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Forex Forum Archive for 05/1/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 21:21 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Directly addressing the allegations that have upended his stalled campaign, former VP Joe Biden issued a statement denying sexual assault allegations made by Tara Reade - a former staffer who claims Biden digitally penetrated her against her wishes back in the early 1990s.

In the statement, Biden said the alleged assault "never happened" and that his papers at the University of Delaware include no mention of the incident.

The statement begins: "So I want to address allegations by a former staffer that I engaged in misconduct 27 years ago. They aren’t true. This never happened."

Mtl JP 20:59 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

she said he says
-
"woman has to be believed"
Biden + Pelosi => hypocrites
only when it suits us

Mtl JP 20:50 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

1.0979
-
looks like euro 1.10 is a contentious line while puppy will enter next week under its 200 day Res

Mtl JP 20:14 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

(BLOOMBERG) Trump Says FDA Has Approved Gilead Drug for Emergency Use

(remdesivir is not earthshattering: apparently it helps hospitalized patients recover more quickly, i.e. in 10 days vs 14, but a welcome positive just the same)

Mtl JP 20:06 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Spukhafte Fernwirkung rofl... german has its own unique way of structure
-
starting to increasingly hear in msm rational justifiers why $praying economie$ is the "right thing" by various "experts"; the occasional critic being dismissed as kook

dc CB 18:59 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



adventures in numerology...
or
Spukhafte Fernwirkung

GVI Forex Blog 18:41 GMT May 1, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 1 May 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 1 May 2020

dc CB 18:41 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



the Fed will also taper its MBS buying from $8 billion to $6 billion on average in MBS per day next week:

Mon: $6.16Bn from $8.213BN last Monday
Tue: $5.76BN from $7.68BN last Tuesday
Wed: $6.16BN from $8.213BN last Wednesday
Thur: $5.76BN from $7.68BN last Thursday
Fri: $6.16 from $8.213BN last Friday

May 4-8 POMO Treas sked

dc CB 18:30 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

annnnddddd guess those Treas 'trade-ins' at cost guaruuuteeed profits lookin'g well.

london red 18:29 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

looks like sup a bridge too far to see today so like bugs bunny said thats all folks. last wks close 2837 but at least a fine wick on the wkly candle. its what worried me last week for bears (the tail in that case), so the omens are good for a test lower next week. as always u prefer them to go up first, then down if has a chance to stick. if we go down first (mon/tuesday), expect 2720/30 to hold.

dc CB 18:28 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Fed Cuts Pace Of Treasury QE To Just $8 Billion Per Day

Israel MacroMicro 18:21 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

nothing extraordinary to say about the last 48hrs
next week's nfp hopefully to reach while we trade under 2666

let's see

dc CB 18:20 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

ZeroHedge
Update (1340ET): Asked if his twitter remarks were vetted by the company, or if they were a joke, Musk responded with a cryptic "no".

That sounds like a pretty clear admission of being in violation of his agreement with the SEC to allow Tesla's board to approve all of his tweets pertaining to the company.

TESLA CEO, ASKED IF TWITTER REMARKS WERE VETTED OR A JOKE, SAYS 'NO'


TeslaCharts @TESLAcharts
Theory:
Elon wanted to crash the stock. The stock isn't down enough. This afternoon gets really interesting.$TSLAQ
1:38 PM - May 1, 2020

Musk Admits Violation Of SEC Deal: Says Tweets About Tesla Share Price Were Not Vetted

london red 18:09 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

takes a real wacko to talk his own $hit down. no marbles in that jar today.

dc CB 18:09 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

another clue to the Miracle that is TSLA.
(who's your daddy Elon?)
_______________________________________
Tesla cuts price for China-made Model 3 cars by 10% to qualify for subsidies

China had announced plans in 2015 to end subsidies for electric vehicles this year, but said in March it would extend them. However, it said the subsidies will apply only to passenger cars costing less than 300,000 yuan.

Reuters

Mtl JP 18:07 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



gaps here, there.. everywhere
not a puppy to trade by the faint of heart

Mtl JP 18:01 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

REUTERS version on appointment of

Tiff Macklem to BoC

london red 17:47 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

cos at that level just fed is then as big as us yearly gdp. they wont be able to service it from ticket sales unless rates go under zero. and negative rates kills 90% of financial sector in us (the model cant cope with negative rates. eu is slightly diff, better suited but still cant make it work despite this)

Mtl JP 17:31 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

red 17:08 why d u doubt that the bal sht can be expanded to 20 trillion ?

