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Forex Forum Archive for 07/07/2020

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Mtl JP 21:44 GMT July 7, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 July 2020

john 20:24 "Keep an eye as markets develop through Asia and Europe early on Wednesday"

do you mean as a prelude to what will happen in NY following or ____ ?

Mtl JP 21:35 GMT July 7, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 July 2020

this is now a day old:
-
(Leftist) Economists call for more direct cash payments tied to the health of the economy

Direct cash payments can improve financial security, boost consumer spending and may speed up the recovery, according to a letter from a group of economists calling on U.S. policymakers to keep providing direct cash payments to Americans until the economy is stronger.

The stimulus payments should be issued automatically, based on certain economic indicators such as the unemployment rate, until there is enough evidence that the economy is recovering, the group of mostly left-leaning economists said in an open letter organized by the Economic Security Project and The Justice Collaborative. .../..

AT Trader john 20:24 GMT July 7, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 July 2020

Markets appeared to be slipping into a RISK-OFF mode late in the day Tuesday in NY. Keep an eye as markets develop through Asia and Europe early on Wednesday.

AT Trader john 19:29 GMT July 7, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 July 2020

LATE TUESDAY: RISK-OFF
DJ: 25,890 -397
SP: 3,145.3 -34.4

2-yr 0.163% +0.2 bps
Spread 10s-2s +48.8 bps (+50.9bps)
10-yr

US: 0.651% -3.3
UK: 0.167% -1.3
DE: -0.435% -1.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1284 (1.1292)
GBPUSD 1.2552 (1.2562)
EURGBP 0.8988 (0.9005)
USDJPY 107.52 (107.52)

This Week 1.1346-1.1259 (87 pips)
tue: 1.1333-1.1259 (74)
mon: 1.1346-1.1237 (66)
fri: 1.1250-1.1220 (30)
thu: 1.1303-1.1224 (79)
wed: 1.1276-1.1185 (91)

20-day avg: 1.1257
50-day avg: 1.1093
100-day avg: 1.1018
200-day avg: 1.1041

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Mtl JP 18:19 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

been a while since I saw something worth-while from the chinese communists' mouthpiece
maybe this is altho a bit too general to be specifically useful:
-
Hu Xijin 胡锡进
@HuXijin_GT

9h
Washington has ruined cooperation-based relations of major powers & is pushing the world toward confrontation. Worldwide geopolitical shocks are inevitable. I am worried that stable life of mankind may have come to an end: viruses,wars & disasters will trouble us for a long time.

Mtl JP 17:49 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

a 2nd $1200.00 a-coming - DJT

Mtl JP 17:40 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

apparently bolsanoro tested +ive
-
few yakkers still on deck
- Haldane and Quarels (yakking now)
- Daly and Barkin (14.00NYT) - on the economy

Mtl JP 17:30 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

john 12:10 then the bubble bursting (i.e the bursting act itself) could be an anti-chinese - i.e racist - act, in light of current social context !

Did the chinese dirigists not counter the bursting prospects before, in the past - with outright ban on selling under promise of death penalty ?

Mtl JP 17:13 GMT July 7, 2020
Bolsonaro becomes interesting testing case

worth remembering:
"once you croak, nobody cares" - Mtl JP
despite all the usual was this or that / will be deeply mised

haifa ac 16:28 GMT July 7, 2020
Bolsonaro becomes interesting testing case
Reply   
If he survives-- this could be a boost to the Nay sayers
If he gets badly sick-- this could bring the whole world to fight the Corona hard. Major economic consequences

AT Trader john 16:06 GMT July 7, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 July 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 8 July 2019
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 9 July 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 10 July 2020
AA 12:30 CA- Employment
AA 12:30 US- PPI

Israel MacroMicro 15:52 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.2581 Target: Stop:

opened short position
48hrs time horizon

Israel MacroMicro 15:16 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

leave the cats to guard the milk, the Israeli version

more or less than 1000 people to end im jail because of that idea?

AT Trader john 14:01 GMT July 7, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

May 2020 JOLTS Survey



ALERT

5.397 vs. 4.800 exp vs. 5.046 mn (r 4.996 ) prev.


AT Trader john 14:01 GMT July 7, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

May 2020 JOLTS Survey



ALERT

5.397 vs. 4.800 exp vs. 5.046 mn (r 4.996 ) prev.


london red 14:01 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

NKLA. 42,74
that gap fill to 36 bucks getting close now

London Trader 13:52 GMT July 7, 2020
GBP
Reply   
Hi folks. If you haven't noticed it is a gbpeur (or eurgbp if you trade that way) day

HK Kevin 13:47 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

In reality, China's stock market is a scam. Enjoy the firework

AT Trader john 13:45 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

Macro good points. Markets strike me as very thin...

Israel MacroMicro 12:24 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

John, what you see as stox bubble is a Chinese art.
after the 2015 bubble/crash, they got no fear to turning such into "twice in a decade"ritual.

rat year didn't show its last episode of horror in the markets, yet.

