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Forex Forum Archive for 05/13/2020

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 21:44 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

CNN to feature 17yo COVID Expert in Thurs eve Global Town Hall

CNN

AT Trader john 21:27 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

DJT wants negative interest rates.

dc CB 20:57 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

oops

WaPost

dc CB 20:56 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

The leading edge of the Big Testiness for the Moronic Flippty Flopper Keep It LockDowners.

ps: Memorial Day(May25)Weekend comin' on fast. Memorial Day parades.
In my TriState area that marks the begining of summer---beach time, boating on the Chesapeake, crab feasts....warm at last
'let's go downy oshen hon'

london red 20:45 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P

fine looking gap, expect it to be filled before market hits new high imo

Israel MacroMicro 20:31 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P

DJT counts on the reader of his tweets not being aware about his own past fiascos in the markets.

dc CB 20:27 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P



Cubes---the gap remains.
NDX

dc CB 20:22 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P

Donald J. Trump
✔@realDonaldTrump

When the so-called “rich guys” speak negatively about the market, you must always remember that some are betting big against it, and make a lot of money if it goes down. Then they go positive, get big publicity, and make it going up. They get you both ways. Barely legal?

10:16 AM - May 13, 2020

dc CB 20:20 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P

TinFoilHats on-----The following is FAKE NUZ------
Did these guys sell Calls on their AUM????
Did they exit those positions Monday???
___________________________________________

OK back to Real News:

ZH daily summation: Billionaires are ringing alarm bells - Druck, Tepper, & Lasry - the market's way overvalued and hopes of (and pricing in) a v-shaped recovery are a fallacy.

dc CB 20:03 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P



The Rock of Fink

the Old Rock

dc CB 19:35 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

WHO provides your daily dose of FEAR, along with repeating the Obvious with a side of FEAR.
______________________________________________
Update (1430ET): During Wednesday's press briefing, the WHO's Dr. Mike Ryan warned that the coronavirus might become "endemic", bouncing around the population like HIV or a supercharged version of the common cold until a vaccine can be mass produced. He added a warning against all predictions about how long the virus will keep circulating.

Dr. Ryan also urged the world to undertake a massive effort to eradicate it, to which we say...dude, really?(ZH)

Reuters:
"I think it is important we are realistic and I don’t think anyone can predict when this disease will disappear,”

WHO Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus added: “The trajectory is in our hands, and it’s everybody’s business, and we should all contribute to stop this pandem

london red 19:31 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P

lower low lower high bearish. and if/on a lower wkly close allows adding on bounces next wk. only caveat and one that will change matters is more fed/qe bull$hit.

dc CB 19:28 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P

This is an OPEX week and as has been the case the Volitilty Premiums are large.

AT Trader john 19:18 GMT May 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

LATE Wednesday
DJ: -593
SP: -66.6

2-yr 0.165% -0.8
Spread 10s-2s +48.7 bps (+49.7bps)

10-yr
US: 0.652% -0.4
UK: 0.210% +0.2
DE: -0.522% +0.4

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL to LOWER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0816 (1.0841)
GBPUSD 1.2222 (1.2257)
EURGBP 0.8847 (0.8844)
USDJPY 106.99 (107.01)

This Week 1.0895-1.0785 (110 pips)
wed: 1.0895-1.0813 (82)
tue: 1.0885-1.0785 (100)
mon: 1.0851-1.0803 (48)
fri: 1.0875-1.0815 (60)
thu: 1.0834-1.0767 (67)


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50-day avg: 1.0931
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200-day avg: 1.1020

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AT Trader john 19:18 GMT May 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

..

GVI Forex Blog 18:58 GMT May 13, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 13 May 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 13 May 2020

Paris ib 18:30 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P

Fundamentally things aren't so good either, the only thing standing between this and the deep blue sea is the FED. And it seems no-one trusts the authorities any more. No surprise there, they are all covered in mud.

dc CB 18:17 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

Update (1355ET): Just minutes after the "threat" from China, the National Legal and Policy Center (NLPC) issueed a press release asking Blackrock - the world's largest asset manager - to divest its customer's money from the 137 Chinese companies currently listed on American stock exchanges.

The letter was addressed to BlackRock Chair and CEO Larry Fink:

Of the 137 Chinese companies currently listed on American stock exchanges, eleven are at least 30% owned by the Chinese government and all are "under the influence and ultimate control of the Communist Party of China."

BlackRock, the world's largest investment manager, recently divested itself of certain companies producing thermal coal in response to demands by anti-fossil fuel activists. In the letter, NLPC Chairman Peter Flaherty cited this "precedent" and argued that Chinese companies "that manufacture equipment for Xi's surveillance state or that are dominated by the People's Liberation Army raise even bigger ethical questions."

