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Forex Forum Archive for 06/10/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Mtl JP 23:42 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020



96.05
-
DLR/x at current price point emminently trade-able

Mtl JP 23:31 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

the FED collective forecast that their 0-.25 rate would stay pat for the next 2½ yrs. makes me wonder why they did nor announce an unpaid sabbatical leave (ya I mean simply dis-appear) for that same 2.5 yr period while at it.

Tallinn viies 23:17 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
so far life has proved who prints more is a winner.

Minneapolis DRS2 22:24 GMT June 10, 2020
EUR/USD

Minneapolis DRS2 18:17

If you sold EUR/USD at 1420...take profits now.

Israel MacroMicro 22:01 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

to avoid from chaotic price inflation we will force lockdown from time to time as needed. they trust they found the golden way to run a "society"

Israel MacroMicro 21:58 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

the manner Powell put things together, it is safe to buy same sstox and bonds as the FED. he said it clearly, we will print money as much as needed. socialist capitalism, no other way to describe that.

dc CB 21:25 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

coming attractions.
FEAR 2
_____________________________________
VIRUS SPIKE FOR SUMMER
FAUCI: 'NOT CLOSE TO OVER'
STILL KILLING 1,000 PER DAY
TOO HOT FOR MASKS!

coffever

Mtl JP 20:57 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

jerome "zimbabwean" powell in ref to bubbles:

"We want the markets to be working; we're not looking for a particular level. If we were to hold back because we think asset prices are too high, what would happen with those people we are supposed to be serving?"

dc CB 20:28 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

Sven Henrich
✔@NorthmanTrader

Today was a historic day.
The Fed has fully embraced its capitulation to everything markets.
It implicitly encourages asset price bubbles while lying about its role in exacerbating wealth inequality.
It will keep printing with no end in sight & has no exit strategy.
3:46 PM - Jun 10, 2020

Tallinn viies 20:25 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
repeating this euro roundturn.
at 1,1370 long. stop at 1,1320. target 1,141.
half size to previous one.

Mtl JP 20:06 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020



3180
-
stock type no like paroles only ?

AT Trader john 20:05 GMT June 10, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 11 June 2020

LATE Wednesday DJ: 26989.99 -282
SP: 3,190.1 -17.0

2-yr 0.181% -2.5 bps
Spread 10s-2s +57.3 bps (+60.0bps)

10-yr
US: 0.754% -7.5
UK: 0.257% -1.2
DE: -0.337% -0.6

EURUSD MACRO TREND: STRONGLY HIGHER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1381 (1.1377)
GBPUSD 1.2753 (1.2757)
EURGBP 0.8922 (0.8910)
USDJPY 107.17 (107.35)

THIS Week 1.1422-1.1242 (180 pips)
wed: 1.1422-1.1328 (94)
tue: 1.1365-1.1242 (118)
mon: 1.1320-1.1269 (51)
fri: 1.1384-1.1279 (105)
thu: 1.1362-1.1195 (167)


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Tallinn viies 19:35 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
got it done at 15.

thnks alot.
cu,. was fun as always.

Amman wfakhoury 19:25 GMT June 10, 2020
EURUSD 11435
Reply   
11435 is coming ..if keeps above 11365.

london red 19:22 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

htz at robinhood

london red 19:21 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

nyse announces hertz shares to delist, stock dumps

lol

thats one leg of chair gone. one more to go. NKLA?

SMV Ternopil 19:21 GMT June 10, 2020
USDCAD 13333

What about eur/usd? Do you have any levels?

Amman wfakhoury 19:16 GMT June 10, 2020
USDCAD 13333
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 14:08 GMT June 8, 2020
USDCAD 13333: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 10:21 GMT 06/07/2020
Now 13424 .
13380 and 13333 will be reached unless it closed above 13450 and keeps above it.
________
13380 first target reached
________
13333 Reached

GVI Forex Blog 19:16 GMT June 10, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 10 June 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 10 June 2020

dc CB 19:10 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

PowPow fullfills his secret-manDate.