AT Trader john 12:10 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

If China creates a stock bubble and it bursts.

Mtl JP 12:02 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

john 10:46 what would be an example of a not well end ?

PAR 12:01 GMT July 7, 2020
US DEBT
Reply   
Let's borrow $ 43 billion in 3-year notes in ONE DAY and be happy.

Mtl JP 11:53 GMT July 7, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020

GBP 1.2522
-
players celebrating frost / barnier schedule of dinner talks

Mtl JP 11:32 GMT July 7, 2020
aud/jpy



tight ?
one leads one follows

Israel MacroMicro 11:10 GMT July 7, 2020
aud/jpy

no point risking more than yesterday's high area for now.
can turn into short for day or two

swiss frank 11:02 GMT July 7, 2020
aud/jpy

Maybe. I don't know where the top is. I see the current move as corrective with a potential more impulsive move lower. Within that context each should judge their own risk reward accordingly.

Israel MacroMicro 10:58 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

black rock pimping SSE currently
fwiw

Swiss Frank 10:57 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

This article refers to original in the China Securities Journal

Bull in China

Israel MacroMicro 10:56 GMT July 7, 2020
aud/jpy

now @ 74.60

there will be a chance/risk to sell above 75 soon
EUR/AUD may support your bearish view with this pair

imo

swiss frank 10:53 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

This caught fire last week when an all systems go, no holding back report surfaced saying the China government was ready to buy stocks to support the recovery. That said today's daily candle of the Shanghai Comp not too pretty...

swiss frank 10:48 GMT July 7, 2020
aud/jpy
Reply   
Maybe a good risk reward sale up here. Looks like C wave ready to commence following the consolidation/correction off the 72.50ish lows. 71.00 seems a reasonable target especially with things not going great in aus these days...

AT Trader john 10:46 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

This can't end well.

Mtl JP 10:43 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

the higher the leverage ...
the bigger the crowd ...
the bigger the opportunity

Mtl JP 10:02 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

this is good one ...
there's got to be a way take advantage
-
Chinese Trading Apps Struggle as Millions of Investors Pile In During Rally
- bbrg

"Chinese investors are loading up on leverage to speculate in the stock market at the fastest pace in more than five years."

Israel MacroMicro 09:45 GMT July 7, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020



Mtl JP 07:24

in case you find any help with the enclosed picture with levels to continue the ride

AT Trader john 09:21 GMT July 7, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020

TUESDAY: RISK-OFF
DJ: 25,911 -242
SP: 3146.7 -23.2

2-yr 0.159% -0.2 bps
Spread 10s-2s +50.9 bps (+53.5bps)
10-yr

US: 0.668% -1.6
UK: 0.192% -0.1
DE: -0.439% -0.8

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL-POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1266 (1.1301)
GBPUSD 1.2470 (1.2490)
EURGBP 0.9034 (0.9055)
USDJPY 107.72 (107.20)

Last Week 1.1346-1.1259 (87 pips)
tue: 1.1332-1.1259 (73)
mon: 1.1346-1.1237 (66)
fri: 1.1250-1.1220 (30)
thu: 1.1303-1.1224 (79)
wed: 1.1276-1.1185 (91)

20-day avg: 1.1259
50-day avg: 1.1084
100-day avg: 1.1013
200-day avg: 1.1039

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 09:05 GMT July 7, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 7 July 2019
AA 04:30 AU- RBA Decision
B 14:00 US- JOLTS
Wed 8 July 2019
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 9 July 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 10 July 2020
AA 12:30 CA- Employment
AA 12:30 US- PPI


swiss frank 08:51 GMT July 7, 2020
euro

Holding off on buying eur here. Maybe some support initially but not enough to elevate it. Don't see any bid coming out of the crosses to help either. Maybe all the way back down to mid 1.11's. Maybe...

Mtl JP 07:30 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

this is good one ...
even if not trade-able
-
Lawmakers and Transportation Secretary�s family-owned business collectively received millions of dollars in PPP loans - MarketWatch

Mtl JP 07:24 GMT July 7, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020

GBP 1.24685
-
S/L in on 00:55 trade ticket
and preparing for partial kitching

Central Kwun 06:00 GMT July 7, 2020
USD is game over
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1782 Target: Stop: 1772

keep buying even is risk on or risk off

Mtl JP 00:55 GMT July 7, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 7 July 2020

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.2515 Target: 1.2460 and lower Stop: 1.253-ish

pretty riski imo,
low odds of success me thinks

Mtl JP 00:38 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

RIO DE JANEIRO (Reuters July 6, 2020) - Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro said on Monday that he had undergone another test for the novel coronavirus, after local media reported he had symptoms associated with the COVID-19 respiratory disease that it causes.

Mtl JP 00:28 GMT July 7, 2020
this is good one...

MacroMicro 23:25 corcondingly my current preference is for the DLR (96.60) into the toilet
(risk optimism -> USD down formula but not necessarily the reverse)

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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