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Forex Forum Archive for 05/15/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:58 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

ps
there's a monster hiding in the closet

sweet Orwellian dreams

dc CB 23:55 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Update (1335ET): As expected, Trump used this afternoon's press briefing to introduce the White House's new "Vaccine Czar", a former GSK executive who claims we can have a working vaccine and mass produce 300 million doses by the end of the year, a target that has been almost universally panned as unworkable.

earlier:::
NEW FEAR
from Dr. Tedros - the WHO director general said the world must be "alert" to the new syndrome impacting children - Cuomo offered an update for his state (one of the few areas where the syndrome has surfaced).

NEW YORK GOVERNOR CUOMO SAYS HE BELIEVES RARE INFLAMMATORY SYNDROME LINKED TO COVID-19 THAT IS IMPACTING CHILDREN WILL BE 'MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD THAN ANYONE THINKS'


And ICYMI :
DOD Awards $138 Million Contract, Enabling Prefilled Syringes for Future COVID-19 Vaccine

https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Releases/Release/Article/2184808/dod-awards-138-million-contract-enabling-prefilled-syringes-for-future-covid-19/source/GovDelivery/


Good Night and Good Luck

dc CB 23:37 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

the Fed unveiled that in the coming week it would purchase "only" $6BN per day, or a total of $30BN for the week.

the Fed will also taper its MBS buying from $5 billion to $4.5 billion on average in MBS per day next week:

dc CB 23:29 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

“The reality is [Fauci] is scared the crap out of Americans,” House Freedom Caucus Chairman Andy Biggs, R-AZ, said. “That’s what he’s done. And with his co-folks in the left wing media, they’ve scared people. You’ve got businesses that are afraid to open. They’re scared to death to open because someone is going to get sick or they get sick. He has scared people who have children and he is gone back and forth. I mean now you don’t wear a mask, people look at you. But it was just a month ago, when they were saying don’t wear a mask because that’s the perfect way to get sick, if you wear a mask. You don’t wear a mask if you are sick. So now this is gone to everybody supposed to wear a mask. Fauci has relied on bad models.”

PAR 20:26 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Mtl

That's Communism.

Israel MacroMicro 19:52 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

jp

in a world that currently values bitcoin market at $250 billions, I don't think that my opinion matters

Mtl JP 19:07 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

MacroMicro what do u think:
Bank of America on the new world order: Bigger governments, tech wars, less privacy, and ‘health the new wealth’

May 15, 2020 By Steve Goldstein

GVI Forex Blog 19:02 GMT May 15, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 15 May 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 15 May 2020

Israel MacroMicro 18:48 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

JP 18:29

the art of kill fast now to save slowly later

Mtl JP 18:29 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

The White House
@WhiteHouse
1 min
Recent data "made me feel even more confident" that a vaccine will be available by the end of 2020, Dr. Moncef Slaoui says.

I guess only if "fast-track" permission-approved.

Mtl JP 18:10 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

2855 = Res but ...
stocks naysayers continue getting their nutz ripped

Mtl JP 18:03 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will appear on CBS' "60 Minutes" program on Sunday at 7 p.m. Eastern, the network announced.

This is Powell's second appearance on the news program. Powell spoke with Scott Pelley and discussed the tactics employed by the central bank to offset the pandemic's economic effects and the additional measures it could still take, the network said.

By Greg Robb

Mtl JP 17:20 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Baker Hughes on Friday reported that the number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil dropped by 34 to 258 this week. The oil-rig count has now fallen for nine weeks in a row, implying upcoming declines in domestic crude output. The total active U.S. rig count, meanwhile, also fell by 35 to 339, according to Baker Hughes. June West Texas Intermediate crude was up $1.72, or 6.2%, at $29.28 a barrel. It was trading at $29.22 before the oil-rig data.

