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Forex Forum Archive for 07/14/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Mtl JP 22:44 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

06:30 Trump says he has no plans to speak to China's Xi
05:55 U.S. Ends Preferential Treatment for Hong Kong
05:46 Trump signs bill holding China accountable for 'oppressive actions' in Hong Kong
- MarketWatch

dc CB 22:17 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

US equity markets are higher after-hours following news that Moderna’s potential COVID-19 vaccine produced immune responses in patients in the early stage trial, according to results published in a peer-reviewed journal for the first time.

The US biotech company’s vaccine candidate produced antibodies in all 45 participants in the first cohort of the phase one trial run by the National Institutes of Health, while the paper said there were no safety problems that could curtail further trials.

THEN---Dr DOOM sez:
Finally, we give the last word to Dr.Fauci who dropped this little missed tape-bomb after hours - "I hope any COVID-19 vaccine will last a full season."

(which begs the question---WHO is Dr Doom's paymaster?)

Go for it ALGOs and Robinhooders. lol

Mtl JP 22:14 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

so an "adverse" time would be , for example, the FEDs somehow for some reason stepping back from buying the banks' bags of kakka ?

Mtl JP 22:11 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

there is going to be NO covid vaccine
at least until mid 2021 at best

in the meantime any market reaction to some such
is an SoB

dc CB 21:32 GMT July 14, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 15 July 2020

US Crude
API
Crude -8.322mm (-2.1mm exp)
Cushing +548k
Gasoline -3.611mm (-2.0mm exp)
Distillates +3.03mm (+1.1mm exp)
(ZH)

dc CB 21:23 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020



Mtl JP 14:14 GMT 07/14/2020
what do you think "adverse" time means ?
_______________________________________
ZH has a few thots on that.

as the first three reporting banks revealed today, the economic situation - as observed by the same banks that have the bird's eye view over the economy and what is coming, in the form of non-payment on their existing loans - is about to get far worse, and as shown in the chart below, Q2 loss provisions surged from Q1 - just as we said they wold.

Banks Brace For A Historic Crash With Record Loss Provisions

dc CB 21:09 GMT July 14, 2020
HUAWEI - TESLA

A Tesla on Autopilot smashed into the back of a patrol vehicle on the side of the road near Benson, Arizona today, according to Arizona's Department of Public Safety Twitter feed.

"Today, a Tesla rear-ended a patrol vehicle at the scene of an earlier crash on I-10 EB near Benson. Luckily, our sergeant wasn’t in the vehicle & wasn't hurt," the tweet says.

In addition to being on Autopilot, the driver of the vehicle is being investigated for DUI, according to the Arizona DPS.

"We can confirm the driver indicated to troopers the Tesla was on autopilot at the time of the collision. Additionally, the driver, a 23-year-old male from Irvine, CA, is being investigated for DUI. He remains in the hospital with serious but non-life-threatening injuries," they commented on Twitter.

"The impact caused the patrol vehicle to collide with the back of an ambulance, but fortunately the occupants of the ambulance weren’t injured. The driver of the Tesla had non-life-threatening injuries. Please AZ - #MoveOver! It’s the law & it helps everyone get home safely," the Arizona DPS wrote.

ZeroHedge

AT Trader john 20:04 GMT July 14, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 15 July 2020

LATE Tuesday: RISK-ON
DJ: 26,644 +558
SP: 3,198.6 +42.4

2-yr 1.530% +16.2 bps
Spread 10s-2s +48.2 bps (+45.7 bps)
10-yr

US: 0.612% -1.8
UK: 0.152% +0.2
DE: -0.443% -0.2

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1395 (1.1377)
GBPUSD 1.2553 (1.2533)
EURGBP 0.9076 (0.9203)
USDJPY 107.18 (107.24)

This Week 1.1410-1.1301 (109 pips)
tue: 1.1410-1.1325 (85)
mon: 1.1375-1.1301 (74)
fri: 1.1325-1.1255 (70)
thu: 1.1371-1.1286 (85)
wed: 1.1352-1.1263 (89)

20-day avg: 1.1261
50-day avg: 1.1134
100-day avg: 1.1043
200-day avg: 1.1050

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





PAR 19:07 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

Pelosi will do whatever she can to get Trump reelected.
Even postponing her well deserved holidays.

dc CB 19:02 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

Tedros announces that WHO has determined that a single gunman was responsible for the 1963 assaination in Dallas

dc CB 19:00 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

The World Health Organisation announced Monday that it will not be visiting the Wuhan Institute of Virology during its investigation into the origins of the coronavirus, despite the fact that the lab held samples of coronavirus that were almost exactly the same as that which caused a global pandemic.

