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Forex Forum Archive for 02/1/2021

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Macau Steven 22:24 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG

I find out trading high growth asset is most fun when the initial cost can be recovered quick. Really lucky to join the boat of bitcoin last year. Already scaled out about one fifth to recover initial cost. See if bitcoin can reach 150k this year.

Solar energy stocks are likely another star performer this year.

london red 21:40 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

elvis has long since left the building, while the fans will be left holding the bags. i guess gme holders will be watching the balloon deflate while watching everything else go up. see anything there to drive another round of wall st hating? but sadly much of that $hit piling was in house, done to the unsuspecting by savvy traders and some ex pros. right after capitol hill is was an easy sign up.

Tallinn viies 21:28 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
somebody should tell reddit n robihooders that very few hedge funds are playng short side.
most of them are long with leverage. Last week saw one stroy that leverage highest in the system.

first working day of the month and tesla +6%
crude +2.8%
ndx +2.45%
alibaba +4.8%

I guess they did pretty okay today. there is 20 working days in february. 1-st was big success.

london red 20:52 GMT February 1, 2021
matrix

matrix
Tallinn viies 18:37 GMT 02/01/2021
WallStreetBets Detects Large Amount Of Bot Activity


gameover for the gamestop boys. writing is now on the wall now. this is going under 200 bucks and staying under there tomorrow.

lakewood jjlkwd 20:03 GMT February 1, 2021
NQ

double top ... nice

Israel MacroMicro 19:42 GMT February 1, 2021
NQ

CB - watch the lumber the coming days :)

p.s. I am short!

Tallinn viies 19:31 GMT February 1, 2021
men at work
Reply   
Tesla Gets A Street High $1,200 Price Target: 'The Fireworks Aren't Over Yet'

lakewood jjlkwd 19:13 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt

looks like xxx in the works

lakewood jjlkwd 19:12 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

AT 5 min chart stopped going lower after a few attempts and then reversed, so looks like upward and onward from here...targeting 12130 area (downtrend on 4hr)

Mtl JP 19:01 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt



DLRx 90.955
-
probably testing shorts' resilience / resolve

Tallinn viies 18:37 GMT February 1, 2021
matrix
Reply   
WallStreetBets Detects Large Amount Of Bot Activity

Israel MacroMicro 18:33 GMT February 1, 2021
NQ

cb

better we wait for the close. 13860 is very conservative if not closing the day under 13100

Mtl JP 18:26 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt

Fed’s Kashkari not ‘fazed’ by rush of stock market speculation
- MarketWatch

Tallinn viies 18:21 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
it is time eurusd to move higher, at least 60 pips room to get monthly back bar. risk on if didnt get memo.

lakewood jjlkwd 18:19 GMT February 1, 2021
euro
Reply   
looks like will have to wait for new lows

PAR 17:52 GMT February 1, 2021
Yellen - The Cash Machine

Today proves that the money the banks invested in Yellen was money well spend.

dc CB 17:31 GMT February 1, 2021
NQ
Reply   


13860+ will get at least a visit --- just on 'voluntary' reduction of shorts across the hedgefund universe.

Israel MacroMicro 17:12 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

no problem, good trades!

lakewood jjlkwd 17:11 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

I was posting on euro not nq sorry for the confusion..

Israel MacroMicro 17:05 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

otherwise, I will 'run Forest run' out the trade/position.

Israel MacroMicro 17:03 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

no 13290 today and I turn really bearish / imo

lakewood jjlkwd 16:58 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

Macro

its getting close to a triple bottom.. which doesn't bode well for longs

Israel MacroMicro 16:57 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

NQ: SHORT @ 13190 opened

Israel MacroMicro 16:55 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

as long you do not expect revisiting March 2020 lows, you will do fine with the shorts viies :)

Minneapolis DRS2 16:51 GMT February 1, 2021
pick up the pieces
Reply   
"And now for something completely different..."

Totally off-topic, but fun...here is something to keep you awake while you are waiting for EUR/USD to bounce right back to 2130.

The video in the link points to the very best performance I have ever heard of "Pick Up The Pieces", by the Phil Collins Big Band (yeah, that Phil Collins). Almost 23 minutes of rocking sax and piano (with George Duke no less), and Phil himself at the drums. Crank up the volume, and enjoy!

pick up the pieces

lakewood jjlkwd 16:47 GMT February 1, 2021
swissy
Reply   
just to point out the obvious ..inverted head and shoulders on the daily 90.70-80 target.

its only 3.6% of dxy but it will be a lift for usd anyway.
yen is 13% and its(usd/jpy) just broken a long term downtrend .

you get my point. bottom line euro is a short


dont post it on reddittt !!!

HK Kevin 16:04 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG

Covered my Silver long put option.
Kevin 06:28 GMT 02/01/2021
Welcome back, HK NT housewife.
HK ab, I am very scared to fight with the WSB folks. Only play on the options side to limit the potential loss. 

