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Forex Forum Archive for 08/12/2022

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Mtl JP 20:38 GMT August 12, 2022

NIKKEI225 28735; FTSE1007524; DAX30 13873.5, CAC40 6604.5
An Invitation To Play The Future Tense Verb Conjugation Game


* S&P 500 Rallies, Capping Fourth Straight Week of Gains
* Dow jumps 400 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq clinch longest winning streak since November
* S&P 500 ends 1.7% higher; Nasdaq Composite jumps 2.1%
* Dow finishes with gain of over 420 points, or 1.3%
* Stocks end sharply higher as S&P 500 books 4th straight weekly gain
* Treasury yields end higher for second straight week after U.S. consumer-sentiment data

the above Friday end-of-week headline hints

What will be some headlines from Asia and Europe on Monday morning heading into NY session:

Mtl JP 18:41 GMT August 12, 2022

dc CB perish the dream of europe learning: it does not yet hurt enough
besides ... there is a million mile + chasm between european princes and european peasants. the peasants do not know that. they think the princes have the peasants' best interest at heart.
In the land of my cousin and the petulant one: "Defense Minister Peter Hultqvist (S) does not rule out that Sweden will manufacture weapons for Ukraine".

On an earlier note from same def min: from aug 12th Sweden is sending 120 instructors to UK to combat- train ukrainian civilians.

Civilians. IF you were a military intelligence type what could you draw from that, ya think, about ukrainian state of tactical military affairs - shades of hitler sending 13-15yr old boys to the front as replacements for exhausted 'n dessimated army ?

dc CB 17:48 GMT August 12, 2022

... perhaps Europe will finally learn its lesson that listening to petulant Scandinavian teenagers for energy policy, while glorious for virtue signaling, is also as dumb as it gets. Then again, it is Europe... (ZH)

Mtl JP 16:44 GMT August 12, 2022

"it is worth it"
Winter diesel shock looms as tanks dry up ahead of sanctions

LONDON, Aug 12 (Reuters) - Europe is heading into winter with seasonally low levels of diesel in storage tanks, with major implications for the continent's industries and drivers in the run-up to EU sanctions on Russian crude oil and refined product supplies.

Mtl JP 16:31 GMT August 12, 2022

DLRx 105.60
according to barkin's interpreter jeff cox

* Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said Friday that more interest rate increases will be needed to tamp down inflation.

* Barkin said he wants to see inflation running around 2% �for a period of time.� The current level is far from that goal.

Markets are divided over whether the Fed will increase by three-quarters of a point in September or scale down to half a point, with traders tilting slightly toward the latter, according to CME Group data Friday morning.

Whichever is the case, Barkin said acting aggressively now is important. He said his constituents are deeply concerned about inflation and want action from the Fed.

�Consumers really dislike inflation, and one message that I get loud and clear as I wander around my district is, �we don�t like inflation,�� he said.

Fed�s Barkin says rate increases need to continue until inflation holds at 2%

dc CB 15:17 GMT August 12, 2022

Mtl JP 12:38 GMT
new orders for peasants
People who are exposed to the virus no longer need to...

And just like that, the hysteria was over.

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT August 12, 2022

... "financial repression... = a crime against European citizens" ...
PAR there is no specific law and article(s) under which that would be so
ECB is the law and is above the law

Mtl JP 14:06 GMT August 12, 2022

EURO 1.0257
BELOW 1.0274-ish puppy loses upside momentum
S around 1.0215/10/00

PAR 13:51 GMT August 12, 2022


" Chris Barrett, International Professor of Agriculture at Cornell University, sees only one long-term solution to the global food crisis. �If the war [in Ukraine] ended tomorrow, the fundamental problems of global agrifood systems are not going away,� Barrett says. �They existed before the war, they'll continue after the war ends. And the only way to address them is through major technological and institutional innovations that help us to produce more food on less land and with less water.�

Mtl JP 13:19 GMT August 12, 2022

EURO 1.0274
puppy frolicking around its 40-day

1.0360/70 now Res

PAR 12:40 GMT August 12, 2022

I usually drink Laurent Perrier Brut. The prices are ok.

Only Hotel prices are going up like crazy in France.

Mtl JP 12:38 GMT August 12, 2022

new orders for peasants
People who are exposed to the virus no longer need to quarantine at home, regardless of their vaccination status, according to the new guidelines, but they should wear a mask for 10 days and get tested for the virus on day 5.

The new guidelines eliminate quarantines and put less emphasis on social distancing, routine surveillance testing and contact tracing.

C.D.C. Eases Covid Guidelines, Noting Virus Is �Here to Stay� - NYT Aug. 11, 2022

Mtl JP 12:05 GMT August 12, 2022

DLRx 105.40
FED's primary goal vs market players betting
communication vs voluntary mis-understanding
hubris vs hubris vs quick learning
fight or not the fed
current priceaction suggests, to me , that players are now pricing an "I don't know" (50-50 odds) of 50 or 75 bps FED hike next.

Mtl JP 11:25 GMT August 12, 2022

PAR 07:51 what are you drinking ?

PAR 07:51 GMT August 12, 2022
Inadequate action by ECB is making European inflation worse than US inflation.

European interest rates are way too low.

Christine Lagarde wants financial repression to continue as long as possible. This is a crime against European citizens.

PAR 07:09 GMT August 12, 2022

The annual inflation rate in France was confirmed at 6.1% in July of 2022, the highest since July 1985, up from 5.8% in the prior month.

There was an acceleration in prices of services (3.9% vs 3.3% in June); food (6.8% vs 5.8%) and, to a lesser extent, manufactured goods prices (2.7% vs 2.5%). Meanwhile, the prices of energy slowed down slightly (28.5% vs 33.1%).

On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.3%, in line with the preliminary estimate, slowing from a 0.7% rise in the previous month. Prices of manufactured goods decreased (-1.6% vs 0.0%), mostly because of the summer sales, as those of energy (-1.3% vs +5.2%). Conversely, costs accelerated for services (1.3% vs 0.3%), linked with the prices of �other services� (1.4% vs 0.2%), notably accommodation services (16.4% vs 4.6%), and transport services (11.7% vs 3.4%). The prices of food also accelerated, to a lesser extent (1.0% after 0.8%). source: INSEE, France


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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