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Forex Forum Archive for 01/11/2021

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Ed Kw 22:48 GMT January 11, 2021

Ngas with bond move with gold gives support in EUr. JLo

dc CB 22:29 GMT January 11, 2021

Germany and France are shocked over Twitter's decision to permanently ban President Trump from the platform, with German Chancellor Angela Merkel saying through a spokesman that lawmakers should set rules governing free speech, not private technology companies.

"The chancellor sees the complete closing down of the account of an elected president as problematic," said chief spokesman Steffen Siebert during a Berlin press conference, according to Bloomberg. Siebert added that rights like freedom of speech "can be interfered with, but by law and within the framework defined by the legislature -- not according to a corporate decision."

Meanwhile, French leaders are similarly outraged - with Junior Minister for European Union Affairs, Clement Beaune, saying he was "shocked" that a private company made such an important decision.

"This should be decided by citizens, not by a CEO," Beaune told Bloomberg TV in a Monday interview, adding "There needs to be public regulation of big online platforms."

Earlier, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire, said that the state should be responsible for regulations, not "the digital oligarchy," adding that big tech is "one of the threats" to democracy.

'The move followed similar action by Facebook. Founder and Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg said Trump’s most recent posts showed he intended to use his remaining time in office to undermine a peaceful and lawful transition of power. -Bloomberg'

FW CS 22:20 GMT January 11, 2021

JP, I pay attention to them especially when they are that big on forex charts. It will become a magnet especially since $ sentiment is still mostly bearish.

Mtl JP 22:16 GMT January 11, 2021

CS u a GAP player in general
and this one in particular ?

FW CS 22:13 GMT January 11, 2021

Speaking of gaps there is a gap in dxy boht on hourly and daily time frame on downside

Mtl JP 22:09 GMT January 11, 2021

why ?
why r u wondering 'bout zuk ?

PAR 21:57 GMT January 11, 2021
I am wondering whether Zuckerberg is still ok.
Being so hyperactive in throwing things of his platform?

Mtl JP 21:55 GMT January 11, 2021

10-yr 1.144%
hovering around day's High

Mtl JP 21:45 GMT January 11, 2021

Mushroom Farmer Alert
ahead of jerome later this week
Monday January 11, 2021
5–6 p.m.

Dallas Fed President and CEO Rob Kaplan will discuss the economy and monetary policy in this virtual town hall moderated by Alfreda Norman, senior vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Alfreda Norman, senior vice president, oversees the Dallas Fed’s communications and public outreach programs, which support healthy economic growth and increased understanding of the economy and the Federal Reserve. She has responsibilities for corporate communications, digital communications and design, community development, economic education and financial industry outreach.

A Virtual Town Hall with Robert S. Kaplan
A Discussion of Economic Developments and Implications for Monetary Policy
January 11, 2021 Live webcast

Mtl JP 21:36 GMT January 11, 2021

on a percent basis SnP500 had a better worse close of -0.66% than DJ

Mtl JP 21:34 GMT January 11, 2021

DJIA 31008.69, down 89.28pts or -0.29% Mon close
lets see what - ape or not ape - Nikkei 28015 does heading into the impeachment theater

Mtl JP 21:27 GMT January 11, 2021

NatGas ~$2.80
love'em or hate 'em
I love 'em. most of the time.
did someone read something about an arctic blast ?

dc CB 21:19 GMT January 11, 2021

have to be ready for the “down trade” window opening around Wednesday’s VIX expiration and thereafter, with Gamma coming-off

Full-Tilt Insanity Mode" - Nomura Warns This Week's OpEx Is "Absolutely Going To Matter" For 'Weaponized Gamma' Crowd

Tallinn viies 21:18 GMT January 11, 2021
eurusd closed at the lows of the day for 3-rd day in row. we may see 1,2058 tommrow if things starts to heat up.
plan to sell at 1,2220.

dc CB 21:13 GMT January 11, 2021

''path of economy depends on vaccines' success''

NYC's failed vax plan----just read the twitter exchanges between the top Health guy and the NYC Comptroller.

