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Forex Forum Archive for 05/04/2022

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Israel MacroMicro 23:46 GMT May 4, 2022

post Powell yak-yak and market's panic-nic reaction:

GutIcator� says: the market gonna react with anger about Powell and his gang toying them for long weeks. in trading terms it means the weekly close price would be under 50% of whatever will be week's range (give and take few). pure GutIcator� :)

Mtl JP 23:19 GMT May 4, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

KC 18:38 - currently that sounds reasonable
lets see what various mushroom feeding messenger-interpreters the FED wheels out next in an attempt to adjust possible market misinterpretations players might have been infected with

Mtl JP 23:15 GMT May 4, 2022

could not find a transcript of the presser yet

what jerome said is (my own transcribing)
"soo ya ehhm 75 bps ... increase ... is not something the committee is actively considering ...we raised 50 today ... the broad sense is that additional 50 bps increases should be on the table for next couple of meetings ... depending on" ... blah blah blah

Mtl JP 23:04 GMT May 4, 2022

jerome mushroom feeding
inquisitive steve liesman about 0.75% hike(s)

starts at the 12:36 timeline marker

FOMC Press Conference, May 4, 2022

Mtl JP 21:45 GMT May 4, 2022

so my hunch of jerome channeling his clown
rather than voracious brutal aggressive inflation fighter
cometh true

waytogo jerome !

dc CB 20:59 GMT May 4, 2022
pump n pump

At the pump

filing the Big Rig

Israel MacroMicro 20:10 GMT May 4, 2022
pump n pump

sure rosy shades, under 12800 it was DEFINITELY a buy :)

I said be careful, I did not say to short, YET :)

Tallinn viies 20:08 GMT May 4, 2022
pump n pump
Israel MacroMicro 20:05 GMT - nasdaq100 is down 11% MoM
so I feel with long position pretty safe.

Israel MacroMicro 20:05 GMT May 4, 2022
pump n pump

be careful rosy shades, during the present days trusting Powell and his gang is like trusting WFAK 100% guaranteed :)

Tallinn viies 19:53 GMT May 4, 2022
pump n pump
13 540 closed half longs. just to reduce exposure. otherwise .... to the moon as they say :)

Tallinn viies 19:46 GMT May 4, 2022
pump n pump
nasdzq100 needs to take out previous week high to get the winds. otherwise time to take some profits if long from lower leves

Tallinn viies 19:22 GMT May 4, 2022
pump n pump
keep buying ...

Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says 75bps increases is not something they are considering, they are not actively considering it; If we see what we expect to see, then it will be 50bps on the table at the next two meetings.

Bangkok KC 18:58 GMT May 4, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

1st Take profit @1.0700
2nd Take profit @1.0780

Bangkok KC 18:50 GMT May 4, 2022
SELL USD/CHF on rally

Target 0.9600

Israel MacroMicro 18:49 GMT May 4, 2022

Israel MacroMicro 16:18 GMT May 4, 2022
mkt: Reply
USD/CHF == overstretched

the money with selling USD is there / imo

sweet :)

Bangkok KC 18:42 GMT May 4, 2022
SELL USD/CHF on rally

USD index correction is coming..

Bangkok KC 18:40 GMT May 4, 2022
SELL USD/CHF on rally
Short now @0.9836

Bangkok KC 18:38 GMT May 4, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

The pair is now in a very strong support zone and a correction is probable. We can have a corrective leg up. Resistance is in the 1.0750-1.0800 zone and in this zone, short-term traders can close their long positions.

Mtl JP 18:36 GMT May 4, 2022

IF powell wants to come across as aggressive fighter he ll have to insert into players mind perception that their pricing circa 2.75% for yr-end funds is too tame.

lets go jerome, but I dont have much confidence he will

Mtl JP 18:16 GMT May 4, 2022

are they complaining or are they excited about "The invasion of Ukraine by Russia" ?

GVI Forex 18:10 GMT May 4, 2022
Net up is Powell's press conference. See statement

FOMC Statement

Mtl JP 18:10 GMT May 4, 2022

according to jeff cox "the surge in prices has necessitated a dramatic rethink in monetary policy"

I used to think the world would be better off without CBanks
Now I am re-thinking that: who provides better comedy and laughing material for the money ?

Mtl JP 18:03 GMT May 4, 2022

half a point
makes for wet noodle trade

Mtl JP 17:56 GMT May 4, 2022

"The economy can take the rate increases that we're going to be making," Powell 2022 03 02


trading the FOMC as if
"Powder is scarce and must not be wasted. Do not fire until you see the whites of their eyes. Then aim low. Aim at their waistbands, aim at the handsome coats; pick off the officers."

Mtl JP 17:38 GMT May 4, 2022

fresh from her optometrist
yellen says ...
1 hour ago
Yellen: Fed will need to be skillful, lucky to lower inflation
United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated on Wednesday that the Fed would "need to be skillful and also lucky to" lower the inflation. During an interview with the Wall Street Journal, Yellen stressed that inflation "has been very high," however ...
1 hour ago
Yellen Sees Solid Growth, Possible �Soft Landing� for U.S. Economy
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she expects solid growth in the coming year, with a possible �soft landing� for the economy as the Federal Reserve moves to bring down inflation. �I do believe we�re going to see solid growth ...

