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Forex Forum Archive for 07/30/2020

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Hk Ab 23:40 GMT July 30, 2020
Eur
Reply   
Next eur limit 1.19 4x

Mtl JP 22:23 GMT July 30, 2020
Three is a Triad
Four is a Quartet

Reply   
Xi Jinping self-installed for life

Putin self-prolonged for life

The EU - although without an obvious despot for life, as an institution it is in for ... long long time

and trying for fourth is
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump

With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote???
8:46 AM · 30 july. 2020·Twitter for iPhone
---
---
Benevolent (haha) chinese communist leader xi now promising social credit report card on the ~400,000 foreiners teaching in china. and then later others. Curently some ~20,000,000 chinese citizens are already "Failure"s , meaning all sorts of social sanctions including black-balled from boading a plane / foreign travel. It is a new world, it is a new way and so-far it is xi's way

dc CB 20:57 GMT July 30, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 31 July 2020

“Each Apple shareholder of record at the close of business on August 24, 2020 will receive three additional shares for every share held on the record date, and trading will begin on a split-adjusted basis on August 31, 2020.”

dc CB 20:53 GMT July 30, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 31 July 2020

LATE Thursday: RISK-ON

not anymore. the trifecta -- FB, APPL, AMZN.
As Mr. T used to say 'I pity the fool' (who went short)

AT Trader john 20:12 GMT July 30, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 31 July 2020

LATE Thursday: RISK-ON
DJ: 26,314 -226
SP: 3,246.2 -12.2

2-yr 0.123 -0.6 bps
Spread 10s-2s +42.3 bps (+43.2 bps)
10-yr

US: 0.546% -3.5
UK: 0.083% -0.7
DE: -0.545% +0.1

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1844 (1.1801)
GBPUSD 1.3088 (1.3037)
EURGBP 0.9048 (0.9046)
USDJPY 104.71 (105.00)

LAST Week 1.1844-1.1643 (201 pips)
thu: 1.1844-1.1731 (113)
wed: 1.1806-1.1714 (92)
tue: 1.1774-1.1699 (75)
mon: 1.1782-1.1643 (139)
fri: 1.1648-1.1581 (20)

20-day avg: 1.1460
50-day avg: 1.1303
100-day avg: 1.1092
200-day avg: 1.1078

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





GVI Forex Blog 19:34 GMT July 30, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 July 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 July 2020

AT Trader john 19:20 GMT July 30, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 31 July 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 31 July 2019
A 08:55 EZ- GDP
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
B 12:30 CA- GDP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income
A 13:45 US- Chicago PMI
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Mtl JP 18:17 GMT July 30, 2020
eur$

DRS2 alternately a trader could "imagine" that the move is not about "demand" for the euro but a distaste for the dollar: a shark "gastric eversion" of the dollar. (not it is not an A/T trading pattern term - yet)

HK Kevin 17:50 GMT July 30, 2020
eur$

Put my casino chip on the table. Short EUR at 1.1832 with tight stop.

dc CB 17:45 GMT July 30, 2020
Gold

another day of wacking gold and silver in the overnight.

Silver down a buck+ at one point....another large move for the metal.

Minneapolis DRS2 17:33 GMT July 30, 2020
eur$

I agree with EUR/USD eventually retesting 1400. Looking on a daily chart, price has gone up and up and up since 1400 without any retrace. I have no evidence, but personally I attribute this latest move more to a stop run than to actual "demand", whatever that means these days.

Judging from the AT daily chart, various stops are shown until 1850. I don't know where the stops are after that, but I imagine 2000 is a real popular target for a stop hunt? Just guessing. If there is still a bear case to be made for EUR, then I imagine 2000 would be a great selling level too.

Fortunately, there is increasing room for both the bear and bull cases, with the caveat that the bull case is still more profitable right now. However, the bear case can be a money maker, as long as you are happy with singles and not home runs. The latest moves over the past couple of days show 1770 to 1720 (down 50 pips), 1720 to 1800 (up 80 pips), 1800 to 1730 (down 70 pips), and the current run of 1730 to 1830+ (up at least 100 pips). This bias will eventually flip, but for now you can be either a bull or a bear and still make money. Just don't be a pig.

Mtl JP 17:23 GMT July 30, 2020
eur$

EURO 1.182X
-
back from a little roadtrip and ohlalaahh... it was not so long ago euro was tilting sub 1.08 or... it is the USD that continues to not be wanted

dc CB 17:23 GMT July 30, 2020
Corona Developments.

Fauci Accused Of 'Misinformation Campaign' Against Hydroxychloroquine; Ohio Gov Wants State Officials To Reverse Prohibition

Governor Mike DeWine
@GovMikeDeWine
Jul 30, 2020
I agree with the statement from Dr. Steven Hahn, Commissioner of @US_FDA, that the decision about prescribing hydroxychloroquine to treat #COVID19 should be between a doctor and a patient.

