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Forex Forum Archive for 06/19/2020

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dc CB 21:01 GMT June 19, 2020
S&P futures


ES last 3057.75

funny meme of the day

dc CB 20:10 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

(covid)

Update (1525ET): This headline first emerged last night, but has apparently gotten a wider airing today: But three weeks after the George Floyd protests swept the country, the feared spike in cases in the cities with the biggest demonstrations has yet to materialize, which means it probably never will.
ZH

dc CB 19:45 GMT June 19, 2020
S&P futures

weekend risk(?): the first face to face Kulture Klash since the Covid LockDowns. so far in the post Lockdown US it has been the Left that has 'taken it to the streets'.

Saturday in Tulsa Oklahoma, Trump will hold his first Rally---said to have 1million people signing up for a 'first come first admitted' to a 20K capacity arena.
______________________________________________
The Mayor of Tulsa, Oklahoma declared a civil emergency on Thursday and announced a curfew affecting a six-block radius around the BOK Center, where President Trump will hold his first reelection rally since the start of the coronavirus pandemic on Saturday.

"I have received information from the Tulsa Police Department and other law enforcement agencies that shows that individuals from organized groups who have been involved in destructive and violent behavior in other States are planning to travel to the city of Tulsa for purposes of causing unrest in and around the rally," Bynum wrote in the executive order.

Trump tweeted:

Donald J. Trump
✔@realDonaldTrump

Any protesters, anarchists, agitators, looters or lowlifes who are going to Oklahoma please understand, you will not be treated like you have been in New York, Seattle, or Minneapolis. It will be a much different scene!
9:34 AM - Jun 19, 2020

Civil Emergency, Curfew Declared Ahead Of Tulsa Trump Rally

GVI Forex Blog 19:06 GMT June 19, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 June 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 June 2020

dc CB 18:55 GMT June 19, 2020
S&P futures

In a mirror-image move of May's WTI collapse, S&P 500 futures had a 'WTF' moment this morning as the June contract expired.

In the final 5 seconds of trading ahead of the expiry of the June futures contract, the S&P exploded over 30 points higher (from around 3160 to close at 3196) on notable volume..

ZH

PAR 18:42 GMT June 19, 2020
S&P futures
Reply   
3100 and everybody is happy .

Call and put buyers loose, WallStreet wins big.

Live can be beautiful.

dc CB 18:28 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

AT Trader john 16:18 GMT 06/19/2020
AAPL to close some stores in Fla and Arizona due to Corona-virus spike.


Many iPhone users across the US have over the past few days started to notice a new setting under the "privacy" subtab of the iPhone health app. It looks like this, and allows users to "toggle on" COVID-19 exposure logging.

It's all thanks to the latest update of Apple's iOS operating system for iPhone, iOS13.5.

Check If Your iPhone Is Secretly A Coronavirus Tracker

HK Kevin 18:23 GMT June 19, 2020
Aussie
Reply   
Did anyone notice AUD/USD has broken the lower trend line of the systematic triangle at 0.6850? I have a sell stop at 0.6848.

Israel MacroMicro 17:56 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

as long the FED not outing 'oops, that was not the meaning' - if at all and most likely not before ATH taken, I cannot see the markets entering into a bearish mindset.

my two cents

PAR 17:42 GMT June 19, 2020
Europe
Reply   
Fiasco at European top. European President Michel destroying Europe after destroying Belgium. More than 1.5 years after he caused the Belgium government to collapse the situation on Belgium is catastrophic.
Europe going in the same direction. Good luck.

He has no idea what he is doing.

PAR 17:23 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Great week for world stock markets thanks to $ trillions of money printing by central banks all over the world, trillions all over the world.

AT Trader john 16:22 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

focus back on SP 3100 into the close. Other states might feel the need to tighten up as well.

london red 16:19 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

3095/3070

AT Trader john 16:18 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

AAPL to close some stores in Fla and Arizona due to Corona-virus spike. S&P hit... wires

Perth Wtr 16:09 GMT June 19, 2020
DX to 100! Just buy usd

Yes td, the way usd closes this week, there is no stopping it next week. Looks like we welcome 1.20-1.22 next for cable and euro 1.08-1.09 again?

Singapore Td 16:03 GMT June 19, 2020
Euro below 11240 means 11090 confirmed
Reply   
How about doing it again next week JP? Back to back party?

Singapore Td 16:00 GMT June 19, 2020
DX to 100! Just buy usd
Reply   
Well JP, schadenfreude is always sooo good.

Mtl JP 15:53 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

I must be really bored ...

Oil’s Rally Points to Better Times Ahead - Barron's
haha, let it roll baby, roll !

