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Forex Forum Archive for 02/11/2022

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Mtl JP 22:50 GMT February 11, 2022

CB 20:34 is sullivan a certified cretin or a failed clown ?

U.S. Warns of Risk That Russia Attacks Ukraine Next Week
11 Feb 2022 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. believes Russia could take offensive military action or attempt to spark a conflict inside Ukraine as early as next week, before the Winter Olympics in Beijing wrap up, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan

more at:

GVI Forex 22:32 GMT February 11, 2022
Wall Street ends down sharply on fears of Ukraine conflict
Feb 11 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Friday for the second straight session, as investors fretted about deepening tensions between Russia and Ukraine.

Wall Street ends down sharply on fears of Ukraine conflict

PAR 22:00 GMT February 11, 2022
Biden and the US intelligence sources seem to be spreading fake news this last month as never seen before.

The Iraqi weapons of mass destructions invented
by Blair and Bush being the exception.

dc CB 21:12 GMT February 11, 2022

once again Moscow is "calling bullsheit". Late at night Friday local time, the Kremlin responded to the latest headline panic-fest in the aftermath of the White House afternoon briefing, calling the new 'predictions' yet more US "disinformation".. according to the news wires:


Russia Blasts White House's Fresh Friday Ukraine Panic Porn As "Distraction & Disinformation"

dc CB 20:42 GMT February 11, 2022

Earlier today we observed that amid speculation of an intermeeting, or emergency rate hike, all eyes were on today's final POMO schedule release from the Fed due at 3PM to see whether there would be any notable changes to the Fed's QE plans, or whether the Fed would even end QE prematurely today.

Well, a few minutes after 3PM ET, the Fed effectively killed any speculation for an early rate hike when it published what will be its final (for now) POMO schedule, which sees $20 billion in Treasury bonds purchased across 8 operations over the next month, with the final purchase of $4 billion taking place on March 9, in line with expectations, and one week before the March 16 FOMC meeting when the Fed will hike 50bps... and just one day before the February CPI print is released and the ECB's next decision.

Final POMO Schedule

dc CB 20:34 GMT February 11, 2022

update(2:51pmET): The White House is now telling Americans in Ukraine to get out of the country "immediately" - giving a 24 to 48 hour time frame to make a safe exit. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan urged all US citizens in Ukraine "to depart immediately." The number of Americans in the country is often estimated in the tens of thousands - likely somewhere around 30,000 - including dual citizens.


"We want to be crystal clear on this point. Any American in Ukraine should leave as soon as possible and in any event, in the next 24 to 48 hours," Sullivan said. "We obviously cannot predict the future. We don't know exactly what is going to happen, but the risk is now high enough and the threat is now immediate enough." If they stay, Americans "are assuming risk with no guarantee that there will be any other opportunity to leave and no prospect of a US Military evacuation in the event of a Russian invasion," he added.

�It is the time to leave now,� he said. �We are in the window when an invasion could begin at any time should Vladimir Putin decide to order it.� Sullivan also in the afternoon press briefing said it's US intelligence's belief that Putin could launch an invasion by the end of the Olympics...

"We continue to see signs of Russian escalation including now forces arriving at the border. As we've said before, we're in the window when an invasion could begin at any time should Vladimir Putin decide to order it. I will not comment on the details of our intelligence information but I do want to be clear, it could begin during the Olympics, despite a lot of speculation that it will only happen after the Olympics."

Warns Invasion "Could Begin During Olympics"

Mtl JP 18:52 GMT February 11, 2022

at thy risk
Goldman Sachs Now Predicts Fed to Hike Seven Times in 2022
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.�s economists now expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates seven times this year to ... blah blah blah

Israel MacroMicro 18:51 GMT February 11, 2022
have a great weekend
if taking profits is a pleasure for you, do it now before entering the leisure time.

you know what were the trades I shared, even VIX that PAR claims to never make money managed to make MONEY...


