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Forex Forum Archive for 04/1/2021

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tokyo ginko 19:55 GMT April 1, 2021
Cad

usdcad bet on parity in 1.5years

Hk Ab 15:21 GMT April 1, 2021
Cad
Reply   
Survive with so many bad news is also amazing

Macau Steven 15:09 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold

1670s is 10% above 2020 year open and 15% above 2020 yearlow

Tallinn viies 15:08 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
currently people still selling euro here at the highs of the day as expected trading done for the day.
but if stops behind weekly high taken then hit and run.
nobody likes to be on wrong side before long weekend.
more pressure higher I guess.

HK Kevin 14:58 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

Same for Cable. 13860 could be seen if 1.3835 broken

london red 14:55 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

if 65 breaks getting to 95 fast imo. st only

Tallinn viies 14:54 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
euro weekly high so far 1,1793. stops behind it.

london red 14:47 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

ndx 13360 key res. maybe to 136xx is breaks. mkt closed tomorrow. amd could test 84 in that scenario. if not well i guess back to lows.

Tallinn viies 14:33 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
nasdaq100 pressuring previous month high.
it seems to close above 50 day sma possible today. if previous month high taken out then empty space up to 13 800.

Tallinn viies 14:26 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
yes true.

london red 14:24 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

viies, thats true. look at how uk has done and europe since start of year. uk gets its act together and sterling higher. europe blames british and still doing fresh lock downs. euro down. even the americans have moved from a losing position ahead of europe with vaccines. i cant understand it really. too much red tape i guess.

Hk Ab 14:20 GMT April 1, 2021
Betcoin
Reply   
Suddenly becomes sluggish

Tallinn viies 14:17 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
as long as there are people who think economy is driving currency rates as long money can be made. :)

london red 14:11 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

euro needs to break 11765 to go higher. im not sure i want to be long euro into nfp tomorrow. it could be 1 million jobs. thats a lot of bonds to take in. 1.8% on the 10 means euro lower. but we will see tomorrow when data comes.

Belgrade Knez 14:07 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

I keep shorting euro from PDH

Hk Ab 14:07 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
Place limit 1720 to close 3/4

Tallinn viies 14:04 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
and later fancy name of course developed - dual currency deposit.

Tallinn viies 14:00 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
with russian clients I heard nice concept from them.
as they do not trust their own currency to keep their wealth, they tend to keep their funds 50% in euro and 50% in dollars.
and they claim - you can not loose. win win :)
what you gonna say to them...

so later we started to sell out of the money options to get extra.
if exercised then just 50:50 alocation changed for a while. selling out of the money option to other side and got allocation back to 50:50.

that was win win :)
evrybody made money

Hk Ab 13:55 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
Add 27

Hk Ab 13:55 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
Add 27

Israel MacroMicro 13:47 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

NQ @ 13295 == SHORT

could not wait :)

Israel MacroMicro 13:44 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

SPX == +4K

stronger dollar only on tarot cards :)

Belgrade Knez 13:42 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

Tallinn viies 13:31

many times eurusd test previous day low/high and then reverse..... let see what happen when usdx test ystd low

Belgrade Knez 13:35 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

Tallinn viies 13:29 GMT April 1, 2021
knezuchka? not sure I have heard.
--------------------------------------------
LOL

Belgrade Knez 13:35 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

Israel MacroMicro 13:24 GMT April 1, 2021
viies, many like knezuchka and 1.4++ will happen faster than you wish :)
--------------------------------------------------
MMuchka ..... I don't care which way it goes, as I trade both ways, only strong dollar better for me as my account in dollars and means more local currency for me ..... that's the only reason I like strong $


Tallinn viies 13:34 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
plan to sell half long today at 1,1813 if seen. I doubt.

Tallinn viies 13:31 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
previous day high taken out. got back euros at 1,1759. 62 stop not needed.
managed to get above 200 points. alll in all euro break even 110 pips lower now. still long and plan to add longs netween 1,1500-1,1600.
target 1,25sh first.

Tallinn viies 13:29 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
knezuchka? not sure I have heard.

