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Forex Forum Archive for 05/05/2020

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Mtl JP 22:53 GMT May 5, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

On this day 75 years ago
-
Canadian(s) liberated The Netherlands

Léo Major

Mtl JP 22:46 GMT May 5, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

IF only ...
-
Trump officials try to enlist foreign allies in pressure campaign against China over coronavirus response - cnn

..."He still has a soft spot for Xi," the source said.
A source close to the White House put it another way: "He's scared s***less. Xi scares him." .../.

source said

Tallinn viies 22:34 GMT May 5, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
if EIA numbers tomorrow confirm API numbers (+8 million barrels increase) then TOTAL US oil stocks will hit all time high tomorrow officially.
last time US oil stocks were so high was 31-st of march 2017.
then started big bull market.
brent moved from 45 to 87 during next 5 quarters.

Mtl JP 22:16 GMT May 5, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

as usual Bullard was at his best again (May 5, 2020)
-
"Fed has intervened effectively to maintain financial market functioning, stave off crisis on that front."

"US cannot afford to stay on hold until there is a complete and total resolution of the virus such as a vaccine."

"It would help the United States and it would help Europe to have something more at the federal level that would have more authority, more power, more ability to borrow.”

“This very much is a stress test for the euro and the European project to be able to react to this crisis in an effective way. I am just hopeful this will be a catalyst.” - Bullard in web cast remarks.

Bottom Line
approximately zero effect on markets.

dc CB 21:53 GMT May 5, 2020
interesting little fun fact

The GUY who freaked out the World.

Professor Neil Ferguson - whose dire coronavirus predictions prompted worldwide lockdown measures still in place - broke his own advice on the need for strict social distancing to hook up with his married lover, according to the Telegraph.

On at least two occasions, Antonia Staats, 38, travelled across London from her home in the south of the capital to spend time with the Government scientist, nicknamed Professor Lockdown.

The 51-year-old had only just finished a two-week spell self-isolating after testing positive for coronavirus.

Prof Ferguson told the Telegraph: "I accept I made an error of judgment and took the wrong course of action. I have therefore stepped back from my involvement in Sage [the government's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies]. -Telegraph

"I acted in the belief that I was immune, having tested positive for coronavirus, and completely isolated myself for almost two weeks after developing symptoms," he said, adding "I deeply regret any undermining of the clear messages around the continued need for social distancing to control this devastating epidemic. The Government guidance is unequivocal, and is there to protect all of us."

Ferguson, who resigned from his Government advisory position on Tuesday, predicted that up to 500,000 Britons and 2.2 million in the US would die without measures.

dc CB 20:58 GMT May 5, 2020
interesting little fun fact

Pay Attention proles....Here are the Rules for stuff you may want to do OutSide.
A Public Service of the BEZOS Post.

Washington Post › Here’s what you can (and cannot) do outside in the D.C. area May 05, 2020

dc CB 20:38 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

API
Crude +8.44mm (+7.1mm exp
Cushing +2.681mm
Gasoline -2.237mm (-400k exp)
Distillates +6.143mm (+3.5mm exp)

dc CB 20:35 GMT May 5, 2020
interesting little fun fact

In just 6 months, the 2020 elections will be history...
As the ECONomy struggles to recover from the attempted suicide--ReOpening for business...Expect a flood of NUZ Stories(STORIES) from all quarters that will make heads spin with truths, half truths, and outright lies.
Good luck trading, good luck surviving, as in the end scarificing you on the altar of Power will be worth it.

Mtl JP 20:24 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

SnP Close: 2,868.44, +25.70 or +0.90%
-
nasty fast dive into the close BUT

Opening GAP remains

Mtl JP 19:48 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020



SnP
-
and the "winner" is: (pic)

AT Trader john 19:32 GMT May 5, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

LATE TUESDAY
DJ: +290
SP: +42.1

2-yr 0.186% +0.4
Spread 10s-2s +46.6 bps (+48.3 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.652% +1.5
UK: 0.198% -0.8
DE: -0.572% +0.6

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0855 (1.0869)
GBPUSD 1.2449 (1.2451)
EURGBP 0.8717 (0.8726)
USDJPY 106.50 (106.63)

