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Forex Forum Archive for 01/26/2022

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Israel MacroMicro 22:09 GMT January 26, 2022
starting to wonder if the person talking about inflation and claiming to be Jerome Powell is the same Jerome 'Transitory Inflation' Powell of few weeks ago?

dc CB 21:21 GMT January 26, 2022

Stocks will keep crashing until Biden's approval rating rises
� zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 26, 2022

PAR 20:53 GMT January 26, 2022
Lagarde - Powell
Lawyers make bad central bankers!

Central banks need economists.

Israel MacroMicro 20:52 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n pump

AUD/JPY whispers that you may be right / good luck

Tallinn viies 20:51 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n pump
so they keep pumping:

Beginning in February, the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $20 billion per month and of agency mortgage‑backed securities by at least $10 billion per month."

PAR 20:47 GMT January 26, 2022

A winning team?

dc CB 20:35 GMT January 26, 2022

TSLA reports after the Close today.
just about the only stock holding up Cathie Woods ARKK ponzi ETF

dc CB 20:27 GMT January 26, 2022

Thursdays 7Yr Treas Auction will be interesting. LOL

dc CB 20:23 GMT January 26, 2022


the Powell Effect

PAR 20:12 GMT January 26, 2022
Maybe Biden's idea to reappoint Powell was just another mistake,?

GVI Forex 19:46 GMT January 26, 2022

FX following bond yields (firmer) as Powell speaks.

Mtl JP 19:34 GMT January 26, 2022

"will soon be appropriate� to lift interest rates" ...

thanks jerome u funny one

Mtl JP 19:03 GMT January 26, 2022

the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent

GVI Forex 19:03 GMT January 26, 2022
No surprises in statement. Press conference to follow.

Mtl JP 18:42 GMT January 26, 2022

according to Ruskin
list of 11 arguments �that bulls and bear can use to counterpunch each other.�

Equity market won�t be a �one-way street� as hiking cycle gets under way: Deutsche Bank�s Ruskin

Israel MacroMicro 18:38 GMT January 26, 2022

in short, the clueless FED to show "the hawkish dove, in dovish hawkish reality"

Mtl JP 18:35 GMT January 26, 2022

Bloomberg - "Stocks Trading on Fumes Probably Aren�t Keeping the Fed Awake
Don�t count on the Federal Reserve to ride to the stock market�s rescue so quickly this time."

Israel MacroMicro 18:17 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n pump

now I get it :)

your other business is designing, building and selling roller coasters :)

Tallinn viies 17:47 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n pump
and just to be clear. before massive jump higher we may test previous day low today after FOMC decision and after press conference cheap stock grabbing starts.
this is the plan I have put down for myself.

Tallinn viies 17:42 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n pump
closed cryptos today.
+20%. all in all.
now staying in only nasdaq100.

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT January 26, 2022

actually biden said "That's a great asset, more inflation,"

Mtl JP 17:39 GMT January 26, 2022

"inflation is an asset" - biden
WTI 87.75

Israel MacroMicro 17:26 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n ump

to avoid misunderstanding, I clearly mentioned weeks about the "balance sheet shock" before turning into the major theme.

Mtl JP 17:25 GMT January 26, 2022

gather around kids
story time and
likely FOMC and jerome yak preview
"As the pandemic fades, conditions will normalize, and inflation will come down."

Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement - Tiff Macklem

Israel MacroMicro 17:16 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n ump

Tallinn viies 16:59 GMT

yes, you certainly have support from the price action after MSFT reported, the whoosh to clean stops after great numbers from MSFT supports your script (I do not want to jinx myself so I say your script)

good luck viees, markets right now like taking 5 roller-coaster rides in a row one the other without waiting, I like it :)

Tallinn viies 16:59 GMT January 26, 2022
pump n ump
Israel MacroMicro 16:51 - FED will be very very soft today.
15 000 nasdzq100 today. maybe tomorrow. this is my guess.

all the selling is done. some people stopped out. they terribly want to get in again. I bet they do not get a chance to get in at lower levels. buying on the way up :)

Israel MacroMicro 16:51 GMT January 26, 2022

judging from the price action, I think the nuke from the FED will come in regards of the balance sheet shrinking. size and speed to cause the shock waves. the coming weeks. imo

GVI Forex 16:07 GMT January 26, 2022

BoC press conference starting.. hawkish opening comments

Fed- no hike but should signal one in March

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT January 26, 2022

The Fed �is likely to strike a more dovish tone relative to extreme investor expectations, which could trigger an equity rebound,� wrote strategists led by Dubravko Lakos-Bujas

Stock-market selloff is so overdone, the bar is low for a positive Fed surprise, say JPMorgan analysts

Mtl JP 15:34 GMT January 26, 2022

Jay do you expect FED will hike today ?

