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Forex Forum Archive for 05/20/2020

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Mtl JP 22:59 GMT May 20, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 21 May 2020

White House China report calls Beijing's lack of transparency threat to U.S. interests, officials say

The Trump administration wrote it is “willing to tolerate greater friction in the bilateral relationship” in order to protect US interests,

officials said
NBCNews May 20, 2020

PAR 19:59 GMT May 20, 2020
Hydrochloroquine

Could improve your golf hcp.

Maybe Trump has been taking it for years?

PAR 19:48 GMT May 20, 2020
Hydrochloroquine

Other side effect is booming stock markets.

PART 19:44 GMT May 20, 2020
VIX

Close below 28 hyper bullish.

Powell and Fink becoming Trump's best friends.

AT Trader john 19:44 GMT May 20, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 21 May 2020

LATE Wednesday
DJ: +369
SP: +48.7

2-yr 0.163% -0.1 bps
Spread 10s-2s +51.9 bps (+53.1 bps)

10-yr
US: 0.682% -2.9
UK: 0.229% -0.1
DE: -0.472% -0.6

EURUSD MACRO TREND: Higher
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0984 (1.0968)
GBPUSD 1.2231 (1.2247)
EURGBP 0.8978 (0.8957)
USDJPY 107.62 (107.71)

This Week 1.1000-1.0800 (200 pips)
wed: 1.1000-1.0918 (82)
tue: 1.0976-1.0903 (73)
mon: 1.0927-1.0800 (127) thu: 1.0826-1.0775 (51)


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100-day avg: 1.0968
200-day avg: 1.1013

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GVI Forex Blog 19:22 GMT May 20, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 May 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 May 2020

PAR 18:50 GMT May 20, 2020
VIX
Reply   
A few $ billions MOC buy orders to come thru.

Vacinne euphoria.

Mtl JP 18:24 GMT May 20, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

from the minutes, nothing surprising but noteworthy:

..."A few participants also noted that the balance sheet could be used to reinforce the Committee's forward guidance regarding the path of the federal funds rate through Federal Reserve purchases of Treasury securities on a scale necessary to keep Treasury yields at short- to medium-term maturities capped at specified levels for a period of time." .../..

all that to say control the yield curve ?

Mtl JP 18:18 GMT May 20, 2020
this is good one...

this is a good one
and we are not in electioneering timezone yet ...
-
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
·
5h
Some wacko in China just released a statement blaming everybody other than China for the Virus which has now killed hundreds of thousands of people. Please explain to this dope that it was the “incompetence of China”, and nothing else, that did this mass Worldwide killing!
=
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT
·
4h
I have never heard of such a wacko in China making this statement. So I have reason to doubt that this dope is actually a fictional one based on someone in your team, because there are too many liars in your team.

AT Trader john 18:02 GMT May 20, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Fed Policy Minutes



NEWS ALERT
U.S. Fed Policy Minutes


Fed committed to using its full range of tools. Corona virus could weigh heavily on the economy in the medium term. So far nothing surprising, as expected...

PAR 18:02 GMT May 20, 2020
GERMANY
Reply   
For € 9 billion Merkel takes a 25% stake in almost bankrupt airline Lufthansa. Creative capitalism?

PAR 17:40 GMT May 20, 2020
Hydrochloroquine

Trump has a point. Hydrochloroquine may cure people but it too cheap and because of that big pharma does not make money on it and says it is dangerous.

The truth is always hidden in lobbycracies.

dc CB 17:24 GMT May 20, 2020
$ 20 billion 20 year bond

Results

Treas

dc CB 17:20 GMT May 20, 2020
Hydrochloroquine


THIS IS THE REAL ISSUE WITH HCQ.

"The cost of the drugs per patient was about $20".

PAR 16:41 GMT May 20, 2020
Hydrochloroquine
Reply   
Another side effect seems to be Chinafobia.

PAR 16:31 GMT May 20, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Boris Johnson welcomes Chinese companies to list on the LSE. Thank you Donald.

GVI Forex 16:26 GMT May 20, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

S&P selling off on

US Senate passes Bill aimed at increasing oversight of Chinese companies could require Chinese firms listed in the US to de-list from US exchanges and requires companies to certify no government control

Newsquawk

dc CB 16:25 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

SENATE PASSES BILL AIMED AT BOOSTING OVERSIGHT OF CHINESE COS.