MarketWatch on
2 hours ago
Yellen says she sees 'solid growth' in year ahead but also risks to outlook
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Wednesday said she sees "solid growth" in the coming year but also risks to the economic outlook. Speaking to the Wall Street Journal's CEO Council meeting, Yellen said inflation is "too high" and that a potential ...

Forex Factory
2 hours ago
Yellen: Negative Q1 GDP not good underlying sign of economy

Wall Street Journal
3 hours ago
Janet Yellen Says U.S. Economy Remains Strong
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the U.S. economy remains strong despite the fact that it shrank in the first quarter of this year, adding that inflation is too high and needs to be reduced. She said the war in Ukraine could do economic damage in ...

Israel MacroMicro 16:18 GMT May 4, 2022

USD/CHF == overstretched

the money with selling USD is there / imo

Israel MacroMicro 16:14 GMT May 4, 2022

yak-yak express left the station:


Mtl JP 15:51 GMT May 4, 2022

atm in the very short-term it is as if players are expecting the FED to be more hawk than dove

Mtl JP 15:36 GMT May 4, 2022

favoring parasites
Education Department forgives student loans of more than 110,000 people in public service - cnbc

Mtl JP 14:04 GMT May 4, 2022

PAR hahaha the games people play: schnabel piszing on ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos pinpointed July as a possible moment for a lift-off in interest rates, though he had said it�s not �likely.�:
�It�s not enough to talk now -- we have to act,� she said in an interview with German newspaper Handelsblatt published Tuesday. �From today�s perspective, I think a rate hike in July is possible.� - Schnabel, 50-year old German, is considered one of the Executive Board�s most influential members as alleged by Carolynn Look via bbrg

ECB�s Schnabel Says Rate Hike to Tame Inflation May Come in July

Mtl JP 13:50 GMT May 4, 2022

EURO 1.0543 (as I type)
'tis the time when all is quiet before the post-FOMC decision and jerome's mushroom feeding

puppy's oscillating and wallowing inside ~50 pip range

I am biased down, i.e prefer trading from the short side
Res 1.0550, ~1.0575
Sup 1.05, 1.0472

PAR 13:48 GMT May 4, 2022
How big are the losses of the ECB on its gigantic bond portfolio?

Does even the ECB have no idea?

Hk Ab 13:11 GMT May 4, 2022
Interesting metals movement coming

Hk Ab 13:11 GMT May 4, 2022
Interesting metals movement coming

Amman wfakhoury 12:41 GMT May 4, 2022
EURUSD into buying mood to reach10570 again.
10554 and 10548 both are consolidation levels.

Amman wfakhoury 12:37 GMT May 4, 2022
GBPUSD 12515
GBPUSD into buying mood.
12515 is a strong consolidation level below it. sell above it tp at it.

Varna 12:36 GMT May 4, 2022
BUY EUR/USD on dips

Do we look at different charts?!

Varna 12:35 GMT May 4, 2022

This could replace the war headlines only in US but that's not a surprise. US is so close minded country.

Varna 12:32 GMT May 4, 2022

The fight for every single vote is the same everywhere and it's at all cause.

Varna 12:30 GMT May 4, 2022

What a boring channel.

Varna 12:29 GMT May 4, 2022

This dwarf must be stopped at every cause.

Varna 12:27 GMT May 4, 2022
EURUSD 10554 10548 10520

100% guaranteed? If you say so...

Varna 12:25 GMT May 4, 2022
Morning Bid: 1%, 2%, 3%...

All this interest rises won't stop the inflation.

GVI Forex 08:39 GMT May 4, 2022
Morning Bid: 1%, 2%, 3%...
A look at the day ahead in markets from Julien Ponthus.

The global monetary tightening cycle has crossed a symbolic milestone with yields on German, British and U.S. 10-year government debt topping 1%, 2% and 3% respectively, levels not seen in years.

Morning Bid: 1%, 2%, 3%...

Amman wfakhoury 08:14 GMT May 4, 2022
EURUSD 10554 10548 10520

Amman wfakhoury 12:49 GMT 05/03/2022
EURUSD 10554 10548 10520, all these levels will be reached if the price closed below 10660 and keeps below it.
100% accordingly.
All 10554 10548 10520 Reached..100% guaranteed.

dc CB 05:19 GMT May 4, 2022

Song for them's announcement

Then the take back not what you thot Presser

In Spite of Ourselves----- That Guy who runs the

dc CB 03:10 GMT May 4, 2022

Today's Racing Form>

.About six months until the midterm elections, a leaked Supreme Court draft opinion signals the potential for Roe v. Wade to be overturned after five decades. The news sparked speculation that if the highest court in the land rules to overturn abortion as a "sacred" right to women, it could spark political gyrations ahead of the elections in November, and politicians on the Left were quick to pounce.

Jim Bianco of Bianco Research tweeted the question: "Will the Roe decision impact the midterms?"

Bianco points to political future odds on PredictIt have seen a "massive spike in volume" following the leak.

SCOTUS Leak Sparks Rise In Democrats' Odds Of Controlling Senate/House After Midterms


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Mon 27 May 2019
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