The WHO stated that its mission will only seek to “advance the understanding of animal hosts for Covid-19 and ascertain how the disease jumped between animals and humans”.

Indpendent, UK

Wuhan lab that researches Covid-19 will not be visited by WHO investigators looking into origin of virus

Mtl JP 18:59 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

experts. experts say
-
"Group of former CDC heads say no president has ever politicized the leading U.S. health agency the way Trump has

‘Sound science is being challenged with partisan potshots, sowing confusion and mistrust at a time when the American people need leadership, expertise and clarity,’ say four health experts"

bring on biden ?

Mtl JP 18:56 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

sofar not being priced-in:
Pelosi raised the possibility House lawmakers will delay their August break until a deal is reached on a new coronavirus bill including an extension of more-generous jobless benefits.
- on CNN

dc CB 18:11 GMT July 14, 2020
HUAWEI - TESLA

Tesla is a sideshow(gaslighting) for Musk's important bidness ---- 5G and lord who knows what else it can do.

SpaceX Starlink Sats----10s of thouseands of them.

Mtl JP 18:01 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

EURO 1.1398
-
looks like some scalping going on around 1.14 +/- 8pips

PAR 17:50 GMT July 14, 2020
HUAWEI - TESLA
Reply   
Tesla using Chinese battery technology and Google map services. Not really spy proof?

Mtl JP 17:35 GMT July 14, 2020
this is good one...

so ... The two survivors are now infectious virus experts ?

dc CB 17:12 GMT July 14, 2020
this is good one...

Today's FEAR.

Three teachers who shared a classroom in Arizona for two hours a day teaching online classes during the pandemic all got Covid-19. One of them died.
The two survivors say that it's not yet safe for kids or teachers to return to the classroom.
10:04 AM · Jul 14, 2020

CNN twitter

Mtl JP 16:46 GMT July 14, 2020
this is good one...

this is good one ...
-
Redskins Change Name To 'Lizard People'

To Better Represent Population Of Washington, D.C.

Toronto Abb 16:02 GMT July 14, 2020
brent
Reply   
brent big chance to see 44 now price 42.80 ..
lets see

Toronto Abb 15:59 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

and eurchf1.073

Toronto Abb 15:56 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

possibility for eurusd to see1.1448 and eurjpy122.6..

AT Trader john 15:31 GMT July 14, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 15 July 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 15 July 2020
A 06:00 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 06:00 CA- BOC Decision
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Thu 16 July 2020
A 06:00 GB- Employment
AA 11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
Fri 17 July 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


dc CB 15:30 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

NY Gov Andrew Cuomo added New Mexico, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin to the list of state's where travelers must quarantine for 2 weeks if traveling to NY, CT or NJ. Meanwhile, Delaware has been removed.

dc CB 15:25 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

Update (1100ET): Music venues and other event spaces are going to have a hard time surviving now that Philly has reportedly banned all large public events until Feb. 21.

Here's more from 6ABC:

The City of Philadelphia will not permit any large public events for the next several months as the COVID-19 pandemic continues.
Action News has learned that order will be in effect through February 28, 2021.
The fate of any events that would potentially be impacted was not immediately known.
More details are expected at a city news conference at 1 p.m.

The move follows a similar decision by NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio, who ordered all large public events cancelled for the time being.

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

1.1402
-
the EURO b!tch is trying to stop out my short

GVI Forex Blog 14:56 GMT July 14, 2020
Think Like Our Algo and Control Your Trading Decisions
Reply   

What does it mean to think like our algo? As I explained in my article, Forex Battle; (Wo)Man vs. Machine, the best of all worlds is when you can follow the logic of an algo but make your own trading decisions. In other words, if you understand not only how but why a trading algo works, you can add a human element to filter out trades that are likely to produce false starts. See the following for a textbook real-time illustration of what I am saying.

Think Like Our Algo and Control Your Trading Decisions

Mtl JP 14:14 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

what do you think "adverse" time means ?

It is not like any of the financial ilk is in line as
Supreme Court Permits First Federal Executions Since 2003
Trump administration has scheduled three inmates to be put to death this week - wsj

london red 14:10 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

Mtl JP 13:03 GMT 07/14/2020

like i thought, he wont dare. hes got know idea what that bank is gonna do in a week let alone the next quarter. or at least, he knows, just dont wanna say. we all know. but nobodys talks about it.