THIS Week 1.0975-1.0826 (149 pips)
tue: 1.0926-1.0826 (100)
mon: 1.0975-1.0896 (79)
fri: 1.1018-1.0935 (83)
thu: 1.0972-1.0835 (137)
wed: 1.0886-1.0817 (57)
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20-day avg: 1.0880
50-day avg: 1.0959
100-day avg: 1.0999
200-day avg: 1.1030

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AT Trader john 19:30 GMT May 5, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 6 May 2020
Final Service PMIs all day -- Some
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 7 May 2019
AA 11:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- Non-Farm Productivity
Fri 8 May 2019
AA 13:30 US/CA- Employment


Mtl JP 18:36 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020



a low risk trade opp (imo)
S at red line

GVI Forex Blog 18:32 GMT May 5, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 5 May 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 5 May 2020

dc CB 17:57 GMT May 5, 2020
CCP's secret secret - The United States of Sheep

California Man Arrested Three Times in 12 Hours But Repeatedly Released Due To Zero-Bail Policy

JONATHAN TURLEY Res ipsa loquitur – The thing itself speaks

dc CB 16:36 GMT May 5, 2020
CCP's secret secret - The United States of Sheep

The New York Times.

Pulitzers are now being awarded for ReVisionist History of America.

The 2020 Pulitzer Prize for commentary was awarded Monday to Nikole Hannah-Jones for an essay in the New York Times that falsely claimed the American Revolution was fought primarily to protect slavery.

The essay, titled “Our democracy’s founding ideals were false when they were written. Black Americans have fought to make them true,” launched the Times‘ controversial 1619 project.

...... Hannah-Jones’s claim about the cause for which the Revolution was fought. She wrote: “Conveniently left out of our founding mythology is the fact that one of the primary reasons the colonists decided to declare their independence from Britain was because they wanted to protect the institution of slavery"

swiss frank 16:06 GMT May 5, 2020
Podcast

He has tended to be fairly consistent with his views over the years. That said, in the body of the talk he does elude to a U shaped recovery over the next couple years. He also makes reference to the recovery and subsequent failure of the global economy in terms of the economy (not asset prices) with the underlying payback theme being unresolved imbalances.

Mtl JP 15:41 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

justin trudeau continues to spray op"money"

PM offering $252 million in new COVID-19 aid for farmers, food processors

PAR 15:37 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

Don't fight the FED. Don't bet against America.

london red 15:29 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

spx 2912 then lets see. 2934 this wk looks probable in any case

PAR 15:26 GMT May 5, 2020
FED CHAIR POWELL & Co
Reply   
Fed Chair Powell Has Upwards of $11.6 Million Invested with BlackRock, the Firm that Will Manage a $750 Billion Corporate Bond Bailout Program for the Fed

Powell is a member of that one percent class. According to his 2019 financial disclosure, his net worth could run as high as $55 million. Much of his investments are with Goldman Sachs (a Wall Street bank that is supervised by the Fed) or with BlackRock and its iShares Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). The government mandated financial disclosures report investment values in a range. The upper value of Powell’s holdings with BlackRock is $11.6 million. The upper range of Powell’s holdings with Goldman Sachs is $16.55 million. The name Goldman Sachs has been shortened to “GS” in the disclosure document.

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020



about that german ruling and the ECB
- 1) bundesbank does not have to ape the ECB and be buying "assets"
- 2) the ECB is not subjugated to the german court's ruling

Euro 1.0842
puppy continues to have a down bias
as long as 1.0860 holds Res
S at 1.0825

Israel MacroMicro 15:10 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

2820/30

Mtl JP 15:07 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

ok. we r at 2878
letssee

Israel MacroMicro 15:03 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

it's about to DROP jp
ES/SPX

london red 15:02 GMT May 5, 2020
Podcast

frank, first i will confess i didnt read the interview with roubini. someone who is bearish all the time, isn't helpful. but liked a stopped clock, can eventually be right to some degree.
i dont listen to many but gundlachs views until now worth listening to. one of few folks i would invite to work for me.

swiss frank 14:08 GMT May 5, 2020
Podcast
Reply   
Worth an hour of your time. Remove sharp objects from wherever you are before listening

Roubini

AT Trader john 14:02 GMT May 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ISM Services PMI April 2020

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
41.88 vs. 37.3 vs. 52.5 prev. (r. )





PAR 13:50 GMT May 5, 2020
BRENT OIL
Reply   
Above $ 30 as people start driving again.

