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Forex Forum Archive for 05/12/2020

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Mtl JP 23:30 GMT May 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

and almost as if to goad ib (ib suggest a prozac for what follows)
.."“It is a much bigger need that we probably all thought in the beginning. But that is the nature of this, because it is the virus dictating the timing,” she - mester - said. ...

Mtl JP 23:27 GMT May 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

imagine.. assume.. divine.. hallucinate..
-
Fed’s Mester calls for more fiscal support to ward off ‘dire scenarios’ facing U.S. economy
By Greg Robb, May 12, 2020 at 7:21 p.m.

Cleveland Fed president says help needs to be bigger than first imagined

duh ! the FED turkeys still do not get it. all they know is moar MOAR

Mtl JP 23:22 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

maybe a ruse ... btfd ?
but at thy risk

dc CB 22:54 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?



Mtl JP 18:36 GMT 05/12/2020
FED was supposed to have started "buying" (haha) ETFs , program administered by friends at BlackRock.

dc CB 22:39 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

Israel MacroMicro 14:22 GMT
USA is in state of nuts, the virus turned into political issue. reality 2020
_________________________________________________________
Update (1520ET): Los Angeles County's stay-at-home order will likely remain in effect through July until early or even mid-August, public health director Barbara Ferrer said Tuesday.
___________________________________________________
Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) gave quite the earful to a home-bound Dr. Anthony Fauci on Tuesday over the COVID-19 lockdown that has crippled the US economy.

"The history of this when we look back will be wrong prediction after wrong prediction after wrong prediction... As much as I respect you, Dr. Fauci, I don't think you're the end all, I don't think you're the one person that gets to make a decision," said Paul - who added that we need to "observe with an open eye what happened in Sweden, where the kids kept going to school."

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/youre-not-end-all-rand-paul-slams-fauci-heated-exchange-over-lockdowns
______________________________________________________
******LINKED BELOW*******
And at the dead center of it all is Eric Schmidt. Well before Americans understood the threat of Covid-19, Schmidt had been on an aggressive lobbying and public relations campaign pushing precisely the “Black Mirror” vision of society that Cuomo has just empowered him to build. At the heart of this vision is seamless integration of government with a handful of Silicon Valley giants — with public schools, hospitals, doctor’s offices, police, and military all outsourcing (at a high cost) many of their core functions to private tech companies.

It’s a vision Schmidt has been advancing in his roles as chair of the Defense Innovation Board, which advises the Department of Defense on increased use of artificial intelligence in the military, and as chair of the powerful National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence, or NSCAI, which advises Congress on “advances in artificial intelligence, related machine learning developments, and associated technologies,” with the goal of addressing “the national and economic security needs of the United States, including economic risk.” Both boards are crowded with powerful Silicon Valley CEOS and top executives from companies including Oracle, Amazon, Microsoft, Facebook, and of course, Schmidt’s colleagues at Google.

The New Screen Deal - Under Cover of Mass Death, Andrew Cuomo Calls in the Billionaires to Build a High-Tech Dystopia

Mtl JP 21:55 GMT May 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

USDCAD 1.4075
-
justin trudeau and a bunch of his ministerial minions really screwed the cat today: earlier with big fanfare justin announced up to 4 payments of $2,000.00 to canadian peasants who lost jobs due to the wuhan virus. Now that canada is de-confining and companies are calling workers back total confused pandemonium erupted about answers to Qtn wether a worker can refuse to go to their job and continue collecting up to the max of 4 $2K payments. justin and his merry band are now being accused of seeding confusion, insecurity and fear among canadian peasants.

He / they will be needing to make some serious adjusting clarifications, highly preferably in written legalese form.

haifa ac 21:52 GMT May 12, 2020
Gold

JNUG went from $6,658 to $33 in 2 years. You lucky short genius. Kudos!

Burnaby 21:47 GMT May 12, 2020
Gold
Reply   
I do simple Burnaby Surveying
and let me tell you, I have been able to double my net worth by investing in JNUG (essentially gold mines).

