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Forex Forum Archive for 05/14/2020

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AT Trader john 20:34 GMT May 14, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Late Thursday
DJ: +377
SP: +32.5

2-yr 0.149% -1.2
Spread 10s-2s +47.1 bps (+46.3bps)

10-yr
US: 0.620% -3.1
UK: 0.202% -0.2
DE: -0.531% +0.7

EURUSD MACRO TREND: LOWER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0799 (1.0800)
GBPUSD 1.2226 (1.2211)
EURGBP 0.8830 (0.8842)
USDJPY 107.32 (107.16)

This Week 1.0895-1.0775 (120 pips)
thu: 1.0826-1.0775 (51)
wed: 1.0895-1.0813 (82)
tue: 1.0885-1.0785 (100)
mon: 1.0851-1.0803 (48)
fri: 1.0875-1.0815 (60)


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50-day avg: 1.0923
100-day avg: 1.0979
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GVI Forex Blog 20:19 GMT May 14, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 14 May 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 14 May 2020

GVI Forex Blog 16:31 GMT May 14, 2020
Inside Forex: How the Swiss National Bank Impacts EURUSD Trading
Reply   

Intervention in the forex market by the Swiss National Bank is not news. It has been doing so for as long as I can remember in an effort to limit strength in the CHF,

Anyone who was trading in January 2015 remembers the carnage in the forex market caused by the SNB abandoning its defense of EURCHF 1.20.  The resulting flash crash is just a memory now but the ramifications both then and now are still being felt in the market.

Inside Forex: How the Swiss National Bank Impacts EURUSD Trading

Mtl JP 15:48 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020



EURO 1.0792-ish
-
puupy sofar maintaining and dancing to the earlier mentioned nega bias
as it is testing 1.0790 S

developing ...

AT Trader john 15:38 GMT May 14, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 15 May 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan


Mtl JP 14:43 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
1h
Good numbers coming out of States that are opening. America is getting its life back! Vaccine work is looking VERY promising, before end of year. Likewise, other solutions!

london red 14:39 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

us focuses on china but amazing how snb buys us stocks for free just largely goes under radar

Mtl JP 14:38 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

2750 - negative side of magnet sofar, repulsing price
holding S atm

GVI Forex 14:21 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Red, thanks for the SNB post. Very insightful.

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

EURO 1.0808
-
Truth or consequences:
puppy peaking nose N of 1.08
1.0850 needs to hold R
on the downside 1.0790/85 current S

Mtl JP 14:11 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

USDCAD 1.4125
-
puppy primarily under influence of market hunger for "risk",
crude price moves of limited influence. and for a while yet most likely

Mtl JP 14:04 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

From the folks who claim that "We are Canada's central bank. We work to preserve the value of money by keeping inflation low and stable."

Financial System Review Summary—2020 - May 14, 2020

london red 14:01 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

8840 on the ndx

Mtl JP 13:55 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

SPX 2765
-
2770-50 = S zone.
bellow 2710/00
bellow that: 2620

currently DLR sleeping

london red 13:44 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

spx double top in play now that under 2797 but spoos neck at 2780, not yet broken.

london red 13:40 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

cable. prev key low 12164 but still some way off 1.20 below which suggests much lower. likely to be combined with usd shortage. also watch eurchf. snb is printing tons of chf which it sells by buying euro which are then sold via eurusd into usd and that ends up in amazon apple and so on. hence all eurusd bounces are slight given snb dumps its euros as some as it can. it will never sell the lows but rather sell blips, hence euro unable to break lower convincingly but at same time clobbered at first sign of a bounce. the 1.05 in eurchf should be treated as a mini 1.20 floor. there could be some carnage below if broken.

Mtl JP 13:38 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

At top of hour
1.4110
-
poloz and his gang at BoC release their Financial System Review
90 mins later poloz yaks. likely to gloss over some gloomy things BUT I fully expect him to peddle notions strong and resillient financial and banking system. My imagination is limited to inability for poloz to scream system is creaking, about to collapse run for the hills or something to that effect.