"China is the world's worst human rights abuser and greatest threat to world peace through its military buildup and increasingly imperial ambitions," Flaherty writes.

"Some investment managers argue that factors like human rights should not be considered in investment decisions because they have a fiduciary duty to investors to obtain the best possible return. Of course, you have specifically rejected this argument by applying a host of ESG litmus tests to BlackRock's investments."

"In light of your self-appointment as moral arbiter for corporate America, you cannot now pick and choose which moral imperatives you will honor and which you will ignore. Unless BlackRock divests from Chinese companies, your 'leadership' will amount to empty virtue-signaling."

Blackrock Pressed To Divest of All Chinese Assets By NPLC After COVID, Human Rights Abuses

PAR 17:55 GMT May 13, 2020
S & P
Reply   
Technically it's looking terribly.
Close below 20 dma.

Paris ib 17:49 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

Get these publically funded morons off the sidelines and DEALING with the economic catastrophe they have created. They need to be scared for their jobs and scared they will be sued and found liable. Reverse engineer the fear. They are all spineless idiots and fear will move them.

dc CB 17:46 GMT May 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

“We are issuing this advisory in the wake of unusually high volatility and negative pricing experienced in the May 2020 West Texas Intermediate (WTI), Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures contract on April 20,” says the eight-page advisory signed by the CFTC’s heads of market oversight, clearing and risk, and swap dealer and intermediary oversight.

Clearing houses "should prepare for the potential that certain contracts may experience significant price volatility, and that negative pricing is a possibility", the advisory said adding that "we are issuing this advisory in the wake of unusually high volatility and negative pricing experienced in the May 2020 physically-delivered WTI contract, and related reference contracts."

CFTC Warns Traders

dc CB 17:27 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

(UPDATE 13:00ET) NJ Gov Phil Murphy has on Wednesday seemingly taken a major u-turn, moving ahead with a plan to partially reopen the state on Monday
Governor Phil Murphy
✔@GovMurphy
Today, I will sign an Executive Order, effective 6:00 AM Monday, May 18, 2020:
☑️Allow the restart of non-essential construction
☑️Allow non-essential retail stores to reopen for curbside pickup only
☑️Permit drive-through and drive-in events under social distancing guidelines

****Washington DC is extending its lockdown until June 8 as Mayor Muriel Bowser insists that more testing is needed before the city can reopen.

AT Trader john 17:16 GMT May 13, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 14 May 2020
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 15 May 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan


dc CB 17:11 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge

Hu Xijin 胡锡进
✔@HuXijin_GT

To counteract the abuse of anti-China litigation over COVID-19, Beijing is already preparing to take the necessary punishment measures against some members of the US Congress, the state of Missouri, and relevant individuals and entities, sources told Global Times
12:46 PM - May 13, 2020

so China sez - Who's Your Daddy!
Will they cut off the bribes ??????
Will all the "Tokyo Roses" get exposed?

london red 16:38 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

spx stops 2 pts abv last wks low which was 2797. there is a bit of a vacuum to 2750/30/20. seems a bridge too far to go under 2797 today but if it does it could drop dwn there v quickly.

london red 16:18 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

ndx 8840 gap. may not stop til then

Paris ib 16:12 GMT May 13, 2020
The Morons in Charge
Reply   
These idiots better get their act together quick. They locked us down pretty much overnight with no real plan out and no specific objective. They unleashed massive government spending with no idea of who was going to pay for it. They better reverse course pronto. This is obviously not working, was a dumb idea and we need to get back to normal (or as close to) asap. This was a economic catastrophe by decree and it's all on them. All the obfuscation in the world can not hide that. Till they do: liquidate and wait remain the order of the day. And the journalists and the experts need to shut up.

PAR 15:15 GMT May 13, 2020
Negative Interest Rates
Reply   
The longer they stay in place the more damage they do.

They are like gangrene and if not stopped will destroy the European financial system.

Only Germans seem to understand that.

Paris ib 15:07 GMT May 13, 2020
The Big Positive for the USD is there is no alternative

Everyone is going to have a go coming up with something. What we end up with is anyone's guess. Right now it looks like the world divides into regions trade and finance-wise. Globalisation as a concept is fading.

HK Kevin 15:00 GMT May 13, 2020
The Big Positive for the USD is there is no alternative

Libra by Facebook may be the one and only one potential candidate of international reserve ccy in 50 years time. Other ccys may still exist but all at the exchange rate of 1:1

Paris ib 14:47 GMT May 13, 2020
The Big Positive for the USD is there is no alternative

st I started way before the 2008 crisis so it's more than eight years. I haven't got the exact date. I'm interested in geopolitcal macro trends so if you don't mind I'll retain my focus on reserve currencies and so on and you can post about water if you like. Ok?