SENATE PASSES BILL AIMED AT BOOSTING OVERSIGHT OF CHINESE COS, BILL COULD REQUIRE CHINESE COS. TO DELIST FROM U.S. EXCHANGES, AND ALSO BILL WOULD REQUIRE COS. TO CERTIFY NO FOREIGN GOVT. CONTROL

BILL WOULD REQUIRE COS. TO CERTIFY NO FOREIGN GOVT. CONTROL

Mtl JP 16:13 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

SnP
2975.50/2976 = defense for now

AT Trader john 15:51 GMT May 20, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 21 May 2020
Reply   
Thu 21 May 2019
Flash PMIs all day
AA CH/EZ- Holiday --
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
A 14:00 US- Lead indicators
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 21 Jan 2019
AA 06:00 UK- Retail Sales
A 09:30 EZ- ECB Minutes
AA 12:30 CA- Retail Sales


HK Kevin 15:42 GMT May 20, 2020
Alive or Dealth

Wried markets, both stock and bond yield on the rise

Mtl JP 15:33 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

SnP
odds of 2975 -ish being the HoD ?

HK Kevin 15:31 GMT May 20, 2020
Alive or Dealth
Reply   
Sell NZD at 0.6151 with tight stop.

Mtl JP 14:40 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

2971
-
seems like a matter of time that 2976 (prev high) gets chewed up

Memphis Charles 14:14 GMT May 20, 2020
Hey

Welcome...

GVI Forex 14:08 GMT May 20, 2020
Hey

Welcome Aalborg

For those who do not recognize the location Aalborg is in Denmark.

PAR 13:58 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

NASDAQ to hit a new all-time record this month.

It's all about technology, paying no or low taxes and for some benefitting from subsidies.

Aalborg BJ 13:56 GMT May 20, 2020
Hey
Reply   
I am new here, so just want to say hey.

london red 13:48 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

2975--->3k
otherwise 2940

Mtl JP 13:45 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

feels like re-opening enthusiasts driving stocks uP

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

mushroom feeders on deck:
-
top of the hour: Bostic response to wuhan virus
at NY noon: Bullard on economy

Israel MacroMicro 13:40 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

USD/CAD 1.3730-1.3880 "collect some" zone?

dc CB 13:14 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

For Beach Towns, Coronavirus Means a Make or Break Summer Starts Now
In Ocean City, Md., shops, restaurants and hotels try to convince tourists they can social distance; ‘Our goal is to make it to next year’

the clock is about to start ticking.
“I have 110 days to make my money for 365,” he said.

From Ocean City to the Jersey Shore to Cape Cod, the window between Memorial Day and Labor Day is make-or-break for hotels, restaurants, arcades and T-shirt shop

WSJ

PAR 13:10 GMT May 20, 2020
$ 20 billion 20 year bond

Great success.

"The Fed can purchase up to 70% of the outstanding amount of an issue, and has done so with all but two of the bonds closest in maturity to the new 20-year"

Mtl JP 13:09 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

DLR on backfoot (99.20) and stocks looking uP (risk on)
as it should be

Paris ib 13:07 GMT May 20, 2020
$ 20 billion 20 year bond

Well hey, wadda ya know? So they are trying to extend their crazy 6months to a year roll over. Good move, just 25 years too late. Debt this large, dependent on the goodwill of foreign powers with one of the shortest maturity profiles put there...
they better get this going fast.

USD? Still a very scary place to be IMVHO

AT Trader john 12:32 GMT May 20, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: CPI April 2020




NEWS ALERT
mm: -0.70% vs. -0.60% exp. vs. -0.60% prev.
yy: -0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.90% prev.



PAR 11:49 GMT May 20, 2020
$ 20 billion 20 year bond
Reply   
Last issued in 1986, the Treasury is bringing back the 20-year bond, which will debut in a $20B auction later this afternoon. "That gives us the ability to extend the duration to raise a significant amount of funds... and lock in a significant amount of very low interest rates," Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said during Congressional testimony on Tuesday. The government's borrowing needs have jumped dramatically in recent weeks due to pandemic spending, and the national debt now stands at more than $25T, up 15% since a year ago. While there was thought to issue 50-year and 100-year bonds, Mnuchin determined there wasn't enough demand for those types of securities.

kl shawn 11:37 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

looks like gold is struggling above 1750, tank hard again later?

