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Forex Forum Archive for 06/12/2020

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dc CB 20:26 GMT June 12, 2020
TRUMP

During an afternoon Fox News interview, President Trump again repudiated Joe Biden's claim that Trump would need to be escorted out of the White House by the military, and slammed the former VP as "not all there."

Asked what he would do instead of triggering a constitutional crisis if he doesn't repeat his 2016 electoral college triumph, Trump says he would move on from politics to do "other things".

“Joe is just not all there. Everybody knows it. And it’s sad when you look at it and you see it, you see it for yourself,” Trump said in an interview on Fox News. “And certainly if I don’t win, I don’t win. I mean, you know, go on and do other things.”

ZH

dc CB 20:05 GMT June 12, 2020
Covid College

red
don't need to, bought a bunch back in Feb,
Plus 3M 'sanding/fiberglass installing' DYI masks...as I was actually doing that then - tearing out a wall.

It was more to comment on the months that have past and none of this stuff have been restocked. In normal times the masks were a check-out line grab, like a pack of gum.

Some reason why a Best Seller would not be restocked??? I won't even go there.

GVI Forex Blog 19:21 GMT June 12, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 June 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 June 2020

london red 19:17 GMT June 12, 2020
Covid College

CB, u may want to try detailers. IPA was dirt cheap still a month ago. 99% easily diluted with water to 70% does the job. Add a bit of aloe vera gel and hand sanitiser for the whole family.

dc CB 19:00 GMT June 12, 2020
Covid College

The USA has gone so batshit crazy in these months of the corona virus freak-out that an orgy of looting, arson, and murder, on top of epic job loss and business failure, propelled the stock markets up-up-and-away back to near-record highs — until it finally puked yesterday in a rare moment of self-revulsion, like a sot who has been drinking after-shave.

Kunstler

Minneapolis DRS2 18:45 GMT June 12, 2020
Covid College

I was at a Walgreens yesterday to drop off a FedEx package (they are the local stop in my neighborhood). While I was there, I thought I'd get some Walgreens pain reliever (generic store-brand Tylenol).

I was amazed at how empty the shelves were. Lots of stuff was missing besides alcohol and peroxide...a lot of the pain reliever pills were missing as well. Those shelves are usually jam-packed.

I didn't even bother to look for masks.

dc CB 18:38 GMT June 12, 2020
Covid College

As the CDC threatens a 'surge' and hints at lockdown redux.

I find it interesting that this deep into the Covid ---
Home Depot and Lowes, those big box DYI home improvement corporations are still OUT OF STOCK for any kind of dust masks...not even N95s which were sold for use when sanding drywall at at about $1.50 each....No Masks whatsoever are available.

Add to that, it is still not possible to buy a 32oz bottle of Isopropyl alcohol (normally $2) at any corp chain drug store
or supermarket. Hydrogen peroxide is also scarce. These are common wound cleansers for cuts and scrapes.

Israel MacroMicro 18:33 GMT June 12, 2020
GBP

Israel MacroMicro 21:13 GMT June 8, 2020
GBP: Reply
GBP looks as perfect candidate of recruiting volatility to join to trading the currency the rest of the year.


------

this is even not the beginning so far

HK Kevin 18:15 GMT June 12, 2020
Brexit

london red 17:48 GMT, thanks. I ask this question simple because I don't know why GBP overshot 1.2630 to above 1.28 amid the Brexit uncertainty and virus pandemic. The only conspiracy I can think of is whether market movers know something about the negotiation under the table btw EU and Britain negotiation which we don't know

Minneapolis DRS2 18:13 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

Who would have the upper hand where (as in what country)?

I can't speak to other countries, but the US is returning to anarchy.

Mtl JP 18:07 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

It is also interesting, from a tug-of-war power struggle, to see who d have the upper hand: the politico-financial crowd or the institutional "scientific" (transnational) apparatchicks

Mtl JP 18:02 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

but at least u ve answered some folks Q how to trade when the wuhan virus gets players attention again

Minneapolis DRS2 18:01 GMT June 12, 2020
chaz

Israel MM It was a different time, that's for sure. Kids were treated as kids, and in some places they still are thank God...