Syd st 14:44 GMT May 13, 2020
The Big Positive for the USD is there is no alternative

A link to Pablo Escobar's Autobiography might be a better read. Ever since you have been posting on this forum ( some 8 years) , you are like a Doomsday Prepper hoping for a USD demise.
Well , your great grand kids might see that but it will not be China. Your hope for a digital Chinese currency is a non starter. It will be as unpopular as the Chinese One Belt One Road Project.
In the meantime, divest your thoughts out of a USD demise and invest them into basic instruments linked to clean air, food and water for your own mental and financial well being. These are the things that will only matter and the things that future confrontations will be about.

Paris ib 14:39 GMT May 13, 2020
The Big Positive for the USD is there is no alternative

“A major geopolitical contest between America and China is both inevitable and avoidable.”

The link to Escobar's article

AT Trader john 14:33 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil mn: -0.745 v +4.300 exp v +4.600 prev.
Distillates mn: +3.513 v +3.150 exp v 9.520 prev.
Gasoline mn: -3.511 v -2.300 exp v -3.160 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



Paris ib 14:27 GMT May 13, 2020
The Big Positive for the USD is there is no alternative
Reply   
That's it. That's what I keep seeing. There is no alternative international reserve currency.

You know what? I don't think that's enough of a positive. Is that all they got? There is no alternative? Not big enough, not strong enough and probably not true.

"And that leads us to the role of the US dollar in financing global trade. Mahbubani correctly analyzes that once this is over, “the complex international system based on the US dollar could come tumbling down, rapidly or slowly.” China’s master plan is to accelerate the process by connecting its digital platforms – Alipay, WeChat Pay – into one global system."

Pepe Escobar .... so, so article on alternatives

Paris ib 14:16 GMT May 13, 2020
Amazing Trader: SPX 500 Update

And what if the election is some king of debacle (Hanging Chads or Russian interference or Postal fraud....). There are all kinds of ugly and then Winter starts again and maybe we get a bit more virus fun.

Not to mention potential or actual trade / financial / economic wars between the U.S. and China.

What's the good news? That the sell off gets so severe that buying becomes a no-brainer? We're not there yet.

Feels to me like the fall of the Soviet Union. And that took more than a decade to unravel. This is a lot bigger.

The U.S. always needs and wants an Enemy. Why? No idea

HK Kevin 14:14 GMT May 13, 2020
EURGBP

GBP is gone after breaking 1.2250.

Paris ib 14:09 GMT May 13, 2020
Amazing Trader: SPX 500 Update

All will be clear to see? I'm wondering about that, how long before we see what is going on? A month after the end of Covid restrictions? That's some time away. At the moment it looks like we MIGHT get back to quasi normal by say end June. But more normal won't really be around until later than that and then we have the run up to the U.S. election, so basically we are in limbo for pretty much the end of the year.

IMVHO that does not add up to good news. We need clarity or the default position becomes: liquidate and wait.

GVI Forex 14:07 GMT May 13, 2020
EURGBP
Reply   
EURGBP testing the next AT target cited yesterday at .8865 (just broken briefly so far). Void of key levels or obvious stops until the upper .89s so little of note to go after above .8865.other than the HOD

The Amazing Trader

london red 14:05 GMT May 13, 2020
Amazing Trader: SPX 500 Update

slanted channel which doubles as shs neck at 2827 today. that will shield stops but i wonder if there is enough will from bears to take it under. mkt doesnt appear to want to fall until economies are all open fully again and then all will be clear to see.

GVI Forex 13:45 GMT May 13, 2020
Amazing Trader: SPX 500 Update
Reply   


Key level is the AT "older (red) line" at 2831 so into a potential support zone unless taken out by stops- see one hour AT chart

london red 13:31 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

spx gap at 2844 yet to be closed but better if it backfilled yest range a bit first 2880 maybe 2900 then lower as fall to 2844/20 likely to be met with more bulls.

london red 13:25 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

yields moved back after that, but he will want to finish dovish as lotta debt to go this week and the next. and the next. and the next...

swiss frank 13:21 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Not looking at nega rates.

london red 13:18 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

us rates below zero by 2021 after powell. so how does that tie in with v shape. will they be cutting below zero as the economy booms at the end of q4 2020

PAR 13:08 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Problems with his throat. Get a test?

swiss frank 13:06 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Seems to have a problem with his throat. Other than that same bla bla bla

HK Kevin 12:45 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Any QAs session?

london red 12:43 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

powell up next. how does he stay dovish yet taken negative rates off the table?

PAR 12:35 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Companies have no pricing power at all.

AT Trader john 12:32 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. PPI April 2020



NEWS ALERT
Final Demand: -1.30% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. -0.20% (r. ) prev.
Core: -0.90% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.20% (r. ) prev.