Belgrade Knez 13:50 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB facing Competition

Mtl JP 13:42 GMT 05/05/2020
She has five kids ... where's da papà(s) ?

probably killed by mafioso!

AT Trader john 13:45 GMT May 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Markit final Services PMI April 2020



ALERT
26.7 vs. 27.0 exp. vs. 27.0 (flash)

Markit PMI Press Release


Mtl JP 13:42 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB facing Competition

She has five kids ... where's da papà(s) ?

Mtl JP 13:36 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

Five minutes in...
SnP uP +33.49 +1.18%

SPX 5-min

PAR 13:02 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB facing Competition
Reply   
Coronavirus: The lure of mafia money during the crisis
By Sofia Bettiza
BBC World Service

As the Covid-19 death toll grows, Italy's organised crime gangs have been looking to make millions. Many Italians feel they have no option but to accept the lifeline the mob is offering.

On the island of Sicily, the brother of a mafioso - a member of a mafia group - has been distributing food to the poor in a neighbourhood of Palermo.

"People ring me and they cry over the phone," he says. "They say their children can't eat. A young woman has been calling me every single day. She has five kids and doesn't know how to feed them."

He wouldn't confirm that he was part of the mafia himself, but he said that if being a mafioso meant helping people, then he was "proud to be a mafioso".

The coronavirus is new, but distributing food parcels to the needy is an old mafia tactic.

"The aim is to gain credibility and to step in as an alternative to the state," says Nicola Gratteri, an anti-mafia investigator and head of the prosecutor's office in Catanzaro, in Calabria.

The goal is to strengthen a base of support, he says.


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-52537573

Mafia Pandemi Emergency Program more effective than ECB s PEPP. Direct cash in the hans of people who need it.

AT Trader john 12:33 GMT May 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade March 2020



ALERT
-44.4 vs. -43.8 exp. vs. -39.8 (r ) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-1.4 vs. -2.00 exp. vs. -0.98 (r )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


PAR 12:06 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

EU law may be higher than national law but without the Bundesbank, the ECB becomes impotent.

Mtl JP 11:32 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

EU law is higher than some national law
ain't that so ?
as frank 09:39 asks: Whats not to like?

PAR 11:23 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

With it's new PEPP bond buying the ECB already created a loophole and nobody will know what and how much they are buying. Except maybe BlackRock.

What a vaudeville.

AT Trader john 11:07 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

Reportedly equities getting a lift from higher oil prices. London trading volumes are significantly higher today.

Mtl JP 11:00 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020



DLR too has the "enthusiasm" disease

Mtl JP 10:58 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

Heading into NY:
-
some asians uP
europeans are uP ~1.10-1.4%
US stocks looking -> uP 1.5%
crude uP to ~22.x

Current sentiment: enthusiasm

AT Trader john 10:07 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020

TUESDAY
DJ: +127
SP: +12.8

2-yr 0.192% +0.1
Spread 10s-2s +48.3 bps (+38.1 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.675% +3.8
UK: 0.235% +0.4
DE: -0.533% +2.7

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0850 (1.0924)
GBPUSD 1.2445 (1.2443)
EURGBP 0.8718 (0.8780)
USDJPY 106.85 (106.84)

THIS Week 1.0975-1.0826 (149 pips)
tue: 1.0926-1.0826 (100)
mon: 1.0975-1.0896 (79)
fri: 1.1018-1.0935 (83)
thu: 1.0972-1.0835 (137)
wed: 1.0886-1.0817 (57)
br>
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How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.0881
50-day avg: 1.0958
100-day avg: 1.1001
200-day avg: 1.1031

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Mtl JP 09:59 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

that is w/euro at 1.08472

Mtl JP 09:55 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

is euro selling overdone ?
-
to find out: go long against 1.08325

PAR 09:54 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

Nobody cares. In Europe, laws are there to be broken.
That's the European Union idea of laws.

London Trader 09:48 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

So is euro selling overdone on the court ruling?

swiss frank 09:39 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

Could be many reasons
- S&P's are up.
- Why buy bonds when you can buy equities.
- German small businesses reopening.
- Bundesliga set to start play soon.
Whats not to like?

London Trader 09:33 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

If this was so significant why is the DAX up?