Mtl JP 15:40 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/USD



DLR's tale

schwing schwing

Mtl JP 15:37 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/USD

EURO ate 1.1175
the 38.2% may/june retracement FIB

puppy is tilting South, odds are for 1.11

Kl Shawn 15:34 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/USD

In any case, closing below 11240 weekly is very good for usd. No chance. Usd is king

Kl Fs 15:26 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/USD

So now we fucken sell euro below 1.12?

Minneapolis DRS2 15:15 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
EUR/USD price is bouncing around 1200.

For now (short term only)...buy when below, sell when above.

Israel MacroMicro 15:05 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/GBP

yes Kevin, we sometimes take same kind trades.

WFAK parties with cable, level was good for WFAKING pips :)

Mtl JP 14:30 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Rosengren expects economic rebound this year ‘to be less than was hoped for’ - MarketWatch

not reflecting well on the zimbabwean

HK Kevin 13:59 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/GBP

Israel MacroMicro 09:58 GMT, I have also entered short EUR/GBP at 0.9060. Tight stop still save but almost hit. Hope it close below the cloud top 0.9060 this week.

Minneapolis DRS2 13:59 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

I dunno if the Chinese "sanction" spies...

Belgrade Knez 13:55 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT June 19, 2020

if they guilty, they should be sanctioned

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

earlier today China charged 2 Canadians with spying in Huawei-linked case

Mtl JP 13:30 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

(Bloomberg) -- U.K. government debt rose above 100% of gross domestic product in May for the first time since 1963 .../..

Israel MacroMicro 13:27 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Israel MacroMicro 13:16

just sharing output from my system :)

Mtl JP 13:22 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Robot will want to go w/break down of 1.1220 if seen
1.12 - for now - looks as good S
despite the tiny earlier forays below
or maybe becose of the probes

Israel MacroMicro 13:21 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

expecting 5m candles to be on the rise within few minutes
EUR/USD

Minneapolis DRS2 13:18 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Israel MM my chart says 1280 plus a few, for what it's worth...

Israel MacroMicro 13:16 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

1.1226 should bounce dozen of pips
if lucky 4 dozens

imo

Israel MacroMicro 13:12 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

94.30 - 99.60 for now
DXY
imo

Mtl JP 13:12 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

oh oh oohhhh... pollution on radar:
-
10:15 rosengren discusses economic outlook
12:00 quarles yaks on "stress testing"
13:00 powell & mester at appear at some community event
times are NYT

pre-view:
rosengren - fundamentals good, but not a rose garden
quarles - we got the net out, nobody s getting injured
powell and mester - it's a community event , so just dress good, smile and appear mysterious, superior and confident.

Minneapolis DRS2 13:11 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Too eager for 1.12 to break down?

Weren't you looking for DX to crash into the cellar last week?

Relax, and enjoy the bouncing...(that's what she said, heh)

Mtl JP 12:57 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

now the Q is
how strong R is 1.1250

Mtl JP 12:56 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

EURO 1.1240, 1.1252 H
-
I think I am too eager for 1.12 to break down
that is why the puppy bounceth
ratz palying w/patience

AT Trader john 12:45 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Markets reacting to EU recovery plan Summit comments. No agreement reached but they will be meeting again in mid-July in Brussels. Statements have been triggering all the volatility.

AT Trader john 12:32 GMT June 19, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Retail Sales April 2020

Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Retail Sales
Headline: -26.4 vs. -15.1% exp. vs. -10.20% (r prev.)
X-Autos: -22.0 vs. -13.5% exp. vs. -0.40% (r prev.)




Israel MacroMicro 12:27 GMT June 19, 2020
Event Risk

USD/JPY
suspicious:)

GVI Forex 12:17 GMT June 19, 2020
Event Risk

EU leaders have ended Summit without a consensus on the Recovery Plan (as expected)

Source

Newsquawk

AT Trader john 12:05 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

SP 500 bid at the moment . related to option expiry??

EURUSD just followed it higher.

Israel MacroMicro 12:02 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

in general the markets are in state of unlimited CB injections do wonders to hopium levels.

imo

Israel MacroMicro 11:59 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/GBP

it's safe to start buying GBP across the board / WFAK trades

imo

PAR 11:59 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

What about Powell joining the V-Shape recovery club?

London Trader 11:45 GMT June 19, 2020
buy cable

Look at eurgbp

PAR 11:40 GMT June 19, 2020
Trump and Xi
Reply   
Best friends again?

AT Trader john 11:08 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

I can't imagine what Powell can say today that would be newsworthy. He could start to suffer from overexposure??

