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Forex Forum Archive for 07/1/2022

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dc CB 21:27 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

U.S. regulator bars Freeport LNG plant restart over safety concerns

Natgas

Mtl JP 20:38 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

If there is something with a +ive sign it might be that stocks - SnP, Nasdaq - bounced off their lows into the close

Bangkok KC 18:17 GMT July 1, 2022
Yen

Dead cat bounce probably.

Hk Ab 17:29 GMT July 1, 2022
Yen
Reply   
Close above 135.3 means this attempt is over and retest 136.9 in due course, but I see 136.6 more likely.

Bangkok KC 16:03 GMT July 1, 2022
Yen

Patience is a virtue.

Big Shark Fin soup will be there for those who take short usd/jpy next week.

The power of the BOJ could not be undone...

Hk Ab 15:26 GMT July 1, 2022
Yen
Reply   
Still not ambitious for south ride yet

Hk Ab 15:14 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
Complete the short addition 1807

dc CB 14:44 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

the Fed's reverse repo facility. While one can debate for hours why there is a record $2.330 trillion in cash parked at the Fed's overnight facility and what it means for systemic plumbing problems, the fact is that there is a record $2.33 trillion in cash parked at the Fed's overnight facility, doing nothing.

Well not nothing: it was nothing when rates were zero, but at 1.55% which is the current reverse repo rate, that $2.33 trillion is a golden goose for the 108 counterparties that are parking cash at the facility........................

All of the above is with the Fed Funds rate at 1.75%. As a reminder, the Fed hopes to keep hiking at least another 175bps (or more) in the next 6 months, which will push the rate to 3.50% and will mean that the Fed will be paying half a billion in interest every single day to a handful of mostly unknown counterparties every day, money which for said counterparties is also known as (riskless) profit

Fed Is Quietly Handing Out $250 Million To A Handful Of Happy Recipients Every Single Day

PAR 14:30 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

More margin call selling in stocks and an ECB-organized short squeeze in bonds.
Guess BlackRock is the big winner.

Hk Ab 14:29 GMT July 1, 2022
Gbjp
Reply   
Exit all 161.8

Hk Ab 14:24 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
$20 fireworks again

Belgrade Knez 14:16 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

Belgrade Knez 12:47 GMT 07/01/2022
I got recommendation from a friend to long gold at 1790, sl 1784 and take profit 1800 ..... hence, as it's his recommendation I took min lot size with min risk to see how good his call is..... so far still in the trade .....
-------------------------------------------------
nice call by my friend

Hk Ab 14:05 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
Add sold 1797

Mtl JP 13:59 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

10-yr 2.887

what do bonds know

Hk Ab 13:44 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
Every time when gold make new bottoms, some c9 like to see the $20 fire works and then bomb again

Bangkok KC 13:25 GMT July 1, 2022
SELL USD/JPY on rally

Dead cat bounce could be seen on usd/jpy.


-------------------------------------------------------------
Bangkok KC 17:51:56 GMT - 06/29/2022
Keep selling usd/jpy on rally
Big Shark fin soup is very delicious :)

--------------------------------------------------‐-----------

Bangkok KC 03:39:51 GMT - 06/29/2022
One can expect to see a final run to 137JPY.


Bangkok KC 03:38:21 GMT - 06/29/2022
Seem Big Shark underestimate the power of the BOJ...

Mtl JP 13:17 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

S&P 500 ... Nasdaq ... both more than 20% off highs = bear market territory. and that is only ytd.

things are now happening fast. like imitating Nature's fire.

will things bounce up soon ? odds are not yet:
cnbc pundits have not yet said to turn off the lights and head for the ozarks.

Hk Ab 13:02 GMT July 1, 2022
Gbp
Reply   
Position trade long cable 1.2 every fig entry till 1.14

Mtl JP 13:00 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

stagflation would likely cure their sassiness:
-
"Most workers want their employer to share their values ó 56% wonít even consider a workplace that doesnít, survey finds" - cnbc

Belgrade Knez 12:47 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

I got recommendation from a friend to long gold at 1790, sl 1784 and take profit 1800 ..... hence, as it's his recommendation I took min lot size with min risk to see how good his call is..... so far still in the trade .....

jkt abel 12:43 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

only a miracle can save it and we are not seeing any, not today!

