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Forex Forum Archive for 07/16/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Mtl JP 21:38 GMT July 16, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 July 2020

US new Covid infections rate
as published and generally accepted by msm
-
rolling daily average for last 5 days: 55-60,000/day

I am starting to think we ll be , soon, again seeing gov't stomping on folks with confinement to house orders, w/ excemptions to "essential" ones

Mtl JP 21:01 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

The federal government will provide $19 billion to the provinces and territories to help fund a "safe restart" of the Canadian economy,

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said today.

Mtl JP 20:54 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

a propaganda candy from evans
-
“A lot of this is convincing...people in the markets and the public that we’re really in it to win it, and that the best policy to achieve this goal would be to establish markers that would need to be reached before the Fed raised interest rates. This is known as “foward guidance.” "

Too bad that evans did not define a "win" - what it would look like.

AT Trader john 20:17 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

I think Netflix numbers for the quarter were in line, reportedly there was some concern about forward guidence...

Israel MacroMicro 20:12 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

no mo demand for narco series?!
NFLX

AT Trader john 20:10 GMT July 16, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 July 2020

FWIW, the key 20-day moving average for EURUSD of 1.1280 is still comfortably out of range Late Thursday in NYC.

AT Trader john 20:06 GMT July 16, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 July 2020

LATE Thursday: RISK-OFF
DJ: 26,735 -135
SP: 3,215.6 -11.0

2-yr 0.147% -0.8 bps
Spread 10s-2s +46.5 bps (+46.7 bps)
10-yr

US: 0.612% -1.8
UK: 0.140% +0.1
DE: -0.466% +0.5

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1379 (1.1399)
GBPUSD 1.2553 (1.2566)
EURGBP 0.9063 (0.9072)
USDJPY 107.36 (107.19)

This Week 1.1452-1.1301 (151 pips)
thu: 1.1443-1.1371 (72)
wed: 1.1452-1.1387 (65)
tue: 1.1410-1.1325 (85)
mon: 1.1375-1.1301 (74)
fri: 1.1325-1.1255 (70)

20-day avg: 1.1280
50-day avg: 1.1158
100-day avg: 1.1053
200-day avg: 1.1054

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





GVI Forex Blog 19:46 GMT July 16, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 16 July 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 16 July 2020

Mtl JP 19:29 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

here is Reuters version of evans' mushroom fertilizer:
-
Fed's Evans sees no reason to hike rates unless inflation soars

..."monetary policy will still need to be very easy"...

Mtl JP 19:20 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

a true mushroom farmer
-
Fed needs stronger forward guidance to convince people ‘we’re really in it to win it,’ - Evans

Mtl JP 19:07 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

1511
-
Tesla tries to assure workers there's no big virus outbreak
The Canadian Press July 16, 2020

..."trying to assure its 55,000 employees that there hasn't been a big coronavirus outbreak at company facilities worldwide, despite a report by an electric vehicle industry website that over 130 Tesla employees or contractors have tested positive." ...

AT Trader john 18:08 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

20-day avg 1.1269 at Wednesday closing...

Israel MacroMicro 17:13 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

we are nearing the point when hopium loses impact for some time. good luck!

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020



GBP 1.2592
-
I am not a fan of stronger USD , however
neither am I a fan of fighting price action
GBP tilting and staying south of 1.25 would likely slide deep
like down to test the chart's yellow priceline

PAR 16:53 GMT July 16, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
Cruella ask Europe for more debt so that she can still buy more bonds.

Europe spending financed by digital taxes is a " Fata Morgana".

Macron, Conte, Sanchez are spending like there is no tomorrow. Cruella is a debt cheerleader.

Mtl JP 16:22 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

25... HoD
smells of stop hunt

Mtl JP 15:33 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

GBP 1.260x
-
lets see ... what 1.2625 / 50 have to say

Mtl JP 15:20 GMT July 16, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

I love the NAHB

these are a type of folk who are only optimistic
- when there is a price or sales slowdown, they see buyers' opp
- where they see a rotting doghouse, they see a potential castle

Mtl JP 15:12 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

every CB and financial authority thanks covid
examples:
-
(Bloomberg July 15th) -- "U.K. interest rates are likely to stay low for a long time, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey told lawmakers from the ruling Conservative Party on Wednesday, according to two people attending the meeting."

and the BoC announcing that it too will be beating its 0.25% from rising until economic morale improves (ie. inflation N of 2% is printed) by continuing to "buy" Canada bonds at at least a $5 bio/week clip

I am thinking (probably dangerous for me) :
which of the G7s will be first to go negative ?