Caesar's army has turned around and crossed back over the Rubicon LOL

10Y yield - .748%

30Y auction tomrow ---- chance a sub 1.5%

Tallinn viies 19:06 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
got long at 1,1365.
stop at 1,1320. target 1,1415

Tallinn viies 19:04 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
if they want to take out yearly high then market needs to move fast as otherwise european stimulus agenda on the radars again..

finland yeserday said they say no,
I believe there others also not happy with 750 bio plan

london red 18:53 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

i repeat fed sees gdp back to pre covid mid 22. mkt sees end 21

london red 18:52 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

powell stock answer: apply all tools

dc CB 18:42 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

the Desk plans to continue to increase SOMA holdings of agency MBS at the current pace, which is the equivalent of approximately $40 billion per month.

In addition, the Desk plans to continue to increase SOMA holdings of agency CMBS at the current pace by conducting weekly operations of approximately $250 to $500 million.
___________________________________________________________

this as Commercial Tenants are showing Commercial Landlords, the middle finger saying 'we ain't got no money' because of COVID.
Da Fed is going to eat all of those worthless, but unlike 2008 it won't be publicised...there's no space -- all NUZ isthe Massive worldwide Demonstrations----and COVID which will make a roaring comeback.

PAR 18:42 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Easy. Christine " The Queen of Frankfurt" can do better.

NEGATIVE RATES TILL 2023 OR LONGER

Tallinn viies 18:41 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd yearly high is 1,1495. stop buy order above.
should be attractive TARGET

london red 18:38 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd

thumbs up/dwn from snp to powell is 3200

london red 18:30 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd

agree, they came in hard at 11320/30 so that a key downside fold your cards zone if not held. staying abv 11415 sees 11485. expect barrier at 115.

Tallinn viies 18:27 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
for me this situation seems like all-in....
as long as daily low at 1,1322 not taken out TARGET 1,1480.
seems very clear to me.

london red 18:26 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

so fed see economy back to pre covid gdp about mid 2022. is that what mkts are pricing in?

dc CB 18:24 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS



the phrase changes from the last FOMC statement.

via ZH

dc CB 18:18 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

this is what's important to the market....not dot plots.

Operating Policy
Statement Regarding Treasury Securities, Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities, and Agency Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities Operations
June 10, 2020
Consistent with this directive, the Desk plans to continue to increase SOMA holdings of Treasury securities at the current pace, which is the equivalent of approximately $80 billion per month.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/opolicy/operating_policy_200610

Minneapolis DRS2 18:17 GMT June 10, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
Begin selling EUR/USD at 1420 for scalping purposes only...

london red 18:11 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

dots out to end 2022 have rates at 0.25% or less. they did what they could without doing much. hard to say if has merit with v shaped bounce. we will see if enough for mkt.

Israel MacroMicro 18:09 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

hhhmmm

Q: how long the rates gonna stay at 0%?
A: forever (2022 is far as forever in trading terms)

that's what I learned about the FED so far today. they are clear.

AT Trader john 18:00 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Fed Policy Decision June 10, 2020






NEWS ALERT
Fed Funds Target Range unchanged at 0.00% to 0.25%

RELEASE: Policy Statement


london red 18:00 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd

i would add, its a meeting the fed could do without. mkt wants action, by just talking it may be a negative confirmation. its like a 1-1 score in the CL after a 0-0 first leg, there can be no extra time. either they add something or, by adding nothing, they take away.

london red 17:32 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd

fed dots if deemed too optimistic can lead to a tantrum. the mkt is so fixated on support it cannot handle good news from the economy. if some fed officials have dots too high too soon, then the mkt will read higher rates. really they cannot afford to dwell on any improvements they have seen already or expect to see. he needs to dwell on being ready to step up if there is slightest signal or a reverse in data or virus worsening. remember the day we got the first 6 million job loss, at the same time of the release they dumped a huge expansive program on the mkt. only when they are satisfied the mkt is safe/high enough, then they will ease off. but fed will expand another v3 to 5 trillion before that happens.

Tallinn viies 17:16 GMT June 10, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
red - may I ask how Powell can dissapoints. as far as I understand then only if he says "we stop printing as evironment already good enough"

fed expetations

AT Trader john 17:02 GMT June 10, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 11 June 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

AA 18:00 US- FOMC Decision
Thu 11 June 2020
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- PPI
Fri 12 June 2020
A 08:30 GB- Output, Trade, GDP
C 12:30 US- Import Prices
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


london red 16:26 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

JP, more marketing. emphasis on semis. cos nikola focusing on trucks. when faced with a competitor that is similarly based on hope and promise you can only fight it by out promising.

Mtl JP 16:21 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020



1017
-
red the GAP s getting wider rrrr ...