Therefore, I am asking the @OhioRxBoard to halt their new rule prohibiting the selling or dispensing of hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine for the treatment or prevention of COVID-19.

Bali Sja 16:35 GMT July 30, 2020
Gold and anti usd
Reply   
Finally DX has reached 93.20. Yawn...a bit of correction here does not hurt before heading lower towards 90-91

swiss frank 16:13 GMT July 30, 2020
eur$

Forgot to mention that gold, silver, and eur crosses which have all been rising in tandem are not exactly bid at the moment... Not trying to convince anyone. Just pointing out what could be... Maybe.

swiss frank 15:57 GMT July 30, 2020
eur$

SC 13:41 GMT 07/30/2020
eur$ bears change your minds yet?

Personally it has not been a particularly good few days since the clearance of 1.14 for me. Longer term I am more usd negative than positive. That said at these levels there is a lot of good news in the price of the eur (imo). Not in any particular order:
- EU data has been pretty crap.
- Covid cases are rising the same as everywhere.
- Debt to gdp ratios are high and going way higher.
- Equity markets are underperforming
- yields are getting more negative.
- Technically I'd call it a little stretched on the 4 hour chart basis and due for some mean reversion.
- Startegically I'm ok with setting structural shorts between here and 1.20 (I know thats a big window for some but...) for a move back down to and validation of 1.1400 support.

See how!

GVI Forex 15:19 GMT July 30, 2020
Eur



Looking at the Amazing Trader there is a potential for a top on the 15 minute chart, at least for today, as long as 1.1797 (2nd blue line) holds.

On the other side 1.1773 shows an AT line forming the bottom of the current range.

The Amazing Trader

Hk Ab 15:17 GMT July 30, 2020
Eur

I do cast a trust vote to Zeus

HK Kevin 15:14 GMT July 30, 2020
Eur

Hk Ab 13:50 GMT, the 15-min chart movement of EUR doesn't indicate a top is in place.

Israel MacroMicro 14:38 GMT July 30, 2020
USD/JPY

105 area long
European shoe size pips stop

Israel MacroMicro 14:35 GMT July 30, 2020
USD/JPY
Reply   
hare comes uP

haifa ac 14:30 GMT July 30, 2020
'2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history'.

OTOH, Warren Buffett will be 90 years old tmw.

Israel MacroMicro 14:28 GMT July 30, 2020
Is VIX sending a message about AMZN and AAPL?!

24.30 first

haifa ac 14:10 GMT July 30, 2020
'2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history'.
Reply   
'2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote???,' Trump tweeted

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8576513/Donald-Trump-suggests-DELAYING-election-claim-fraudulent.html

Two senile white men close to 80. that is the best USA can find.
Go figure.

haifa ac 13:58 GMT July 30, 2020
Is VIX sending a message about AMZN and AAPL?!
Reply   
If it closes above 28.6 today --expect a short run. (27.6 now)

AT Trader john 13:56 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

SP 3207

Hk Ab 13:53 GMT July 30, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Trail still not hIt, maybe enroute to 2000.....

Hk Ab 13:50 GMT July 30, 2020
Eur
Reply   
1.1777 1x 1.18000 2x

Singspore SC 13:41 GMT July 30, 2020
eur$
Reply   
eur$ bears change your minds yet?

AT Trader john 12:55 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

SP 3223

AT Trader john 12:30 GMT July 30, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. GDP 2Q20




ALERT
-32.9 vs. -35% exp. vs. -5.00% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP






=========================

Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
+1.434 (000) vs: +1,450(000) expected vs. +1,416(000)(r )


=========================


AT Trader john 12:30 GMT July 30, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. GDP 2Q20




ALERT
-32.9 vs. -35% exp. vs. -5.00% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP






=========================

Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
vs: +1,450(000) expected vs. +1,416(000)(r )


=========================


Belgrade Knez 11:49 GMT July 30, 2020
Month end

EURGBP reflecting it's movement on GBPUSD and not on EURUSD

HK Kevin 11:18 GMT July 30, 2020
Month end

EUR/GBP trading below 0.9030 is negative for EUR/USD. Risk for 0.8985 before market close. Looking for level to re-enter short EUR, may be 1.0770/75

GVI Forex 11:18 GMT July 30, 2020
EURGBP
Reply   
Key AT level

.9000

The Amazing Trader

AT Trader john 11:15 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

Today sees the first look at U.S. 2Q20 GDP. An annualized -35% is seen. The number is so bad that it is almost meaningless. Most countries do not annualize their quarterly GDP data.

GVI Forex 11:11 GMT July 30, 2020
Gravestone Doji
Reply   
A gravestone doji is a bearish pattern that suggests a reversal followed by a downtrend in the price action. A gravestone pattern can be used as a sign to take profits on a bullish position or enter a bearish trade. The opposite of a gravestone doji is a dragonfly doji.

