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Forex Forum Archive for 03/1/2021

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Mtl JP 23:21 GMT March 1, 2021

I have mentioned this before:
(I am thinking inside of 6 months from the first 1.9 trillion)
$1.9 Trillion Should Be Step One. More Stimulus Is Needed.

Opinion - Stanley Litow

Jkt Abel 22:49 GMT March 1, 2021

Sell gold below 1740, will accelerate down.

Israel MacroMicro 21:25 GMT March 1, 2021

there is always someone who loves your wealth at least as you are, the USA version. captain CB and his sleepless nights I guess.

you have much, it will be less soon

Israel MacroMicro 21:07 GMT March 1, 2021

how much they get paid for doing that job?

China looking for clues

Mtl JP 21:04 GMT March 1, 2021

GBP 1.3920
puppy looks as if on a union break
1.4 looks like close-by Res
1.39 Sup; action sub 1.38 would hint at a turn in trend

Mtl JP 18:28 GMT March 1, 2021

jjlkwd 17:55 100day = Sup

Israel MacroMicro 18:22 GMT March 1, 2021

jjlkwd presents: Power Lines 2.0

no way it breaks down during the current value date, no way!

Tallinn viies 18:05 GMT March 1, 2021
bought brent at 63.70. down from daily high more than 2 dollars. I think it is too much.
will add near previous week low and stop below previous week low.

lakewood jjlkwd 17:55 GMT March 1, 2021
hourly chart showing respect for AT trendline down.... potential trade with tight stops above 68

PAR 17:51 GMT March 1, 2021

That makes Sarkozy fit to become the next president of the ECB, or president of Europe.

Don't worry he will be more than ok.

Mtl JP 17:43 GMT March 1, 2021

bla bla blah but no guarantee:
"Bond Yields Will Rise Again but That Won’t Derail Stocks, Says JPMorgan"

lakewood jjlkwd 17:17 GMT March 1, 2021
cant hold onto its gains.....will other markets follow ?

lakewood jjlkwd 17:17 GMT March 1, 2021
cant hold onto its gains.....will other markets follow ?

Mtl JP 16:56 GMT March 1, 2021
European Yields

it gets better
... "Chief Financial Officer Myles O’Grady said the bank expects negative-interest-rate-bearing deposits to expand to nearly €15 billion this year, which will benefit the bank by nearly €80 million. ... .. ...Bank of Ireland shares rose 3% in Dublin trade and have gained 6% over the last 52 weeks. "

Mtl JP 16:51 GMT March 1, 2021
European Yields

of alleged idiots and grand-parent playing child psychologist to 3-yr old girl
The Bank of Ireland said on Monday that it tripled negative interest-rate deposits last year — and plans to further increase them in 2021.

Reporting its full-year results, the Bank of Ireland said the volume of customer deposits with negative interest rates was €8.5 billion ($10.2 billion) at the end of December, up from €2.7 billion in 2019. Not surprisingly, that is a good business for the bank. Its funding costs were reduced by €31 million last year from customers who pay to deposit.

This bank tripled negative interest-rate deposits — and expects that business to improve

HK Kevin 16:49 GMT March 1, 2021

hk ab 16:41 GMT, USD/JPY will fly to the noon 115 level, but not this week or month.

hk ab 16:41 GMT March 1, 2021

seems it's the fight between high yield pairs vs low yield pairs....

HK Kevin 16:36 GMT March 1, 2021

Hk Ab 16:28 GMT, I have 2-way trading btw 17710-1.7770 for AUD/USD. Entered 2 positions today with nice profit.

Mtl JP 16:31 GMT March 1, 2021

EURO 1.2058
at current price action I am ambivalent, maybe slightly bearish
would need to see action run sub 1.2020 seeing that the 100day is S atm
to get a re-visit of Feb low

Res around 1.2090 price neighborhood and 1.2150 potential trgt

Hk Ab 16:28 GMT March 1, 2021

Kevin, Aussie May not give you a break

HK Kevin 16:25 GMT March 1, 2021

HK ab, I have entered short position at 106.70 this afternoon. Pls let me cover the position at 105.80/90 first.
hk ab 12:02 GMT 03/01/2021
Nice, marching to our 115 end of March target.

london red 15:48 GMT March 1, 2021

ndz has channel res at current 13175. if manages to breach then maybe 13300/50. either way i wouldnt chase it as i fancy them bonds to force some more downside on tech this week.

Israel MacroMicro 15:15 GMT March 1, 2021


serious question, Sarkozy sentenced to a year in jail. but due to the french system he doesn't need to be in jail.

what does that mean?

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT March 1, 2021

red "they" spared no effort to drive the DLR from under 90
I am leary to think they 'll let their effort evaporate easily

in s/t we ll probably see a tug-of-war between dlr sellers and the one buyer
inside the ytd range
morning stocks uP almost 600pts (almost +2% already)

Tallinn viies 14:36 GMT March 1, 2021
pumpn pump
Hedge funds have reduced their position in petroleum futures and options for the first time in 16 weeks.