Mtl JP 17:59 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

dc CB 17:05 see what u v done ?

S&P 500 joins Nasdaq in neg turf, Dow still 20-ish points higher

Israel MacroMicro 17:55 GMT June 12, 2020
chaz

drs2

not so sure about the age, you are definitely showing something rare, that you are a human.

london red 17:48 GMT June 12, 2020
Brexit

US IBs believe in a last minute extension. This is 101% certain not to happen. A deal by end of year (bare bones) MAY happen, a low chance, but all the same a chance. But forget extensions to transition. The eu wants one, but the uk decides. boris has said over and over, no. I expect sterling will price that in nearer end of month and i think there will be some follow thru on folks thinking the same happens for the post exit arrangement, so it may overshoot to downside, after which overoptimist banks come in to buy it again.

Minneapolis DRS2 17:38 GMT June 12, 2020
chaz

I guess I'm showing my age, but when I was little the shopkeeper would hand the wayward boy some free candy and boot him out of the store. The cops would laugh if someone tried to file a police report.

Israel MacroMicro 17:32 GMT June 12, 2020
chaz

CHF

Swiss police investigate eight-year-old boy over fake banknotes

Meanwhile, police in Switzerland have investigated an eight-year-old boy after he allegedly asked whether he could use a toy banknote in a village shop. The police contacted the boy’s parents and visited their home for three hours, brandishing stills from CCTV footage. Although the unnamed boy was not charged with any offence, his name will reportedly be on police records until May 2032.

HK Kevin 17:16 GMT June 12, 2020
Brexit
Reply   
Hi London Red, what is your view of the news about London will formally tell Brussels that it is unwilling to extend the transition period beyond year-end. I think today's market reacts to the horrible GDP date more than this news.

dc CB 17:05 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

Update (1220ET): After Steven Mnuchin and Larry Kudlow insisted that the US wouldn't shut down its economy again even if COVID-19 cases rebound, the CDC said Friday during a conference call that new mitigation measures might be necessary if there's a dramatic increase in cases, and those measures might be similar to measures from March.

CDC SAYS IF CASES GO UP AGAIN DRAMATICALLY, MORE MITIGATION EFFORTS LIKE WHAT WERE IMPLEMENTED BACK IN MARCH MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN - CONF CALL

(ZH)

Minneapolis DRS2 16:42 GMT June 12, 2020
chaz

After taking a closer look at the details, I came to two conclusions:

1. Chaz tries to do the right things, but suffers from incompetence and lack of resources.

2. The city of Seattle and the state of Washington has tons of resources and basic competence, but they don't want to even try to do anything right.

Chaz is trying to grow food...they are failing, but they are trying. They don't know much about agriculture, and they don't have much to work with.

Chaz is guarding its borders...the opposite of Seattle and Washington state.

Chaz is run by a "warlord" and his gang, who deals with crime and social disruption in the ways you might expect from a gang. Troubling, but it's a lot more than the demoralized Seattle PD, who stands aside and does nothing as crime occurs.

It's bizarro world, that's for sure.

london red 16:35 GMT June 12, 2020
chaz

and these folks thing they are performing duties better than the feds?

i say nuke the entire site from orbit, its the only way to be sure.

Minneapolis DRS2 15:46 GMT June 12, 2020
chaz
Reply   
Has anybody been following the antics of the Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone (CHAZ) in Seattle?

If this is the future of America, then there might not be much to worry about. Check out their economic issues (like how to run a garden).

Mtl JP 15:40 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

Is not HERTZ now a small biz ?

london red 15:29 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

opening gap filled. poss double bottom neck 3090. below 3k negates

london red 15:24 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

fed says nature of recovery will depend on those small biz.

well maybe they should help small biz. small biz is not 5m/annum turnover. its 1m or less.

london red 15:18 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

fed says some small biz or highly leveraged may need to shut permanently. whoda thought

london red 15:16 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

euro 11218-24 sup. below there 11095/111

swiss frank 15:07 GMT June 12, 2020
The next banking crisis

Plus its only estimated to be an $880 bio problem. Peanuts these days.

Belgrade Knez 15:05 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

If daily EURUSD, USDCHF and USDX close as it is now, we may see end of usd weakness!?