Signing up on-line takes 51 steps on websites that sort of kind of don't really work too good....Shades of Obamacare website disasters.
Scott M. Stringer
This very minute, there are more than 200 vaccination slots available on TUESDAY on the @nycHealthy website.

I am concerned this signals twin failures of outreach and technology by the City.
The @nycHealthy site for signing up for a COVID vaccination is complex, burdensome, and buggy.

It will present an obstacle for too many people—particularly seniors—trying to sign up. This is a major problem.
9:28 PM · Jan 10, 2021

PAR 21:02 GMT January 11, 2021

MOC manipulation as only possible in a Banana Republic stock market.

PAR 20:30 GMT January 11, 2021

FED. Every story needs a happy end.

We will always be there for the 1%.

Mtl JP 19:06 GMT January 11, 2021

uhmm ....
The Dollar Is Rising. What That Means for Stocks.
Published: Jan. 11, 2021 by Jacob Sonenshine

U.K.’s financial regulator on Monday issued a very blunt warning about the rise of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies:
“If consumers invest in these types of product, they should be prepared to lose all their money.”— U.K. Financial Conduct Authority

Mtl JP 18:55 GMT January 11, 2021

EURO 1.2165
DLRx ... taking a pause or running out of steam

Mtl JP 18:01 GMT January 11, 2021

and yet
Bostic expects stronger U.S. recovery by summer

else what bostic: scientists and medics get thrown to the tigers ?

Mtl JP 17:59 GMT January 11, 2021

Fed's Bostic says path of economy depends on vaccines' success

OUCH !! the pressure on scientists and medical specialists

Mtl JP 16:22 GMT January 11, 2021
EXCLUSIVE: How to Trade a Liquidating Forex Market

liquidating market
- how tell it is iminent and how to tell it is in progress
- three key important components

"The strategists’ - led by Andrew Garthwaite - only worry was that 80% of stocks currently sit above their 200-day moving average, which would typically see markets fall two-thirds of the time over the next month. However, they said: “But in the very early cycle, as we are, this is not a short-term sell signal."

Stock market exuberance is here to stay, Credit Suisse says. Here’s why investors can be positive

Israel MacroMicro 15:53 GMT January 11, 2021

blackrock reporting this week, risk event?

london red 15:46 GMT January 11, 2021

rishi also on the wires saying things with go from $hit to worse before things improve.

london red 15:44 GMT January 11, 2021

fwiw the uk will soon be banning talking on the street. probably from tonight/tomorrow. but soon. too many folks not giving a $hit about the virus apparently

london red 15:42 GMT January 11, 2021

it would certainly then be: houston we have a problem. or more specifically silicon valley u have a problem (with ur valuations)

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT January 11, 2021

it would make my day IF jerome patently obviously tried to knock it to single digits and yet yields actually did the opposite

london red 15:32 GMT January 11, 2021

may have seen hod for 10 yield. i dont think they will push now that higher wkly high and with powell coming they can always buy the dip if he stays silent. but quite poss he knocks it to single digits 1.xx

Mtl JP 15:17 GMT January 11, 2021

10-yr 1.133, HoD 1.138
I want to see yields higher - ie bonds go into liquidation)
DLRx 90.63 (currently close to 90.935 Res)

euro 1.214x needs to see 1.21 Sup hold

Mtl JP 14:55 GMT January 11, 2021
Free Speech

free speech ...
Negative interest rates could provide significant stimulus, a Bank of England official said Monday amid speculation the U.K. central bank will move rates below zero as early as February.

Silvana Tenreyro, a voting Bank of England official, dismissed many of the standard arguments against negative rates as she touted their benefits when studying the experience of Denmark, the euro area, Switzerland, Sweden and Japan.

She said the central bank’s work on the feasibility of negative rates is still in progress.

was it napoleon who suggested to never interfere with your enemy when he is making a mistake ?