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

not trade related so apologies , just musing..
"Zoom will open offices in Pittsburgh and Phoenix with plans to hire up to 500 engineers MarketWatch"

seems like old-days of 100 lines of code are "POOF!"
anyone remember Fortran ... ya ya ... it dates me

london red 13:05 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

spoos lst wk low 2780 a wkly close below would be a bearish outside wk.

Mtl JP 12:41 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

"shot in the dark" is the new and current mantra by "experts" and gov't types - a convenient, acceptable by the peasants logical n rational "essplainer" by the willy and wolly romping of and by finacial policy and law-making types, in this allegedly "never seen before" situation.

AT Trader john 12:34 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Jobless Claims in line. Note there have been no revisions. Suggests data are a shot in the dark.

Mtl JP 12:33 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Can manuf sales -9.2% vs -4.5% expectation
experts way off. again.
market zzzs

AT Trader john 12:32 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
+2.980mln vs: +3.0mln expected vs. +3.2mln (r )




-----------------------


Import Prices April 2020



NEWS ALERT
-2.6% vs. -3.10% exp. vs. -2.30% prev.


Mtl JP 12:31 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

jobless claims: 2981K

Mtl JP 12:29 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

coming out:
US initial jobless claims
Canada manufacturing sales for March

Mtl JP 12:26 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Topic is "relative/ity" :
"considered in relation or in proportion to something else"
-
but not always: it can also be towards its former self.

US$1 trillion sovereign wealth fund

Mtl JP 11:58 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

EURO 1.07880
-
slight bias down.
probably needs N of 1.0840/50 to negate the nega bias

PAR 11:48 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Does Trump wants to go short US stocks?

Then negative rates are a great idea.

AT Trader john 11:45 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Im not sure what if anything weekly jobless claims will tell us today other than if the increase slows that the states might be catching up with their backlog of filings?? The economy is not improving yet...

Mtl JP 11:37 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

"worst" is relative
had u been short, u d have been warm and fuzzy in the dome rolling in dough

PAR 11:34 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Look what negative interest rates have done to European
stocks. Since negative rates among the worst
performers in the world. Negative rates made European
government debt explode to unseen levels even before Corona.

Mtl JP 11:27 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Trump says he won't renegotiate trade deal with China

Mtl JP 11:19 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

impetuous is President Trump's trademark

drives folks who think of themselves "normal", "rational", who claim his behaviour "non-presidential" nuts, right into a wall

NY JM 11:10 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Trump wants negative rates because he was told it would be good for stocks.
'
His strong dollar comments make no sense other than he was told it is needed to be able to fund the ballooning deficit.

All IMHO

Mtl JP 11:08 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Stocks mood
heading into US session
-
asians closed down in the toilet
europeans picking up speed, now down 2%
ondeck: canadian manuf data (not on econ calendar)
indicator of econ econ expectations
US: yesty powell suggested u.s. in for prolonged recession
weekly (and other) jobs numbers to be "ugly"
oil uP marginally
Gold slightly off its earlier high

Mtl JP 10:46 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

chinese communists still not getting it; still defiant:
-
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
·
52 min
I am asked a lot recently: Will a war break out between China and the US? My answer: The two countries increasingly dislike each other, various conflicts are rising, therefore, risk for a military clash is increasing. But meanwhile, they both don't want a war. Am I right?
-
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
17h
To counteract the abuse of anti-China litigation over COVID-19, Beijing is already preparing to take the necessary punishment measures against some members of the US Congress, the state of Missouri, and relevant individuals and entities, sources told Global Times

Hu Xijin 胡锡进 is
Editor-in-chief of Chinese and English editions of the Global Times

Hu Xijin 胡锡进 is
Editor-in-chief of Chinese and English editions of the Global Times

Mtl JP 10:33 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS



maybe it is intentional: DLR is uP

Paris ib 10:32 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Anyone spot the contradiction between those 2 positions?