Mtl JP 17:27 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Earlier today Tiff Macklem was appointed the new governor of BoC

choice getting generally positive accolades, at least publicly

HK Kevin 17:13 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

london red 17:08 GMT, we have spent the money of the next 10th generations. My poor boys and girls!

london red 17:08 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

or maybe they got this years gains (and bonuses) out the way early cos its gonna be a long slog before folks spend like they used to. fed expected to expand bal sht by "only" another 4 - 5 trillion. the first lasted barely a month. a lot of months til spring 2021. not sure fed bal sht can be expanded to 20 trillion.

HK Kevin 16:52 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Just a conspiracy theory. The equity market retraces over these 2 days as most people expected. Does trade really so easy? I suspect the big players will push the stock indicies to break previous high before a substantial correction. If that is the case, my expected target for AUD is 0.6650, while not closing below 0.6360 .

london red 16:51 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

JP, a gap is a gap is a gap. all have need to be filled. the snp gap by 2537 is also a double gap. XTRA needy imo that sort.

Mtl JP 16:44 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

why SnP is down only -2.64%:
DJT still only whimping against china:
-
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
1h
Concast (@NBCNews) and Fake News @CNN
are going out of their way to say GREAT things about China. They are Chinese puppets who want to do business there. They use USA airwaves to help China. The Enemy of the People!

huff huff puff puff

dc CB 16:36 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



May Day May Day May Day May Day May Day

dc CB 16:30 GMT May 1, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 April 2020

dc CB 20:56 GMT 04/30/2020
once a dweeb always a dweeb.
weightlifting steriods girl friend hollywood manse - dont mean a thing.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

the House Judiciary Committee on Friday announced that it was launching an investigation into the company over whether it committed perjury during a Congressional hearing.
Seven bipartisan members of the committee said Friday in a letter to Bezos that if the WSJ's reporting is accurate, then it would appear that Amazon intentionally misled Congress.

Shares were off 6.4% on the news, adding to the market's woes during a session where traders are scrambling to cash out on last month's propulsive gains before the next shoe drops.

The probe will require Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos to testify before Congress, something he has previously resisted.
Bezos is the only CEO of the American Tech "big four" (Amazon, Apple, Google and Facebook) who has never before testified in front of Congress.

Amazon Shares Tumble 6.4% As House Launches Perjury Probe, Calls Bezos To Testify

Mtl JP 16:19 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Interesting ... a DOwn gap closing an uP gap
does that neutralize the gap's magnetics ?

S&P 500 Index (INDEX)

Mtl JP 16:13 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

USDCAD 1.4105, a nick sub 1.4119 Res
-
today, justin "admirer of China's 'basic dictatorship" trudeau announced a ban on ~1500 models of military-grade "assault-style" weapons in Canada, expertly claiming that "Banning these firearms will save Canadian lives." and that "You don't need an AR-15 to bring down a deer"

as of today in Quebec, may 1, peasants get their minimum wage legislated from $12.50/hr to $13.10/hr.

Mtl JP 16:05 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



MacroMicro 22:54 - 4 ur hapiniss

HK Kevin 16:00 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Equity market driven

london red 15:55 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

snp first proper sup by 2720/30 some interim by 2800/06

Mtl JP 14:55 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

that oil production cut
is supposed to be happening today
should be here under may 1 header

Mtl JP 14:53 GMT May 1, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 April 2020

that oil production cut
is supposed to be happening today

HK Kevin 14:52 GMT May 1, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 April 2020

Hourly close above 1.2565 will be safe for re-testing .2640 and even 1.2750.
My stop for short EUR survive for 2 pips. Closed short AUD earlier at 1.6432.

Pasig evan 14:37 GMT May 1, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 April 2020

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gbp above 1.2540, downtrend reversed? At the moment Gbp/Yen long seem better choice?

Mtl JP 14:34 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

short eur with tight sl

Mtl JP 14:32 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

POOF ! 1.10

Mtl JP 14:27 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

USDCAD 1.4090
looking hungry to bite into 1.41, 1.4118 beyond

Mtl JP 14:17 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

euro challenging 1.0999
letssee...