Negative interest rates can provide ‘significant stimulus,’ Bank of England official says

Tallinn viies 14:52 GMT January 11, 2021
ndx took out previous day low.
seems next victim will be brent.
taking small short here at 55.15.
target 53sh

GVI Forex 14:37 GMT January 11, 2021
EXCLUSIVE: How to Trade a Liquidating Forex Market

I suggesting reading this article that I wrote some time ago as it is applicable today as price action suggests a iiquidating market',

This is a must read! I have written several articles on how to trade a liquidating market and given the price action over the past week, including yesterday, it is worth reiterating. Understanding the dynamics of a liquidating market, recognizing when in one and having strategies to trade it can make the difference between have a good day and a painful one by making the forex market your enemy as I will explain in this exclusive report.

EXCLUSIVE: How to Trade a Liquidating Forex Market

PAR 13:53 GMT January 11, 2021
Free Speech
It is the role of the law, governments and elected officials to make rules for free speech.

It can't be decided by a few media tycoons from Apple, Facebook, Google, Twitter etc what can be said and whatnot.

Hk Ab 12:36 GMT January 11, 2021
There’s a diff between successful trader or “lap sap”.

Tallinn viies 11:57 GMT January 11, 2021
expect NYC starts the day by selling eurusd. 1,2190-95 area good level to try sell with stop above daily high 1,2226.
downside target today 1,2125-30.

london red 11:54 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

if u think its bad in the us, the uk is furtehr down the road. uk house prices is the only thing that matters!
as for stocks going up and too easy, most folks find it hard to buy a high and rather aim to sell tops and pick bottoms. not as many have participated in the stock rally if you take out automatics such as 401k.
and in the uk we have legions of doomsayers talking about 50% crashes in house prices. it will never happen when supply is specifically restricted to ensure its always lower than demand. the big housebuilders hold all the land and build a few houses each year and prices go even higher. but again in relation to my previous comment, if the value of money is falling, the price of the house must go up whatever it is worth.

Israel MacroMicro 11:46 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

sounds too "easy" if looking 2 years ahead
govt/central bank printing and stocks can go only up

I pass, not buying this deal

Minneapolis DRS2 11:40 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

Your assertion of erroneous does not reflect the thinking of most residential real estate buyers today, who are much less refined in their thinking. That is what happens when a market is flooded with money...people get value and price mixed up.

Talk to any residential realtor...people get caught up in the "investment value" of a house, whatever that means. They care very much about home prices, both going up and going down, even when they shouldn't care (like you say, shelter is a great thing no matter what). But when someone buys a house for $500k and the market price drops to say $400k, they get all sweaty and shaky and they can't sleep at night. How f***ed up is that?

Commercial real estate is a lot more straightforward, probably because the people involved have their heads on straight and can distinguish utility (value) from price. The people who invest in commercial real estate know the difference, as do the tenants.

Mtl JP 11:28 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

Real-estate peddlers like to interchange value <-> price
which is erroneous

Value is the utility that something offers:
House offers shelter (value is infinite)
Price is just that at which the house sells

- its utility (to sustain or kill life) is infinite
- bottle of water at store sells for $X

- value (or their utility) is ____ (I draw a blank)
- price is that at which they change hands

How does one measure Utility of Stocks ...

Israel MacroMicro 11:26 GMT January 11, 2021

Entry: Target: Stop:


outside weekly candle with soybeans or at least few weekly red candles ahead, is that your trading script?

Israel MacroMicro 11:24 GMT January 11, 2021

sub* 20K

Israel MacroMicro 11:23 GMT January 11, 2021

Abel wrote pullback
I assume his meaning was sun 20K or 20K area

he will clarify that point soon :)

Minneapolis DRS2 11:15 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

"The worth of a thing is what that thing will bring..."

london red 11:07 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

value is what something is worth. the price is what is can be bought or sold for. they are two different things.

london red 10:58 GMT January 11, 2021

200k, 500k why not a million. it will keep climbing untilt he final bust. i dont know what form it will take.
but today hsbc has said it will no longer allows folks in uk to transfer crypto transactions back into its accounts.
still mkt was 10% down at best. normal corrections are 50-75% so look for 10-20k first i would say then dip a toe in maybe.

stockmarkets dont go in a str8 line but vast money printing sure help. i think, the key is to avoid shorting as the odds of winning are much much lower than 50 years ago. easier and more profitable to go with the flow.