PAR 15:59 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag

There is plenty of silver in the world. Indian families have massive amounts of silver and they are happy to sell at these prices.

Hk Ab 15:54 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG
Reply   
Maybe start buying back the silver when Reddit scream sell。。。

Tallinn viies 15:51 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
short nasdaq100 at 13 139. will add more shorts at 13 343.
stop above previous week high.

Hk Ab 15:48 GMT February 1, 2021
xag
Reply   
Steven, see if you can beat the c9 who whipped the millennials

Mtl JP 15:47 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

EURO 1.2092
-
puppy, under 50dma , is infected with down bias. but it has trouble testing 1.1.2050 Sup let alone bust thru.

The down bias would probably cease to exist on puppy romping N of the 50dma

Macau Steven 15:35 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag

Adjusting for inflation, 1980 $50 silver = 2021 $200 silver. Thus, current silver $30 is not expensive.

Tallinn viies 15:32 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
everything is possible now. nasdaq100 may go to 20 000 easily.
If deciders want assett inflation they will get it. no doubt.

Tallinn viies 15:30 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
going short nasdaq100 at 13 139.

Macau Steven 15:30 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag

I bet silver can reach $55-60 this year

Macau Steven 15:27 GMT February 1, 2021
Yellen - The Cash Machine

I believe Yellen can help banks to make more money in coming years. She is a very competent woman.

lakewood jjlkwd 15:05 GMT February 1, 2021
euro
Reply   
AT short euro 10 pip stop 12104 (15min)

Tallinn viies 15:04 GMT February 1, 2021
pump and pump and pump
Reply   
talking about the ranges where things going to happen.

expected range for this month:

eurusd expected 1 month range 331 points.
eurusd expected 1 week range 142 pips.
eurusd expexted daily range 74 points.

Nasdaq100 1 month expected 1139 points
nasadq100 1 week expected 606 points
nasdaq100 1 day range expected 385

brent crude expected 1 month range 8,20 usd
brent crude expected 1 week range 3,10 usd

Tallinn viies 13:51 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
:)
it seems they got this list.
zombies outpferoming sp500,
so work is on. get rich fast. before noon :)

to be honest it is very nice when things starting to move and correlations breaking up. lot of fun to trade.

London Trader 13:46 GMT February 1, 2021
US hits all-time high in zombie companies

Give the list to Reddit!!

Tallinn viies 13:41 GMT February 1, 2021
US hits all-time high in zombie companies
Reply   
% of zombies across US publicly-listed companies hit above 17% in 2020.

zombie companies = Three 3 year average EBIT/interest exp ratio less then 1 and market cap greater than 300 mio usd.

PAR 13:16 GMT February 1, 2021
Yellen - The Cash Machine
Reply   
Janet Yellen made millions giving speeches to Wall Street banks she'll soon regulate

Yellen listed $952,200 in income from speeches to Citi, one of the nation's largest banks. She also disclosed speaking fees from PIMCO, Barclays (BCS), Citadel, BNP Paribas, UBS (UBS), Credit Suisse (CS), ING, Standard Chartered Bank and City National Bank.

"The next Treasury Secretary making millions off of the biggest banks, PE firms, tech companies, etc. raises serious red flags," The Revolving Door Project, a progressive group that tracks conflicts of public officials, wrote on Twitter.

Tallinn viies 13:07 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
Eurozone M3 money supply YoY +12,3%

The euro-area broad money supply expansion accelerated further in December.

last time we saw such big money supply growth number was in 2008 just before everything exploded.
brent crude fell from 147 to 35/40. took only 4 months. (goldman was talking about crude price perspective 200 usd/b)
eurusd fell from 1,6000 to 1,25 and it took only 4 months.
NDX droped 50%.

GVI Forex 12:59 GMT February 1, 2021
Amazing Trader Update: XAGUSD
Reply   
See this 4 hour AT silver chart (directional risk was already starting to turn up when the herd mentality took over)

The Amazing Trader

Tallinn viies 12:10 GMT February 1, 2021
crude demand droped ca 9 million barrels last year
Reply   
expected to rebound 5-6 million barrels if everything turns out well.
somehow GS thinks with lower demand (and lets not forget OPEC+ would like to produce more) crude price should on average 30% higher than before.

very starnge but if you have long positions 30 trillion dollars then hard to talk it down. who gonna pay those margin calls if things doesnt work out.
remember last year what happened? prices went to negative because people were not able to provide funds for their positions if things started to collapse.

EIA estimates that global petroleum liquids consumption dropped 9% in 2020

Tallinn viies 11:59 GMT February 1, 2021
amazing bluffing is going on...
Reply   
they are lowering their demand outlook (which was overly optimistic anyway) and saying that is why brent crude need to go higher by 15-20%.



The bank expected demand to rise by 5.3 million bpd in the six months to July, down from its previous forecast of 6.8 million bpd.

