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Forex Forum Archive for 08/19/2022

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GVI Forex 23:01 GMT August 19, 2022
German gas
BERLIN � Gazprom, the Kremlin-controlled energy giant, announced that it would temporarily shut down its gas pipeline to Germany at the end of the month for repairs, a move likely to trigger more uncertainty in Europe as countries struggle to compensate for cuts in Russian fossil fuels.�NYT

Mtl JP 22:50 GMT August 19, 2022

really not from babylon bee:
Ryan Cohen Just Dumped Bed Bath & Beyond. Could GameStop Be Next?

Your funds held at crypto platforms aren�t protected by government insurance. FDIC warns FTX�s U.S. arm to halt �false and misleading� claims.

Investor Who Called Crypto Firm 'World-Class' Now Says It's a Near Total Loss

Tech�s Rally Is Too Good to Be True

Mtl JP 19:05 GMT August 19, 2022

controlling the Truth propaganda narrative
What exactly is a recession? Wikipedia doesn�t allow edits on its �recession� page anymore. - MarketWatch

Investopedia: "A recession is a significant, widespread, and prolonged downturn in economic activity. Because recessions often last six months or more, one popular rule of thumb is that two consecutive quarters of decline in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) constitute a recession." - as of 08/19/2022

Mtl JP 17:06 GMT August 19, 2022

reach for your Depends boyz n gulz
... lend a hand ... not literally I think
The Gambia tells UK grandmothers to seek toy boys elsewhere
West African nation hopes to shed its reputation as a haven for European sex tourists and wants the UK Government to lend a hand

Hamat Bah, the nation�s minister for tourism and culture, says that Gambia wanted to shift the focus away from nightlife and towards nature, pointing out that there are over 300 different species of tropical birds in the country.

PAR 16:41 GMT August 19, 2022
Letter to Scholz

The Japanese are restarting to buy Russian gas.

Mtl JP 14:46 GMT August 19, 2022

DLRx 108.06, 10-yr 2.989%
a short here , to me , looks reasonable
see if it goes N of 108.25/30

Belgrade Knez 14:36 GMT August 19, 2022
Letter to Scholz
"In a letter to Olaf Scholz, an East German trade association called for the end of all sanctions against Russia. �The vast majority is not willing to sacrifice their hard-earned standard of living for Ukraine."

Mtl JP 14:08 GMT August 19, 2022

bit of water the FED's "Sacrifice Ratio" ?
Yahoo Finance
Survey finds 50% of companies want to cut headcount: Morning Brief
Myles Udland�Senior Markets Editor
Fri, August 19, 2022

" ...following this hiring binge, companies are now planning to cut back.

A new survey from consultancy PwC released this month showed 50% of companies are planning to reduce overall headcount. Additionally, 46% of companies said they are dropping or reducing signing bonuses, while 44% are rescinding offers. ".../

Mtl JP 13:56 GMT August 19, 2022

helloooow capitaine hindsight
tks for the chuckle

dc CB 13:43 GMT August 19, 2022

'I don't read Zero Hedge' LMAO


PAR 13:43 GMT August 19, 2022
It's all about options expiration. Everything is possible.

Have a look at it on Monday.

swiss frank 13:43 GMT August 19, 2022

Yes, but they meet the diversity criteria.

PAR 13:40 GMT August 19, 2022

ECB created so many tools that now they have Ipsos (a French company)
do a survey of 14.000 citizens and asks them what inflation will be.

Last year at the ECB was Jens Weidmann who told Lagarde not only what inflation would be but also how to handle it.

Lagarde bullied him out of the ECB.

The European witches Christine and Ursula have lost their minds.

PAR 13:35 GMT August 19, 2022
EU Carbon Permits
European carbon prices broke above �98 a tonne for the first time ever, after gas prices returned to record levels encouraging more utilities to swap to carbon-heavy coal, resulting in higher emissions and demand for permits. Natural gas prices in Europe bounced back to unprecedented levels, as heatwaves across the continent are set to push demand to above-normal levels while the historic drought threatens to halt energy shipments along the Rhine River.

Earlier this year, the European Commission announced plans to sell more carbon emission permits to fund the EU�s exit from Russian energy. The European Commission unveiled a �210 billion plan for Europe to end its reliance on Russian energy by 2027, and to use the pivot away from Moscow to speed up its transition to green energy. The commission has 2.6 billion certificates in reserves and plans to sell between 200-250 million ETS certificates from Market Stability Reserves by the end of the decade.