Mtl JP 10:57 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

red 10:12 what is the definition difference between equities value and price ? tia

Gaza Ibiza 10:32 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

Sure printing makes stocks go up..but plenty of times market has gone down in past 12 years! its not a one way street! Anyway lets see!

jkt abel 10:21 GMT January 11, 2021

they said, all good and healthy pullback for 200k right?

hk ab 10:21 GMT January 11, 2021

As usual.....

If one wants to fight with the world gov't, the gov't have to fight back after initial silly reactions.

Same for Chinese, same for US.

Mtl JP 10:16 GMT January 11, 2021

Nearly $170 billion wiped off cryptocurrency market in 24 hours as bitcoin pulls back


Mtl JP 10:12 GMT January 11, 2021

EURO 1.2160; 10YR 1.106%
Dollar Rises as Stocks, U.S. Futures Retreat: Markets Wrap

Hedge Funds Head for Cover as Dollar Rebound Gathers Pace
DLRx 90.45

Short Sellers Swarm One of Pandemic’s Hottest Trades in Asia
-- Malaysia’s medical glove makers, one of the hottest pandemic trades, have seen bearish bets surge since the Southeast Asian nation lifted a ban on the practice at the start of this year.

China Plans to Let Banks Sell Soured Personal Loans to Ease Risks
-- China plans to allow some commercial banks to start selling soured personal loans to distressed asset managers as soon as this month, according to people familiar with the matter.

JPMorgan Strategists Say U.S. ETF Could Sap Bitcoin Price

Oil Slides Below $52 on Stronger Dollar as Rally Takes Breather
..."Both West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude are trading in overbought territory, according to the 14-day relative strength index, signaling prices are due for a correction"

Gold Extends Biggest Loss in Two Months on Rising Dollar, Yields

Freezing Weather in Asia Sends Energy Prices Soaring, Catching Markets Off Guard

Major OPEC Producers, Cued by Saudis, Raise Asia Crude Pricing

Beijing’s Virus Clampdown Spurs Food Price Surge and Shortages

Wheat Exporters in Australia Look Past China to North Africa

london red 10:12 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux

no top in equities while they are printing. money is simply worth less so even if values stay the same or fall a bit, prices have to rise. this is what most folks dont understand. value can fall but price can still go up due to epson and canon on 24/7

london red 10:10 GMT January 11, 2021

be aware powell is speaking on the 14th. he will "correct" any misgiving mkt may have towards rates. euro prev low by 12130 shelters stops and will bring in focus on next low of 12058. high of prev range 12010 a key sup and may well prove to be a good entry for a return to highs. always remember euor keeps going up until it stops and then falls off a cliff. an outlier is c.118 i would say thats as far as it could fall if they still want to take it up. below 116 its game over but its hard to find a fundamental fit for that story unless rates are to be raised by fed. so i would say base case is for 120xx test to hold and provide base for rally, but make sure 118 test doesnt break your places (so stop under there for now)

Gaza Ibiza 10:09 GMT January 11, 2021
USD equity flux
I guess we will see the top in equities this week for the long trek to 3200 !

Tallinn viies 09:10 GMT January 11, 2021
eurusd has taken out previous week low. so it confirmed a top for a while. TARGET for next few weeks is 1,2020.
for today I expect we have seen the daily high. 80-85 pips down from daily high should form a low. I guess for this week 200 hour sma works as a resistance. currently at 1,2265-70 area.

jkt abel 09:02 GMT January 11, 2021

gold under 1850, housewives buy again?

hk ab 08:18 GMT January 11, 2021
2nd half 1855.

hk ab 08:12 GMT January 11, 2021

abel, the day is long.....

