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Forex Forum Archive for 01/11/2022

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Mtl JP 23:54 GMT January 11, 2022

some opinions
Powell says economy can withstand Fed tightening, Omicron - Reuters

Jeffrey Gundlach Sees �Recessionary Pressure� Building With Inflation - Bloomberg

RBC�s McKay Calls for �Rapid Action� on Rates to Tame Inflation - Bloomberg

..."Markets are pricing in at least five Bank of Canada rate hikes this year, beginning as early as Jan. 26, when policy makers will unveil their first rate decision of 2022." ...

dc CB 22:45 GMT January 11, 2022
The Fed chair could face a grilling at his confirmation hearing. Here�s what to watch.

earlier today Before PowPow's Testy from ZeroHedge----but then I don't read ZeroHedge. lol
Who could have seen that coming?

Powell aggressively talked back the Dec Fed meeting's initial hawkish market take. He will do the same today in the Senate after last week's minutes
� zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 11, 2022

Israel MacroMicro 21:56 GMT January 11, 2022

Mtl JP 19:58 GMT January 11, 2022

last minute always losing EURO buyers are expected as loud buyers in high gear within 1.1430/80 cluster probably already this week.

Israel MacroMicro 21:54 GMT January 11, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

Bangkok KC 19:15 GMT January 11, 2022

if you get 1.1520 before lower low than 2021 low, I will try to arrange you a video showing PAR dancing salsa with madame Warren and Yellen too.

Mtl JP 21:41 GMT January 11, 2022

about tom's CPI
... "Currently, the U.S. annual inflation rate hovers at 6.8%, measured by the Consumer Price Index. In a year from now, consumers predict it will be closer to 6%, according to the December New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations published Monday. .. . ..

What�s more, a fresh reading on CPI inflation is due on Wednesday. Few economists are on board with the Fed�s forecast that the rate of inflation will ease to 2.6% in 2022. Economists expect annual inflation to rise above 7%." ...

Will inflation continue at the same pace? Like economists, consumers are far more pessimistic than the Fed - By Elisabeth Buchwald

Mtl JP 20:08 GMT January 11, 2022

today again I have acknowledge FED gang's improved savvy in its communication tactics : keeping markets basically calm , no upsets

Mtl JP 19:58 GMT January 11, 2022

DLRx 95.60
maybe wed's CPI and th's PPI will elicit a move from market
out of its ranges

PAR 19:18 GMT January 11, 2022

Maybe, maybe one US rate hike this summer?

Bangkok KC 19:15 GMT January 11, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

Euro is growing slowly but surely. On the way to 1.1520 and 1.1670

It's not too late to buy Euro on dips.

PAR 18:49 GMT January 11, 2022
US Dollar
As US inflation is about 2% higher than European inflation US real rates are even more negative than European real rates are negative.

PAR 18:39 GMT January 11, 2022

US stock could hit record highs this week.

Amman wfakhoury 18:28 GMT January 11, 2022
EURUSD 11348-11332
EURUSD in consolidation area 11348-11332
the rise above 11363 will return to it.
11348 and 11332 will be reached.
the decline below 11332 and 11325 will return to them.
Happy trade..make good money
100% all the above confirmed.

PAR 17:04 GMT January 11, 2022

Lack of competition seems to be killing the capitalistic economic system.

Too much consolidation leads to too much lobbying leads to higher prices.

PAR 16:47 GMT January 11, 2022

Another happy ending to a cold day in NY.

Israel MacroMicro 16:37 GMT January 11, 2022

everything is triple A great in lala land aka USA

PAR 16:37 GMT January 11, 2022
Powell and the rate hikes

Did Powell just say that the USA is on an unsustainable path?

PAR 16:33 GMT January 11, 2022
Lagarde - Powell
Both are under political pressure not to raise interest rates because government debt is too high, so they don't raise rates.

And government debt keeps rising and rising.

GVI Forex 16:32 GMT January 11, 2022

Spin on Powell hearing is that he was not as hawkish as expected.

Just an excuse to explain market movements as there were no surprises as Fed path seems to be priced in

PAR 16:07 GMT January 11, 2022

Problem is that interest hikes make government borrowing more expensive and the USA needs to borrow gigantic amounts of money despite a booming economy.

Interest rates are too low and US taxes are too low compared to all the government spending preparing to go to war with China and Russia.

Israel MacroMicro 16:01 GMT January 11, 2022

"no hike in March rally" in the making

Israel MacroMicro 16:00 GMT January 11, 2022

JP (Jerome Powell) says clearly: I am clueless, we are clueless, but be assured that all will be fine.

Mtl JP 15:45 GMT January 11, 2022

euro 50day
veni, vidi ... holding sofar

Mtl JP 15:33 GMT January 11, 2022

EURO 1.1335-ish
50day still Res ahead of 50 and 86

PAR 15:06 GMT January 11, 2022

Holger Zschaepitz


#ECB Balance sheet starts the year w/fresh ATH at �8,573.3bn as Lagarde keeps printing press rumbling notwithstanding inflation, which has risen to 5%. Total assets rose by another �6.9bn on QE. The ECB balance sheet is now equal to 82% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed�s 38%, and BoJ�s 134%.

