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Forex Forum Archive for 07/06/2020

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Israel MacroMicro 23:25 GMT July 6, 2020
this is good one...

Mtl JP 22:09

sounds like someone preparing SPX run towards 8000 :)

Mtl JP 22:20 GMT July 6, 2020
this is good one...

congresswoman Elise Stefanik is calling for the ‘phased’ reopening of the U.S. - Canada border. In a letter, Stefanik and 29 other members of congress urged “a comprehensive framework” for reopening the border. The letter comes as the ban on most travel between the U.S. and Canada is halfway through its fourth month.

In the meantime Trudeau won't travel to Washington to mark start of renegotiated NAFTA deal

China warns citizens travelling to Canada to exercise caution, citing "frequent violent actions" by law enforcement - Reuters

Mtl JP 22:09 GMT July 6, 2020
this is good one...

Group of 239 scientists (experts) demand that WHO admit coronavirus is AIRBORNE - meaning the public should wear masks indoors and AC units should be fitted with filters

WHO said it is aware of the document and claims its own scientists are studying the claim.

Mtl JP 21:32 GMT July 6, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020

Bit of Mood Mix
from monday MSM headlines
-
Stock Futures Go Nowhere. The Message in the Market’s Malaise

The stock market is poised for a 40% drop, warns economist who says the current climate feels a lot like 1929

A consensus believes markets will bounce back and forth in a range for some time :
• Coronavirus will continue to take a toll, sometimes tragic, on the world, but “we are unlikely to see the sort of broad-based economic dislocations experienced in March”
• The U.S. Congress will extend emergency benefits .../.
• Despite an overall bullish landscape for riskier assets, there will be “considerable near-term dislocations, particularly for airlines, hotels, commercial real estate operators and developers, and associated lenders to these sectors” ../.
• For all that, global stocks will be higher 12 months from now .../..
(DJIA 26,287.03, Nasdaq Comp 10,433.6499, S&P500 3,179.72)

At the Close:
Dow surges 459 points, Nasdaq clinches fresh record close, despite concerns of economic toll of unfettered U.S. virus cases

(Srce.: MarketWatch)

AT Trader john 19:35 GMT July 6, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020

LATE Monday: RISK ON
DJ: 26,287 +460
SP: 3179.7 +49.7

2-yr 0.161% +0.6 bps
Spread 10s-2s +53.5 bps (+53.5bps)
10-yr
US: 0.696% +2.5
UK: 0.206% +0.4
DE: -0.433% 0.0

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL-POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1312 (1.1301)
GBPUSD 1.2489 (1.2490)
EURGBP 0.9056 (0.9055)
USDJPY 107.36 (107.20)

Last Week 1.1303-1.1185 (118 pips)
mon: 1.1346-1.1237 (66)
fri: 1.1250-1.1220 (30)
thu: 1.1303-1.1224 (79)
wed: 1.1276-1.1185 (91)
tue: 1.1262-1.1191 (71)

20-day avg: 1.1259
50-day avg: 1.1084
100-day avg: 1.1013
200-day avg: 1.1039

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 19:32 GMT July 6, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 7 July 2019
AA 04:30 AU- RBA Decision
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
Wed 8 July 2019
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 9 July 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 10 July 2020
AA 12:30 CA- Employment
AA 12:30 US- PPI


GVI Forex Blog 19:13 GMT July 6, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 July 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 July 2020

Mtl JP 15:42 GMT July 6, 2020
this is good one...



Tesla ~1335
-
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
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Mtl JP 15:15 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

USDCAD 1.3542
-
IMF is expecting canadian economy to shrink by 8.4%

From earlier BoC this morning: Results from the summer Business Outlook Survey suggest that business sentiment is strongly negative in all regions and sectors ... blablabla

On wednesday Can Fin Min Morneau will deliver a "fiscal snapshot" and probably give some hints where folks should line up for the next mega-sprays of "money".

AT Trader john 14:00 GMT July 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ISM Services PMI June 2020

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
57.1 vs. 50.0 vs. 45.4 prev. (r. )

AT Trader john 13:45 GMT July 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI June 2020





ALERT
47.9 vs. 47.0 exp. vs. 46.7 prev.


swiss frank 13:42 GMT July 6, 2020
euro
Reply   
I exit eur and eur/jpy longs here. Hope for a pullback (1.1260ish maybe?) to re-enter. Probably.

HK Kevin 13:13 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

Does the rally of China and Hong Kong stock markets signal a mild correction of their US counterparts?

haifa ac 13:10 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

" Fine for not wearing a mask to be raised to $150"
The Israeli Chuzpah is costly right now. We started very fast with total closure and the virus was helpless.
Then this hubris caused the government to open recklessly and the virus is showing us its exponential might. We also have enough "free masons" and " Trilateral Commission" idiots that push their facebook shticks all over (persuading quite a few young gullible and ignorant Israelis to scoff at the danger.)
The government is now between the devil and the deep blue sea.