RELEASE: Producer Price Index


haifa ac 11:40 GMT May 13, 2020
Goodbye Dubai?!
Reply   
Built for a global economy, Dubai now threatened by virus

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Dubai built a city of skyscrapers and artificial archipelagos on the promise of globalization, creating itself as a vital hub for the free movement of trade, people and money worldwide — all things that have been disrupted by the coronavirus pandemic.

Now, with events canceled, flights grounded and investment halted, this sheikdom in the United Arab Emirates is threatened both by the virus and a growing economic crisis. Under pressure even before the outbreak, Dubai and its vast web of state-linked industries face billions of dollars in looming debt repayments.

https://apnews.com/7b87b841e66ab324e029b0ba7f899ee6

PAR 11:03 GMT May 13, 2020
VIX

London. Agree 100%

Overnight low right at 20 dma.
If we go there a third time it will break.

london red 10:46 GMT May 13, 2020
VIX

not all. 2827 is shs neckline. good for around a 100pts if broken and followed on.

AT Trader john 10:31 GMT May 13, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

9:00 a.m.
Speech -- Chair Jerome H. Powell
Current Economic Issues
At the Peterson Institute for International Economics (via webcast)

WEBCAST

PAR 10:19 GMT May 13, 2020
VIX
Reply   
VIX down 7.5 % ahead Powell.

As usual US stock futures well above overnight lows.
All stops on the downside hit.

AT Trader john 09:32 GMT May 13, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

Wednesday
DJ: -36
SP: -4.4

2-yr 0.167% -0.6
Spread 10s-2s +49.7 bps (+53.0bps)

10-yr
US: 0.664% -2.8
UK: 0.220% -2.9
DE: -0.532% +2.4

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0838 (1.0841)
GBPUSD 1.2278 (1.2309)
EURGBP 0.8828 (0.8837)
USDJPY 107.02 (107.40)

This Week 1.0885-1.0785 (100 pips)
wed: 1.0857-1.0831 (26)
tue: 1.0885-1.0785 (100)
mon: 1.0851-1.0803 (48)
fri: 1.0875-1.0815 (60)
thu: 1.0834-1.0767 (67)


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20-day avg: 1.0854
50-day avg: 1.0937
100-day avg: 1.0984
200-day avg: 1.1022

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AT Trader john 09:14 GMT May 13, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 13 May 2020
A 06:00 GB- Output, Trade, GDP
A 09:00 EZ- Industrial Production
A 12:30 US- PPI
AA 13:00 US- Powell Speech
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 14 May 2020
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Fri 15 May 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan


AT Trader john 09:04 GMT May 13, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Industrial Production March 2020





ALERT
-12.9% vs. -12.4% exp vs. -1.90% (r -2.20%) prev.



PAR 08:43 GMT May 13, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

#ECB Balance sheet hit fresh ATH at €5,451bn as Lagardee has ramped up QE program (+€46.1bn) following German Constitutional Court ruling which questioned the proportionality of QE. Total assets now equal 45.8% of Eurozone GDP, the highest ratio on record.

PAR 07:04 GMT May 13, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
Germany’s constitutional court wasn’t making a huge demand on the European Central Bank this month in a landmark ruling that questioned the underpinning of the bloc’s asset repurchase program, the judge who drafted the opinion said.

Peter Huber, a member of the German tribunal, said the ruling was asking the ECB to publicly take responsibility for its quantitative easing program and to explain it to those negatively affected by it. His comments come from an interview published Tuesday on Sueddeutsche Zeitung’s website.

“The message to the ECB is actually homeopathic,” he said. “It shouldn’t see itself as the ‘Master of the Universe.’ An institution like the ECB, which is only thinly legitimized democratically, is only acceptable if it strictly adheres to the responsibilities assigned to it.”

Central Kwun 07:03 GMT May 13, 2020
Bank of America on Wednesday raised its price target on gold
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1703 Target: 1800 Stop:

buy on dip, sure win

PAR 07:00 GMT May 13, 2020
Powell coming to the rescue
Reply   

US Treasuries outperformed after a well-digested 10-yr bond sale and as US equities fainted into the close. Risk sentiment will be the driving market force today as well together with a speech by Fed Chair Powell. Comments on negative policy rates, the shape of the recovery, and the Fed’s toolkit and readiness to act further if necessary, will be closely watched.

swiss frank 06:28 GMT May 13, 2020
Gates & Modi
Reply   
These two are totally meant for each other

Gates and Modi

Mtl JP 00:51 GMT May 13, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020

threatens... promises ... what is the difference, just semantics:
-
US Senate threatens sanctions on China over COVID-19 accounting

AFP 2 hrs ago

Mtl JP 00:25 GMT May 13, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 13 May 2020



heee...rrrr jeeee-rrrooooohhh...mme...uhhhh
gitti gitti gitti gitti

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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