Tallinn viies 13:26 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
last CPI numbers from euroland below expectations.
last CPI numbers from UK below expectations.
wonder if US CPI will be also below expectations? then this should bost shares again, right?
it is all about expectations. you know after very good year in trading room bosses start expectations management before bonus call. same same with cpi :)

Israel MacroMicro 13:24 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

viies, many like knezuchka and 1.4++ will happen faster than you wish :)

Belgrade Knez 13:20 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

Tallinn viies 13:16 GMT April 1, 2021
BCA research writes eurusd is undervalued by their PPP model.
should be trading around 1,4000.

Im not alone :)
---------------------------------------------
and because they publicly announce it should go up, it will go down .... LOL


Tallinn viies 13:20 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
previous day high held at first test.
keeping my buy stop order above.

Tallinn viies 13:16 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
BCA research writes eurusd is undervalued by their PPP model.
should be trading around 1,4000.

Im not alone :)

Hk Ab 13:04 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
In 1724

Hk Ab 13:03 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
One more try

Hk Ab 12:56 GMT April 1, 2021
Cad
Reply   
As stubborn as gold above 1724 before....

Hk Ab 12:53 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
Bangster doesn’t forget the 1720....

Israel MacroMicro 12:52 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

hey JP, show some kindness and adopt the peep in brown panties

Israel MacroMicro 12:51 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

NQ: closed all longs since few sessions @ 13240

flat for now, maybe will take SHORTS ahead of the close, maybe!


gl / gt

Hk Ab 12:08 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
Stopped me and the give M-duck colonoscopy?

Hk Ab 11:56 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
Stopped now, side line first

london red 11:27 GMT April 1, 2021
mkt

ab, i think folks trading from last year will get heads handed back to them. these xx times sales are no longer working. as for some cyclicals they are on fwd earnings on sometimes mid teens sometimes under. ok in the states act is at fwd of 30, but i guess that comes down a bit and then they increase estimates. as for big tech, it can go 5-10% lower at best while crappy tech can halve again from here. some cyclicals can double but they never went up for years.

hk ab 11:23 GMT April 1, 2021
mkt
Reply   
seems to me the consensus is a bit too optimistic and one-way road on stox.......

Take care.

XAG actually has done its guide.

Again I am happy to see the C-duck who proved that my direction is ok. Now, take half 1712 and rest at BE.

london red 10:26 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

you can argue one way or the other about bitcoin but you cant escape one thing which will always have the last word. the fact that another coin exists which spun off it and it exactly the same, but its cheaper to transact and 8 times faster to transact, bitcoin cash. yet that trades only at 500 bucks. its like comparing a mustang 3.6 to the 5.7. pretty much the same apart from the mustang 5.7 sounds better and goes faster.
so what makes for the difference in price of bitcoin vs bitcoin cash? its speculative buying. nothing more. eventually this goes away either by regulation, super computer or something else. but eventually it goes away.

Tallinn viies 10:23 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
london red 10:02 GMT - do not want to insult you but just saying whatever. you stick to your mambojambo corporate finance stuff.
I sticjkjk to mine mambojambo. I repeat - Matters only money in the system. stock indexes constructed in a way that they will move higher always. if certain stock in the index do not "behave" it will be kicked out and new stock will be brought to the index. which gurantees index is going higher.
all stocks valued by their betas against index. so basically all go higher anyway if they are good enough to be part of the index.
so talking about interest rates is smoke and mirrow case. indexes will go higher anyway as long as money coming to the system.
even tesla moves higher in the end if part of the index.

london red 10:11 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

deliveroo is just an esg disaster. if gun put to head id prefer justeat in uk, they have started to pay a min wage and holiday pay. as for deliveroo its not commerically viable. its one of these year 2000 stocks that will spend its money and fade away unless taken out by m&a, but at a much lower price. like back in 2001/2002/2003 when the tech blowups started to merge. remember im mentioned a story a while ago how a stockbroker had to demerge its internet business since the valuation was dragging it down. well history will repeat itself. it already is. rest of market will be fine because we are in a growth phase and the big techs make a ton of money. but most of the xx times sales are history.