Mtl JP 12:36 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

Coronavirus Israel Live: Government Decides to Close Bars, Gyms, Limit Public Transportation
More than 30,000 confirmed cases in Israel since February ■ Minister: Reopening tourism by August 'off the table' ■ Fine for not wearing a mask to be raised to $150 ■ Palestinian death toll rises to 20
- Haaretz

Mtl JP 12:15 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

Heading into NY session
DLRx 96.64 just above its 96.50 S pricepoint

Mtl JP 11:00 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

(Bloomberg) -- Just over a month after turning more upbeat on the economy, the Bank of Israel is still unlikely to tinker with its near-zero interest rates (16:00 / 0.1%) even as it confronts a renewed surge in Covid-19 cases and strengthening shekel.

Mtl JP 10:39 GMT July 6, 2020
this is good one...

In an email to the Gateway Pundit from the federal prison
-
Martin Shkreli Endorses Kanye West for President, Says He’s Available for Role in the Admin

“I am available for treasury secretary or federal reserve chairman. I could immediately balance the budget and restore sanity to the American balance sheet, replete with debt and runaway spending,” Shkreli wrote

Mtl JP 10:30 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

(OPINION) Back-to-normal vs 2nd wave
-
assuming this corona virus is real, re-opening of restaurants, bars and pub appears to be a bad idea IF quelling the virus' spread is the goal judging from various msm reports be they from US, UK, Australia, Canada and elsewhere.

Loosening the briddle on folk, allowing them to stuff their gizzard and wash it w/2-3+ pints in group setting seems to be the formula for forgetting about distancing and dis-infecting protocols.

AT Trader john 08:57 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

Monday: RISK ON
DJ: 26,157 +92
SP: 3169.8 +48.7

2-yr 0.159% +0.4 bps
Spread 10s-2s +53.5 bps (+51.2bps)
10-yr
US: 0.691% +0.2
UK: 0.206% +1.8
DE: -0.433% -0.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL-POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1288 (1.1235)
GBPUSD 1.2480 (1.2462)
EURGBP 0.9044 (0.9016)
USDJPY 107.60 (107.50)

LAST Week 1.1303-1.1185 (118 pips)
mon: 1.1303-1.1237 (66)
fri: 1.1250-1.1220 (30)
thu: 1.1303-1.1224 (79)
wed: 1.1276-1.1185 (91)
tue: 1.1262-1.1191 (71)

20-day avg: 1.1263
50-day avg: 1.1075
100-day avg: 1.1010
200-day avg: 1.1037

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 08:32 GMT July 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

big beat. Little market reaction.

AT Trader john 08:31 GMT July 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
U.K. Construction PMI June 2020




-- NEWS ALERT --

55.30 vs. 46.5 exp. vs. 28. 9prev.



AT Trader john 08:22 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 6 July 2019
Final Service PMIs
Tue 7 July 2019
AA 04:30 AU- RBA Decision
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
Wed 8 July 2019
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 9 July 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 10 July 2020
AA 12:30 CA- Employment
AA 12:30 US- PPI


Minneapolis DRS2 08:00 GMT July 6, 2020
The carnage in Chicago continues unabated

US life is a lot better and more "normal" as you leave the cities.

haifa ac 07:14 GMT July 6, 2020
The carnage in Chicago continues unabated
Reply   
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Chicago and New York City crime numbers are way up. 67 people shot in Chicago, 13 killed. Shootings up significantly in NYC where people are demanding that @NYGovCuomo & @NYCMayor act now. Federal Government ready, willing and able to help, if asked!
12:20 AM · Jul 6, 2020

On saturday he stands at Mt.Rushmore and on Sunday offers help to the murdered in Chicago.
Anyone who can explain to me what is the USA standing for today--please. I am very confused.

Mtl JP 07:11 GMT July 6, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 6 July 2020

some week-end headlines
-
ECB’s Villeroy Says Pandemic Forces Permanent Policy Changes - bbrg

Canada should focus on boosting the economy even as debt climbs: analysts - rtrs
- "The only solution to these large deficits is growth, so we need a transition to a pro-growth agenda," said Craig Wright, chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada

and to start off the week:
(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks rose along with U.S. and European futures as investors weighed expectations for ongoing policy support against increasing global coronavirus cases. The dollar and Treasuries dipped.

Mtl JP 06:07 GMT July 6, 2020
50000 new infected a day. (1000 in Israel)

Rafe... 19:07 // IF
IF you want to win, neutrality does not work.
IF you want to win , you must be mindful AND control your self

The trick - taking advantage of others using numbers - hides inside the theory of probability and involves being keen to chance variation.

BEING KEEN
- being mindless / insensitive to context
- being mindful / "so simple it almost defies belief" (06.34 of my 00:53 link): "actively noticing new things"

IT has nothing to do - for example - with "sad" or being frustrated and miserable about ponzi schemes as policy.

It has everything to do about being mindful and not mindless and about being dispassionate about using it to pull the trigger in trading opportunities ("noticing new things trade opps") be they - as Jay says - "whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader."

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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