Mtl JP 18:48 GMT February 11, 2022

my guess is justin - admirer of chinese dictatorship - is close to snapping. but in light of his character he ll likely be wanting to make sure that any potential chitt does not stick to him

dc CB 17:30 GMT February 11, 2022

you tell me? you guys gonna go Full Australian, or will sanity prevail.

Bangkok KC 17:17 GMT February 11, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

The Euro maintains bullish potential. As long as the price is above the level of 1.1360

Mtl JP 17:04 GMT February 11, 2022

CB - hurry to stock up on beans, bullets and bandages ?

dc CB 17:00 GMT February 11, 2022

Government in the Sunshine Meeting Notice

Advanced Notice of a Meeting under Expedited Procedures

It is anticipated that the closed meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at 11:30 a.m. on Monday, February 14, 2022, will be held under expedited procedures, as set forth in section 261b.7 of the Board's Rules Regarding Public Observation of Meetings, at the Board's offices at 20th Street and C Streets, N.W., Washington, D.C.. The following items of official Board business are tentatively scheduled to be considered at that meeting.

Meeting Date: Monday, February 14, 2022

Closed Board Meeting on February 14, 2022

dc CB 16:55 GMT February 11, 2022

Are ya feeling lucky???
Want to Hold Stox over the weekend???
See the closing numbers for the answer.


"American citizens should leave now," Biden said while discussing the Russian troop build-up threatening Ukraine in a new NBC News interview.

"It's not like we're dealing with a terrorist organization. We're dealing with one of the largest armies in the world. It's a very different situation and things could go crazy quickly."

dc CB 16:49 GMT February 11, 2022
Trading in the Forex Twilight Zone

Episode --- A Bridge Too Far, written by Rod Serling. From a story by Justin Trudeau and Doug Ford.
Update (1108ET): Ontario declared a 'state of emergency' Friday morning, warning truckers who continue to block the Ambassador Bridge they will be punished if they don't leave. Ontario Premier Doug Ford told reporters that the federal government is enacting new powers to end the blockade. He said protesters will be slapped with hefty fines (amounting to $78,800) and jail time, according to Bloomberg.

"We will also provide additional authority to consider taking away the personal and commercial licenses of anyone who doesn't comply with these orders," Ford said.

Mtl JP 15:16 GMT February 11, 2022

if u wanna c what confusion looks like

GVI Forex 15:01 GMT February 11, 2022

Softer U of M consumer sentiment, One year inflation expectation 5%, up 0.1%

Mtl JP 15:00 GMT February 11, 2022

EURO 1.1392
Bias - between niaaahhh and down
Res 1.1420/50
Sup 1.1370/50 and 50-day

Mtl JP 14:56 GMT February 11, 2022
To fight inflation, the Fed may resort to a tool it hasn't used since 2000

Jay - the FED is not going to use that tool it has not used since 2000.
recall that "they" are still (haha) buying "assets" (haha)

there is a good reason that there are 12 of them gang members which is to be able to seed the market with confusion.

GVI Forex 14:11 GMT February 11, 2022
To fight inflation, the Fed may resort to a tool it hasn't used since 2000

Out earlier on Newsquawk

Several Fed officials, both privately and publicly, are pushing back against calls by Fed�s Bullard gif 69bos rate hike

PAR 13:58 GMT February 11, 2022
Biden and Blinken will do everything to create war in Europe with Russia.

Russia debt to GDP 18%

USA debt to GDP 118%

When was the last time the USA won a war?

PAR 12:50 GMT February 11, 2022
Next the lawyers start to tell us there are errors in the inflation calculations.

macao win11 12:06 GMT February 11, 2022
To fight inflation, the Fed may resort to a tool it hasn't used since 2000

We need a bubble to support growth in post covid era

Mtl JP 12:00 GMT February 11, 2022
To fight inflation, the Fed may resort to a tool it hasn't used since 2000

that cnn piece is by Matt Egan
here is cnbc's Jeff Cox:
� Even though the Federal Reserve is about to embark on an inflation-fighting strategy, the impact won�t be felt for months or longer.