Minneapolis DRS2 11:09 GMT July 30, 2020
Corona Developments.

Call me when it happens...heh.

NY JM 11:07 GMT July 30, 2020
Corona Developments.

Talk is now about the US Midwest being the next region at risk for a spike in cases.

AT Trader john 11:04 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

U.S. Congress is disgraceful. BOTH parties only care about defeating the other. This never ends... No interest in the "greater good".

london red 10:56 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

its end of month and no congress forthcoming yet. so mkt throwing a tantrum. it may fall next day or two to get them to do something. u should expect the munckin on the wires talking about fresh money i would expect. they just wont let it go.
ft100 now 6k. wkly close at/around 3200 for s&p means another doji gravestone. what will they do with it. they fkd up the last one in april. now they got two in a row to work with. time to break some balls if congress allows it.

AT Trader john 10:53 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

Still watching to see if 3200 can hold in S&P 500, especially after the EXCEPTIONALLY dovish comments yesterday by Fed Chair Powell. (last 3222).

GVI Forex 09:39 GMT July 30, 2020
Month end
Reply   
Last month gbpusd closed up sharply and eurgbp closed down sharply

AT Trader john 09:38 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

Thursday: MIXED RISK
DJ: 26,188 -239
SP: 3,2121.3 -8.4

2-yr 0.127% -0.2 bps
Spread 10s-2s +43.2 bps (+44.2 bps)
10-yr

US: 0.559% -2.2
UK: 0.098% -2.2
DE: -0.529% -2.9

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1753 (1.1769)
GBPUSD 1.3002 (1.2974)
EURGBP 0.9037 (0.9064)
USDJPY 105.01 (104.99)

THIS Week 1.1806-1.1643 (163 pips)
thu: 1.1793-1.1731 (62)
wed: 1.1806-1.1714 (92)
tue: 1.1774-1.1699 (75)
mon: 1.1782-1.1643 (139)
fri: 1.1648-1.1581 (20)

20-day avg: 1.1431
50-day avg: 1.1266
100-day avg: 1.1087
200-day avg: 1.1075

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 09:16 GMT July 30, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 29 July 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 30 July 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- GDP
Fri 31 July 2019
A 08:55 EZ- GDP
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
B 12:30 CA- GDP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income
A 13:45 US- Chicago PMI
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Adliyah KaL 04:58 GMT July 30, 2020
Silver
Reply   
Buying

Pairs ------- Expected Maximum Minimum
XAG/USD 25.1843 26.3239 24.0447

Next week
Expected Maximum Minimum
29.7767 30.9163 28.6371

Adliyah KaL 04:09 GMT July 30, 2020
eurusd next week
Reply   
expecting it
Expected Maximum Minimum
1.2125 1.2183 1.2066

Adliyah KaL 03:04 GMT July 30, 2020
Buys and Sells
Reply   

Buys
Pairs Expected Maximum Minimum
XAU/USD(Close) 1,968.4708 1,997.3002 1,939.6414
EUR/USD(Close) 1.1798 1.1857 1.1740
GBP/USD(Close) 1.2964 1.3057 1.2870
USOil(Close) 41.6154 42.6558 40.5750
EUR/JPY(Close) 123.9371 124.8527 123.0215

Sells

Pairs Expected Maximum Minimum
USD/CAD(Close) 1.3312 1.3389 1.3235
NAS100(Close) 10,573.8463 10,829.9794 10,317.7132

dc CB 00:30 GMT July 30, 2020
Corona Developments.

Bloomberg interviewed a few restaurant owners and others in the hospitality and retail spaces about what they're buying, and why.

Building specialists are poring over how well heavy-duty filters block microbes and considering whether to install systems that use ultraviolet light or electrically charged particles in the ductwork to kill the virus. Companies including Honeywell International Inc., Carrier Global Corp. and Trane Technologies Plc are benefiting from the surge in demand, offering everything from air-monitoring sensors to portable filter machines to help make up for deficiencies in ventilation.

For building owners, the trade-offs abound. It’s best to let in more fresh air, but that puts a strain on cooling or heating. Dense filters that trap more microbes are coveted, yet can choke off airflow and worsen ventilation if a building’s fans aren’t powerful enough. And most solutions require more energy consumption. Building-safety products are proving to be a bright spot for sales at companies like Honeywell, which has technology for “frictionless entry,” automatic temperature-taking and sensors that monitor air quality.

Carrier, which specializes in HVAC and reports earnings this week, has seen its stock more than double since its separation in March from the former United Technologies Corp.

"We’re seeing a very huge demand," said Manish Sharma, chief technology officer for Honeywell’s building technologies unit. "Everyone wants to see how you can get back to business."


https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/infection-risk-from-air-we-breathe-raises-the-stakes-for-hvac

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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