Mtl JP 14:15 GMT May 1, 2020
chinese communists' state secret
Reply   
World Health Organisation (WHO) representative in China Gauden Galea told Sky News earlier in the day that Beijing had refused to let the WHO join the investigation into causes of the COVID-19 outbreak.

"The WHO would be keen to work with international partners and at the invitation of the Chinese government to participate in the investigation around the animal origins",

WHO spokesman Tarik Jasarevic told AFP in an email

swiss frank 14:05 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

14:01

Yes: SNB buying eur/chf

No: Recent poll that shows more than 50% of Italians favor leaving the euro now.

Swiss Frank 14:03 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



Or bigger picture is it expanding the zone on both sides around 1.10 with lower lows on last move down to 1.0750, will next move be up thru 1.10 -> 1.1150 on to 1.12, all within a contracting 1.0650-1.1450? Not clear to me.

Mtl JP 14:01 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Q: what catalyst, besides breaking N of the technicals, might propel eurdlr N ?

AT Trader john 14:00 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI April 2020

U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

41.5 vs. 36.7 exp. vs. 49.1 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


Mtl JP 13:50 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



EURO 1.0980
-
on the downside: puppy needs to break thru the yellow Amazing Trader (red) Supp zone
in order to open a "woosh" down

HK Kevin 13:49 GMT May 1, 2020
AUD & NZDTwin

Closed short NZD from 0.6131 at 0.6066. Keep short AUD for a while admist AUD/NZD downtrend. WIll try to cover short positions since it is not working well
HK Kevin 18:50 GMT April 29, 2020
AUD & NZDTwin: Reply
Sold AUD at 0.6550 and NZD at 0.6131. Stop protected in place.

AT Trader john 13:46 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI April 2020





ALERT
36.1 vs. 36.9 exp. vs. 36.9 prev.


Mtl JP 13:39 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

EURO 1.0980
-
Currently capping euro some techs:
- 100 day 1.1004
- april 14th 1.09899 high
- 61.8% Fib at 1.0997

above all that is 200 day 1.1033

Pasig evan 13:39 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Kevin, thanks again. Prefer to watch your trade. Good luck too!

HK Kevin 13:33 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

Pasig evan 12:45 GMT, good luck. You know I have short EUR earlier.

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Last evening poloz shared why spraying market with gigagobs of "money" is the right thing to do. (earlier trudeau said essentially the same thing just in a more "progressive liberal" way when he tried to justify what looks like is going to be at least a $255 billion deficit)

keywords:
credit crunch; deflationary shock; no inflation; reverse; sunny days; normalize

TeachablePoloz: Moments from the Pandemic

Mtl JP 13:18 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

USDCAD 1.4000
-
Ottawa to appoint new Bank of Canada head on Friday - CBC.ca

5 mins ago - Finance Minister Bill Morneau is poised to announce the next governor of the Bank of Canada, changing the leadership of the country's central bank

Mtl JP 13:14 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Another hindsight optique:
From the Mar. 23 low through Apr. 16, during which the S&P 500 SPX gained 25.1%

S&P 500 SPX

Pasig evan 12:45 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Kevin, thanks. Long Gbp and Gbp/Yen.

HK Kevin 12:25 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

Pasig evan 10:54 GMT, watch EUR/GBP 0.8775 resistance for clue.

Mtl JP 12:22 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

May 1 peasant celebration day
-
Montreal rent strike movement calls for solidarity
Mar 30, 2020 · A rent strike movement has arisen in Montreal, in Quebec, across Canada and globally to appeal to the governments and the banks to step in and declare a moratorium on rent and mortgage until the COVID-19 crisis has passed.

Thousands of Americans to take part in biggest rent strike in decades

NY Rent Strike Demands Cuomo Act Amid Coronavirus Crisis

'This isn't an acceptable reality': L.A. renters hit new levels of rage under coronavirus

Mtl JP 12:13 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020



Heading into NY
-
various speculations around which puppy uP or DOwn against the USD.

Simple bottom line:
DLRx needs to pierce thru S at 99.30
to see more DLR dump

Mtl JP 11:32 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

Concensus is that, as percent of Global GDP
- china accounts for ~19%
- USA accounts for ~23%

China has - more than any other country in the world - 1.38 billion people to feed.