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.14 +/- few Target: down Stop: 25-ish pips

IF n when seen

Mtl JP 13:58 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

GBP 1.250-ish
-
some chart-points:
10 day 1.2538
20 day 1.2464
50 day 1.2433
- gv

Mtl JP 13:36 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

38 companies on S&P

trading above 10x revenue

Mtl JP 13:21 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

GBP 1.2500
-
currently bears r in charge
see how solid 1.25 is as Sup
below likely S at 1.2450

Res.: 1.2550/75/1.26

Mtl JP 13:11 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

EURO 1.1372
-
Slightly bullish. Maybe looking to touch / pierce ? 75 maybe go after 1.14
R above that 1.1420/25

S about 50 pips below current quote

Mtl JP 13:03 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

red 11:59 fwd gudiance pls
-
here ya go, aim to please:
08:53 - J.P. Morgan CEO Dimon: We're not predicting adverse times, we're just prepared for them - MarketWatch

Mtl JP 12:47 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

red your dare for forward guidance:

below link to janet "failed policymaker" yellen who
- congratulated the Fed’s acting “quickly and forcefully” by dropping interest rates and buying about $US3 trillion ($4.3 trillion) worth of assets
- claims that:
-- “We’ve got a health crisis causing an economic crisis, but we don’t have a financial crisis."
-- “There are limits to what the Fed can do to protect investors for losses. The market seems not to be fully pricing in the downside risks.”
- she is “very worried about the degree of fiscal support, which we truly need to keep the recovery going. And I don’t know if that’s going to be there.”

awwhhh.. see link to the interview below:

Magellan In Conversation - With Janet Yellen

AT Trader john 12:31 GMT July 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
U.S. CPI June 2020



ALERT
Headline:
m/m:+0.60 vs. +0.50% exp. v -0.10% pre
y/y: +0.60% vs. +0.60% exp. v -0.10% pre
Core:
y/y:+1.20% vs. +1.10% exp. v +1.20% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index



PAR 12:10 GMT July 14, 2020
BANKS
Reply   
Most US banks are doing great while most European banks are struggling. The ECB's negative interest rate policies are decimating the capacities of the European banking sector.

When something does not work it should be stopped asap.

Lagarde as Cruela de Vil keeps assuring everybody that her sadistic negative interest rate policy will eventually work while everybody realizes it is just a transfer from hard-working savers to reckless spending governments.

london red 11:59 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

fwd gudiance pls. thats all we want. pls say everything is rosy next 6 months. go on dimon, dare ya.

Mtl JP 11:31 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

wsj - "Deficit Reaches $3 Trillion as Virus Costs Soar"

yey corona !

Mtl JP 11:19 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020



Pic of equity types as we head into
Too big to fail
start reporting today, tuesday
before the bell:
Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo

later in the week:
Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley

06:57 J.P. Morgan Chase's stock jumps 1.4% premarket after Q2 results
- MarketWatch

Mtl JP 11:12 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

CB r u in the line-up for some of the - potential - $2 trillion "investement" ?

wsj's opinion

dc CB 11:04 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

BBG:

Joe Biden on Tuesday will call for setting a 100% clean-electricity standard by 2035 and investing $2 trillion over four years on clean energy, three people familiar with his plan said Monday.

The Democratic nominee’s new commitments mark a clear shift toward progressives’ environmental priorities and cutting the use of fossil fuels. The people briefed on his plan spoke on the condition of anonymity ahead of its formal rollout Tuesday in Wilmington, Delaware.

The $2 trillion in spending across four years is in place of the more modest $1.7 trillion over 10 years plan that Biden proposed last year while fighting for the nomination. Most of that investments in the new proposal would be one-time costs with the goal of spending the money to the maximum extent possible during those four years.

London Trader 10:56 GMT July 14, 2020
GBP
Reply   
Look at eurgbp... explains eurusd (higher) and gbpusd (lower)

Mtl JP 10:37 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

Is that your bid CB ?

jkt abel 10:37 GMT July 14, 2020
sell gold?
Reply   
now what, keeps below 1800....

dc CB 10:08 GMT July 14, 2020
Covid-19 update

The 155-acre campus, located in the Historic downtown of Poultney, was previously listed for $23 million.

Vermont College Goes On Auction Block With $3 Million Bid

Mtl JP 09:50 GMT July 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

red 07:56 So under no citcumstanes can yields rise. Make sure you have a bolt hole somewhere out of the way.

For yields to rise, all that has to happen is for bonds to sell off.
Can they ? Do they ? IF not , why not - what is preventing a sell-off ?

