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Forex Forum Archive for 09/12/2022

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dc CB 21:47 GMT September 12, 2022
Superior Confrontational Trading Psychology
Yesterday is too late.


Helter Skelter-----

FOMO-esque....

Remember money on the sidelines? New recent highs in "cash in mutual funds". Very defensive.

'CTAs continue trading a mean reversion market in a a "short gamma" fashion, pushing momentum shorts at lows, and chasing momentum longs at highs. Nomura's McElligott writes: "CTA Trend “buy to cover” flow of now +$31B WoW in Global Equities futures, almost entirely US and European Eq futs - and more “buy triggers” with proximity for Estoxx, ES, NQ and RTY".

Levels to buy: SPX 4107, NASDAQ 12729, Russell 1900. These strategies do not care about "feelings" and must execute.'

Imagine systematics FOMO kicks in?

They have chased some of the latest squeeze, but there is room to grow...much more.

The Market Ear --- via ZH

Baby bounce looking to become a teen squeeze....

Mtl JP 21:34 GMT September 12, 2022
Superior Confrontational Trading Psychology
Yesterday is too late.


dc CB 20:40 / no upside in joining PAR-ade: here wsj gives a heads up - just put some names to it join in on the cash train:

WASHINGTON—Ukraine has signaled that it will make major new requests for weapons from the U.S. and its allies, including a long-range missile system ... document shared ... and viewed by The Wall Street Journal lists dozens of types of armaments the Kyiv government says it will need ... into 2023. .../..

Ukraine Signals Major Weapons Request for Long-Term Offensive Against Russia

dc CB 20:40 GMT September 12, 2022
Superior Confrontational Trading Psychology
Yesterday is too late.




Fantasy eCONomy---Fantasy Markits...Fantasy CPI...
Fantasy Rate Cuts/Hikes.

'When I get to the bottom
I go back to the top of the slide
Where I stop and I turn and I go for a ride
'Til I get to the bottom and I see you again
Yeah, yeah, yeah, ha-ha-ha!'
Helter Skelter---Beatles---'The White Album' 1968
-----------------------------------------------------------
'I read the news today oh boy
Four thousand holes in Blackburn, Lancashire
And though the holes were rather small
They had to count them all
Now they know how many holes it takes to fill the Albert Hall '
"A Day in The Life", John Lennon-1967

unprinted shot from the Vogue Ukraine shoot

Mtl JP 17:01 GMT September 12, 2022
Superior Confrontational Trading Psychology
Yesterday is too late.


ouch ! wsj oped:
-
"Janet Yellen is a distinguished economist, but her tenure as Treasury Secretary hasn’t enhanced her reputation. Her lack of influence with President Biden has meant she couldn’t stop bad policy (student-loan cancellation), and now the White House is rolling her out in election season to portray the U.S. economy as a Valhalla of growth, fairness and optimism. It’s not believable even if you drive a Tesla and live in Montecito.

Ms. Yellen spoke at the Ford Rouge Electric Vehicle Center in Dearborn, Mich., and you know why. Ford is getting a gusher of new subsidies and regulatory favors under the Biden Administration’s new industrial policy. If you’re in a green business the White House likes, you’re in clover. If not, you’ll endure the costs of more regulation and taxes. In the Biden era, big government and big business are in political business together.
Janet Yellen’s Fantasy Economy
She defends Bidenomics by ignoring inflation and falling real wages.

Janet Yellen’s Fantasy Economy

Bangkok KC 15:12 GMT September 12, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

EUR found strong demand when it break above 1.0110 Pressure is lifted, 1.0360 is on the way....IMHO

Bangkok KC 15:09 GMT September 12, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips
Reply   
1st [email protected]

Mtl JP 14:24 GMT September 12, 2022
Superior Confrontational Trading Psychology
Yesterday is too late.


EURO 1.1039
-
Blast from the past
"I think we can cope with it"
Russia gas pipeline does not compromise our security: German defense min (ursula in 2018)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LoM38h0izpE

Last week:
"Deutsche Bank CEO Christian Sewing warned Wednesday that a recession in Germany is inevitable" - via cnbc SEP 7 2022

Mtl JP 13:41 GMT September 12, 2022
Superior Confrontational Trading Psychology
Yesterday is too late.