Mtl JP 17:14 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

EURO 1.0806
-
IF puppy should chew thru 1.0790 Sup
next trgt below that would be 1.0775

S&P 2847 = 2x top, currently testing

Mtl JP 17:07 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

President Trump yakking ...
lagarde yakking ...

justin trudeau today started to ever-so lightly rein in his gov't's generosity expressing preference for 75% wage subsidy (means peasant HAS to be on the job) vs the outright upto 4x $2k/month "pension" compensation

Mtl JP 16:54 GMT May 15, 2020
dc CB - not an investment recommandation, only at own risk:

Medicago

london red 16:43 GMT May 15, 2020
ndx key pivot res for day 9100. no coming back abv there but if fails there can lose all of bounce

dc CB 16:21 GMT May 15, 2020
there has never been a successful vaccine for any coronavirus in all of human history.
Despite all of our efforts, there is no vaccine for SARS.
And despite all of our efforts, there is no vaccine for MERS.
Needless to say, there isn’t such a thing as a “common cold vaccine” either, because such a thing does not exist.
Perhaps our scientists will beat the odds this time, and they will certainly do their best to do so.
________________________________________________________
directly from the official website of the Department of Defense…

“Today the Department of Defense and the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, announce a $138 million contract with ApiJect Systems America for “Project Jumpstart” and “RAPID USA,” which together will dramatically expand U.S. production capability for domestically manufactured, medical-grade injection devices starting by October 2020.

Spearheaded by the DOD’s Joint Acquisition Task Force (JATF), in coordination with the HHS Office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response, the contract will support “Jumpstart” to create a U.S.-based, high-speed supply chain for prefilled syringes beginning later this year by using well-established Blow-Fill-Seal (BFS) aseptic plastics manufacturing technology, suitable for combatting COVID-19 when a safe and proven vaccine becomes available.

The contract also enables ApiJect Systems America to accelerate the launch of RAPID USA manufactured in new and permanent U.S.-based BFS facilities with the ultimate production goal of over 500 million prefilled syringes (doses) in 2021. This effort will be executed initially in Connecticut, South Carolina and Illinois, with potential expansion to other U.S.-based locations. RAPID will provide increased lifesaving capability against future national health

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT May 15, 2020
Buy USD

1.0850 pick as good as it got today !
hats Kevin

HK Kevin 16:05 GMT May 15, 2020
Buy USD

S&P struggles but does decline less than I expected. Closed the short AUD position and keep the short EUR with stop at b/e

Mtl JP 15:50 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

US 10-yr 0.638% +0.018
wast paying 0.6 earlier today (595 low)

haifa ac 15:37 GMT May 15, 2020
Here, after living under British Mandate for 30 years we learnt some English advices:
"Mother, what should I do on my wedding night?!"
"Just lie there and think of England!"

Mtl JP 15:14 GMT May 15, 2020
How to Be a Great Employee (and not Just for your Boss)

How to Be a Great Employee
duh!
-
two favorite saying of grandmothers (to their (grand)-daughters):
1 - girl... make sure you always have your own money (so that you don't can't lip over buying $20 lipstick) and
2 - girl... never touch a man's ego (only at thy risk)

Lifeskills 101

PAR 15:07 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Option expiration. Trump's timing could not have been better.

dc CB 15:06 GMT May 15, 2020
Looks like Trump is safe for next term.

Appearing Thursday on MSNBC’s The Last Word with host Lawrence O’Donnell, former Vice President and presumptive Democrat nominee, Joe Biden, said he would not pardon President Donald Trump if elected to the White House.

Mtl JP 15:06 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

1.0819
-
maybe euro tries to touch 1.0790 Sup

Mtl JP 15:03 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020



and suddenly stocks go woooshhhh...

Mtl JP 14:59 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

..."globalization is doomed"...
- not when it comes to the co-ordinated fake money spraying around at minimum in the G7 if not G20

PAR 14:58 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Lobbycracy. Ask some state loan or guarantee when you buy your jet.

haifa ac 14:31 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

"The use of private jets seems to be booming."