GVI Forex 09:24 GMT May 5, 2020
German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying
Reply   
Germany's top court has ruled that the European Central Bank's mass bond-buying to stabilise the eurozone partly violates the German constitution.

German top court criticises European Central Bank crisis bond-buying

PAR 09:00 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Lagarde has one advantage as she is already used to violating laws in France.

PAR 08:51 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

#BREAKING Germany's Constitutional Court rules the European Central Bank must clarify a key bond-buying scheme to support the eurozone economy is "proportionate" or else the Bundesbank may no longer participate

PAR 08:39 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

ECB’s government bond purchases partially violate the law, top German court says.

Partially pregnant?

PAR 08:32 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Maybe Germany should fine the ECB for violating the EU Treaty?

AT Trader john 08:31 GMT May 5, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
UK Final Services PMI April 2020




-- NEWS ALERT --

13.4 vs. 12.3 exp vs. 12.3 flash.



PAR 08:30 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Euro on a roller coaster on headlines from Karlsruhe. Germany judges partly dismiss ECB APP case, BUT say some action unconstitutional. Constitutional Court says some ECB action not valid in Germany. ECB decisions not backed by EU treaty. Court gives ECB 3mth ultimatum to fix QE.

PAR 08:27 GMT May 5, 2020
EUROPE
Reply   
In Europe, laws are not worth the paper they are written on.

All European institutions and countries are above the law.

PAR 08:23 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Aufkauf von Staatsanleihen durch EZB teilweise verfassungswidrig

Der Aufkauf von Staatsanleihen durch die Europäische Zentralbank verstößt teilweise gegen das Grundgesetz, weil Bundesregierung und Bundestag die EZB-Beschlüsse nicht geprüft haben. Dieses Urteil verkündet das Bundesverfassungsgericht.

Basically. It is not legal but who cares.

swiss frank 08:21 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

German Constitutional court rules on legality of ECB asset purchases. It has dismissed part of the case with a 7-1 vote, but also said that some of the ECB actions are unconstituational and that they are not backed by EU treaty.

AT Trader john 08:21 GMT May 5, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 5 May 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 5 May 2020
AA 04:30 AU- RBA Decision
Final Service PMIs all day -- Some
A 08:30 GB- Construction PMI
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade
Wed 6 May 2020
Final Service PMIs all day -- Some
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 7 May 2019
AA 11:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- Non-Farm Productivity
Fri 8 May 2019
AA 13:30 US/CA- Employment


london red 08:12 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

weidmann on the wires talking about unwinding easing after crisis helping to put base in euro by neck of upside dwn shs (prior) which itself sits abv a collection of sup in 10890-75 range. with that as a base euro can rebound a bit

PAR 07:34 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Normally at 10.00 CET.

Belgrade Knez 07:24 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

PAR

do you know what time German judges will announce are they approved or not please?

thank you

PAR 07:22 GMT May 5, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
It looks like the German judges will approve the ECB unlimited bond-buying. They always approve whatever the ECB does.

swiss frank 07:20 GMT May 5, 2020
Germany
Reply   
The judges will announce the lengthy ruling at 10.00 AM local time in Karlsruhe in south-west Germany, attended by plaintiffs and the media in spite of virus-induced public health restrictions. The court has no jurisdiction over the ECB, and is enjoined to uphold European law. Yet the court has ultimate power to examine whether or not Germany’s participation in European integration violates European treaties and thus infringes the German constitution. It can also qualify ECJ rulings as unlawful (ultra vires).

Lets see...

German Court Decision

Loveland Professor 05:30 GMT May 5, 2020
Great content!
Reply   
Buy USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

I hope everything becomes normal after this Coronavirus ends. Let's pray for each other.

Cheers from tree removal in Loveland

Manila

Cantral Kwun 02:47 GMT May 5, 2020
short term sell
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1699 Target: Stop: 1710

gold short

Central Kwun 02:46 GMT May 5, 2020
Buy on dip

Sell Gold
Entry: 1699 Target: Stop: 1710

Yesterday long gold at 1698 was TP already at 1710, today change to short

dc CB 01:18 GMT May 5, 2020
interesting little fun fact

(leaked) Five Eyes Report

The 15-page research document, obtained by The Saturday Telegraph, lays the foundation for the case of negligence being mounted against China.

Daily Telegraph Australia

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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