Mtl JP 10:05 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

... "The debacle has led to questions about how the raft of bluechip bankers behind the deal got it so wrong. Goldman Sachs (GS) and JP Morgan (JPM) were the lead book runners on the deal, while Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Numis (NUM.L), and Jefferies (JEF) worked as junior partners on the float. Deliveroo's founder and chief executive, William Shu, is also a former investment banker. ... With such a roster of talent, how did the most anticipated IPO of the year turn into the worst float of the decade? " ...

Next:
(Bloomberg) - Goldman Close to Offering Bitcoin to Wealth Management Clients

good luck wealth clients

london red 10:02 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

viies, its all about rates, thats why these xx times sales are all 30-50% down. im not saying dont buy anything. stick to cyclicals mostly for now with a sprinkling of the best tech. when yields go up earnings today worth more than double earnings tomorrow. take alcoa. thanks to money printing real economy will be growing and real companies can increase prices. so alcoa from my example can double from here before it gets to a high. while zoom can still get cut in half before it bottoms. still in next few days a bounce in crappy tech is possible. better tech should also do better but bounces might be smaller. cyclicals may pull back a bit but this will be your op to buy for another move higher over next 6 months. only thing that can change this pattern is inflation prints for march april may june. but i doubt it can change given huge price increases across the board. still as i said a month ago, at least we know when this should stop, around feb/march next year. but its a long time to hope for something to be transitory and mkt sells first asks questions later. so avoiding no earnings techs and buying cyclicals is the place to be.

Mtl JP 09:55 GMT April 1, 2021
mkt

USDCAD 1.2580
-
Fwiw:
Ontario is expected to announce a 28-day provincewide "shutdown" Thursday to stop the spread of COVID-19 as an alarming spike in cases threatens the critical care system, The Canadian Press has learned

Tallinn viies 09:49 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
FOMC on 28-th of april.
until that date safe to buy indexes on any dip (-2 or -3% down).
there is so much money in the system that infllation is not a problem. inflatin is good. economy will grow even more. soo even more money can made. this is the way how greed thinks.

remember when brent went from 30 to 150 then nobody cared about innfflation. more n more n more money.... everything more was on everybodys lips.

london red 09:37 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

stocks closed friday but might be a tricky following monday given its nfp friday. it may spark another inflation fear trade. however if not then april 9-13 is us ppi and cpi for march. these numbers will not be kind. in fact numbers until at least may will be v strong. so i would guess any bounce in tech is over by then. but of course that doesnt mean good quality should be cut to zero. it means all the crap that will never earn will then turn lower and make new lows below current ones.

Tallinn viies 09:10 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
seems sp500 made new all time high.
no need to be kenius with a big K to figure out nasdaq100 will follow soon :)

keep buying the stuff.
goldman starts to offer cryptos soon...
CME starts to offer micro bitcoins in may.
keep buying whatevr you can.
Im buying crude - as GS said supercycle is coming :)

london red 08:53 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

i think there can be only one main play in each region. there simply is not enough profit to go around in the new paradigm (or old one) of tax and wages.

Mtl JP 08:48 GMT April 1, 2021
mkt

got to have faith in the judicial
(or good lawyers?)
-
..."Traders said the 10 banks, which from 2010 to 2014 handled an estimated 75% of Treasury trades through the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, used chat rooms to swap confidential customer orders and coordinate strategies, to profit at clients’ expense." ...

Big banks win dismissal of U.S. Treasury rigging litigation

Tallinn viies 08:45 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
red - you are refering there will be only uber in the end?

london red 08:36 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

JP, like the highlander, there can only be one. and fwiw the ground below for worker rights is moving. if gig becomes worker, then poof goes profitability. hence there can only be one.

Mtl JP 08:31 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

..."banks behind the float .. will be natural sellers"
-
LoL that augurs really poorly for what bbg headline dubbed "The Dutch Food Delivery King Is Coming to America" puppy

hk ab 08:10 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
next add is 1722, last entry with tight sl

Mtl JP 08:06 GMT April 1, 2021
mkt

not so sleepy joe's

Tax overhaul
The White House plan calls for about $2 trillion in new spending over eight years. The proposed tax increases would cover that cost over 15 years and become permanent.