jkt abel 12:42 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

shawn, where have you been, it has been slaughtered already! LOL

kl shawn 12:41 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

gold will be slaughtered like a pig

kl fs 12:40 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

look at cable, dont even think of going short usd today, just keep buying usd dips against everything

kl fs 12:24 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

lets party, usd to the moon!

kl fs 12:23 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

sold 1788, stop 1795, target 1775 and 1772

Hk Ab 12:21 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
Will gold south ride induce yen famous 10 fig move? HmÖ..

kl fs 12:18 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

nice call abel!!, i guess too late for me to join the party with data coming...will see if i get a chance to join you later

jkt abel 12:11 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

byebye c9s and hubbies, see you at 1775!

jkt abel 12:00 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

got a chance there, SOLD 1790 another layer

tokyo boj 11:59 GMT July 1, 2022
DJI target is 7500

Sell S&P
Entry: 4500 Target: 1125 Stop: 4000

i am short from 4500 level SPX

jkt abel 11:57 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

just SELL gold now, cannot even touch 1790, down down down

tokyo boj 11:56 GMT July 1, 2022
DJI target is 7500
Reply   
Sell OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

dow target is 7500 this is 80% from 37000

jkt abel 11:52 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

we won't see above 1800 anymore this month, just focus on selling

tokyo boj 11:52 GMT July 1, 2022
i feel soon 980 coming
Reply   
Gold
Entry: 1790 Target: 980 Stop: 1825

i feel soon 980 coming in 2022

jkt abel 11:50 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

any pops above 1790 just sell for 1775 tonight

tokyo boj 11:50 GMT July 1, 2022
soon reach 124
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 136.5 Target: 124.5 Stop: 136 now

i feel that soon 124 coming

Hk Dusty 11:48 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

If the bangsters are going to step on the ducks then I am going to sell a caller option. I will look for the unbelievable dip and leave a limit to buy at 1111, 100 lots, good for today only.

tokyo boj 11:48 GMT July 1, 2022
half closed
Reply   
Buy EURCHF
Entry: 0.995 Target: open Stop: 0.995

swiss franc will fall hard

Hk Ab 11:43 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

Bangsters tend to step on ducks these days

jkt abel 11:39 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

bangsters are eunuchs today, they wont stand a chance

Hk Ab 11:17 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

Why? because ducks QUACK!!!

Hk Ab 11:17 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
We can have a funny chance to see 1680 prints, but I will exit all gold shorts there and play contra temporarily if seen

Hk Dusty 11:16 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

Itís the millennials selling. But look out the bangsters might try to create an uphill avalanche, right after the ducks start quacking.

Hk Ab 11:15 GMT July 1, 2022
Gbjp

No, c9 and husband of c9 have the same direction, dun worry

Hk Ab 11:13 GMT July 1, 2022
Gbjp
Reply   
Move limit to 162

jkt abel 11:12 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

ab, divorce rate will increase in HK i am afraid, the way gold going down

Mtl JP 10:39 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

to keep inflation expectations from de-anchoring
cnbc reports that "American Airlines offers pilots nearly 17% pay raises in new contract proposal"

Mtl JP 10:35 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

DLRx 104.75, 10-yr 2.967%
-
GVI Forex 09:06 : lets see if you can skin some posi-moola off
ISM at 10am

*******
I consider jerome's revelation about what "they" have learned over the past year about inflation - 'I think we now understand better how little we understand about inflation' - iconic comedy. "they" includes lagarde and her ECB when she demured - mewing like a tiny kitten - that her cb not the only one to miss inflation

PAR 09:51 GMT July 1, 2022
GERMANY
Reply   
For Germany 2022 starts to look a lot like 1922 when uncontrolled inflation led to regime change the next year.

Mtl JP 09:13 GMT July 1, 2022
ECB LAGARDE CRUELLA PONZI MAFIA KAFKA

PAR player reaction (euro zzs at 1.0455) does not concur with the boosted calls (who-ever the screamers are)

PAR 09:13 GMT July 1, 2022
ECB LAGARDE CRUELLA PONZI MAFIA KAFKA

Forward guiding is an intellectual frivolity that doesn't work in practice.

PAR 09:08 GMT July 1, 2022
ECB LAGARDE CRUELLA PONZI MAFIA KAFKA
Reply   
Ich habe es nicht gewusst / I didn't saw this coming

Did nobody warn Christine Lagarde about inflation? I don't think so.