Mtl JP 14:40 GMT January 11, 2022

"Goldman predicts the euro area will outgrow the U.S. economy over the next two years" - on cnbc

Mtl JP 14:35 GMT January 11, 2022
The Fed chair could face a grilling at his confirmation hearing. Here�s what to watch.

Jay 13:40 - the FED has released yesty what jerome will say, namely that he "will use its tools to �support the economy and strong labour markets and to prevent higher inflation from becoming entrenched�.

Odds are jerome will not let himself be pushed around by the politicos
his only risk (of moving the market) is during the Q&A but I have low expectations

Belgrade Knez 14:22 GMT January 11, 2022

usdx on the way to 96.20 and if it does, that should send eurusd down to 1.1280 and lower

Israel MacroMicro 13:57 GMT January 11, 2022
The Fed chair could face a grilling at his confirmation hearing. Here�s what to watch.

madame Warren, I wonder if she is to show in her full black elastic rubber suit and equipped with accessories to handle Powell?

Mtl JP 13:46 GMT January 11, 2022
The Fed chair could face a grilling at his confirmation hearing. Here�s what to watch.

world's most powerful central bank - according to NYT's Jeanna Smialek
most powerful => to f*ck things up even more yet
see JP 22:56 below

GVI Forex 13:42 GMT January 11, 2022
The Fed chair could face a grilling at his confirmation hearing. Here�s what to watch.

Powell Nomination Hearing

DATE: Tuesday, January 11, 2022
TIME: 10:00 AM

GVI 13:40 GMT January 11, 2022
The Fed chair could face a grilling at his confirmation hearing. Here�s what to watch.
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, will testify before members of the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday as he seeks confirmation for a second term as head of the world�s most powerful central bank.

The Fed chair could face a grilling at his confirmation hearing. Here�s what to watch.

Mtl JP 13:33 GMT January 11, 2022

Valentine's is Feb 14th
smarter valentine will wait to Feb 15th

Mtl JP 13:30 GMT January 11, 2022

according to Jesse Pound & Vicky McKeever - CNBC
U.S. Treasury yields fell early on Tuesday, as investors waited to see if Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell would offer further details on policy in his Senate nomination hearing later in the morning.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note moved 2 basis points lower to 1.76% at 7:15 a.m. ET. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond fell by 3 basis points to 2.076%.

Treasury yields fall as investors await clues on Fed policy

PAR 13:24 GMT January 11, 2022
January 2021 1 Rose costs �1

January 2022 1 Rose costs �2

Happy valentine's day 2022. 50 roses please.

Mtl JP 13:21 GMT January 11, 2022

heading into NY
US 2 Yr 0.923%
DLRx 95.89
risk: neutral

macao win10 13:07 GMT January 11, 2022
real interest rate of usd keeps falling

Israel MacroMicro 12:44 GMT January 11, 2022

Entry: Target: Stop:

2022 opened @ 1.1370

with all the rate hike mania as steroids for USD talk, now trading @ 1.1340


macao win10 12:31 GMT January 11, 2022
BUY AUD/USD on dips

Going to 1.15 if you have good patience

macao win10 12:30 GMT January 11, 2022
Powell and the rate hikes

Greedy GS

PAR 10:56 GMT January 11, 2022
After spending a few �100 billions of European recovery fund money on Italian tax cuts and subsidies, Draghi wants to become Italy's next president to block Berlusconi from becoming president.

PAR 09:54 GMT January 11, 2022
Powell and the rate hikes

Us yields come down and US stocks rise sharply after JPM and GS warn of 4 rates hikes in the USA.

Guess who was buying the dip?

Central Kwun 08:28 GMT January 11, 2022
Happy New Year
Sell Gold
Entry: 1810 Target: Stop: 1820

long time no here

Bangkok KC 08:18 GMT January 11, 2022
BUY AUD/USD on dips
It's going to test 0.75 again in the near term.

PAR 07:38 GMT January 11, 2022
Powell and the rate hikes
Mama Mia. 4 rate US hikes this year?

Why I don't believe it.

Just spread the rumor and buy the dip.

Powell will turn dovish before the sun goes under.

Mtl JP 06:19 GMT January 11, 2022

feel the earth ... move ... under my feet
A poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that management of the coronavirus pandemic, once an issue that strongly favored President Joe Biden and his fellow Democrats, is beginning to recede in the minds of Americans.

Just 37% of Americans name the virus as one of their top five priorities for the government to work on in 2022, compared with 53% who said it was a leading priority at the same time a year ago. The economy outpaced the pandemic in the open-ended question, with 68% of respondents mentioning it in some way as a top 2022 concern. A similar percentage said the same last year, but mentions of inflation are much higher now: 14% this year, compared with less than 1% last year.

Inflation up, virus down as priorities in US: AP-NORC poll

Mtl JP 05:49 GMT January 11, 2022

according to the peddler of purity
"Frequently people let themselves be influenced by the ideology of the moment, often bolstered by baseless information or poorly documented facts,"

"It is appropriate that institutions such as the World Trade Organisation and the World Intellectual Property Organisation adapt their legal instruments lest monopolistic rules constitute further obstacles to production and to an organised and consistent access to healthcare on a global level,"

COVID-19 vaccination is a 'moral obligation', Pope Francis insists


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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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Fri 31 Mar 2019
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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