AT Trader john 10:15 GMT May 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Trump "good time to have a strong USD"
talks again in favor of negative interest rates

source: Newsquawk.com

AT Trader john 09:55 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Thursday
DJ: -1
SP: +0.8

2-yr 0.159% -0.2
Spread 10s-2s +46.3 bps (+48.7bps)

10-yr
US: 0.622% -2.8
UK: 0.203% -0.5
DE: -0.539% -1.3

EURUSD MACRO TREND: LOWER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0811 (1.0841)
GBPUSD 1.2228 (1.2257)
EURGBP 0.8840 (0.8844)
USDJPY 106.85 (107.01)

This Week 1.0895-1.0785 (110 pips)
thu: 1.0824-1.0796 (28)
wed: 1.0895-1.0813 (82)
tue: 1.0885-1.0785 (100)
mon: 1.0851-1.0803 (48)
fri: 1.0875-1.0815 (60)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.0851
50-day avg: 1.0931
100-day avg: 1.0982
200-day avg: 1.1020

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 09:37 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 14 May 2020
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
B 12:30 US- Import Prices
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 15 May 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan


PAR 08:44 GMT May 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Lagarde thinks that Donald Trump is a better economist than those geniuses at the FED because he is jealous of the negative rates of the ECB.

Trump endorses the ECB policies (like he endorses the use of CHLOROQUINE) while most Europeans start to hate the ECB 's crazy policies and, bling-bling Queen Christine.

dc CB 08:30 GMT May 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Yah
so that's everywhere. I listen to the birds...and trust me, it ain't no manse... it's America

The question was ---relative to my 50 State Govs Get to Decide WHEN---(the political genius of DJT??)
UR insight?

PAR 08:05 GMT May 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Most wealthy Parisians are sitting in their " Maison de Campagne" and are either WFH or enjoying the sound of the birds this spring. Macron gave them 48 hours to leave the city before the lockdown started.

Every crisis has a bright side.

dc CB 08:00 GMT May 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

PAR 07:46 GMT

dear PAR...if you haven't got it yet. the game has changed.

Just thinkin'.... but may be I'd be more interested in how you are coping with the French LockDown

Rumorus in the ALTRight press here abouts are saying Parisians need a 'pass-paper permiss) that certifies 'that person' is leaving the house to "get food and/or required medication'

Your Serve
Clay French OPEN (Canceled)

Pasig evan 07:54 GMT May 14, 2020
Range and Boring Market Today

usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:

Coz US stock futures now flat and not negative, imo.

PAR 07:46 GMT May 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

US President Trump continued to call for US tax increases. US Fed Chair Powell is not a fan. Increasing taxes on banks and savers (also known as "negative interest rates") will not promote the economic bounce back. If savers are too scared to spend, they will not spend if rates go negative. If banks are too scared to lend, they will not lend if rates go negative.

HK Kevin 07:28 GMT May 14, 2020
Range and Boring Market Today
Reply   
Don't be over excited. Dlr index capped below 100.49, while GBP has bounced back above 1.22 after testing 1.2181.

dc CB 07:15 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

fwiw and just an opinion

with 0 commish trade on multiple STOX platforms.. mine-0/ v trade futures..... 30K crude, 16K ES, NQ 20K as examples

Hooked in 'dudes and dudetes' with a Check from DJT are playin' Free Bets....Option-landia. Hose-landia

PAR 07:10 GMT May 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

ECB policies are cutting tax revenues for European countries while making the ECB and BlackRock rich.

PAR 07:04 GMT May 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
Negative interest rates are hurting everybody in Europe and lead to crazy government borrowing and overspending.

In France, on temporary unemployment, you get 85% of your salary with a maximum of €4.850

In Germany, you get 60% of your salary with a maximum of € 2.500.


Things like that make Coronabonds very difficult.