Mtl JP 14:55 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

rain of mushroom fertilizers coming
-
10 past the hour: williams
noon: bostic yaks in florida
half past one: evans at rocky mountain econ summit
at two: bostic yaks again; topic unrelated to FX

AT Trader john 14:47 GMT July 16, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 17 July 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 17 July 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


dc CB 14:40 GMT July 16, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

"New home demand is improving in lower density markets, including small metro areas, rural markets and large metro exurbs, as people seek out larger homes and anticipate more flexibility for telework in the years ahead," Robert Dietz, NAHB chief economist, said in a statement.

"Flight to the suburbs is real."

____________________________________
so much for the democrat NewGreenDealers, who want(ed) everybody to live in multifamily housing and want(ed) to change the zoning laws to disallow single family homes that sit on 1 acre plots.
Covid changed that real quick.

USA ZEUS 14:25 GMT July 16, 2020
EUR/USD

Sell program for EUR/USD initiated from 1.1440

Cheers!

AT Trader john 14:02 GMT July 16, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. NAHB Index July 2020



NEWS ALERT

72 vs. 60.0 exp. vs. 58.0 (r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index


Adliyah KaL 13:56 GMT July 16, 2020
EURUSD
Reply   


Buy Below Green at the date
cover above red in general

Very simple

Mtl JP 13:46 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

1.1430
euro seems to have difficulty keeping floating N of 1.14
see what 1.1450 says

Mtl JP 13:35 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

GBP 1.2570
-
Very slightly biased down.
Res 1.2600 / 2650
1.25 likely to be good S

swiss frank 13:29 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

Yeah 00-20 very wishy washy indeed. Below 00 I see 1.1375ish v important short term support. Break ->1.1350 -> 1.1280. Personally no immediate strong bias but would prefer lower to buy for higher...

Mtl JP 13:20 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

EURO 1.1400
-
Currently wishi-washi bias.
Res ~1.1420 / 50
Sup 1.1380 / 75

Mtl JP 13:12 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

with current "risk" in the red heading into the open
and to avoid getting "Shanghai CSI" - ied (-5%) maybe another convenient posi-progress against the chinese "very bad "gift" would be handy

Mtl JP 12:35 GMT July 16, 2020
EUR/USD

after the convict's press conf, the next thinggie that will catch players' attention will come on Friday:
the EU's 27 countries will be haggling over a proposed - proposed by the convict - recovery fund backed by common borrowing.

Common borrowng - the mutualiztion of debt and that "together" theme - is a big part of the EU princes' dream.

AT Trader john 12:33 GMT July 16, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Retail Sales June 2020



ALERT
Headline: +7.50% vs. +4.50% exp. vs. +17.70% (r +18.20%) prev.





+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++



Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
+1.300 vs: +1.250 (000) expected vs. +1.314 (000) (r +1.310)



+++++++++++++++++++++++++


U.S. Philly Fed Index July 2020



NEWS ALERT
+24.1 vs. +20.0 exp. vs. +27.5 prev.


USA ZEUS 12:29 GMT July 16, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
EUR/USD is poised to tumble. Selling and on any strength.
Cheers!

USA ZEUS 12:29 GMT July 16, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
EUR/USD is poised to tumble. Selling and on any strength.
Cheers!

USA ZEUS 12:29 GMT July 16, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
EUR/USD is poised to tumble. Selling and on any strength.
Cheers!

Mtl JP 12:27 GMT July 16, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

that "pre-virus level" theme again
-
..."The ECB held off providing new measures Thursday after unleashing massive doses of monetary stimulus in recent weeks that have helped keep borrowing costs for companies and consumers at roughly pre-virus levels." ...

Israel MacroMicro 11:51 GMT July 16, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

the script I see for today is affects of hopium in overdose for the coming few hours followed by very ugly wake-up during the last part of the US trading session.

imo

AT Trader john 11:45 GMT July 16, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

European Central Bank (ECB) July 16, 2020





NEWS ALERT

Refi Rate Steady at 0.00%
Press Release: ECB Decision



Mtl JP 11:12 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

shiffing => sniffing, hunting ... seeking

Mtl JP 11:08 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

perro come perro theme:
misjudging players shiffing out relatively high yields and liquidity
and screwing other folks' profit plans :

Citigroup Inc. booked a loss of almost 5% in three weeks

Read more

Israel MacroMicro 11:06 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

USD definitely enjoys being 'trust the devil you know'

Israel MacroMicro 11:05 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

in general, EUR not ready yet to strengthen within equities selloff. maybe will mature further during the year.

imo

Mtl JP 10:44 GMT July 16, 2020
this is good one...

CB 01:15 / see vs do:
already −2.28 or -6.39%

Mtl JP 10:39 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

..would be a surprise .. to you or to players ?