The sale comes after portfolio managers purchased a total of 548 million barrels over the previous 15 weeks

After three months in which benchmark crude prices had risen by more than $26 per barrel or 68%

Hedge funds sell oil as bull run stutters

london red 14:25 GMT March 1, 2021

Mtl JP 13:38 GMT 03/01/2021
msm rejoicing:

i dont think you can trust that yield to stay down. at v least its going to drift higher into powell on thurs and nfp friday. fed speakers last wk didnt do much to cap rates so even tho speaking early this wk i dont expect they will do much either. maybe if starts getting out of hand powell may say something thursday. they will have nfp wed afternoon so comments may change after that or at least worth paying more attention to.

PAR 14:20 GMT March 1, 2021
Banks in Germany Tell Customers to Take Deposits Elsewhere

More customers are having to pay negative rates as savings have surged amid the pandemic

German banks aim to reduce € deposits

PAR 14:04 GMT March 1, 2021
$ 15 minimum wage
No way José!

This was just a mirage Biden saw during his election campaign.

Mtl JP 14:01 GMT March 1, 2021

DLRx at s/t Sup

Mtl JP 13:38 GMT March 1, 2021

msm rejoicing:
08:33am - Stock markets return to winning form as bond yields ease

Mtl JP 13:25 GMT March 1, 2021

To the applause by janet, joe is about to deliver on the state-of-the-union by way of $1.9 trillion "rescue". Things are apparently not all that peachy BUT in an attempt to prepare the ground ahead of jerome's yak scheduled for noon on Thursday it will rain messaging CB yakkers every day

Probably two missions:
- $1.9 trillion is a good thing
- try to put a bridle on market enthusiasm for higher compensation for expected dlr debasement

In a less overt but no less significant message the FED gang is trying to mitigate the need for stepping in to have to be sole buyer of US govvy bonds.

Side Qtn
Is there any market pricing reaction left in the $1.9 trillion "relief",
IF so which way AND
how vicious ? tia

Mtl JP 13:03 GMT March 1, 2021

10-yr 1.45%
08:00am just as NY is about to open

haifa ac 12:51 GMT March 1, 2021

Agree. Equities started March with Demand tone. If it is not dedicated funds at first of month, but more serious demand then they may want to finish the quarter on an up note.
However, if they do that-- it will be more of exhaustion and starting nest quarter we are going to start a big correction --so my dollar picture may come to being--then.

Israel MacroMicro 12:05 GMT March 1, 2021

Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD: 1.2020/40 long area for today with target around 1.2084

good trades

hk ab 12:02 GMT March 1, 2021
Nice, marching to our 115 end of March target.

HK Kevin 11:23 GMT March 1, 2021

We need another stock market crash or US rate hike early than expected for dlr index rising to 94 or 96

haifa ac 11:13 GMT March 1, 2021

To me Critical resistance of DLRx at 96.00

HK Kevin 11:03 GMT March 1, 2021

Critical resistance of DLRx at 91.15 need to cap the upside

Mtl JP 09:26 GMT March 1, 2021

10-yr 1.435% (slightly on the uP)
DLRx 90.99 (also closed the GAP)
EURO 1.2037 (on the DOwn some)
US stocks looking as if they'll open uP

possibly because 10-yr yield is currently under last week's poke N of 1.52
likely because somebody made (not small) effort to mitigate market ideas of dlr down expectations
via US bond dumping because if not nipped in time market animal spirits wanting to be compensated for eroding dlr purchasing power as more and more dlrs get printed from nihilo could turn into a vicious hyena feeding frenzy.

Amazing Trader Reviews 09:14 GMT March 1, 2021 Reply   

'Amazing Trader Review...'

Mtl JP 09:03 GMT March 1, 2021
Turkish Lira-ATL

harping. on verge of collapse.
Turkey's 4Q GDP grows 5.9% on year

TurkStat said Monday

Bangkok KC 08:54 GMT March 1, 2021
gbp and aud

GBP/USD and AUD/USD will go on 500-1000 pips from here.

hk ab 06:47 GMT March 1, 2021
gbp and aud
KC, your turn to show muscle.

Gold didn't collapse, it just retraced..... to tease those bought.

dc CB 01:54 GMT March 1, 2021
Rising Yields

in US Treas futures --- the 5ver is the focus/pivot.
Fundymentally - 2024 is right in the battle zone --- politically speaking.

as for today' bacons saver award:
Yields Plunge After RBA Panics And Buys Double The Amount Of Bonds In Daily QE

dc CB 01:11 GMT March 1, 2021
Trend - Irony
Minneapolis DRS2 23:05 GMT 02/28/2021
Child rearing used to be so much simpler
not what you might think.
We really really really miss Trump.
For without 24/7 OrangeManBad screed----other stuff, that sort of matters, kind of leaks thru.

"You're The F**king Nuts" - Bill Maher Blasts New York's "Insane" Woke School System


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