My spy says NO.

GVI Forex 15:20 GMT January 26, 2022

No change from the BOC

Suggests some CBS may be waiting for the Fed to hike first.

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT January 26, 2022

EURO 1.1286
Bear bias
So far approaches to 1.13 and + have met sellers
1.1270 s/t Support
Puppy will need to break S of 1.1250 for trip to 1.12
Res 1.13, 1.1350-ish

Mtl JP 15:07 GMT January 26, 2022

BoC leader yaks at top of the hour
FOMC at 2pm
powell yaks at 2:30pm

Mtl JP 15:02 GMT January 26, 2022

surprise !
Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, removes exceptional forward guidance

The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of � %, with the Bank Rate at � % and the deposit rate at � %.

Mtl JP 14:52 GMT January 26, 2022

USDCAD 1.2570
top of the hour
BoC rate decision

Me thinkings:
1.2500 on radar, maybe lower

PAR 13:34 GMT January 26, 2022




Mtl JP 11:11 GMT January 26, 2022

VIX on the move
28.59 down-2.57 (-8.25%)

Mtl JP 11:08 GMT January 26, 2022

wet noodle headline
Biden to meet Wednesday with CEOs of GM, HP, other companies as he tries again to push Build Back Better Act

"The president will meet with CEOs who support passing Build Back Better to discuss the ways his Build Back Better agenda will make the U.S. economy more competitive, increase worker productivity and workforce participation, lower inflation over the long-term, and strengthen business growth,"

the White House official said

Amman wfakhoury 11:06 GMT January 26, 2022
EURUSD Consolidates 11285 11292

possible decline to 11260

Mtl JP 10:57 GMT January 26, 2022

to help de-confuse gaming the FED
curtesy Greg Robb
4 things to watch when the Fed meets Wednesday

How Jerome Powell may try to calm the market�s frazzled nerves

Amman wfakhoury 10:56 GMT January 26, 2022
EURUSD Consolidates 11285 11292
The decline below 11285 will return to it.
The rise above 11292 will return to it.
trade accordingly 100% confirmed

GVI Forex 10:45 GMT January 26, 2022
Has the dust settled?
From my blog article. When Will the New Year Forex Chop End?

So while logic suggests when other markets stabilize, those currencies with central banks pursuing tighter monetary policies (e.g US, UK, Canada, etc) should firm vs. those currencies with central banks likely to lag (e.g. Eurozone Japan). it may take some time before the dust settles. In the meantime, expect more of the same chop until the market can latch on to a theme that produces a sustainable trend.

Mtl JP 10:36 GMT January 26, 2022

biden : "inflation is an asset"

PAR 09:46 GMT January 26, 2022
BREAKING: US Navy is attempting to recover F-35 that crashed onto aircraft carrier and fell into South China Sea before Chinese Navy can seize it

PAR 08:47 GMT January 26, 2022
The ECB still denies the risks imposed by inflation.

Tout va tres bien madame la marquise

ECB chief economist expects inflation to fall sharply in the second half of the year

Philip Lane, the chief economist of the European Central Bank (ECB), continues to expect the current record-high inflation in the eurozone to weaken again in the second half of the year.

At the end of last year, inflation in the euro area was +5.0%, driven mainly by the sharp rise in energy prices.

Lane also stressed that the ECB is ready to act should inflation remain persistently and significantly above the two percent target. This would require a �considerable tightening� of monetary policy. However, the chief economist considers such a scenario to be �less likely� at present

PAR 08:24 GMT January 26, 2022

U.S. companies push Biden, Congress for caution on Russia sanctions

A trade group representing Chevron, General Electric and other big U.S. corporations that do business in Russia is asking the White House to consider allowing companies to fulfill commitments and to weigh exempting products as it crafts any sanctions. At the same time, big energy companies are pushing Congress to limit their scope and time frame.

One possible "safe harbor" measure could protect companies from legal liability for sanctions violations if certain conditions were met, said Reinsch, such as showing that a shipment went to the sanctioned country without permission, perhaps from a third country.

Sanctions against Russia but not for American companies?

Israel MacroMicro 02:13 GMT January 26, 2022

Chinese Santa rally, why not?

dc CB 00:49 GMT January 26, 2022

the problem is that Biden is very bad at running the 'wag the dog' script.
His failures are too big to cover/distract with that play.

Clinton used this Wag/Dog script to distract from his Horn Dogging Monica the Intern in the Oval Office. (what's that humming sound that seems to be coming from under your desk sir?)

Biden, on the other hand, has real world bungles to 'cover' ----see Afgan withdrawal debacle for one. The Virus that wouldn't obey and go away. etc.


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