 1.0850 and hat it, N of 1.09. but nooooo... usd goes up against it instead!

Mtl JP 16:10 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

Cash SPX

S&P 500 Index

london red 15:12 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

spx fri high 2845. fri last hour high 2842.

NYC ET 14:20 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

red, is that a gap on cash or cfds? cfds low was 2819

london red 13:42 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

2840/45 fills fridays gap. sup 2810/2792. res 2880/85
euro. around 10 yards expiring in nxt fewe days in 10800-60 zone covering both fed and ecb meets.

AT Trader john 12:34 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

WTI $12.98 -4.06

Mtl JP 12:05 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

euro 1.0860 2x top on the hrly
looks bid

Paris ib 11:52 GMT April 27, 2020
The Post Covid World

Frank: JPY and Euro... CHF
Maybe also Ruble (not sure)
Probably Gold (though huge amount of manipulation in that market)

Haven't got a view about the rest.
AUD? Seen a bottom?

Crypto is an interesting beast.. positive overall but very crowded market. I like PAXG

Mtl JP 11:10 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

WTI 14.17

swiss frank 10:54 GMT April 27, 2020
The Post Covid World

Very well said. Agree re negative but with one caveat. In the trading world for every negative there must be a positive. So whats the positive on the other side of the "/" ?

Paris ib 10:38 GMT April 27, 2020
The Post Covid World
Reply   
The debt hangover will be enormous, though FED buying (introduced as part of the Covid response) will hide the impact on markets. This development will see the USD's status as a reserve currency take a bit more of a hit.

China is pressing ahead with the introduction of Crypto in five cities, the suggestion being made that Crypto will eventually replace the buck as the international reserve currency. Crypto which is gold backed is a hypothesis making the rounds. I don't have the details on any of this. Don't know how that will work. There is a link somewhere if people want to look.

Certainly the clear lack of unity in the U.S. won't help. The ongoing attack on Trump for "everything" from the media and the Democrats just isn't a good look internationally and that war keeps on rolling. With an election coming up: expect intensification. The anti-Trump circus misses the bigger picture which is negative for the international status of the USA generally. Do they care? It appears not. So same old on that front and economic data is likely to compound the problem.

Europe is a joke but not more than before and the fancy suits and the fake erudition of our dear leaders white washes the issue. In any case the Euro is not an international reserve currency so no change on that front. What is changing is the international position of the States... and not in a good way.

USD implications? Negative of course.

AT Trader john 08:30 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

Early Monday
DJ: +189
SP: +21.3

2-yr 0.228% +1.2%
Spread 10s-2s +39.0 bps (+37.6 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.618% +2.2
UK: 0.289% +0.7
DE: -0.465% +0.5

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Prev day Pivot Pt)
EURUSD 1.0844 (1.0780)
GBPUSD 1.2435 (1.2342)
EURGBP 0.8724 (0.8749)
USDJPY 107.21 (107.53)

LAST Week 1.0897-1.0727 (170 pips)
mon: 1.0859-1.0811 (48)
fri: 1.0819-1.0727 (92)
thu: 1.0845-1.0756 (89)
wed: 1.0885-1.0803 (82)

Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.0888
50-day avg: 1.0951
100-day avg: 1.1014
200-day avg: 1.1039

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 08:12 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 Apr 2020
no major data
Tue 28 Apr 2020
AA 03:00 CA- Bank of Japan
C 13:00 US- Case Shilller
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
B 14:00 US- Richmond Fed
Wed 29 Apr 2020
A 12:30 AU- CPI
A 12:30 US- GDP
B 14:00 US- Pending Homes
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Decision
Thu 30 Apr 2019
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Employment
A 08:55 EZ- GDP
B 12:30 CA- GDP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:45 US- Chicago PMI
Fri 1 May 2019
May Day Holiday- many
Final Mfg PMIs all day


PAR 07:37 GMT April 27, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
There is a limit to what central banks can do. Economic downturns are normally caused by imbalances, and central banks help to resolve those imbalances. This is not the case today. The downturn is policy-driven, and central bank policy plays a very junior role in fiscal policy.

swiss frank 06:28 GMT April 27, 2020
eur

slike = spike

swiss frank 06:27 GMT April 27, 2020
eur
Reply   
I like 1.0880-1.0900 to enter eur shorts again. Have to be a little cautious tho with slike in euribor and dip in usd rates USD is the new funding ccy.

USD/JPY i like long side too from around 1.05...

london red 06:16 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

JP, normally i would say gap closes today, but i feel they arent interested in letting u buy so low (amazon) now it has gone up, although there is always a small chance while under 2880/85 that it fills today because there could be some news. abv 2880/85 then daily channel at 2917 ahead of 61.8 fib of 2934. there you can say it can pull back. Again a wick is needed otherwise mkt almost always returns to the price. Going up first gives chance of making a wick but prior to amazon its a tall order imo.

HK Kevin 05:15 GMT April 27, 2020
Stsy on usd/jpy long side as BOJ will be in market for next

Hi Martin, welcome back. Your views on AUD & NZD twin will be appreciated.

Mtl JP 05:12 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

EURO 1.0842
c if 1.085x-ish holds Res

Gold Coast Martin 03:33 GMT April 27, 2020
Stsy on usd/jpy long side as BOJ will be in market for next
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Just a Heads UP.

dc CB 01:30 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

SPX Gap

and...and....and..... Carnak says....The Gap Coukld close.

You are Correct

dc CB 01:06 GMT April 27, 2020
Questions about this Plague

Victor Hanson. Almond farmer, Prof at Stamford

prob too long too deep too much
and Most Impt ----Not Trading related

a whole Hour...

Mtl JP 01:05 GMT April 27, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 27 April 2020

CB 23:49 feel free to ignore:
SPX S&P 500 Index Fr. close: 2,836.74

SPX Gap

dc CB 00:03 GMT April 27, 2020
Questions about this Plague

WHO said that?


Ryan Saavedra

@RealSaavedra

Bill Gates claims that criticisms of how China lied and covered up the coronavirus is a “distraction”: “China did a lot of things right at the beginning … they avoided the incredible economic pain … I think there’s a lot of incorrect and unfair things said”

This is all a lie
Embedded video
2,665
4:39 PM - Apr 26, 2020

"Well, I don't think that's a timely thing because it doesn't affect how we act today. You know, China did a lot of things right. At the beginning, like any country where a virus first shows up, they can look back and say that they missed some things," Gates said, adding "Some countries did respond very quickly and get their testing in place, and they avoided the incredible economic pain - and it's sad that even the US that you would have expected to do this well, did it particularly poorly - but it's not time to talk about that."

Gates then suggested that this is the time "to take the great science we have, the fact that we're in this together, fix testing and treatments and get that vaccine, and minimize the trillions in dollars and many things that you can't even dimensionalize in economic terms that are awful about the situation that we're in.

"That's a distraction," Gates

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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