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Forex Forum Archive for 01/10/2022

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Mtl JP 22:56 GMT January 10, 2022

have no fear, powell and brainard are and will be here
January 11, 2022

Nomination hearing
Chair Jerome H. Powell

Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, Washington, D.C.

"Four years ago, when I sat before this Committee, few could have predicted the great challenges that would soon become ours to meet."

Mtl JP 22:45 GMT January 10, 2022

pledge ... not a promise nor oath
note: central bankers are typically and almost always reacting. Typically to un-intended (nobody saw it coming) consequences of their past doings (not to say meddlings)
Fed chairman testifies on Tuesday to Senate panel

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is set to tell Congress Tuesday that the U.S. central bank will take steps to make sure higher inflation seen over the past year will not be allowed to develop deep roots in the economy.

�We will use our tools to support the economy and a strong labor market and to prevent higher inflation from becoming entrenched,� Powell will say, according to a copy of his prepared remarks to the Senate Banking Committee released Monday. .../..

Powell pledges to prevent inflation from developing deep roots Jan. 10, 2022 at 5:14 p.m. By Greg Robb

dc CB 21:32 GMT January 10, 2022

Less than a week after the outgoing Fed vice-chair was publicly exposed for some suspicious trades surrounding the March 2020 market rout (and recovery), Richard Clarida has pulled the rip-cord on his golden parachute and left The Eccles Building.

The central bank announced on Monday that Clarida, whose four-year term was set to expire at the end of the month, would be departing his position on Friday.

Fed Vice Chair Clarida Abandons Ship Two Weeks Early

Mtl JP 19:52 GMT January 10, 2022

another headline pumping 4 or + raises
"Expect more than 4 rate increases in 2022, and a lot of market volatility, says JPMorgan�s Dimon: �If we�re lucky� the Fed can engineer a �soft landing.�

so now , with the PhD'ed "experts" in charge, things hang on being lucky ?!

Why am I getting the feeling that the FED gang won't raise more than - maybe - 3x ?

PAR 18:22 GMT January 10, 2022

Nice day to do some share buybacks into the NY close. A happy end to a cold Monday.

dc CB 18:18 GMT January 10, 2022
Trader Alert: Beware of New Year Whipsaws and False Starts


Mtl JP 16:17 GMT January 10, 2022

"Almost every Federal Reserve meeting in 2022 could be potentially `at play� for a potential rate hike, Deutsche Bank says"

"could be potentially"
what a f*kp of a non-burger

GVI Forex 16:17 GMT January 10, 2022
Question for the forum

Trading perspective

Mtl JP 15:59 GMT January 10, 2022
Question for the forum

more important ...
do you mean (macro) fundamentally OR
from a for-profit oriented trading ?

GVI Forex 15:51 GMT January 10, 2022
Question for the forum
Which is more important?

Higher yields => firmer usd

Weaker stocks and bonds => weaker usd on capital flight

Mtl JP 15:10 GMT January 10, 2022

potential catalysts
10-yr N of 1.80: not yet
Fed tightening risk: not yet in an energetic pricing
Wed CPI data print (tks red): 7% + expectation has some potential to awaken players
Wed Beige Book: mild potential
powell and v/chair brainard later this week - probably mild

under current dynamics I am keep robot to BoD usd
side note // interesting pig: usdyen around 115

Mtl JP 14:45 GMT January 10, 2022

EURO 1.13/1.1290
Bias: not uP, not down (s/t)
Friday's climb above 50-day now nega-poofed
BUT neither is the puppy showing eagerness to run towards 1.11/1.10 yet
i.e still looking for a catalyst

Mtl JP 14:31 GMT January 10, 2022
Trader Alert: Beware of New Year Whipsaws and False Starts

Barkin, in WSJ, posits that march hike is �conceivable�

players, sofar, only like poodles at a soya-based feeding instead of pitbulls ripping into poodles' bellies in reaction to FED's more aggressive rate hikes and earlier FED move prospects to "normalize" its balance sheet

barkin in wsj

GVI Forex 14:16 GMT January 10, 2022
Trader Alert: Beware of New Year Whipsaws and False Starts

10- year 1.803%

Mtl JP 14:12 GMT January 10, 2022
Trader Alert: Beware of New Year Whipsaws and False Starts

Jay Forex 14:03 confirms your "old wolf" FX savvy

GVI Forex 14:03 GMT January 10, 2022
Trader Alert: Beware of New Year Whipsaws and False Starts

You can see why I gave this warning.

Mtl JP 13:16 GMT January 10, 2022

permission granted
"Goldman predicts the Fed will hike rates four times this year, more than previously expected" - cnbc

Mtl JP 12:47 GMT January 10, 2022

heading into NY
DLRx 95.98
still wallowing inside range

Mtl JP 11:47 GMT January 10, 2022

PAR 08:36 sounds like little pre-emptive squawking happening in the henhouse.

It would be bit more interesting IF Schnabel dropped a few names that are behind the pushing of "greening of the economy"

In the meantime sounds like new profit opps are in the making.

Belgrade Knez 11:23 GMT January 10, 2022

looks like these trend lines will decide euro direction

PAR 08:36 GMT January 10, 2022
ECB governing council member Schnabel warned that the greening of the economy poses measurable upside risks to the central bank�s baseline inflation projection over the medium term. She turns the argument around saying that there are instances in which central banks will need to break with the prevailing consensus that monetary policy should look through rising energy prices so as to secure price stability. Fossil fuel prices will not only stay elevated but might even keep on rising if the world steps up its fight against climate change in order to meet the goals of the Paris climate change. Scenarios that would trigger a faster ECB response are one where higher energy prices filter through in elevated inflation expectations and a create wage-price spiral and one where policies to tackle climate change (eg carbon tax and compensation measures) increase inflationary pressures.

hk ab 08:01 GMT January 10, 2022
NFT, Betcoin
moment of truth, if they can survive when 10 years reach 5%.

hk ab 08:01 GMT January 10, 2022
NFT, Betcoin
moment of truth, if they can survive when 10 years reach 5%.

PAR 07:52 GMT January 10, 2022
A little PPT US index futures buying over the weekend in thin markets send stock markets higher. Risk on ahead of better than expected corporate earnings.

dc CB 01:14 GMT January 10, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

macao win10 13:30 GMT

�I am from an authoritarian state. If the Chinese do not want you talking you will not be talking� at least not for very long.
---a doctor hailing from the Eastern Bloc noted

dc CB 01:12 GMT January 10, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

"money dosen't find a home, it finds a place to rest"

1960's radio program. 'You are the Detective'


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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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