Mtl JP 11:08 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

EURO 1.09572
-
100 day 1.0971 current R

Mtl JP 10:59 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

Heading into NY session
-
stocks in asia closed slightly uP (Nikkei)
europeans now trying to climb out of red
US, after uP, down swing looking to open uP

stocks remain a pickers' domain

PAR 09:47 GMT May 20, 2020
RISK ON
Reply   
Looks they found another vaccine?

london red 09:28 GMT May 20, 2020
SNB

SNB has not bought chf in open mkt for a long time. eurchf dwn is risk off flow orientated. snb buys eurchf sells euusd buys apple and co. thats how it works. there can be lags between each move but thats the name of their game. euro fade 11015-65. area may be hit if stops run abv yest high.

AT Trader john 09:21 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

Wednesday
DJ: +240
SP: +24.8

2-yr 0.169% -0.4
Spread 10s-2s +53.1 bps (+53.1ps)

10-yr
US: 0.700% -1.1
UK: 0.234% -1.1
DE: -0.458% +0.3

EURUSD MACRO TREND: Higher
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.0945 (1.0939)
GBPUSD 1.2249 (1.2253)
EURGBP 0.8936 (0.8947)
USDJPY 107.61 (107.71)

This Week 1.0976-1.0800 (176 pips)
wed: 1.0960-1.0918 (42)
tue: 1.0976-1.0903 (73)
mon: 1.0927-1.0800 (127) thu: 1.0826-1.0775 (51)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.0846
50-day avg: 1.0892
100-day avg: 1.0971
200-day avg: 1.1013

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Belgrade Knez 09:18 GMT May 20, 2020
SNB
Reply   

is SNB in reverse game now? buying CHF?

AT Trader john 09:05 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 20 May 2019
AA 06:00 UK- CPI
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 12:30 CA- CPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 18:00 US- Fed Minutes
Thu 21 May 2019
Flash PMIs all day
AA CH/EZ- Holiday --
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
A 14:00 US- Lead indicators
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 21 Jan 2019
Flash PMIs all day
AA 06:00 UK- Retail Sales
A 09:30 EZ- ECB Minutes
AA 12:30 CA- Retail Sales


AT Trader john 09:02 GMT May 20, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone final HICP (CPI) April 2020





ALERT
Headline
yy: 0.30% vs. 0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
CORE
yy: 0.90% vs. 0.90% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.



PAR 07:29 GMT May 20, 2020
France Macron
Reply   
What you say depends on where you sit.

Merkel-Macron €500bn recovery fund proposal could turn #Italy and #France into net beneficiaries from EU budgets. So far both countries are net contributors to the EU budget. https://welt.de/wirtschaft/article208084711/Konjunkturprogramm-der-EU-Wofuer-Deutschland-haftet.html?cid=socialmedia.twitter.shared.web via
@welt

Bruno Le Maire is spending like a mad man. Billions for:

Airbus
Air France
Hospitals
Renault
Tourism
Restaurants
Fashion
and much more

london red 07:11 GMT May 20, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 19 May 2020

yes, DJT didnt make a new high back in feb, so its something to watch

Central Kwun 02:38 GMT May 20, 2020
2nd day to sell until trend changed
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1750 Target: Stop:

yesterday 1739 sell took profit at 1728, today sell on rally first

Pasig evan 01:48 GMT May 20, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 19 May 2020

OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Red, in case DJIA don’t clear 24,764 a new cycle high and drop below 24,008-24,073 support on a closing basis, whereas NQM and S&P did make new cycle highs, there are intermarket bearish divergence to the DJIA which has not made a new cycle high. It would be further valid if NQM would drop below 9,234-9,250 and S&P below 2888-2897 on a closing basis. (Above from Merriman Market Analyst)

Mtl JP 00:22 GMT May 20, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 20 May 2020

Betting opportunity :
-
Glimmers of a new normal—including drive-in movies, time at the beach and a possible restart to local sports—start to show in New York
- MarketWatch

But the city is still likely a few weeks away from reopening more, says Mayor Bill de Blasio

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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