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Forex Forum Archive for 01/20/2022

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Israel MacroMicro 23:27 GMT January 20, 2022

the timing of the pullback suggests some strong move up to save some dealers. another leg down directly is great with me but it may cause serious chaos among some dealers, very volatile overnight Friday ahead for US equities.


dc CB 22:39 GMT January 20, 2022

as a reminder ----those holding SPX Options are no longer able to exit.
Where these Options end up----in the money, out of the money-aka worthless, is now in the hands of Futures overnight and where the Futures can force the Cash Open to be.
The Settlement is Based on the Opening Range-----Gaps will be good for some, bad for others.

Who holds the Option and Who SOLD the Option to the Holder.

PAR 21:06 GMT January 20, 2022
Ukrainian president Zelensky wants Americans and American media to stop making the Ukranians nervous about an imminent Russian invasion.

Ukrainians are hoarding and there is run on the banks.

GVI Forex 20:46 GMT January 20, 2022

Let�s keep it simple.

Stocks took a u turn (down) => dollar followed (up)

PAR 19:12 GMT January 20, 2022

By always talking down the Euro Lagarde only increases
Europe's inflationary problems.

In reality the inflation in Europe is worse than in the USA.

Lagarde just can't admit that she has been completely out of touch with the economic reality and she just refuses to change her mind and do her job.

Israel MacroMicro 17:43 GMT January 20, 2022


you will get 19.50 VIX during next week
have a great weekend

Belgrade Knez 17:32 GMT January 20, 2022
USD reversal is imminent!

yes .... EURUSD = parity!

uk 17:31 GMT January 20, 2022
USD reversal is imminent!

Hope so

PAR 15:19 GMT January 20, 2022

ECB members cautioned that inflation staying higher for longer can�t be ruled out and that it can easily stay above 2% in 2023/24.

Some members didn�t agree with the policy proposal as they made reservations on the recalibration of APP bond buying, the extension of reinvestments under a pandemic emergency scheme and the increased flexibility of bond buys beyond the pandemic. Even so, this wasn�t the trigger for a further rise in European yields.

Earlier today ECB�s Lagarde in an interview already indicated that the ECB is in a different position compared to the Fed. The German yield curve bull flattens with yields declining between 1.2 bps (2-y) and 2.8 bps (30-y) (rise in 5-yield was benchmark change). The 10-y yield (-0.035%) again trades well in negative territory).

Bangkok KC 14:58 GMT January 20, 2022
USD reversal is imminent!

USD short-term trend reversal is inevitable.

PAR 12:52 GMT January 20, 2022

Could Lagarde's opinion become a minority opinion in the ECB if one takes into account the population and the GDP represented by the opposing members.

If the president of the ECB loses the support of its biggest shareholder there is a huge problem.

Belgrade Knez 12:35 GMT January 20, 2022

once 1.1330 (MP) gives way - next target 1.1290 (fib) then lower trend line

PAR 11:59 GMT January 20, 2022
Lagarde brainwashed by BlackRock while year after year after year European workers and savers lose purchasing power?

The European Central Bank has �every reason� not to respond as forcefully as the Federal Reserve to soaring consumer prices, according to President Christine Lagarde.

�We�re all in very different situations,� Lagarde told the France Inter radio station Thursday in an interview. Inflation is �clearly weaker� in the euro area, while the region�s economic recovery is also not as advanced as in the U.S., she said.

�We have every reason to not react as quickly and as abruptly as we could imagine the Fed might,� Lagarde said. �But we have started to respond and we, of course, stand ready to respond with monetary policy if figures, data, facts, require it.�

The ECB has come under pressure to act after inflation in the currency bloc hit a record 5% last month. But while officials have agreed to wind down pandemic stimulus, they say an interest-rate increase is highly unlikely this year since the current bout of inflation is driven by supply shocks and a spike in energy costs, and should gradually ease.

Under current conditions and inflation forecasts, �an increase in interest rates is not expected in 2022,� ECB Governing Council member Pablo Hernandez de Cos told Spanish television broadcaster TVE in a separate interview on Thursday.

Amman wfakhoury 08:06 GMT January 20, 2022
GVI Forex 15:17 GMT 01/19/2022 - My Profile

Quiet FF reflects the broader market.

Feel free to add your comments.

Amman wfakhoury 07:42 GMT January 20, 2022
GOLD ready to move big.
GOLD ready to move big.


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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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Fri 31 Mar 2019
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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