• The plan raises the corporate tax rate from 21 percent to 28 percent.
• It also increases the global minimum tax paid from about 13 percent to 21 percent.
• The proposal ends federal tax breaks for fossil fuel companies.
• It also ramps up tax enforcement against corporations and prevents U.S. corporations from claiming tax havens as their residence.

What’s in Biden’s $2 trillion jobs and infrastructure plan?

london red 07:40 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

retail traders that bought into ipo were locked up until today. i guess a few will be selling. insider lock up is for 180 days but there is one more issue. i guarantee the banks behind the float bought shares yesterday to stabilise the price and they will be natural sellers on any blips. i you want a strong uk tech share look at kainos. does give u many chances but the best dont.

Tallinn viies 07:37 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
red - no interest to keep it.
just buy n sell quickly.
if falling 30% first day then it starting pop up on my radar screen :)

london red 07:31 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

viies, i think that ship has already sailed. they were late. a stay at home stock that could make no profit in the pandemic, its best time theoretically. in the uk they dont value tech as they do in the us. so i think the shares will struggle.

Tallinn viies 07:15 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
if not today then maybe tommorow. if not tommorow then maybe latter. but it will be taken out. this how index is constructed.
plan to buy ndx near previous week low.

Belgrade Knez 07:10 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

Tallinn viies 06:57 GMT April 1, 2021
true.
maybe today?
------------------------------------------
wish I have a crystal ball

Tallinn viies 06:57 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
true.
maybe today?

Belgrade Knez 06:53 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump

Tallinn viies 06:47 GMT April 1, 2021
nasdaq100 just took out previous week high.
500-600 points empty space now to upside.
-------------------------------------------------
still March high at 13316 to be taken out first

Tallinn viies 06:47 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
nasdaq100 just took out previous week high.
500-600 points empty space now to upside.

Tallinn viies 06:37 GMT April 1, 2021
pump n pump
Reply   
red- deliveroo deliveroo. when it is going to bounce?

Tallinn viies 06:30 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd
Reply   
good morning,
euro made again lower high and low yesterday.
new month, new oppportunities. new quarter new opportunitoes.
still trying to get back long euros.
trailing stop buy order today at 1,1762.
expected trading range today 52 pips.
personally think it is timme again to start widening daily ranges.
downsside euro buy order at 1,1660.

hk ab 05:58 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
entered short 1715.

Israel MacroMicro 04:16 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

USD/CHF @ 0.9450/55 right now

Israel MacroMicro 04:15 GMT April 1, 2021
eurusd

USD/CHF 50DMA closed above 200DMA

as long 0.9270 holds with USD/CHF I can see EUR/USD doing crazy things at the same time.

hk ab 03:47 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
not to mention my huge profit from 1741 and 1744 shorts which closed 1683 with the help of K-duck

hk ab 03:46 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold

Ducks don't understand human language......

after 1693 mentioned, next post is add $5 up, then, I closed at 95, after that, I sidelined.....

Ducks need to learn better English.

Hk Ducks 03:09 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold

Ab you make fun of Kwun for shorting 1709 when you short 1693!! Lol! Good thing you take loss at “super magical Lucky 95 exit”. Too bad you didn’t have super lucky exit on USD/JPY short from way lower.....that is deepest colonoscopy on this forum....Ouch!

hk ab 02:55 GMT April 1, 2021
Gold
Reply   
Gold fails to reach 1730 yesterday but np, will reach it today, LOL.

Central Kwun 01:45 GMT April 1, 2021
USD is still too strong
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1709 Target: Stop: 1720

yesterday one was stopped, no problem, today will revenge, Keep selling

dc CB 00:02 GMT April 1, 2021
mkt

please re-read Little Red Ridinghood.
Gammy(GrandMa) Yellen.

'what big teeth you have.....'

Mtl JP 00:00 GMT April 1, 2021
mkt

The White House
BRIEFING ROOM

FACT SHEET: The American Jobs Plan

..."The President looks forward to working with Congress, and will be putting forward additional ideas in the coming weeks for reforming our tax code so that it rewards work and not wealth, and makes sure the highest income individuals pay their fair share."

MARCH 31, 2021 • STATEMENTS AND RELEASES

 




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