Mtl JP 16:11 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

not that I noticed myself, but allegedly

Signs of panic-like selling emerge in the stock market Wednesday morning even as tech shares climb

However, a measure of the market - trin chart - was showing signs of panic-like selling behavior, even as a rally in the technology-related sector was helping propel tech-pegged indexes to new records.

However, a measure of the market was showing signs of panic-like selling behavior, even as a rally in the technology-related sector was helping propel tech-pegged indexes to new records.

Toronto Abb 16:06 GMT June 10, 2020
usdchf

i mean actually usdchf=0.9454 before start rising may be we can see 0.9314-0.9346

Israel MacroMicro 16:00 GMT June 10, 2020
usdchf

mistyped prices?

Toronto Abb 15:55 GMT June 10, 2020
usdchf

non usdchf

Israel MacroMicro 15:54 GMT June 10, 2020
usdchf

AUD/CHF you mean?

Toronto Abb 15:51 GMT June 10, 2020
usdchf
Reply   
to buy usdchf for mefium term we have to take en consideration that price may be can see 0.6314-0.6346
your comment will be appreciated
thank ou in adv

AT Trader john 15:09 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: 5.720 v -1.450 exp v -2.080 prev.
Distillates: +1.568 v +2.900 exp v +9.900 prev.
Gasoline: +0.866 v -0.800 exp v +2.800 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



Toronto Abb 14:54 GMT June 10, 2020
gold
Reply   
June 9, 2020
Toronto Abb 10:56 GMT June 9, 2020
Sell again : Reply
risk to see 1730+-

1727 printed

london red 14:23 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

s&p 3130 first gap if powell disappoints

Mtl JP 13:35 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

FED RATE DECISION
AND
POWELL NEWS CONFERENCE
Wednesday june 10th at 2pm

countdown to
Live on yahoo/finance

Mtl JP 13:28 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020



96.035
-
currently puppy is leaning down.
IF it keeps on, 94.55 comes on targeting radar.
Gathering all environmental vectors, in
Bottom Line
DLR uP looks like a weak prospect
i.e am biased to sell rallies

Mtl JP 13:01 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

EURO 1.1375-ish
EURUSD MACRO TREND: STRONGLY HIGHER
-
How about the puppy being strongly overbought?
Odds appear reasonable of a short against 1.1390/1.4 hoding Res
On potential break out puppy should reach for 1.1475 -1.15 pronto
S around 1.1335/00

Israel MacroMicro 12:48 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

with all the new money printed but not going into inflationary items, from the other hand the money goes and stays with items only small part of population owns (=if there is no bread than provide them with cakes)

2020

Israel MacroMicro 12:44 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

definitely there is no price inflation
without a doubt money inflation exists

what's next?

PAR 12:44 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Hedonic inflation is Fake News. Everything is getting very expensive.

AT Trader john 12:33 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. CPI May 2020



ALERT
Headline:
m/m:-0.10% vs. 0.00% exp. v +1.40% pre
y/y: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.30% pre
Core:
y/y: +1.20% vs. +1.30% exp. v +1.430% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


PAR 12:18 GMT June 10, 2020
European Solidarity
Reply   
Tweet
See new Tweets
Conversation
Holger Zschaepitz
@Schuldensuehner

Good Morning from Germany where for Germans work plays a more important role in life than for most other Europeans. Germans spend 39.1yrs earning money or being available for labour market. Avg Italian only spends 32yrs of his or her life working

https://welt.de/wirtschaft/article209280123/Lebensarbeitszeit-Deutsche-arbeiten-laenger-als-andere-EU-Mitglieder.html?cid=socialmedia.twitter.shared.web via
@welt

PAR 12:07 GMT June 10, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
So much doom and gloom coming out of the ECB.
Impossible to believe this is coming from people who are soo well paid and benefit from so many perks.