What is market's trading theme of the day/week:
-
yellen turning on the FED:
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen ‘optimistic’ about economic outlook
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Lj7l5c1yFM

OR

* Fed will raise interest rates to 4% ‘hell or high water,’ says former Fed Vice Chair Clarida
* Wall Street, Fed officials warm to idea of third-straight 0.75% interest rate hike
* More worries for U.S. stocks, bonds: Fed ramps up 'QT'

“irreconcilable disconnect”
Or as Gasparino lets Larry Fink discuss "the potential economic harm being done in DC — much of it by his own party — that will make the Fed’s job of fighting inflation while attempting to engineer a so-called “soft landing” nearly impossible. Fink calls it an “irreconcilable disconnect” between what the White House is doing and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s inflation-fighting mandate. .../.
https://nypost.com/2022/09/10/bidens-reality-bites-uglier-downturn-seen/

Mtl JP 10:07 GMT September 12, 2022
Superior Confrontational Trading Psychology
Yesterday is too late.


President Biden’s economic blueprint has five pillars:

* Empowering Workers, with more, good-paying jobs and greater worker power to unionize and have dignity at work.

* Making and Building it in America, by investing in infrastructure, making America the world’s leader in clean energy jobs and innovation, bolstering our manufacturing base, and buying American.

* Giving Families Breathing Room, by lowering costs and expanding access to prescription drugs and high-quality health care, high-speed internet, education, child care and long-term care, housing, and other essential needs.

* Making American Industry More Competitive, Less Concentrated, and More Resilient, by taking on corporate concentration, promoting small businesses and entrepreneurs including minority and women owned businesses, and supporting resilient supply chains.

* Rewarding Work, Not Wealth, with worker-centric tax reform that ensures the wealthy and large corporations pay their fair share, while never raising taxes on households with incomes below $400,000, as was done in the Inflation Reduction Act.

White House Releases The Biden-⁠Harris Economic Blueprint

Mtl JP 09:09 GMT September 12, 2022
mkt

"risk" market is currently trading N of its 50-day

Mtl JP 09:02 GMT September 12, 2022
mkt



DLRx 107.59
-
DOLLAR's mood category: "tumbles"

GVI Forex 08:45 GMT September 12, 2022
mkt

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

After months of stalemate, the frontlines are suddenly fluid in fighting over Ukraine's east. Russia has hastily abandoned Izium, its bastion beneath Kharkiv, and lost control of the rail hub supplying its forces in the northeast. read more

Morning Bid: Break on through

Bangkok KC 07:38 GMT September 12, 2022
BUY GBP/USD on dips

GBP rally nicely on the way to 1.1850

Still hold long @1.1507

---------------------------------------------------

Bangkok KC 06:08:25 GMT - 09/08/2022
Yesterday, GBP is marked by a bullish pin bar that can be the signal for a reversal... target 1.1850 in the near term.


Bangkok KC 02:45:49 GMT - 09/08/2022
1st [email protected]

I think we have a bottom atleast for now.

Bangkok KC 07:37 GMT September 12, 2022
BUY AUD/USD on dips

AUD rally nicely on the way to 0.7100

Still Hold [email protected]

------------------------------------------------------

Bangkok KC 06:04:16 GMT - 09/08/2022
AUD/USD probably have a double bottom formation around 0.6700 on daily and weekly chart. It may be able to test 0.7100 again in the near term.

Keep buying AUD on dips...IMHO


Bangkok KC 02:47:21 GMT - 09/08/2022
1st [email protected]

tokyo boj 07:28 GMT September 12, 2022
gpb ok
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.1440 Target: Stop: 1.15ow

well

tokyo boj 07:26 GMT September 12, 2022
euro long
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 0.9935 Target: open Stop: 1.00ow

well

Nyc Jk 04:02 GMT September 12, 2022
yen


Mtl JP 17:13:17 GMT - 09/09/2022

Same, and agreed JP

Thank you Jay!

tokyo boj 02:49 GMT September 12, 2022
short
Reply   
Sell CHFJPY
Entry: 148.9 Target: 35 Stop: later

short

tokyo boj 02:47 GMT September 12, 2022
Summers Says Dollar Can Go Further, With ‘Huge Advantage’ for US

Buy EURCHF
Entry: 0.9670 Target: 1.5 Stop: 0.93

long

Mtl JP 02:46 GMT September 12, 2022
Mind the Gap

EURO 1.0092
-
GAP ...
joining u Jay

tokyo boj 02:46 GMT September 12, 2022
Summers Says Dollar Can Go Further, With ‘Huge Advantage’ for US

Buy GBPCHF
Entry: 1.11350 Target: 2.00 Stop: later

Geneva DS 13:30 GMT 09/10/2022
long

tokyo boj 02:44 GMT September 12, 2022
Summers Says Dollar Can Go Further, With ‘Huge Advantage’ for US

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9590 Target: 1.50 Stop: 0.95

Geneva DS 13:30 GMT 09/10/2022
long

 




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