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Forex Forum Archive for 01/04/2022

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Mtl JP 23:58 GMT January 4, 2022

upcoming tradeable calendar risk events :
Jan 5th
FOMC Meeting Minutes
Players would likely react to any waffling about the Fed sticking to 3 int rate hikes

Jan 7th
NFP (exp'd 379K vs 210K actual vs prev forcast of 546K)
Betting (usually thru eurdlr) will be about the size of the gap between expected and release numbers.

lakewood jjlkwd 20:10 GMT January 4, 2022

stay nimble , trade both long and short, cut my losses. stop reading others trading idea posts !!!

Israel MacroMicro 19:25 GMT January 4, 2022

HI jjlkwd

for sure me doing better than Biden

he just said live that 2020 to be a great year :)

what about you? what is your main 2022 trading theme?

lakewood jjlkwd 19:04 GMT January 4, 2022

todays early moves have faded out, and market can get back to usd strength on the back of higher yields. smoke and mirrors holding euro over 112 , let alone 113. same for usdcad . attack on 1.30 lies in wait.
macro how are you doing ?

Israel MacroMicro 18:10 GMT January 4, 2022

of course you know WFAK, you are trading, right?

it is the mathematics behind what you think that you are doing, the R/R setup I mean. you never shown R/R in the class of your calls.

that means, if you had planned R/R (== strategy) what was the point no to share S/L and/or S/R in advance?

with your posts you shared about the endless hedges to scalps as you did once not so long ago, you caused SRULIK to smile and laugh, which I thank you for, that was a great parody about risk management! - in case you was joking, I really liked your sense of humor.

you just hit overwhelming of times the edges of ranges. simple ATR work as SRULIK names it :)

Amman wfakhoury 17:24 GMT January 4, 2022
Israel MacroMicro 16:10 GMT 01/04/2022
. not so sure WFAK is fully aware of what he is doing, but he is kind of okay with doing things he did not fully understand doing. that's his charm :)
What I am doing no one can do it ....I know the movement of prices during the day and during the hours.
I know very well what I am doing.

GVI Forex 16:33 GMT January 4, 2022

That was a comment directed to the general forum.

Israel MacroMicro 16:10 GMT January 4, 2022


what I really like about KNEZ and WFAK is their use of well defined and very strong ATR levels. when R/R applied right they both are trading great.

I assume, nearly certain, as the older responsible person, you are doing the same.

trading EUR/USD is truly not a rocket science, more of applying a reasonable responsible strategy. not so sure WFAK is fully aware to what he is doing, but he is kind okay with doing things he not fully understand of doing. that's his charm :)

from where you brought the contest?

GVI Forex 15:49 GMT January 4, 2022


This is not a contest. I do not like to post after the fact except when charts support a clearly defined strategy trade.

Israel MacroMicro 15:37 GMT January 4, 2022

in my manner, at 1.1280 I shared an extreme favorable probability for a long with a target included... you need a proof?

Israel MacroMicro 15:36 GMT January 4, 2022

no need for a proof Jay

you make money, the only that matters

GVI Forex 15:30 GMT January 4, 2022

AT high-low reversal strategy triggered a long at 1.12753 (will be glad to provide proof). As noted, there is often an acceleration after a 3rd AT line (in the case off the LOD) as seen by this chart. Note typical start of the year chop but in this case helped by general usd selling.

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 15:27 GMT January 4, 2022

on deck in one hour
-- on economy

Israel MacroMicro 15:10 GMT January 4, 2022

now it is the moment for WFAK popping and doing the victory lap...

go go go the only one, the chosen one, our WFAK rules

rule WFAK rule

Israel MacroMicro 15:05 GMT January 4, 2022

Kalkilia definition of JP: HARTA

live with it / lol

Mtl JP 15:01 GMT January 4, 2022

cambridge definition "languish" :
to exist in an unpleasant or unwanted situation, often for a long time

deal with it

Israel MacroMicro 14:33 GMT January 4, 2022

point is WHEN my dear JP and of course at which order between them

levels all people can scream... :)

Mtl JP 14:23 GMT January 4, 2022

EURUSD 1.1285
puppy looks to languish some now
likely needs to break thru 70 to hunt low 1.12 and 1.1200
50dma = Res

Mtl JP 14:16 GMT January 4, 2022

jeff cox's whispers
-- The Federal Reserve in a little over two months is expected to enact its first rate increase in three years.