Any where you look--it seems that globalization is doomed for a while.
This was Yuval Harari divine message and the basis of Kai Fu Li investment philosophy.
Seems we are going to kvetch and worry more about our own little community and care less about our fellow man.
I intend to purchase a few private jets myself.

AT Trader john 14:02 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index May 2020



NEWS ALERT
73.7 vs. 67.5 exp. vs. 71.8 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment



++++++++++++++++++++++++


April 2020 JOLTS Survey



ALERT

6.191 vs. 5.770 exp vs. 6.880 mn (r ) prev.


AT Trader john 14:02 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index May 2020



NEWS ALERT
73.7 vs. 67.5 exp. vs. 71.8 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment



++++++++++++++++++++++++


April 2020 JOLTS Survey



ALERT

6.191 vs. 5.770 exp vs. 6.880 mn (r ) prev.


HK Kevin 13:28 GMT May 15, 2020
Buy USD
Reply   
EUR sell order 1.0850 filled. Still hold short AUD from yesterday

GVI Forex Blog 13:27 GMT May 15, 2020
Inside Forex: Has Swiss National Bank Intervention Changed?
Reply   

In my article, Inside Forex: How the Swiss National Bank Impacts EURUSD Trading, one of our highly valued Global-View members gave insights into Swiss national Bank intervention and how it impacts the EURUSD. In response to the article, another of our highly valued members added his insights into Swiss National Bank intervention, which he says has shifted the focus to USDCHF. Both seem logical and whatever the case, the Swiss National Bank, as it has done for as long as I can remember, is active in trying to limit the impact of safe haven buying of its currency.

Inside Forex: Has Swiss National Bank Intervention Changed?

AT Trader john 13:21 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization April 2020

ALERT
Ind Production: -11.2% vs. -16.30% exp. vs. -5.40% (r ) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 64.9% vs. 56.0% exp. vs. 72.7% (r ) prev.

RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



PAR 12:53 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS


UBS Logo
UBS Weekly Blog

By Paul Donovan

Is the economic consensus useful anymore?

▪ Economics is not precise. While the media demand the precision of decimal points, economics is mainly about identifying trends. The virus is making this all the more obvious.
▪ This is not a normal downturn. This is a sudden policy-induced downturn—like turning off a light switch. Consumers and firms may react differently when the “light switch” is turned on again. The causes of this downturn are less complex than normal, and that may alter consumer uncertainty about the recovery. Normal economic models may not work.
▪ In addition, economic data is largely nonsense in a lockdown. Data quality was getting worse before the virus. Now, no one is filling in survey forms. Economists are asked to forecast what statisticians guess is happening in the economy. It is possible that economists are right and statisticians are wrong.
▪ This means a lack of precision, which makes an "economic consensus" a meaningless number. Forecasts for the US April unemployment rate ranged from 11.6% to 22.0%. The US December unemployment range was 3.4% to 3.7%. Estimates for second quarter Euro area GDP range from –1.6% y/y to –19.8% y/y. Describing a number as above or below consensus is not helpful. Economists—and markets—cannot be that precise about today's world.

PAR 12:48 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

The use of private jets seems to be booming.

PAR 12:46 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Mtl

Mastercard record numbers. Worth more than JPM at the moment. Some people keep spending.

PAR 12:44 GMT May 15, 2020
Some people always win?
Reply   
Companies that moved offshore to avoid U.S. taxes may qualify for Fed help, tax lawyers said. Fed guidelines are meant to help companies with big footprints in America, regardless of tax-avoidance strategies, and many inverted firms retain U.S.-based workforces, even though their legal addresses may be in Bermuda or Ireland. If any

PAR 12:40 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Everything moved online as people WFH and shops were
closed. These figures are crap.

Mtl JP 12:35 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

retail sales massively off but Visa steady at $180

AT Trader john 12:32 GMT May 15, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Retail Sales April 2020



ALERT
Headline:-16.4% vs. -4.40% exp. vs. +2.00% (r) prev.
Core (x-a)-16.2% vs. -2.00% exp. vs. -4.50%(r)prev.