Minneapolis DRS2 15:00 GMT June 12, 2020
The next banking crisis

"Even in a recession, the entertainment, retail and healthcare sectors shouldn't all get into trouble, the theory goes..."

Yeah, it won't take a recession...just a touch of WuFlu and political exploitation. So much for that theory.

Israel MacroMicro 15:00 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

avg 11255 done now / stop to hit or not ?

swiss frank 14:57 GMT June 12, 2020
The next banking crisis
Reply   
This is where it will come from...

Google translate for non german speakers

CLO's

Israel MacroMicro 14:56 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

11250 add order filled
avg 11265 now

HK Kevin 14:54 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

Israel MacroMicro 14:03, EUR is dancing in tandem with US stock market. S&P seems to test yesterday's low

Minneapolis DRS2 14:46 GMT June 12, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
Adding to EUR/USD longs as price approaches 1250...

Israel MacroMicro 14:03 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

trying 11295 longs now

AT Trader john 14:00 GMT June 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index June 2020



NEWS ALERT
78.9 vs. 75.0 exp. vs. 72.3 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


london red 13:55 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

3040/3013 dwnside sup. if they hold those then up today. if not another shake. would be healthy to do a few days down, but healthy is no fun.

london red 13:42 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

no question about, nobody is doing shutdowns again. not due to covid anyway.

Mtl JP 13:36 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

kudlow just aped munchkin
No 2nd coronavirus wave in US
USA will not shut down over the pandemic again
- Kudlow

PAR 13:35 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

Computer algos switch to RISK ON before the weekend.

Israel MacroMicro 13:31 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

kovsky, sounds like you know that all members of Congress cashed their portfolio and now in 100% cash and finally to raise issues that will make chairman Powell to say something sending markets to the abyss

Mtl JP 13:25 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

MaMi - evil ? u have plenty of time to prepare your vengence and try to get even:
Next wednesday - 12:00 Fed Chair Powell Testimony (to congress)

Combine with fear of the wuhan virus still not neutralized and still lingering, odds are the New Zimbabwean will likely preach caution.

Bottom Line
cap on enthusiastic risk appetite

Israel MacroMicro 13:08 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

because RedBoy says so I am assured the FED not to do so. you really smartness spreader

london red 13:06 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

MaMi, yakking about unsustainable asset prices will create the next crisis. so they wont do it. powell didnt apologise for it wed.

london red 13:04 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

uk to introduce borders controls in stages from 2021.

mkt not yet noticing. they will july 1st.

Israel MacroMicro 13:03 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

this market is script by evil, they say we provide you with liquids so you survive while the liquids are at least vodka or higher, meanwhile they position their forces to hunt for DUI.

reality 2020 by the FED

Mtl JP 12:53 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

It is likely that again today markets will be dominated by sentiment around "risk".

with respect to ccies
- euro's languishing inside a range, waiting for something to wake traders up
- DLR is back N of 96.50. Probably on a union break.

FED gang - keeping in mind that this crew is still around, lingering, ready to stick fingers in market at their will

Israel MacroMicro 12:51 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

in context of trading, best for bubble sellers is actually not to sell. let it run high it can, as soon the FED yaks about unsustainable asset prices than start selling. why waste energy and money?

PAR 12:41 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

The second wave is a "Fata Morgana".

Israel MacroMicro 12:40 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

with EUR/USD I cannot see any chance for new lod before new hod. afterwards new lod is definitely not a must happen.

PAR 12:39 GMT June 12, 2020
S & P Futures
Reply   
Does nobody dare to stay short over the weekend?

Mtl JP 12:36 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

DRS2 10:15 how affected ?
one's trading would cease to the extent of IF one gets infected and ends up unconscious in an ICU (assuming they have medical coverage)

haifa ac 12:31 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

"Should we be ready for a second wave?"

That is like asking:
Should we be ready for a second traffic accident?

AT Trader john 12:30 GMT June 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Import Prices May 2020



NEWS ALERT
+1.0% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. -2.60% prev.