Tallinn viies 21:09 GMT May 12, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
during the autumn when evenings start to get darker again then peoples minds getting more grey...
stock market crashes usually in autumns if to believe school books

london red 20:38 GMT May 12, 2020
eurusd

stocks to powell. we want moar.
looks like he better rewrite tomorrows testimony

Mtl JP 20:28 GMT May 12, 2020
eurusd

from ~9K to ~7K = ~22% poof
sounds reasonable but unlikely with some of the whales that make up a good weight. but... neither impossible

Tallinn viies 20:14 GMT May 12, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
nasdaq100 +20% YoY

back to 7000 could come easily

Mtl JP 20:10 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

DJIA on the day: -457.21 or only -1.89%
SPX on the day: -60.20 -2.05% (little better)
Nasdaq on the day: -189.79 -2.06% (top loser performer, %-wise)

Nasdaq back into RED ytd

Mtl JP 20:01 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?



at 4pm NYT:
something to give jerome to think about

Mtl JP 19:57 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

maybe stocks "laughing" at dem clowns trying to patch up a new $3 trillion "relief"

Mtl JP 19:50 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

what u call "gloomy testimony" should be good news for the likes of Amazon or Mcsft

AT Trader john 19:45 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

U.S. stocks selling off late. Could be a reaction to the rather gloomy testimony by Dr Fauci to Congress on the outlook for the CoVid-19 virus today. He warned against lifting lockdown rules too fast.

london red 19:17 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

fed like a daytrader. they saw lqd gap filled yest and no flash rebound so overnight they say they will step in and start buying, and boom gaps higher on open again. lqd is highly overvalued $hit which is why it was drifting lower (was easy short lqd long spy even dumb ass mom and pop able to handle that one)

AT Trader john 19:10 GMT May 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

LATE TUESDAY
DJ: -457
SP: -60.2

2-yr 0.173% -0.8
Spread 10s-2s +53.0 bps (+53.2bps)

10-yr
US: 0.703% -2.3
UK: 0.250% +0.1
DE: -0.506% +0.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0827 (1.0841)
GBPUSD 1.2284 (1.2309)
EURGBP 0.8833 (0.8837)
USDJPY 107.28 (107.40)

This Week 1.0885-1.0785 (100 pips)
tue: 1.0885-1.0785 (100)
mon: 1.0851-1.0803 (48)
fri: 1.0875-1.0815 (60)
thu: 1.0834-1.0767 (67)
wed: 1.0848-1.0782 (56)


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50-day avg: 1.0937
100-day avg: 1.0984
200-day avg: 1.1022

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PAR 19:03 GMT May 12, 2020
VIX
Reply   
VIX below 30 = RISK ON

Mtl JP 18:44 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
4hrs
As long as other countries are receiving the benefits of Negative Rates, the USA should also accept the “GIFT”. Big numbers!
=
Donald J. Trump
5hrs
Crude Oil prices going up as Saudi Arabia cuts production levels. Our great Energy Companies, with millions of JOBS, are starting to look very good again. At the same time, gasoline prices at record lows (like a big Tax Cut). The BEST of all Worlds. “Transition To Greatness”

Mtl JP 18:36 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

FED was supposed to have started "buying" (haha) ETFs , program administered by friends at BlackRock.

Suspencefully, jerome's gang has promised to vaccuum up some corp debt "in the near future".

Mtl JP 18:28 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?

or more like a warning to jerome what would happen to stocks IF he does not come thru with more moRE !

"friendship with limits"

GVI Forex 17:34 GMT May 12, 2020
Risk off?
Reply   
May be weighing on equities

GOP Senators and Lindsay Graham have introduced a China sanctions legislation in relation to the mistreatment of Uighur muslims

Source

Newsquawk

AT Trader john 16:39 GMT May 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 13 May 2020
A 06:00 GB- Output, Trade, GDP
A 09:00 EZ- Industrial Production
A 12:30 US- PPI
AA 13:00 US- Powell Speech
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 14 May 2020
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
<AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 15 May 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan


GVI Forex 16:33 GMT May 12, 2020
EURGBP

Posted earlier on the AT Forum

Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020
GVI Forex 14:46 GMT 05/12/2020 - My Profile
.8814 id a breakout showing a risk for .8865 as next key AT level.