Euro-Zone Inflation Hits Record, Boosting Calls for Big Hikes
Consumer prices surged 8.6% in June; economists estimated 8.5%
First ECB rate increase in over a decade to kick off in July

GVI Forex 09:06 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

A look at the day ahead in markets from Sujata Rao.

The good news is the 2022 first-half is behind us -- just looking at U.S. markets, the world's biggest, the S&P 500 posted its worst percentage decline since 1970, losing $8.5 trillion in value, while 10-year Treasury yields rose 150 basis points.

Morning Bid: End of H1 but expect no relief

Mtl JP 09:04 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

8.6 y/y

hk ab 09:04 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
saw c9 husband comes and asked why gold suddenly dropped under 1800..... LOL

Mtl JP 08:51 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

next ECB meeting: july 21
-
currently christine has tried to condition players for 25bps hike BUT
as data-dependent as she said "they" are ... could "move faster" if warranted by inflation

Mtl JP 08:43 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

EU CPI y/y expt'd 8.6 vs may's 8.1%
-
at the ECB shindig in portugal christine proclaimed that inflation is "a great challenge" and that "We will go as far as necessary to ensure that inflation stabilises at our two-percent target over the medium term,"

typically but not always medium term: between 5 and 10 years
- sometimes could be 1 year, other times 100 yrs

hk ab 08:34 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt
Reply   
If Yen ends today like this, I think the top is to be tested again later.
gb/jp so boring.

Mtl JP 08:22 GMT July 1, 2022
mkt

EURO 1.0450
at top of hour:
-
EU CPI numbers

jkt abel 07:33 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

yeah ab, so we must have seen the month's high today on the 1st of july for gold, all the way down only
keep it below 1800

Hk Ab 07:24 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

Gold//significant meaning if we see month close under 1680

PAR 07:19 GMT July 1, 2022
Mkt

Black Friday.

Margin calls and margin calls.

jkt abel 07:14 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

lets party ab! kill all c9s

PAR 06:46 GMT July 1, 2022
UKRAINE
Reply   
Ukraine, meanwhile, is exploring the possibility of debt restructuring with funding options at risk of running out.

jkt abel 06:40 GMT July 1, 2022
Carry

ab, bangsters are pussies! they won't dare taking out my stop loss

Hk Ab 06:39 GMT July 1, 2022
Carry
Reply   
When rate is good enough, XAU is just an ATM

PAR 06:31 GMT July 1, 2022
BIDEN
Reply   
Biden's America de facto left the Paris climate agreement he signed with a lot of fanfare less than a year ago?

jkt abel 06:23 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

is NFP tonight? cant find it on calendar but there is an email from FxPrimus stating NFP tonight at 1:30 BST?

jkt abel 06:17 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

sell sell sell gold ab, make noises please
let's test bangsters
SELL 1798 STOP 1803 FOR 1680

Hk Ab 05:55 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
Abel, shshsh, let the duck roasted quietly, donít wake it up

jkt abel 05:50 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold

avalanche just started ab, what a start for july

Hk Ab 05:39 GMT July 1, 2022
Gold
Reply   
Next fight 1680, but I am afraid that this late comer suffers from multiple attack on all crosses if the world decide to hike seriously

jkt abel 05:36 GMT July 1, 2022
Mkt

byebye c9 and 1800 gold?

Hk Ab 04:57 GMT July 1, 2022
Mkt
Reply   
Apart from L/T short dlrjpy, next May be long dlr/cnh

jkt abel 04:43 GMT July 1, 2022
SANCTIONS

first day of july, keep buying usd!
mark it every year, 4th of july will always have strong usd play, dont be stupid

PAR 04:20 GMT July 1, 2022
SANCTIONS
Reply   
Blinken - Biden sanctions are destroying the G7 economies.

Dumb & Dumber.

hk ab 04:12 GMT July 1, 2022
gbjp
Reply   
this baby has my limit exit at 162.50 placed for 75%.

hk ab 04:11 GMT July 1, 2022
usd/jpy
Reply   
yesterday doesn't close under 135.30 and if today doesn't close under 134, I don't think it's really that bearish.

I exit 1/2 135 from the shorts these days. rest later. pending the reaction of 134.20 If rebound is strong, collapse dip may happen in Sept instead.

Stox may do some magic though, but do you think they let DOWJ dip to 20K?

Bangkok KC 03:22 GMT July 1, 2022
SELL USD/JPY on rally

USD/JPY collapse is coming.
Still Hold Short usd/jpy [email protected]

1/4 Take [email protected]

 




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