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Forex Forum Archive for 01/05/2022

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Mtl JP 23:31 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

out of the gate nikkei gapping down

Mtl JP 22:08 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

"babson break" -3% or +
-
DJIA -1.07%
NASDAQ 100 -3.12%
S&P 500 -1.94%

lets see how asia digests

dc CB 20:33 GMT January 5, 2022
energy cycle super bullish



The MarkiT has topped.
Jan 2022---

'Hindenburg Omen'----the Ultimate Warning

NY Post

Mtl JP 20:23 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt



DLRx 96.22
-
DX puppy still prancing around its month and half long 96 pricepoint
and although I am still biased uP, I am curbing my enthusiasm post-fomc mins now that the cat is out of the bag

Mtl JP 19:13 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

EURO 1.1313
-
Sup 1.1270/80, 1.1250-ish below that 1.1220

Mtl JP 19:07 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

fomc minutes
-
according to jeff cox

Federal Reserve releases minutes from its December meeting

Mtl JP 19:03 GMT January 5, 2022
Why GBP is trading firmer?

GBP 1.3584
-
broke 100-day 1.3558 Res

GVI Forex 17:40 GMT January 5, 2022
Why GBP is trading firmer?
Reply   
Do you know why?

Mtl JP 17:29 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

gundlach opines
-
‘The Fed is going to reverse again,’ DoubleLine’s Gundlach says, ‘and this might be the last time’

"DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach: 'The yield curve is sending a bona fide recessionary signal’

transcript

macao win10 16:47 GMT January 5, 2022
energy cycle super bullish
Reply   
2022 year of global celebration for covid19 become endemic. 3-5% Inflation may persist. US rate rises to 4-.5% at most

Mtl JP 15:03 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

interesting (?)
Draganfly Inc. (DPRO)
NasdaqCM - NasdaqCM Real Time Price. Currency in USD
1.6800-0.0600 (-3.45%)
As of 09:59AM EST. Market open
-
Draganfly Unveils Latest Vital Intelligence Smart Vital Kiosk During CES

the Kiosk can screen, with voluntary consent, temperature, blood pressure, heart rate, respiratory rate, and oxygen saturation (SpO2) in seconds. The system does not register any personal data of the individual being screened. ... and ... is able to screen, detect, assess, protect and provide continuous action against the potential threat of infectious diseases, including COVID-19.

Featuring a highly customizable camera configuration, the Kiosk can effectively meet the needs of specific events. Accessories such as QR and IR code readers can be incorporated to provide seamless integration with vaccine passports, security badges and other ticketing systems. ...

Bangkok KC 14:32 GMT January 5, 2022
BUY GBP/USD and AUD/USD on dips

Take profit AUD/USD @0.7260

Mtl JP 14:29 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

EURO 1.1335
-
Res: 1.1340, 50day 1.1364, 80

Belgrade Knez 14:22 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt



could this be scenario?

Mtl JP 14:08 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

DLRx 95.97
USD/JPY 115.75
-
me looking for opportune time to long usd
and not just against yen

Mtl JP 13:39 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

consensus of experts (typically PhD'd economists) had expected 410,000

Mtl JP 13:35 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

Total U.S. Nonfarm Private Employment: 807,000

adpemploymentreport .pdf

GVI Forex 13:29 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

Big miss to the upside for ADP jobs (stronger payrolls) but does not often correlate with Friday’s NFP release.

Mtl JP 13:27 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

union break till
-
1900 GMT
Fed's Dec meeting minutes

Belgrade Knez 13:01 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

eurusd spike was small as comments was for the next year and only possibility ...... so nothing important at the moment
---------
* ECB'S KAZAKS SAYS EARLY 2023 RATE HIKE IS `POSSIBLE SCENARIO'
---------

Mtl JP 13:01 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt



eyes forward
-
Treasury Yield Curve Steepens on Bet Fed Sticks to Hawkish Path
Michael MacKenzie, January 5, 2022, 7:29 a.m

(Bloomberg) -- The bond market has wasted little time pushing Treasury yields sharply higher in the early days of 2022, underscoring concern that elevated inflation will spur more aggressive monetary-policy tightening from the Federal Reserve. ...

***
"experts" :
"the present low level of Treasury yields means “it doesn’t take much to push them higher.” - David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management Inc.

“Even if economic growth is slowed by the Omicron variant, the Fed’s concerns about inflation should be enough to keep tightening on track,” “Yield curves have already responded by steepening, and we expect that to continue.” - Deborah Cunningham, chief investment officer of global liquidity markets at Federated Hermes

“While the Fed’s hawkish pivot at its December meeting provides a fundamental reason for higher Treasury yields, we believe increased corporate supply and rate lock hedging amid limited liquidity is driving this early-year surge,” - Prashant Newnaha, an Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities

“You only reduce inflationary pressure by slowing aggregate demand and that requires higher long-term rates,” JPMorgan’s Kelly

"But we don't think inflation dynamics will support continued hiking. We suspect the biggest driver of asset markets will be when inflation and Covid fears begin to ebb." - Steve Englander, head of global G-10 FX research at Standard Chartered

Mtl JP 12:44 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

puppy sat around 1.1315-20 for longest time
it popped to 1.1326
imo it shows how lightweight Kazāks (Governor, Latvijas Banka) is to players

GVI Forex 12:31 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

Still a spike that ran stops above the HOD and shows you how thin liquidity is as a hawkish ECB is an outlier.

Mtl JP 12:27 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

some spike ...
all of barely 10-12 pips

GVI Forex 12:22 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

EURUSD spikes up on hawkish comments from ECB’s Kasaks

Mtl JP 08:19 GMT January 5, 2022
mkt

Bloomberg
German Energy Giant Uniper Gets $11 Billion for Margin Calls

(Bloomberg) -- German energy giant Uniper SE was forced to borrow billions to pay down margin calls -- the collateral exchanges require to back up trades -- as European gas and electricity prices rallied.

...“Higher commodity prices lead to temporarily higher margining requirements,” Uniper said. “At the same time, higher commodity prices increase the value of Uniper’s underlying gas and power assets. Therefore, Uniper’s structural earnings prospects are not adversely impacted by higher prices.” .../.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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