To state the obvious, EURGBP buying is keeping a bid under EURUSD (ran stops above 1.0875 but failed just below 1.0886) while weighing on GBPUSD.

Lesson: When two currencies move in opposite directions it indicates a cross flow going through.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex 16:08 GMT May 12, 2020
EURGBP
Reply   
Thanka to Red who gave us an early alert to Brexit risk well in advance and I gave a heads up earlier today about EURGBP.

Israel MacroMicro 14:22 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

USA is in state of nuts, the virus turned into political issue. reality 2020

PAR 13:30 GMT May 12, 2020
Trump on crude
Reply   
Crude Oil prices going up as Saudi Arabia cuts production levels. Our great Energy Companies, with millions of JOBS, are starting to look very good again. At the same time, gasoline prices at record lows (like a big Tax Cut). The BEST of all Worlds. “Transition To Greatness”

PAR 13:27 GMT May 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
FED officials are very negative on negative interest rates citing the example of Europe where negative rates have done more bad than good.

FED thinks negative rates just make no sense.

GVI Forex 13:26 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

Look at EURGBP for what is driving the price action.

The Amazing Trader

dc CB 12:47 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

Sheryl Gay Stolberg
✔@SherylNYT
BREAKING: Dr. Anthony Fauci tells me he will warn the Senate on Tuesday that Americans will face "needless suffering and death" if the country opens up prematurely. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/11/us/coronavirus-updates.html#link-6f63d836 …

Fauci LIVE at 10:00AM
From the Doctors mouth to the Market's Ears

WATCH LIVE: Fauci, CDC director testify in Senate hearing on how to safely return

PAR 12:33 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

Some Swiss asset managers say China in the future and are overweighted China.

AT Trader john 12:33 GMT May 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
U.S. CPI April 2020



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: -0.80% vs. -0.70% exp. v -0.40% pre
y/y: +0.30% vs. +0.40% exp. v +1.50% pre
Core:
y/y:+1.40% vs. +1.70% exp. v +2.10% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


kl shawn 11:51 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold
Reply   
gold seems to have a lot of sellers above 1705, safe to play short it seems

Mtl JP 11:49 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

USDCNY 7.0928, China_A50 13482.5
Planning ahead
-
"Investors Are Terrified of Chinese Stocks. How to Profit From Their Fear.
In less than two weeks, investors may learn more about China’s economy than at any other time since the coronavirus emerged from Wuhan to ravage the world economy. The National People’s Congress is scheduled to meet May 22, and some investors are preparing for the possible release of economic stimulus measures during a gathering that typically lasts 10 days. China’s top legislative body was scheduled to meet March 5, but the coronavirus outbreak interfered with those plans."
- By Steven M. Sears, MarketWatch

jkt abel 11:29 GMT May 12, 2020
sell cable
Reply   
sold 12368, add later
let's follow Zeus for a ride down

Mtl JP 11:21 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

Stocks moods heading into NY session:
-
Asians: mixed, mostly down (on us/china belligerence?)
europeans mixed, currently slightly uP
US currently looking to open slightly uP
-
Bryan Adams, apparently at least partially being pizsed off that his show is cancelled, is getting flak for his tweet blaming the pandemic on 'bat eating bastards':
"Thanks to some f....ing bat eating, wet market animal selling, virus making greedy bastards, the whole world is now on hold. ... 'My message to them other than "thanks a f...ing lot" is go vegan'

"Go vegan" ? haha, that seems like advice just a bit too late.

GVI Forex Blog 11:08 GMT May 12, 2020
Covid-19 Trading Market
Reply   

The forex market has changed since the Covid-19 crisis erupted. At first, it led to a surge in volatility and has since been replaced by choppy trading. In the following you will see some added insights and a way to ada[t to a Covid-19 trading market.