Main game is beast coin. Anticipating 10K or even lower.

jkt abel 08:01 GMT January 11, 2021

hk, ab you trip some balls? you mean gold has topped?

hk ab 07:50 GMT 01/11/2021
housewives gossipping to buy again at 1850 if it breaks, telling me that the gold has bottomed......

hk ab 07:50 GMT January 11, 2021
housewives gossipping to buy again at 1850 if it breaks, telling me that the gold has bottomed......

hk ab 07:07 GMT January 11, 2021
Don't need to fight with c9 and quacking index indicators. Now can safe short 1845 1/2 load.

hk ab 05:41 GMT January 11, 2021
LOL..... Quacking index works.....

hk ab 04:36 GMT January 11, 2021
beast coin
history repeats again.

However, the beast coin will be inevitably like silver to play a "role" in the market.

hk ab 04:33 GMT January 11, 2021
wow, so many sour grapes.....

now c9 also came out......

This is getting "funny".

dc CB 03:37 GMT January 11, 2021
Non impediti ratione cogitationis

Ya it's happening

Update (1900ET): In a letter sent late on Sunday, Nancy Pelosi confirmed that the coming week will be focused entirely on removing Trump out of office, when she informed colleagues that the House will pass a resolution calling on Pence to invoke the 25th amendment. This will be followed by impeachment.

Her full letter below:

Dear Democratic Colleague,

On this Sunday, as we pray that God will continue to Bless America, I write to inform you of our next actions, which will be made with the great solemnity that this moment requires.

I want to call to your immediate attention the action to be taken tomorrow morning, when Majority Leader Hoyer will request Unanimous Consent to bring up the Raskin resolution. This resolution calls on the Vice President to convene and mobilize the Cabinet to activate the 25th Amendment to declare the President incapable of executing the duties of his office, after which the Vice President would immediately exercise powers as acting President. The text of the resolution can be found here.

If we do not receive Unanimous Consent, this legislation is planned to be brought up on the Floor the following day. We are calling on the Vice President to respond within 24 hours.

Next, we will proceed with bringing impeachment legislation to the Floor.

In protecting our Constitution and our Democracy, we will act with urgency, because this President represents an imminent threat to both. As the days go by, the horror of the ongoing assault on our democracy perpetrated by this President is intensified and so is the immediate need for action.

I look forward to our Caucus call tomorrow. I am grateful to all Members for the suggestions, observations and input that you have been sending. Your views on the 25th Amendment, 14th Amendment Section 3 and impeachment are valued as we continue. I am answering your communications in chronological order and will do so into the night.

Thank you for your patriotism.


In other words, the second impeachment of Trump will begin on Tuesday if Pence refuses to invoke the 25th amendment, for which Pelosi has given the VP 24 hours.

HK [email protected] 03:31 GMT January 11, 2021
I did ask you guys to sell Gold at 1912


A gold medal from the King of Hong Kong is on the way to you.

Central Kwun 03:14 GMT January 11, 2021
I did ask you guys to sell Gold at 1912
Sell Gold
Entry: 1834 Target: Stop: 1844

big profit last Fri

dc CB 03:09 GMT January 11, 2021
Free Speech

when I was knee high, mom and dad took me to Playland in Rye NY.
besides the Speed Boat ride out the Long Island sound.... Yeh those Chriscraft 'woodies'---$10/hr

You could shoot for prizes---with 22's,,,, SemiAutomatics---Rugers or Marlins...Win a Prize.

nobody turned and Shot into the crowd.


Mtl JP 02:43 GMT January 11, 2021
Free Speech

Time to check behind biden's ear for "666"
On Friday, Biden pledged to DEFEAT THE NRA.

Biden wants to ban our semi-auto rifles, tax our guns/mags & more. He knows the only thing standing in his way to DISMANTLE THE 2ND AMENDMENT is NRA.

Gun owners must stay vigilant & be engaged in elections and the legislative process.

HK C9 02:10 GMT January 11, 2021

Ab - please let us know when you are playing the demo 100 lots game. We always make good money on the “ab indicator”

Hk Ab 01:29 GMT January 11, 2021
Someone can only do 20 dlrs profit trade, I opt for 200+....

dc CB 00:45 GMT January 11, 2021


USDA week

dc CB 00:40 GMT January 11, 2021

Rumors of my death are premature


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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