Mtl JP 11:19 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

kind of whimpy:

Trump Eyes Order to Block Savings Fund From Chinese Stocks
Bloomberg·9 hours ago

Treasuries Rise After Trump Revives U.S.-China Trade War Fears
Bloomberg·2 hours ago

unless only the beginning

Mtl JP 11:04 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

wick uP wick DOwn ...
20.5% april SnP gain probably one of if not the best on RECORD
can it repeat / be bested is the mio dlr Q

SPX S&P 500 Index (INDEX)

Pasig evan 10:54 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Red, how abt Gbp? Is it a buy? What levels? TIA

GVI Forex 10:53 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

AT shows a key residence at 1.0990, held first test

The Amazing Trader

london red 10:32 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

euro channel today at 1.1001 with 100 and 200 dmas at 1.1005 and 1.1035. Should offer resistance for a pullback at least once.

HK Kevin 09:53 GMT May 1, 2020
AUD & NZDTwin

AUD & NZD stop lowered. Also sold EUR at 1.0983. Stop above 1.10
HK Kevin 18:50 GMT April 29, 2020
AUD & NZDTwin: Reply
Sold AUD at 0.6550 and NZD at 0.6131. Stop protected in place.

AT Trader john 08:31 GMT May 1, 2020
Breaking News

GB Final Manufacturing PMI April 2020

U.K. Charts







-- NEWS ALERT --

32.6 vs. 32.8 exp. vs. 32.9 (r ) prev.





AT Trader john 08:22 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

FRIDAY
DJ: -494
SP: -65.7

2-yr 0.186% -0.2%
Spread 10s-2s +42.0 bps (+41.5 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.601% -2.4
UK: 0.228% -0.3
DE: -0.581% -0.5

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0963 (1.0918)
GBPUSD 1.2535 (1.2554)
EURGBP 0.8744 (0.8703)
USDJPY 106.90 (106.88)

This Week 1.0972-1.0810 (162 pips)
fri: 1.0970-1.0935 (35)
thu: 1.0972-1.0835 (137)
wed: 1.0886-1.0817 (57)
tue: 1.0890-1.0810 (75)
mon: 1.0859-1.0811 (48)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.0864
50-day avg: 1.0954
100-day avg: 1.1004
200-day avg: 1.1033

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AT Trader john 08:09 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 1 May 2019
May Day Holiday- many
Final Mfg PMIs all day


swiss frank 07:51 GMT May 1, 2020
yen
Reply   
Meanwhile.... Rejection at 107.50 and we're back to 107.00 ish. Some symmetry here of which looks like failure sees drop to 106.00 area. No position as would rather wait to buy from lower as and when it comes.

london red 07:49 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

wkly s&p futs

fine looking wick

PAR 05:44 GMT May 1, 2020
COVID-19
Reply   
Trump thinks it originated in a Chinese lab.

China thinks it originated in an American lab.

So both think it originated in a lab.ight

Frightening.

PAR 05:27 GMT May 1, 2020
GOVERNMENTS
Reply   
Governments don't create wealth.
Without economic activity governments run out of cash
and should stop paying high salaries and refocus on essential activities.

dc CB 00:48 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

$6.66 Trillion

Well at least our satanic overlords have a sense of humor. (ZH)

Fed balance sheet

dc CB 00:38 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

California Gov. Gavin Newsom has backed down from closing all beaches in the State of California, explaining to reporters and to local officials on Thursday that the closure would apply only to Orange County.

On Wednesday, Los Angeles Fox affiliate KTTV 11 reported that Newsom intended to close all beaches and state parks in the state, effective May 1. In his daily coronavirus press briefing, he said the “hard close” would only apply to Orange County.

dc CB 00:12 GMT May 1, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 1 May 2020

The Michigan House of Representatives declined to extend Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s state of emergency another 28 days, and INSTEAD VOTED on Thursday TO SUE HER.

Whitmer’s initial state of emergency order, which is separate from the stay-at-home order, expires on Thursday and requires legislative action to be lengthened.

Negotiations on that front fell apart on Wednesday when Whitmer refused to make any concessions on the matter, asserting she has the ultimate control of emergencies.

So the House voted to authorize Speaker Lee Chatfield to sue the governor, saying Whitmer’s “unchecked and undemocratic approach” is not the best way, ABC 12 reported.

“The current status quo relies on one-size-fits-all edicts that unfairly punish millions of people across the state without giving them any recourse or voice in the process,” Chatfield said.
“The people deserve a better solution, and we can provide it.”

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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