Covid-19 Trading Market

Mtl JP 10:53 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020



US Stocks YTD
-
Arguably stock-pickers rule: for example, that Nasdaq is (the only) +ive ytd is due to just 4 stocks that make up 42% of the index.

Apple, Amazon, Mcsft ...

PAR 10:41 GMT May 12, 2020
RISK ON
Reply   
“Investors expect a fourth round of fiscal stimulus (“Cares 2.0”) will be enacted."

GVI Forex 10:30 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold



Amazing Trader one hour gold chart - see the range

The Amazing Trader

AT Trader john 10:03 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

TUESDAY
DJ: -62
SP: -6.9

2-yr 0.181% 0.0
Spread 10s-2s +52.7 bps (+53.7bps)

10-yr
US: 0.708% -1.8
UK: 0.277% +0.7
DE: -0.494% +2.7

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0827 (1.0820)
GBPUSD 1.2333 (1.2350)
EURGBP 0.8775 (0.8763)
USDJPY 107.50 (107.34)

This Week 1.0851-1.0784 (67 pips)
tue: 1.0828-1.0784 (44)
mon: 1.0851-1.0803 (48)
fri: 1.0875-1.0815 (60)
thu: 1.0834-1.0767 (67)
wed: 1.0848-1.0782 (56)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.0863
50-day avg: 1.0944
100-day avg: 1.0987
200-day avg: 1.1024

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 09:48 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 12 May 2020
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Wed 13 May 2020
A 06:00 GB- Output, Trade, GDP
A 09:00 EZ- Industrial Production
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 14 May 2020
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
<AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 15 May 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan


jkt abel 09:24 GMT May 12, 2020
buy usd mid london?
Reply   
the same usual play right?

jkt abel 09:07 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold
Reply   
sold 1705.65, add if 1708 seen, stop all 1715

bali sja 09:01 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold while below 1702

add one more 1705, same stop 1713

Paris ib 08:16 GMT May 12, 2020
Funding the Military Industrial Complex

CB yeah but now we got Obamagate, General Flynn and that mess with Cuomo and Nursing Homes. What galls me is the supression of information regarding Covid treatment:
- Chloroquine branded suddenly as dangerous after 70 years
- Nothing on Avigan. (used in Japan with great results)
- Nothing on intravenous Vitamin C

All the MSM harps on about is Vaccine, lockdown and be scared. Everywhere u look: disinformation and corruption. Still not going to plan. I don't like their chances, smack of desperation in some quarters. What exactly are they trying to hide? Don't know...

london red 07:48 GMT May 12, 2020
RISK ON

i am encountering some selling today in europe. snuffed out but still. are they nuts? today ndx fills 9406 gap then lets talk again. one more final gap exists but on the hourly c. 9600. then they got the ATH.

PAR 07:02 GMT May 12, 2020
RISK ON
Reply   
VIX <30 means risk on.

Massive liquidity flowing into the bond and stock markets.

dc CB 06:33 GMT May 12, 2020
Funding the Military Industrial Complex

ib
from across the channel

The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants”
Albert Camus

Who controls the British Government response to Covid–19?

SYD NG 06:19 GMT May 12, 2020
Chinese Playing Games with US- FU K THEM.
Reply   
China’s Finance Ministry issued a second list of tariff waivers for some of the US goods on Tuesday, per Reuters.

The Ministry said the waiver exemption will last for one year starting May 19.

There are 79 products on the exemption list, including rare earth ore, it noted.