-------------------


Empire PMI April, 2019



NEWS ALERT
-48.5 vs. -64.0 exp. vs. 78.2 prev.


Mtl JP 12:26 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020



(Bloomberg) - Japan Banks See Bad-Loan Costs at Decade-High $10 Billion
feebly excusing bad risk managers' judgement ?
-
pic: for those reveling in ccies volatility

Mtl JP 12:12 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

US 10-yr: 0.60% -0.02

Mtl JP 12:09 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020



S&P500 some chart price points

Mtl JP 11:54 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

chinese communists:
now admiting lacking imagination and still defiant, still arrogant, painting themselves into a corner from which a face-saving compromise getting increasingly difficult:

Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
·
46 min
Based on what I know, if the US further blocks key technology supply to Huawei, China will activate the "unreliable entity list", restrict or investigate US companies such as Qualcomm, Cisco and Apple, and suspend the purchase of Boeing airplanes.
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
·
21h
This president once suggested COVID-19 patients inject disinfectants to kill the virus. Remember this and you won't be surprised when he said he could cut off the whole relationship with China. All I can say is he is beyond my imagination for a normal president.

GVI Forex 11:39 GMT May 15, 2020
Brexit and GBP
Reply   
GBP dipped on this

UK Brexit negotiator Frost says he regrets that they have made very little progress towards an agreement, major obstacle to this is the EU's insistence on including a set of novel and unbalanced proposals on the so-called "level playing field."

Newsquawk

Mtl JP 11:39 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Chatter US-China confrontation will be a risk for stox.
-
yesty msm reported that "White House preparing executive order requiring certain essential drugs be made in US".

Maybe it is just a precursor for US industry to bring back not just drug manufacturing but all kinds of goods inventing, innovating and manufacturing - and in time adopt similar tactical advantage to that of Monsanto's one-time germination seed control.

haifa ac 11:20 GMT May 15, 2020
Looks like Trump is safe for next term.

The question now is whether the elections is no longer a market factor.
I cannot figure that out.

AT Trader john 11:17 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

looking like risk-off early in NY

DJ -219
SP -27.0

Chatter US-China confrontation will be a risk for stox.

Mtl JP 11:08 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

China in the World
-
Earlier chickensh.t EU let chinese communists' censor a reference to the coronavirus's origins. Now, As China pushes back on virus, Europe wakes to 'Wolf Warrior' diplomacy.

President Trump's admin has already floated the idea of negating the Treasuries that China holds. Raises the Qtn if Chinese companies would be given the order (wherewithal ?) to not pay the US$ debts that they owe...

In either case, the global legal system won't be able to handle it. Or enforce judgements.
That would highly likely really destroy all meaningful trade relationships - not just between US and China.

In a way, that would just lay bare the BS that the global financial system is right now:
lots of fictitious money conjured out of thin air to support crazy valuations, really just make believe digital chits.

Now ... how bad would "what is money" reset be ?

Mtl JP 10:48 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Heading into NY session
-
Overnite
- BEIJING--China's industrial production rebounded in April thanks to the government's push for work resumption, but investment and consumption continued to fall from a year earlier amid sluggish domestic demand.

China's industrial output rose 3.9% in April from a year earlier, improving from a 1.1% fall in March, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. The reading beat a 1.0% increase forecast by economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.

- German gross domestic product shrank by 2.2%

Asians closed mixed, almost as if losers balanced out winners.
European are currently sitting uP between 1.25-1.83%
US looking to a slight nega-opening, some -0.3% vs yesty closes

Gols is uP practically negligibly by 0.06%
WTI at 28.00 up 1.60%

Mtl JP 10:26 GMT May 15, 2020
LOBBYCRACY

PAR 09:17 r u not in line ?

dc CB 10:26 GMT May 15, 2020
Looks like Trump is safe for next term.