Mtl JP 06:55 GMT May 14, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 14 May 2020

Stocks mood
Asians : down accross the board (more moRE bargains for buyer kuroda)
europeans : down by bigger magnitude than asians
US looking to open down 0.42% currently
-
in canada justin continues to spray "money" with current expectations for federal budget deficit to go > $250 billion, and cumulative debt to go from 700 billion to one thousand billion$. "We're not thinking about raising taxes. What we're thinking about is preserving our economy for the future, making sure that we can get back to a vibrant place." - Morneau, justin's fin min.
-
"Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), a branch of Norway’s central bank, said on Wednesday that it has excluded Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO)(CNQ), Cenovus Energy (CVE.TO)(CVE), Suncor Energy (SU.TO)(SU), and Imperial Oil (IMO.TO)(IMO) due to “unacceptable greenhouse gas emissions.”

The ban is a first for managers of Norway’s giant portfolio of investments. The fund owns about 1.5 per cent of listed stocks worldwide." - yahoo fin

note: "for every seller there is a buyer"

dc CB 06:51 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

hey dickman....U fooled me
hope din'd get infected

along with ....(after I clicked)

Swiss Frank 06:48 GMT May 14, 2020

Reply   
Maybe there's kryptonite below 1.08...

New York NY 06:48 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Oh come on. We should also take note that the frontliners are the first in line for mask usage. If you are not then just use DIY masks. Better off, don't go out the house unless you buy essentials.

Insect spraying

dc CB 06:20 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

U can't get Hurt

Day Trading

dc CB 05:30 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

Thursdays CNN GLOBAL TOWN MEET-UP
As Imagined by Harold Pinter, (premier delayed by THE COVID shutting down theater until 2021, at the earliet)

Scene 1, Act 1.
Greta: please show me that graph again. No not the the COVID death numbers....yes...that one.

pause

Greta: has anyone done a correlation chart??
No!
And why not?

for a less esoteric comparrison

What the put on the TV at the nursing home....across 50 states
(and they died laughing)

HARSH? Mom?? Gammy?

WHO On First

Mtl JP 05:12 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

WHO official’s grim outlook on COVID-19: ‘This virus may never go away’
- MarketWatch

grim ... hmmm

Mtl JP 04:52 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

arrgghh ....

‘Shameful, not cool, a sign of weakness’: Men are less likely to wear face masks to protect against coronavirus, study finds
- MarketWatch

aw aw awoooo

dc CB 02:01 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

Update (2100ET): Before we call it a night, we've seen a couple of important developments Wednesday evening in the US.

In Wisconsin, the state Supreme Court ruled that Gov. Tony Evers stay at home order was unconstitutional. The court ruled it "unconstitutional" and "unenforceable" in what CNN described as a "high-profile win for the state's Republican-led legislature". Republican lawmakers filed the court challenge, and have spearheaded an effort to reopen the state more quickly. In a 4-3 decision, the court ruled that Evers and high-level bureaucrats had overstepped their authority.

******On Wednesday evening in Maryland, Gov. Larry Hogan announced plans to lift the state's "stay at home" order and replace it with a "safer at home" order.

The order will be lifted and replaced at 5pmET on Friday, Hogan said, citing a slight decline in hospitalizations state-wide over 2 weeks as justification for the decision under the federal guidelines.

The “Safer at Home” advisory, which will not be enforced by the rule of law, allows manufacturing, retail, haircuts and worship services to resume with limitations.

(ZH)

dc CB 00:23 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

MEANWHILE ---Hello Gov(Presidentila CandyDate Hopefull)of New York State. ---just ask Greta what to do.

Dave Collum
@DavidBCollum
Ithaca, a town of 40,000, has no recorded covid deaths and currently one person in the hospital said to have covid. Meanwhile, everything is shut down including the hospital. I thought my wife had a cracked vertebra; she was released without a doctor's examination, just a CT.
9:47 AM · May 13, 2020

Dave Collum
@DavidBCollum
Prof of Organic Chemistry @ Cornell. Libertarian. Fan of Austrian business cycle, Zero Hedge, gold. https://chemistry.cornell.edu/david-b-collum

dc CB 00:15 GMT May 14, 2020
The Morons in Charge

The PROMO

A LIVE CNN GLOBAL TOWN HALL: CORONAVIRUS: FACTS AND FEARS

LIVE Thurs at 8 --15sec

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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