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT August 19, 2022

.. what a mess EU created ..
it is better to think of it as trading opportunities to be exploited for profits
rather then whine n complain and complain and compl.. which has no upside

Belgrade Knez 13:01 GMT August 19, 2022
EU Natural Gas

what a mess EU created for themselves!

PAR 12:31 GMT August 19, 2022
EU Natural Gas
Natural gas futures linked to TTF, Europe's wholesale gas price, were trading around �240 per megawatt hour after closing at an all-time high in the previous session and now heading for their fourth consecutive week of gains, supported by a combination of tight supplies and soaring demand amid persistent heatwaves across Europe. A historic drought triggered by an arid summer that set heat records across Europe threatens to halt energy shipments along the Rhine River while limiting hydroelectric and nuclear power production. Exacerbating concerns about supplies, Russia's Gazprom has dramatically reduced flows through the Nord Stream pipeline to roughly 20% of its capacity, citing issues with turbines.

What could be Europe's biggest energy crisis in a generation has already prompted German regulators to advise that the bloc's largest economy must cut its natural gas use by 20% to protect themselves against a natural gas shortage this winter.

jkt abel 12:25 GMT August 19, 2022

europeans are too advanced and smart and civilised not to revolt, no?
lets add more fuel to the fire to the socialist-type govts, please handle more influx of refugees

Mtl JP 12:16 GMT August 19, 2022

cousin in sweden squealing that the german is asking for electricity (by way of cable) from southern sweden where there is lack as it is

and bloomberg reporting on some german spokesmen squealing and yelling and frantic arm waving - "fear"ing - that he'll have to de-industrialize and move highly energy carnivorous industries to lesser energy cost environments. duh !

yaaa ! dreaming to move to russia arschloch ?

Mtl JP 11:34 GMT August 19, 2022

EURO 1.0050, 10-YR 2.952; "RISK" tilted down
fwiw "Lumpy Gamma" Set To Expire This Friday theme

tia for posi-pip ripping trade idea(s)
at least one should work.

Mtl JP 11:24 GMT August 19, 2022

frank if one just watches n sees they deserve what is coming
couple of days ago german interior minister of North Rhine-Westphalia Herbert Reul declared german peasants planning and / or protesting against energy blackouts �enemies of the state� and �extremists� who want to overthrow the government.

unless they heed the above. better to be prudent and be one step ahead especially of "interior minister' types. FWIW

swiss frank 10:27 GMT August 19, 2022

The problems for the euro are just getting started. Inflation is nothing compared to the inability to access energy once the sanctions that prohibit Europe from buying Russian crude kick in in December and Russian gas in Feb 2023. But before that there are Italian elections Sep 25. Italy will increasingly demonstrate the will to go their own way. Watch and see what happens when the fabric that holds the EU together starts to shred.....

Mtl JP 10:25 GMT August 19, 2022
Hyperinflation in Germany

I am from the government and I am here to ... uhhhh ... try to save my donkey from peasants' wrath
RTRS - Germany to lower sales tax on gas to 7% in bid to relieve consumers

Belgrade Knez 10:10 GMT August 19, 2022

Belgrade Knez 14:46 GMT August 15, 2022
daily closing below 1.0184 will signal new down move on the way to try parity again
hopefully we see parity today

PAR 08:26 GMT August 19, 2022
Central bankers seem impotent against inflation.

PAR 07:42 GMT August 19, 2022
The ECB's primary objective is to maintain price stability, that is, to preserve the purchasing power of the euro. We do this by making sure that inflation � the rate at which the overall prices for goods and services change over time � remains low, stable, and predictable.

PAR 06:45 GMT August 19, 2022
Hyperinflation in Germany
German Producer Inflation Hits Fresh Record Peak

Annual producer inflation in Germany rose to a new record high of 37.2% in July of 2022 from 32.7 a month earlier and above market forecasts of 32%. Energy prices remained the biggest upward contributor (105.0% vs 86.1% in June), namely the distribution of natural gas (163.8%), and electricity (125.4%).

Excluding energy, producer prices climbed 14.6% from a year earlier. Other significant price increases were seen for intermediate goods (19.1%), particularly metals (24.1%), fertilizers and nitrogen compounds (100.4 %), and cereal flour (48.9%); non-durable consumer goods (16.2%), such as food (21.1%); durable consumer goods (10.9%); and capital goods (8%), the biggest increase since at least September 1975. On a monthly basis, producer prices were up 5.3%, the most on record, after June's print and consensus of a 0.6% gain.


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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