Tight oil market in first half could push crude to $65, says Goldman

Tallinn viies 11:44 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
convinced myself also :)
bought euros at 1,2077.
stop at 1,2052.

Tallinn viies 11:39 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
if to follow eurusd then one could assume there is a stress in the system. that risk off mode is on but when you look at what is actualy is going on then exactly opposite. FOMO fear of missing out gettinng rich rally.
basically we havent traded this month even one day and most of the markets are in + more than 1%.
UK stocks indx +1,8%
gasoil +1,8%
gasoline 1,6%
ndx +1,1%
spx +1,15%

so basically eurusd trades going in a wrong direction.
and if previous month low will be taken out then most likely all other markets will drop sharply. this is how I see itt.

GVI Forex Blog 11:39 GMT February 1, 2021
Why is the EURUSD Trading Weak?
Reply   

Coming into the year the consensus was for continued dollar weakness and EURUSD strength. What we have seen is a mixed dollar. and weaker EURUSD. So the question is, 

Why is the EURUSD trading weak?

Why is the EURUSD Trading Weak?

Belgrade Knez 11:34 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

if previous month low taken out then Sept and Nov 2020 high (1.2010/00) could be tested .... looks like a good support now as some MA's there too

Tallinn viies 11:29 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
it is time to try long euro again.
limit buy at 1,2072. stop below previous month low 1,2052. target 1,2155 previous day high.
I guess one more try lower during the NYC open. if previous month low will be taken out then need to reevaluate situation.

PAR 11:29 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt

S & P almost a 100 point range on a cool monday morning.

Amazing. But that's life.

PAR 11:19 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt

European economies are really in deep trouble.

Mtl JP 10:58 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt



DLRx 90.86
-
making 3x top
Qtn is will it or won't it hold or boogie

Maybe the answer lies in how many DLR short will give up
and how many will keep their position

Tallinn viies 09:23 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
good morning,
first day of the month and already ndx +1%. same applys to crude oil.
money machine in full swing.
last friday cftc positions showed hedge funds long crude around 30 trillion us dollars. 1% up there helps to survive I guess.
eurusd took out previous day low. technically bearish.
plan to buy euro near 1,2070.
Im short eurgbp and brent.

HK HK 09:03 GMT February 1, 2021
USD
Reply   
$ higher. Is there news?

PAR 08:56 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag

The biggest risk for a long silver position is a stronger dollar.

Citadel is a huge forex broker.

Be careful.

Mtl JP 08:49 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag

PAR are you blaming silver ?

the GAP is now ~$3 or 11%

PAR 08:41 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag

The Hunt brothers and some Arab friends squeezed Silver to over $40 later it collapsed to under $4.

Silver at $ 30 is just very expensive.

Mtl JP 08:18 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt

10-yr 1.085, up from 1.071

current us futures uP >0.6%+
Gold uP ~0.75%

Hk Ab 08:18 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag
Reply   
Housewives sold 30 handle

PAR 07:52 GMT February 1, 2021
EUROPE
Reply   
Germany December retail sales -9.6% vs -2.0% m/m expected

PAR 07:44 GMT February 1, 2021
RISK ON
Reply   
Markets higher as Chinese central bank injects more money into the system.

Thank you China.

PAR 07:44 GMT February 1, 2021
RISK ON
Reply   
Markets higher as Chinese central bank injects more money into the system.

Thank you China.

Hk Ab 07:40 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG

PAR, that recall me a very old and often “repeated” story by our stupid government that, they fought with the “speculators” by using 300% overnight rate.......

Hm.....

PAR 06:44 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG

This kind of speculation is only possible in an environment of zero or negative interest rates.

It is the fault of the central bank printing presses.

With normal interest rates carrying charges would kill this trade.

HK Kevin 06:28 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG

Welcome back, HK NT housewife.
HK ab, I am very scared to fight with the WSB folks. Only play on the options side to limit the potential loss. 

lakewood jjlkwd 05:51 GMT February 1, 2021
usdjpy
Reply   
AT alert
----------------
30 min chart right at support can buy with small stop....

hk ab 03:24 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG

don't need to pretend housewive, nt. You have the dick.

HK C9 03:21 GMT February 1, 2021
XAG

Ab- I’m sorry to see those millennials bent you over the table and did bad things to you. Thank you for being a Bitcoin and silver indicator though. We will take you out for dim sum.

Hk Ab 00:16 GMT February 1, 2021
Xag
Reply   
A war restarts, between millennial and housewives

Mtl JP 00:15 GMT February 1, 2021
Mkt



another GAP
about 1 hr old

Mtl JP 00:02 GMT February 1, 2021
eurusd

I read that "a rise in inflation is expected this year but should not be confused with a sustained increase" earlier from one the FED feeders, can't recall who now, but since it is 2nd time in a short time span and from a different econ zone my own suspicion of the CBs collaborating and coordinating grows.

United we fall. Divided we stand.
Or do I have it a.ss backward ?

 




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