-- As officials prep for a return to more conventional monetary policy, Wall Street is watching closely.

-- The Fed is responding to inflation pressures that are running — by some measures — at the fastest rate in nearly 40 years.

"Current pricing in the fed funds futures market points to about a 60% likelihood of a hike in March, and a 61% probability that the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee will add two more by the end of 2022, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool."

Markets and the economy brace as the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike could come in two months

Israel MacroMicro 14:16 GMT January 4, 2022

it is an easy bet to assume that PAR will be shown wrong soon regarding VIX longs never making money.

bit more patience and get into VIX longs as shared some time ago. I can see that true money maker in the making.

Israel MacroMicro 14:14 GMT January 4, 2022

I cannot see sub 1.1250 close today
1.1305/10 "must" happen before sub 1.1250 daily close and no matter IF and WHEN such day will be relevant.

now @ 1.1280/85

just my opinion based on what I understand off the chart :)

good trades and great 2022 to all (Little Bones included!)

Mtl JP 14:09 GMT January 4, 2022

USDCAD 1.2727
odds r 4 chop-chop price dynamic


OPEC+ expected to stick to planned oil output hike as omicron Covid cases soar - CNBC

- OPEC and its non-OPEC allies, known collectively as OPEC+, were scheduled to hold a videoconference from 1 p.m. London time.

- OPEC+ has raised its output target each month since August by 400,00 barrels per day and the group is widely expected to stick to this policy for February.

- Energy analysts expect world oil markets to remain prone to geopolitics in 2022, with “saber-rattling” over the persistent Russia-Ukraine standoff and ongoing Iranian nuclear negotiations likely to be closely monitored by OPEC+

Mtl JP 13:35 GMT January 4, 2022

"Surprise is defined here as an event with a better than 50% likelihood of happening but that an average investor would assign a one in three possibility."

swiss frank 13:22 GMT January 4, 2022
Byron Wien (Blackstone) 10 surprise predictions for 2022.

BW Surprises 2022

GVI Forex Blog 13:20 GMT January 4, 2022
Predictions by a Highly Regarded Global-View Member

The following are forecasts by one of our longest in tenure and a highly respected member. Note, his predictions reflect his personal view and do not represent the opinions of our site

Predictions by a Highly Regarded Global-View Member

Hk Ab 13:19 GMT January 4, 2022
Marching to 160 soon

Amman wfakhoury 12:43 GMT January 4, 2022

My ProfitMap forex trading system shows it will return to 11290

Belgrade Knez 12:25 GMT January 4, 2022

Amman wfakhoury 12:15 GMT January 4, 2022
eurusd: Reply
Belgrade Knez 11:25 GMT 01/04/2022
looking for 1.1254 as today tgt
Or 11290
Amman, 1.1290 already broken as well as ystd low

Amman wfakhoury 12:15 GMT January 4, 2022

Belgrade Knez 11:25 GMT 01/04/2022
looking for 1.1254 as today tgt
Or 11290

Belgrade Knez 11:31 GMT January 4, 2022

reason for 1.1254 tgt

Belgrade Knez 11:25 GMT January 4, 2022

looking for 1.1254 as today tgt

GVI Forex 11:21 GMT January 4, 2022

.. and GBPUSD, which has been supported by its crosses, so far has been unable to sustain 1.35+or test key levels - see AT chart

GVI Forex 11:08 GMT January 4, 2022

... and GBPJPY AT chart - up

GVI Forex 11:07 GMT January 4, 2022

GBP crosses have been the flavor of the day to start the new year

EUIRGBP (down) - see AT chart

GVI Forex 10:38 GMT January 4, 2022
Roll call
Post a hello when you start trading for the new year.

Mtl JP 04:25 GMT January 4, 2022

kids ... asia is flying
c if NY apes


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