Separately, it was reported that China boosted its soybean import forecast for the current marketing year, citing that it is in lieu of implementing the Phase One trade deal with the US

dc CB 06:05 GMT May 12, 2020
Funding the Military Industrial Complex

ib
I'm not saying that the virus-Covid is a coup attempt. But I am saying that it is bing used to extend the coup attempt that got 'revealed' last week by the release to all those 'classified sworn testimony transcripts' along with the dropping of charges against Gen Flynn.

more disconcerting is the move ahead with the 'tracking' plans.
that is come scarey distopian sheit.

bali sja 05:36 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold while below 1702

trying that idea too sold 1702.54, stop 1713, target 1620-1650

Paris ib 05:36 GMT May 12, 2020
Funding the Military Industrial Complex

CB I also got the impression that the whole Covid thing was a coup attempt of sorts but also that it is not really going to plan. The bottom line seems to be that the people behind this type of thing are actually morons, which is a disadvantage which should not be overlooked. Morons can only take over if they are allowed to.

manila tom 05:06 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold while below 1702

sold 1701.42, stop 1712, 1st target 1690 and then open target to maybe around 1620

manila tom 03:36 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold while below 1702

i like the idea, but i think above 1720 is too much money to give away for this play, above 1710 should be enough as stop if got it wrong
anyway, will know once london comes in, this asian session is just sooo boring

singapore td 03:29 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold while below 1702

looks good, can try short gold, looks like 1702 will cap, if wrong then above 1720 should be the stop

perth wtr 03:09 GMT May 12, 2020
sell gold while below 1702
Reply   
maybe can try some short gold, looks like it has 1700 handle phobia, stop above 1720 will do, if lucky we will see low 1600 soon again

dc CB 02:52 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

Fox Business
Published 2 hours ago

Trump orders federal retirement money invested in Chinese equities to be pulled

The assets at hand number around $4.5 billion in Chinese stocks

Mtl JP 02:41 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

"The Fed said most of the purchases would be in exchange-traded funds with exposure to U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds, but some of the purchases will be of ETFs whose primary exposure is to U.S. high-yield corporate bonds. The Fed said it will soon start purchasing debt issued by companies directly. Analysts said the Fed's announcement of the lending program in early April was enough to arrest turmoil in corporate bond trading and has allowed businesses like Boeing to issue debt."

Mtl JP 02:35 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020

Fed says it will start buying corporate-bond ETFs on Tuesday
- MarketWatch

dc CB 02:33 GMT May 12, 2020
AUD

China has imposed an import ban on four Australian abattoirs in an apparent escalation of Beijing's trade war tactics.

The blacklisting of the red meat abattoirs — three in Queensland and one in NSW — comes just days after China flagged plans to introduce an 80 per cent tariff on Australian barley, bringing the trade to its knees.

There are fears the barriers introduced by Australia's largest trading partner are in retaliation to Prime Minister Scott Morrison's demand for an independent investigation into the COVID-19 outbreak.

Three Queensland meatworks — Kilcoy Pastoral Company, the JBS owned Beef City, near Toowoomba; Dinmore, near Brisbane, and the New South Wales' Northern Cooperative Meat Company at Casino — have been suspended by China.

One analyst has told the ABC the four meatworks represent 35 per cent of beef exports to China, a trade that had been on track to reach $3.5 billion this year.

ABC Aus

dc CB 01:34 GMT May 12, 2020
The National Mind F^(
Reply   
this week the US will limp toward reopening for Bidness.
Pay a bit of attention to the spread of conflcting rules for how it can be accomplished --- across the 50 States--- because Trump has declared ---It's up to the Governors (and Murial Bowser the Mayor of DC, since DC is not a state)

imho---This is a Test to find out how much the Citizens, who pay taxes that pay the salaries of these Elected Representive will take.

all in prep for Nov.---DJT vs MaxHeadroom

Max

Tallinn viies 00:50 GMT May 12, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
Twitter source suggests US Senate Majority Leader McConnell has tested positive for coronavirus - Unconfirmed

Mtl JP 00:49 GMT May 12, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 12 May 2020



wavy bugger
suggestive of rangy trading
untill some new catalyst
probably powell's adjusted fertilizer formula on wednesday

dc CB 00:08 GMT May 12, 2020
Funding the Military Industrial Complex

Speaking at his daily press conference,NY Gov. Cuomo bizarrely declared: “Yes we have more cases than anyone else. Yes we had this European virus attack us and nobody expected it. But we’re not only going to change our trajectory, we’re going to change the trajectory more dramatically than any place else in the nation.”

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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