AT Trader john 09:09 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

Risk-Off?? We shall see. EURUSD 1.1400 and S&P 500 3200 levels pivotal to market tone today. Strong action the ECB shortly would be a surprise.

AT Trader john 08:26 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

Thursday: Mixed RISK
DJ: 26,604 -146
SP: 3,201.8 -16.3

2-yr 0.153% -0.2 bps
Spread 10s-2s +46.7 bps (+47.5 bps)
10-yr

US: 0.617% -1.3
UK: 0.151% -1.5
DE: -0.449% -0.6

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1412 (1.1416)
GBPUSD 1.2552 (1.2595)
EURGBP 0.9090 (0.9064)
USDJPY 106.95 (106.98)

This Week 1.1452-1.1301 (151 pips)
thu: 1.1419-1.1393 (26)
wed: 1.1452-1.1387 (65)
tue: 1.1410-1.1325 (85)
mon: 1.1375-1.1301 (74)
fri: 1.1325-1.1255 (70)

20-day avg: 1.1269
50-day avg: 1.1146
100-day avg: 1.1048
200-day avg: 1.1052

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 08:07 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 16 July 2020
A 06:00 GB- Employment
AA 11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
Fri 17 July 2020
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


Mtl JP 07:03 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

GBP 1.2542
-
Between 450,000 and 500,000 people were furloughed in the U.K. without pay in May, according to data released Thursday.

Those people are officially counted as employed, allowing the U.K. unemployment rate to stay at 3.9% in the three months to May, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday

PAR 06:58 GMT July 16, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
This afternoon Christine Lagarde acting as Cruella de Vil.


Cruella Lagarde will punish European savers and pensioners for longer and longer with perpetual negative interest rates (costing Europen citizens billions and billions) and other surrealistic measures of financial repression.

Come and see Cruella's show for her luxurious tower in Frankfurt this afternoon. The biggest scam on earth presented as monetary policy!

PAR 06:27 GMT July 16, 2020
EURUSD

Still short. Lower stop to entry level

Adliyah KaL 04:35 GMT July 16, 2020
AUDCAD
Reply   
Bullish for a month IMO

Date --------Avg Stdev
7/16/2020 0.9487 0.0021

Longing
High Low
0.9530 0.9444
0.9551 0.9423
0.9572 0.9402
0.9593 0.9380

Adliyah KaL 04:31 GMT July 16, 2020
EURCAD
Reply   
Bullish here

Date-------Avg Stdev
7/16/2020 1.5499 0.0043

Longing
High Low
1.5585 1.5412
1.5629 1.5369
1.5672 1.5326
1.5715 1.5282

Adliyah KaL 02:56 GMT July 16, 2020
USDCAD
Reply   
Generally Bearish into next week
just a 2 day correction that is bullish

Date------ Avg Stdev
7/16/2020 1.3576 0.0035
7/17/2020 1.3590 0.0040

I am longing
High Low
1.3646 1.3505
1.3653 1.3498
1.3664 1.3487
1.3682 1.3470

Adliyah KaL 02:43 GMT July 16, 2020
Cable
Reply   
Generally Bullish for another 2 weeks
very likely into 1.2850
Little flat for next 2 days

Date------ Avg Stdev
7/16/2020 1.2565 0.0033
7/17/2020 1.2565 0.0034

Placed Longs
High Low
1.2631 1.2499
1.2637 1.2493
1.2647 1.2483
1.2664 1.2466

Adliyah KaL 02:30 GMT July 16, 2020
EURUSD
Reply   
Still Bullish into Next week
I think it might hit 1.15 area next week

Date------- Avg Stdev

7/16/2020 1.1418 0.0024


Placed Longs
High Low
1.1466 1.1370
1.1471 1.1366
1.1478 1.1358
1.1490 1.1346

dc CB 02:01 GMT July 16, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 16 July 2020

AA 11:45 EZ- ECB Decision

Convicted Felon anncs How Much it will Cost YOU.

party on party on.
as good liberal europeans we will eat it with a dab of hind quarters 'relish'.... an proceed to whine

dc CB 01:15 GMT July 16, 2020
this is good one...



let's see what tomorow brings.
Jack Attack?

dc CB 01:06 GMT July 16, 2020
this is good one...

The problem for twitter, as it scrambles to figure out what happened, is that this is not an actual hack of individual accounts, but as noted below, reportedly a Twitter employee with access to the user management panel was hacked. In other words, someone hacked a Twitter account with access to virtually every other Twitter account. That, if confirmed, would make the epic Sony hack from several years back, seem tiny in comparison.

(NOT MURDOCK sanctioned NUZ--aka MarkitWatch)

"I don't READ Zero Hedge"

Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos And Others Hacked In Unprecedented Twitter Attack And Bitcoin Scam; Over $100,000 Stolen In Minutes

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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