� Monetary policy works with a lag, which means it takes time for rate moves to circulate through the economy.

� The Fed has no direct way of lowering the cost of a loaf of bread at the grocery store or a fast-food burger or even a gallon of gas.

Tired of inflation? The Federal Reserve�s actions won�t provide any relief for months

GVI Forex Blog 11:49 GMT February 11, 2022
Trading in the Forex Twilight Zone

If I told you CPI would come in hotter than expected, US yields would spike sharply higher and the dollar, which initially moved higher, would reverse course to trade sharply lower, would you say we have entered the Forex Twilight Zone?

What made this even more confounding was<...

Trading in the Forex Twilight Zone

GVI 11:02 GMT February 11, 2022
To fight inflation, the Fed may resort to a tool it hasn't used since 2000
New York (CNN)Red-hot inflation is raising pressure on the Federal Reserve to take drastic action to get control of prices.

To fight inflation, the Fed may resort to a tool it hasn't used since 2000

dc CB 07:40 GMT February 11, 2022
Twilight Forex Zone

Tally ho


dc CB 07:33 GMT February 11, 2022
Twilight Forex Zone

A case for Bitcoin.---Canadian Style.

And the case is being made to Working Class Canadians, who may know little if anything about Bitcoin or cryptos in general.
A solid case for Owning and using Bitcoin.

The case being made---the Gov can't freeze your funds. The corollary---'we' can confiscate your funds---'we' just have to come up with a reason---no court of law required. After all, It Is FIAT money!

Less than a week after GoFundMe, at the behest of the Mayor of Ottawa and Justin Trudeau, summarily closed their fundraiser which had exceeded $10 million, Ontario's Premier, Doug Ford, has issued an order that essentially freezes any funds that have been raised thus far from the alternate crowdsourcing site 'GiveSendGo'.

Statement from the Office of the Premier of Ontario

"Today, the Attorney General brought an application in the Superior Court of Justice for an order pursuant to section 490.8 of the Criminal Code prohibiting any person from disposing of, or otherwise dealing with, in any manner whatsoever, any and all monetary donations made through the Freedom Convoy 2022 and Adopt-a-Trucker campaign pages on the GiveSendGo online fundraising platform.

This afternoon, the order was issued. It binds any and all parties with possession or control over these donations.�

Ivana Yelich
Executive Director of Media Relations Office of the Premier of Ontario

According to Katie Simpson, a CBC correspondent, �a spokesperson for the Premier�s office says this essentially means the funds are frozen for now.�

Oh Canada Premier Orders GiveSendGo To Freeze Funds For Anti-Mandate Protesters

Central Kwun 07:21 GMT February 11, 2022
Kung Hey Fat Choy
Buy Crude
Entry: 1822 Target: Stop: 1812

hyperinflation, buy gold to hedge

Belgrade Knez 07:19 GMT February 11, 2022

also nice bounce off of trend line

Mtl JP 07:16 GMT February 11, 2022

EURO 1.1378
US2Y: 1.618%
wonder if bullard is loosing players' "respect"
Fed�s Bullard Backs Supersized Hike, Seeks Full Point by July 1
�Inflationary shock� needs big response, he says in interview
St. Louis Fed chief defers to Powell on size of March increase

Belgrade Knez 06:48 GMT February 11, 2022

Belgrade Knez 09:35 GMT February 10, 2022
nice trend line bounce ..... 1.1492 should hold
hold and very strong bounce off of the level ..... maybe we continue down move sonner than later .....

macao win11 04:58 GMT February 11, 2022
crude oil
First rising to 115, then consolidation in 85-115 for some months

macao win11 04:29 GMT February 11, 2022
bye bye dollar hegemony
US is transforming from the strongest country with 30 trillions of debt to one of the strongest countries with 30+ trillions of debt. How to deal with excess dollar? Lots of funny things may happen in coming few years.


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