Xochitl Hinojosa, communications director for the Democratic National Committee said it is crucial for the party to hold its convention, because they are “not officially nominating Joe Biden in order to take Donald Trump.”

AT Trader john 09:33 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

FRIDAY
DJ: +83
SP: +8.0

2-yr 0.149% 0.0
Spread 10s-2s +46.6 bps (+47.1bps)

10-yr
US: 0.615% -0.4
UK: 0.200% -0.4
DE: -0.544% -0.6

EURUSD MACRO TREND: LOWER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0814 (1.0800)
GBPUSD 1.2198 (1.2211)
EURGBP 0.8864 (0.8842)
USDJPY 107.05 (107.16)

This Week 1.0895-1.0775 (120 pips)
fri: 108020-1.0793 (27)
thu: 1.0826-1.0775 (51)
wed: 1.0895-1.0813 (82)
tue: 1.0885-1.0785 (100)
mon: 1.0851-1.0803 (48)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

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20-day avg: 1.0849
50-day avg: 1.0923
100-day avg: 1.0979
200-day avg: 1.1018

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AT Trader john 09:19 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 15 May 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
B 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
A 14:00 US- Flash Univ of Michigan


PAR 09:17 GMT May 15, 2020
LOBBYCRACY
Reply   
The world is turning into one big LOBBYCRACY where those with the strongest lobbying power receive the fresh money printed by the central banks of this world.

Belgrade Knez 09:01 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Pasig

as expected -2.2%

Pasig evan 08:57 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

What was it?

GVI Forex 08:52 GMT May 15, 2020
Turkish Lira Pairs Set to Close Only
Reply   

We hope this email finds you well. We require your immediate action. Turkish authorities have classified certain FX transactions under a broad "market manipulation" umbrella - and are threatening large fines to banks who continue to trade. Our Prime Broker BNP Paribas is therefore ceasing clearing and settlement of TRY pairs and therefore positions cannot be rolled, maintained, or traded.

If you have positions/orders in USDTRY and/or EURTRY, please Close/Cancel them before End of Day Friday 15th May 2020 (Today). If you still have positions open on Monday 18th May 2020, we will be closing them at market price.
Be safe and healthy!
Jeremy
Global Prime

Belgrade Knez 08:48 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Pasig

Not delayed! Released exactly at 8am GMT

Pasig evan 08:33 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

Delayed again, TIA

Belgrade Knez 07:20 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

Pasig

To be release at the top of the hour (8am GMT)

Pasig evan 07:14 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

Any reason why EZ GDP not announced yet?

haifa ac 05:05 GMT May 15, 2020
Looks like Trump is safe for next term.
Reply   
Corona or no corona--Trump simply has no opponent

Presumptive 2020 Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden held a "virtual roundtable" Thursday afternoon where he again struggled badly to communicate as his verbal gaffes continue to pile up.

....
President Trump continues to poke at Biden over his gaffes and suggest that he is mentally unfit for office. On Thursday the president said, "Joe has absolutely no idea what's happening," and, "He doesn't know he's alive."

https://disrn.com/news/biden-struggles-badly-during-virtual-round-table-as-gaffes-continue-to-pile-up

dc CB 04:56 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

OPEX day
today's list

today's list

Central Kwun 04:29 GMT May 15, 2020
Buy Gold is always right
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1730 Target: 1800 Stop:

unlimited QE, negative interest rate, USD is like toilet paper

Mtl JP 04:20 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

White House would likely support a new round of stimulus checks, sources say

- The White House would likely support a new round of stimulus checks, sources told CNBC on Thursday.
- The House is set to vote on a $3 trillion stimulus bill on Friday to blunt the coronavirus pandemic’s devastating effects on the economy and health-care system.

Mtl JP 01:45 GMT May 15, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 15 May 2020

plz tell me something new
-
"The V-shaped recovery is off the table," Kashkari on Thursday

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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