GVI Forex 11:40 GMT June 12, 2020
Trading is No More than Common Sense

Trading is not rocket science. It is common sense. You will see why as I outline in the following, which I have printed out and pinned to my desk as a reminder that trading is no more than common sense.


Trading is No More than Common Sense

london red 11:24 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

if they are going to sell it off they will allow an initial bounce that sell off no later no european close. normally u expect a nice long tail on daily candle for a bottom. another sell off today looks likely due to this all things being equal. u would prefer them to move lower first, then rally after euro close. that may of course happen monday if they move lower today.

AT Trader john 10:55 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

Nasty correction yesterday in equities. Focus seemed to be on the Powell comments Wednesday which seemed to be signaling that a "V-shaped" recovery is an unrealistic economic projection. On the other hand, equity traders who have bought the dip repeatedly been rewarded in recent decades. There are a few of us out there with longer memories still around, so I am cautious. Today and early next week could be decisive.

Minneapolis DRS2 10:15 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

How will that affect one's trading?

Mtl JP 10:11 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

wuhan virus
current rate of US daily death rate:
~800-1000 (approx 25,000/month)
-
Should we be ready for a second wave?

‘We can only look at what other seasonal coronaviruses and seasonal influenzas do. Based on that, most of us feel comfortable there will be a second wave.’
— Gregory Poland, Mayo Clinic

Mtl JP 09:18 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020



heading into NY
market moods for stocks
-
Asia - slightly down
Europe - down
US - S at 3000, trgt ~3100 (yellow block range) or higher
see chart

AT Trader john 08:51 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

Friday RISK- MIXED
DJ: 25,487 +508
SP: 3047.8 +57.7

2-yr 0.201% +2.2 bps
Spread 10s-2s +49.9 bps (+51.8 bps)
10-yr
US: 0.700% +4.7
UK: 0.206% +0.7
DE: -0.418% -0.2

EURUSD MACRO TREND: STRONGLY HIGHER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1335 (1.1335)
GBPUSD 1.2630 (1.2647)
EURGBP 0.8974 (0.8969)
USDJPY 107.25 (106.89)

THIS Week 1.1422-1.1242 (180 pips)
fri: 1.1340-1.1277 (63)
thu: 1.1403-1.1299 (104)
wed: 1.1422-1.1328 (94)
tue: 1.1365-1.1242 (118)
mon: 1.1320-1.1269 (51)

Sign up now for your invaluable report

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20-day avg: 1.1093
50-day avg: 1.0951
100-day avg: 1.0968
200-day avg: 1.1019

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 08:33 GMT June 12, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 12 June 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 12 June 2020
A 08:30 GB- Output, Trade, GDP
C 12:30 US- Import Prices
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


PAR 08:21 GMT June 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
Europe warned against free Virus bailouts for zombie banks. SRB head König says the question that needs to be asked is what is corona-related issue & what is an underlying problem which was only getting last kick via corona. Also pushes back against bad bank.

https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-12/europe-warned-against-free-virus-bailouts-for-zombie-banks?sref=61mHmpU4

swiss frank 06:30 GMT June 12, 2020
usd

In any case there should be some swings these next couple weeks given contracts, and options expirations going into Q end.

swiss frank 06:28 GMT June 12, 2020
usd
Reply   
Martin Armstrong saying there's a group of central banks (who? not known) that have been selling USD from the recent highs. Reason- To protect emerging market countries from shortage of USD in USD runaway mkt. As things go for these countries they are largely screwed. Add in shortage of USD and goes from bad to worse. It kind of explains a relentless bid in the EUR around 1.08 followed by pretty much straight move higher to 1.14 with no pullbacks or pauses of any significance. It also explains the reversal of some of the emerging currencies the last few weeks. Does not explain whats been going on in the JPY tho. Does it continue or are they happy with the move from 1.08 to 1.14? Again who knows.... He suggests a close above 1.1360 today probably sees quick extension to 1.15-1.17...

Central Kwun 05:37 GMT June 12, 2020
Risk Off now
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1727 Target: Stop:

yesterday gold buy at 1732 was TP at 1742, now buy again

dc CB 03:56 GMT June 12, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 11 June 2020

Thursday Amazing Trader 11 June 2020
Mtl JP 20:53 GMT 06/11/2020
DJIA -6.9%
S&P 500 -5.89%
speculation as to why abounds
all really just hind-sight
_______________________________

It's staring you in the face.
CHAZ --- Seattle---Amazon's headquarters. Jsut down the road Redmond Wash Microsoft.

