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Forex Forum Archive for 01/04/2023

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PAR 19:58 GMT January 4, 2023
New COVID sub-variant spreading in USA?

Mtl JP 18:53 GMT January 4, 2023

DLRx 104.00
I am guessing ..
the minutes will have a hawk tone
putting feith into neel smoke signalling

Mtl JP 16:12 GMT January 4, 2023
For your calendar

what odds you give powell will poo-pooh make fool of kashkari ?

tokyo boj 15:54 GMT January 4, 2023
short aud
Entry: 90.37 Target: Stop: 50pips

short aud

GVI Forex 15:53 GMT January 4, 2023
For your calendar
Powell scheduled to speak next Tuesday.

Mtl JP 15:49 GMT January 4, 2023

this came out a bit earlier this morning
fwiw various interpretations by msm:
"Fed�s Kashkari backs interest rate hikes �at least the next few meetings�
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Wednesday said he wants rate hikes and the next few meetings "at least."

Fed Official Compares Inflation to Uber Surge Pricing
Neel Kashkari, the president of the Minneapolis Fed, kicked off 2023 monetary policy debates with a call for better understanding of what causes inflation.

Fed's Kashkari: Fed must avoid cutting rates prematurely
President Neel Kashkari said on Wednesday that the Fed must avoid cutting the policy rate prematurely and having inflation flare up again, as reported by Reuters. "Appropriate to continue interest rate hikes at least at the next few meetings until confident inflation has peaked.

Fed�s Kashkari Favors Raising Rates Another Point, Then Pausing
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said the US central bank has at least another percentage point of interest-rate increases to do in 2023 even as inflation is showing signs of reversing.

Mtl JP 13:35 GMT January 4, 2023

US 10-YR; 3.679% -0.113

heading into NY

tokyo boj 13:30 GMT January 4, 2023
time to short usd$
Entry: 130.75 Target: open Stop: 50pips

small short here
spx order filled

tokyo boj 13:15 GMT January 4, 2023
time to short stox
Sell S&P
Entry: 3865 area Target: Stop: add later

short stox
dji 33150/33350 area
nasdaq 11000 area

perth wtr 11:49 GMT January 4, 2023
sell cable, buy usd

lets go, dropping well from year high so far

PAR 11:28 GMT January 4, 2023
The Petroyuan
China buying Saudi oil in yuan.

Amman wfakhoury 10:59 GMT January 4, 2023

perth wtr 10:48 GMT 01/04/2023
if above then what? 12120?
12110 and 12130

perth wtr 10:48 GMT January 4, 2023

if above then what? 12120?

Amman wfakhoury 10:39 GMT January 4, 2023

perth wtr 10:35 GMT 01/04/2023
should drop again from 12080ish, 2023's high so far
if keeps below 12080.
then 12060

Amman wfakhoury 10:36 GMT January 4, 2023

12080 Reached.
100% guaranteed
signal expired.

perth wtr 10:35 GMT January 4, 2023

should drop again from 12080ish, 2023's high so far

Amman wfakhoury 10:07 GMT January 4, 2023
price will close above 12058, possibly at 12080.
now 12053.

Mtl JP 09:59 GMT January 4, 2023

on deck today
14:00nyt - FOMC Minutes
the minutes are now two weeks old
allegedly players will be parsing the "experts" words between the previous and today's minutes.

�a substantial majority of participants judged that a slowing in the pace of increase would likely soon be appropriate,� - nov 23rd

market interpretation may or not have a reaction effect on the USD

manila tom 09:37 GMT January 4, 2023
sell cable, buy usd

sell cable too 12070, stop 12127

jkt abel 09:01 GMT January 4, 2023
sell cable, buy usd

start small sell cable 12050ish, add if 12120-40 seen

Mtl JP 08:59 GMT January 4, 2023

peasants' 2023 expectaions
according to GALLUP
Americans are greeting 2023 with great skepticism and little expectation that the economic struggles that closed out 2022 will abate.

* About eight in 10 foresee economic struggles, higher taxes, budget deficit

* 90% expect political conflict in U.S.;

* 85% predict international discord
Democrats more optimistic than Republicans about 2023

Americans Largely Pessimistic About U.S. Prospects in 2023

GVI Forex 07:40 GMT January 4, 2023

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Ankur Banerjee

The start of the year is packed with a string of economic data, including U.S. job openings, that will help drive the market in the near term, with minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting taking the spotlight on Wednesday.

Morning Bid: New year, same ol' Fed

PAR 07:35 GMT January 4, 2023
Algorithms have turned into buying moods. Stocks will go higher, the dollar will go down.

Confiscation of foreign assets will prove negative for the dollar and the euro.

The USA and Europe represent less than 10% of the world population and that percentage gets smaller every year.

jkt abel 05:17 GMT January 4, 2023
sell cable, buy usd
looks like it cannot stay above 1.20, sell all pops above 1.20 this month

Mtl JP 02:35 GMT January 4, 2023

PAR 20:43 not a dis-order: a market feature , talent

at least two ol' foxes told you:
see Kevin 10:14; GVI Forex Blog 11:55 Dec 30


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