AT Trader john 11:06 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Today 13:00 EDT Discussion - Chair Jerome H. Powell

At the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Virtual Discussion on Building a Resilient Workforce During the COVID-19 Era

jkt abel 10:56 GMT June 19, 2020
buy cable

where are the guys that made amazing short cable calls last few days, must be partying hard already
forum is a big quiet today, only MaMi made call

AT Trader john 10:54 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

I use observation. Sometimes it works great other times it works poorly. Also sometimes the correlation is asymmetric. I am quick to abandon it when it stops working.

GVI Forex 10:52 GMT June 19, 2020
Event Risk
Reply   
Event risk is the EU leaders’ summit, whether it can agree on the proposed €750bn Recovery Plan and whether the frugal 4 (Austria, Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden) will agree.

Mtl JP 10:28 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020



john - see IF "forex market is correlated to equities"
-
what signal(s) do u use to discern that correlation ?
tia

Israel MacroMicro 10:24 GMT June 19, 2020
buy cable

WFAK style pips if buying ahead/around top of hour and cashing few minutes later

imo

jkt abel 10:22 GMT June 19, 2020
buy cable
Reply   
time to buy cable soon?

Israel MacroMicro 09:58 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/GBP

Sell EURGBP
Entry: 09036 Target: Stop:

entry momentum triggered
rest of details in prev post

AT Trader john 09:55 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Mild risk-on trade very early in NY. I am back using S&P-500 3100 (3137 last) as my risk on/off (+/-) indicator. I always wait for a while to see if the forex market is correlated to equities each day. This can change during the day. WTI is up strongly at this hour. It can be another risk indicator.

EURUSD spot vs.20 day average continues to slump. It was 1.1185 as of Thursday's NY close. It should pick up another 15 pips today to ~1.1200, assuming we close around here today, so it is at risk of closing neutral. Today sees a large quarterly option expiry during the NY morning, so that could generate some volatility. We will see.

Israel MacroMicro 09:47 GMT June 19, 2020
EUR/GBP
Reply   
now @ 09035
stop bit above 09060 should have a trick effect
day trade 08990/95 a high probability for today

good luck

PAR 09:38 GMT June 19, 2020
USDJPY
Reply   
Long USDJPY 106.95. Stop 106.45. Target > 108.00

Israel MacroMicro 09:26 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Buy GBPUSD
Entry: under 1.2350 Target: WFAK style Stop:

it seems the real test of 1.2300 area moves to next week
good luck

AT Trader john 09:17 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Friday: Mild RISK-ON
DJ: 26,084 +138
SP: 3119.0 +14.4

2-yr 0.196% +0.1 bps
Spread 10s-2s +52.2 bps (+50.5bps)
10-yr
US: 0.718% +2.4
UK: 0.240% +1.4
DE: -0.410% -0.3

EURUSD MACRO TREND: HIGHER
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1214 (1.1218)
GBPUSD 1.2418 (1.2463)
EURGBP 0.9029 (0.9003)
USDJPY 106.91 (106.88)

THIS Week 1.1353-1.1187 (166 pips)
fri: 1.1221-1.1198 (23)
thu: 1.1262-1.1187 (75)
wed: 1.1295-1.1207 (88)
tue: 1.1353-1.1229 (124)
mon: 1.1334-1.1227 (97)

20-day avg: 1.1185
50-day avg: 1.0993
100-day avg: 1.0980
200-day avg: 1.1024

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 09:03 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 19 Jun 2020
A 00:30 AU- Retail Sales
A 06:00 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Mtl JP 08:23 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Bloomberg News June 19, 2020
China to Accelerate U.S. Farm Purchases After Hawaii Talks

but appararently

the information is private

haifa ac 05:16 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

"Turbulence
a layer of uncertainty on Friday"
THe important action will start next week. The damage of the June expiration has been done: All shorts, all SIMAGA shorts, All Stocks put options expired worthless.
Next week we start paining the rest of the year.

PAR 05:16 GMT June 19, 2020
RISK ON
Reply   
Risk on into option expiration.

Put buyers are loosers.

Mtl JP 05:03 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

ranges r tight ... it is quiet ... calm ..
storm a-coming ?

Mtl JP 01:19 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

loonie 1.36
-
res at 21day and
more imp at 50 day 1.3860

Kl Fs 01:15 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

Looks like a perfect scenario for more usd strength? Uncertainty ---> safe haven

Mtl JP 01:04 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

grasshopper trading 101:

Quadruple Witching Set to Add Fuel to Month of Stock Turbulence
a layer of uncertainty on Friday

investors may need to get ready

Kl Fs 00:16 GMT June 19, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 19 June 2020

JP, loonie keeps coming back bumping its head against 1.36, surely something in store?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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