Further Down the LEFTist Coast---SillyCON Valley

FAAN(M)G Landia...

dc CB 03:16 GMT June 12, 2020
TRUMP

Ironic?

those who named the Autonomous Zone CHAZ
Are toooooooo Young to recognize the Irony

1976 Commerical for CHAZ

dc CB 02:44 GMT June 12, 2020
TRUMP

on a map

the American Nations

dc CB 02:28 GMT June 12, 2020
TRUMP

Minneapolis DRS2 20:16 GMT 06/11/2020
It is helpful to recognize a fact that few in US society want to face...that America is Balkanizing into factions that have grown to hate each other.
___________________________

it's been that way from the get go.
But all the while the idea was "The Greater Good and The Greater Strength vs The Rest of the World" would be to the benefit of All.

That is no longer the case. The divisions are being exploited...for Power over ALL.
______________________________________________________
American Nations: A History of the Eleven Rival Regional Cultures of North America
https://www.amazon.com/American-Nations-History-Regional-Cultures-ebook/dp/B0052RDIZA


An illuminating history of North America's eleven rival cultural regions that explodes the red state-blue state myth.

North America was settled by people with distinct religious, political, and ethnographic characteristics, creating regional cultures that have been at odds with one another ever since. Subsequent immigrants didn't confront or assimilate into an “American” or “Canadian” culture, but rather into one of the eleven distinct regional ones that spread over the continent each staking out mutually exclusive territory.

In American Nations, Colin Woodard leads us on a journey through the history of our fractured continent,

dc CB 01:57 GMT June 12, 2020
TRUMP

see Hertz selling stock below.

Mtl JP 18:06 GMT 06/11/2020
CB 17:53 rofl

the autonomous zone is Out of Food and begging on line because they let in to Their Zone a bunch of homeless people ----who stole all theri food.

These are the same EduMacated Yuths, whose less revolutionary counterparts have chosen to Open Robinhood and TD Waterhouse accts and get their thrills from SToX rather than street violence.

This group is the Target Muppets of this Hertz offering.....dumb enough to spend $250K on an Undergrad degree in 'Wokeness'.

dc CB 01:49 GMT June 12, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 11 June 2020

On Monday, when the market hit its absolute blow off top phase and Robinhooders sent the stock of bankrupt Hertz as high as $6.25, resulting in a market cap of just under $900 million - a testament to the absolute idiocy of capital markets - we decided to double down on this idiocy and said that "we hope the company sells a few hundred million worth of stock - after all there is apparently endless demand for its shares - just so we can test the so-called "price discovery" of Powell's latest and greatest FOMO bubble."

Well, it turns out that some banker at Jefferies read us, however ignoring the clear sarcasm of this proposal decided to turn it into what may soon be the most insane and/or stunning, maybe even legendary capital markets product ever proposed: an Initial Bankruptcy Offering. You see, after the close on Thursday, Jefferies filed a motion in the Hertz bankruptcy case, seeking to sell $500 million in bankrupt Hertz stock (or 246,775,008 HTZ shares) in a "unique opportunity" to "raise capital on terms that are far superior to any debtor-in-possession financing."

Why is Jefferies proposing this deal? Because "the recent market prices of and the trading volumes in Hertz’s common stock potentially present a unique opportunity for the Debtors to raise capital on terms that are far superior to any debtor-in-possession financing."

In other words, the feverish retail participation in the most ridiculous asset bubble ever created by the Fed is just the opportunity Jefferies - and Hertz - needed to turn the bankruptcy process on its head.

Hertz Plans To Sell Up To $1 Billion In New Bankrupt Stock

Mtl JP 00:34 GMT June 12, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 11 June 2020

below is re-posted without any guarantee, none what-so-ever
u r a big boy/gal, managing risk is your first responsability:
-
Here’s how the stock market tends to trade after brutal selloffs like Thursday’s

By Mark DeCambre

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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