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Forex Forum Archive for 09/10/2022

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Mtl JP 19:49 GMT September 10, 2022

********** YELLEN'S OIL PRICE CAP **********

Preliminary Guidance on Implementation of a Maritime Services Policy
and Related Price Exception for Seaborne Russian Oil

September 9, 2022

Geneva DS 13:30 GMT September 10, 2022
Summers Says Dollar Can Go Further, With ‘Huge Advantage’ for US

Entry: 0.96 Target: 0.80 Stop: 0.99

Just a little reminder, this week we tested 110.5 on DXY, which was broken to the downside the first time in the year 1971, when President Nixon took off the Gold Standard- we then retested 110.5 again 2 years later but couldn t break it to the upside (im the year 1973 !!). The level could then only be broken in the early years in 1980 when interest rates in the US rose to nearly 20 % , but only 2 years later came the G7 Plaza accord to lower the USD level and we fell then straight to 85 level in about 18 month... now about 40 years later, the USDollar is still trading at around 110, but the US has since printed about xx trillions of USD ..., of course , elsewhere in the world (Europe and Japan) have printed as well some new money , but in my knowledge, the rise in Money supply is much bigger in US than elsewhere... so we all should be prepared for some bigger or dramatic downmove in the greenback soonest. The economic world needs a lower USDollar - everything will be going smarter forwardlooking... Even the SNB made some comments lately, that they will no longer sell the CHF (against EURO and USD) for Inflation reasons.... A keep my little intermezzo short: Sell USD against CHF around 96 of 97 for a decent move of 20-30 % over 2 years .... (EURO-CHF still bearish for an eventual move to teh high 70ies over this period !


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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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