What's wrong with them?

london red 11:45 GMT June 10, 2020
Brexit

they have not even begun to think about no transition. the eu always does a deal at the eleventh hour and most expect the same this time. but johnson isnt interested. they didnt believe he'll go ahead with brexit but he did. they will be wrong again. there will be no extension asked for come june 30th. so the transition will end dec 31st 2020. then mkt will again assume a last minute deal for new trade arrangement post 2020. the uk isnt interested in caving in and will not, that just leaves the eu, if it is willing to cave in or let it go to bare bones and wto terms. with economies already suffering from covid, the downside risks to full wto don't look so bad, but even still many assume the eu will cave in last minute to do a deal. but we aren't talking about greece here, its the uk and they won't let it be fudged. the risk to this argument is boris losing political capital and friends in the meantime, allowing the remainers to shackle him, something they cannot dream of doing today.
but to get back to your question, the lack of a transition extension is not even 1% priced in here. for now other arguments take priority. once fed is out of way, the last week or two of june should be a weak ones for sterling.

UK JY 11:34 GMT June 10, 2020
Brexit
Reply   
Red do you think that no transition is already discounted?

GVI Forex 10:54 GMT June 10, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

EURUSD popped on this:

Germany is mulling a bigger than expected extra budget with additional new debt of up to EUR 50bln to finance COVID-19 stimulus package, according to a source.

Source

Newsquawk.com

AT Trader john 10:22 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

Red I agree that Powell is likely to SOUND very dovish, but I am not expecting much concrete. Negative interest rates are not on the table in the U.S. Any hints of negative rates would be a MAJOR surprise.

london red 10:16 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

various equity indicies on verge on technical pullbacks, suggests powell will pull out all stops to be even more blatant in your face dovish, as has been case so far. if not a healthy pullback even if shallow, would be welcomed and offer some ops.

AT Trader john 10:15 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

equities cautious heading into the Fed this afternoon. No policy changes are expected even though the central bank is missing both its inflation and employment mandates. S&P focus on the 3200 level at the moment as a measure of the risk profile of traders.

AT Trader john 09:40 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

Wednesday DJ: 27,259 -14
SP: 3,205.2 1.8

2-yr 0.201% -0.5 bps
Spread 10s-2s +60.0 bps (+62.1bps)

10-yr
US: 0.801% -2.8
UK: 0.315% -2.1
DE: -0.328% -1.8

EURUSD MACRO TREND: STRONGLY HIGHER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1359 (1.1316)
GBPUSD 1.2754 (1.2705)
EURGBP 0.8905 (0.8903)
USDJPY 107.52 (107.96)

THIS Week 1.1376-1.1242 (134 pips)
wed: 1.1376-1.1332 (44)
tue: 1.1365-1.1242 (118)
mon: 1.1320-1.1269 (51)
fri: 1.1384-1.1279 (105)
thu: 1.1362-1.1195 (167)


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20-day avg: 1.1010
50-day avg: 1.0925
100-day avg: 1.0960
200-day avg: 1.1014

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AT Trader john 09:23 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 10 June 2020
AA 12:30 US- CPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- FOMC Decision
Thu 11 June 2020
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- PPI
Fri 12 June 2020
A 08:30 GB- Output, Trade, GDP
C 12:30 US- Import Prices
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


Mtl JP 09:12 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020



short term arguing by equities types

Mtl JP 09:08 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

re "any views on" = "forward guidance", especially medium to long-term
and his risk is "credibility"

Mtl JP 09:02 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

forecasts, predictions, analysis ..
do have a way of making donkeys out of assorted "experts", influencers or those who have "_ billions under management"
-
The U.S. shale oil industry may collapse, new report says, after Goldman warns crude is set for a fall

Gundlach warns of white-collar layoffs as Covid-19 reveals who’s ‘swimming naked’
- MarketWatch

THE PROBLEM (apparently)
The problem right now is that as few have experienced a secular bull market — the last was 1982 to 2000 — most can’t understand what’s going on,

says Saut. (who has made some fairly visionary calls)

london red 07:43 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020

chair of the biggest asset transfer known to man speaks tonight. any views on yield curve control, which may be implemented and how it may affect banks that have run up expecting yields to move higher? wile e coyote running off a cliff springs to mind

Central Kwun 05:15 GMT June 10, 2020
Keep Selling
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1717 Target: Stop:

Stop at year high, don't think it will touch

Mtl JP 01:31 GMT June 10, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 10 June 2020



3223-ish
some early enthusiastic front-running of the zimbabwe FED ?

Mtl JP 00:00 GMT June 10, 2020
this is good one...

darrn.. shortfall ya say ?

(Bloomberg) -- Harvard University is asking employees to consider a series of voluntary measures, including early retirement, giving up vacation and reducing work hours as it faces a revenue shortfall of $1.2 billion over two academic years. .../..

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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