Lets-see...
- Stocks tank, bonds stay pat. -> players go to "cash"
- Have there been, are there .. moments when folks do not get bids for their bonds (in other words zero offers for their treasuries they want to sell ? -> why... and what does it mean ?

Gloats IFM's Tao Zhang, IMF Deputy Managing Director (JP 15:10):
..."Global fiscal support now stands at over $10 trillion. In addition, major central banks have provided substantial additional stimulus via interest rate cuts, liquidity injections, and asset purchases, which has eased financial conditions. In many countries, these measures have succeeded in supporting people and preventing large-scale bankruptcies, thus helping to reduce lasting scars and aiding the recovery." .../.. (self pat-pat on Tao's back, applause)

... "In the beginning the peasants gloated over the shower of paper money for which they had sold their butter and eggs, and which made them profiteers. However, when they brought their bursting wallets to town to make purchases, they discovered to their exasperation that while they had merely quintupled normal prices, the scythe, the hammer, the kettle which they had come to buy had meanwhile risen twenty or fifty times in price. Thereafter ...

- The World of Yesterday, by Stefan Zweig

AT Trader john 09:02 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

German ZEW Survey July 2020



NEWS ALERT

Current Situation (Sentiment): -80.9 vs. -63.0 exp. vs. -83.1 prev.
Expectations: 59.3 vs. 60 exp. vs. 63.4 prev.




AT Trader john 08:32 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

Tuesday: RISK-ON
DJ: 26,045 +82
SP: 3,155.0 +10.0

2-yr 1.553% -0.6 bps
Spread 10s-2s +48.9 bps (+48.2bps)
10-yr

US: 0.622% -1.8
UK: 0.157% -2.9
DE: -0.433% -2.8

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1339 (1.1344)
GBPUSD 1.2510 (1.2604)
EURGBP 0.9062 (0.9003)
USDJPY 107.28 (107.12)

This Week 1.1375-1.1301 (74 pips)
tue: 1.1350-1.1325 (25)
mon: 1.1375-1.1301 (74)
fri: 1.1325-1.1255 (70)
thu: 1.1371-1.1286 (85)
wed: 1.1352-1.1263 (89)

20-day avg: 1.1256
50-day avg: 1.1124
100-day avg: 1.1038
200-day avg: 1.1048

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





PAR 08:22 GMT July 14, 2020
HUAWEI - TESLA
Reply   
Be careful in what you wish for?

If the USA wants to destroy HUAWEI then CHINA could...

AT Trader john 08:12 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 14 July 2020
AA 06:00 UK- Trade, Output, GDP
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
AA 09:00 EZ- Industrial Production
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Wed 15 July 2020
A 06:00 GB- CPI
AA 12:30 CA- CPI
A 12:30 US- Empire PMI
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 06:00 CA- BOC Decision
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
Thu 16 July 2020
A 06:00 GB- Employment
AA< 11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
Fri 17 July 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


london red 07:56 GMT July 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Inflation has been with us for years and now will be felt even more strongly, even if government baskets are managed to show an official 1-2%. They cannot allow higher as that means higher debt service and in some cases default. So under no citcumstanes can yields rise. Thats wuite worrying cos they can and probably will. Make sure you have a bolt hole somewhere out of the way.

PAR 07:44 GMT July 14, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
Do Europeans suffer from inflation?

European citizens suffer from massives financial repression.


Good morning from Germany, where the summer is getting expensive this year: In June, food prices continue to increase (+4.4%), drinks (Alcoholic beverages: +3.9%). Prices were up in particular for fruit (+11.1%) and for meat (+8.2%). Prices for restaurants and hotels rose by 2.1%

PAR 07:40 GMT July 14, 2020
TRUMP - KING OF DEBT
Reply   
The US posted its worst budget deficit on record in June: The nation’s budget gap expanded to $864.1bn during the month, reflecting a record $1.1tn in outlays tied in large part to a surge in Paycheck Protection Program. https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-13/u-s-posts-record-monthly-budget-gap-on-small-business-relief?sref=61mHmpU4

haifa ac 05:39 GMT July 14, 2020
Singapore's second quarter GDP fell 41.2% q/q.
Reply   
https://twitter.com/tracyalloway/status/1282828741484281857?s=19

Mtl JP 04:17 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

ya
-
see link in my 15:10
"working together" appears at least 3x

jkt abel 04:06 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020

JP, you still favour BOD gold?

Mtl JP 03:08 GMT July 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 July 2020



hmmm... what a sweet coincidence eh..
announce .. new shutdowns ...
turn the stop - 3231 - hunt around
just in time

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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