Forex Forum Archive for 01/18/2023

Mtl JP 22:44 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt



for posterity
Fed Talks: A Conversation With St. Louis Fed President James Bullard

bottom line: point five boyzngals

Fed Talks: A Conversation With St. Louis Fed President James Bullard

Mtl JP 17:37 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

jeff cox:

- Market pricing Wednesday morning pointed to a 94.3% probability of a 0.25 percentage point hike at the Fed�s next meeting.
- Economic data Wednesday helped solidify the idea that after a succession of aggressive hikes, the Fed is ready to take its foot off the brake a bit more.

Markets fully price in quarter-point interest rate hike in February as inflation slows

Mtl JP 17:30 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

according to gregg robb
-
"U.S. industrial output falls sharply in December, sparking talk of factory �recession� "

Mtl JP 17:15 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt



GAP
not for the faint of heart
-
Qtn of controlling own risk

PAR 17:15 GMT January 18, 2023
Davos

Not Kerry's money.

dc CB 17:13 GMT January 18, 2023
Davos

30 seconds, that's all it takes.

John Kerry

Mtl JP 16:57 GMT January 18, 2023
Davos

PAR ...
"Moderated by CNBC�s Geoff Cutmore, top business leaders discuss at Davos, Switzerland, the impact the green transition, technological advances, demographics and reorganized value chains could have on labor markets."

Top business leaders and policymakers discuss the future of jobs at the World Economic Forum

PAR 16:32 GMT January 18, 2023
Davos
Reply   
European executives are begging European politicians in top-class hotels and multi-star restaurants for more subsidies to be paid by European taxpayers or more European debt.

Nothing ethical about Davos. How the rich can get richer by soft-bribing invited politicians.

Mtl JP 16:28 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

fed vp brainard is , at last check, a hawk

GVI Forex 16:25 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

This may have been a catalyst for the stock market retreat. Came out earlier

Morgan Stanley's (MS) Wilson reiterates call for 10% S&P 500 correction

Newsquawk.com

Mtl JP 16:25 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

more:
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/18/federal-reserve-chairman-jerome-powell-tests-positive-for-covid.html

PAR 16:24 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

Did he go to China or did he touch some classified documents?

Mtl JP 16:21 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell tests positive for Covid - cnbc

Mtl JP 16:15 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt



BOOM!

I eat crow

Mtl JP 15:08 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt



alleged bullard hawk-talk having lifespan of a fruitfly

GVI Forex 14:54 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

Bullard (non voter) Talking hawkish

PAR 14:52 GMT January 18, 2023
US DEBT CEILING

US to auction another $ 60 billion in 44 day bills tomorrow.

Hoarding cash.

tokyo boj 14:36 GMT January 18, 2023
short usdjpy

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.91 Target: open Stop: 50pips

long usdchf and eurchf now stop 50 pips

PAR 14:29 GMT January 18, 2023
US DEBT CEILING
Reply   
US to auction 12 billion 20-year bonds today and 17 billion 10)year tips tomorrow. This could be illegal as imho it will exceed the debt limit.

But who cares.

PAR 14:20 GMT January 18, 2023
US STOCK FUTURES

Bad economic numbers crash the dollar and boost non-profitable Nasdaq companies.

Powell will stop raising rates and will restart QE by spring

tokyo boj 13:35 GMT January 18, 2023
short usdjpy

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 131.51 Target: 120/125 Stop: 130 now

half closed 330 pips plus

no one in world can offer 300pips

happy pips

Mtl JP 11:15 GMT January 18, 2023
US STOCK FUTURES



PAR that is the theory: less overhead = better profitability to owners

currently stock futures - at 4014 - are zzzz-ing

PAR 11:04 GMT January 18, 2023
US STOCK FUTURES
Reply   
Higher on more job cuts. Cutting jobs boost stock prices.

Mtl JP 10:03 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt



GBPUSD 1.2362

yesterday hot wage report
today "UK inflation rate dips for second straight month to hit 10.5%"

as the GBP flies against the dlr

Mtl JP 09:19 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

US 10-YR 3.49% -0.043

DLRx 101.85 (down)
EURO 1.0845 (up)
"risk" 4011.25 (niaaah)

Mtl JP 09:03 GMT January 18, 2023
mkt

wonder why not:
-
'Believe me, you don't want to get into litigation with them.'

PAR 08:51 GMT January 18, 2023
Davos
Reply   
Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi are the stars as they manage more than $3.5 trillion.

Everybody wants to be their friend.

PAR 08:33 GMT January 18, 2023
IMF
Reply   
Paul Donovan

"At Davos, the IMF deputy managing director suggested that the IMF may revise up its growth forecasts for the second half of 2023. IMF economic forecasts offer investors a nostalgic reminder of what was priced into markets three to six months previously. The potential for faster declines in inflation supports growth improvements later this year."

PAR 08:22 GMT January 18, 2023
ECB LAGARDE CRUELLA PONZI MAFIA KAFKA
Reply   
Christine Lagarde and Philip Lane start to dream about lower interest rates.

Negative rates would be a huge profit boost for the ECB.

PAR 08:18 GMT January 18, 2023
INDIA - RUSSIA
Reply   
India becoming Russia's biggest trading partner. Importing crude, diamantes, non-ferrous metals and I don't know what.

A huge boom for both economies.

tokyo boj 04:43 GMT January 18, 2023
short euro
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 151.533 Target: open Stop: add later

small short of euro also

tokyo boj 04:26 GMT January 18, 2023
short usdjpy

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 131.51 Target: 120/125 Stop: add later

now sold @ 131.51 lets see

tokyo boj 03:26 GMT January 18, 2023
short usdjpy
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 131/132 Target: 120/125 Stop: later

short around 131/132 area

Hk Ab 03:01 GMT January 18, 2023
Yen
Reply   
We may not know the true yen direction but we surely know BOJ earns a lot in this 125-151 region, LOL

tokyo boj 01:20 GMT January 18, 2023
short gbp
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 159 area Target: Stop: later

short gbpjpy around 159

tokyo boj 01:19 GMT January 18, 2023
short stox
Reply   
Sell S&P
Entry: Target: Stop:

yesterday added small one 4030

tokyo boj 01:17 GMT January 18, 2023
long jpy today
Reply   
Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 90.5/91.50 area Target: Stop: later

today buy jpy

dc CB 00:36 GMT January 18, 2023
Biden - Davos

How Ukraine became a testbed for Western weapons and battlefield innovation

Ukraine is �absolutely a weapons lab in every sense because none of this equipment has ever actually been used in a war between two industrially developed nations,� said one source familiar with Western intelligence. �This is real-world battle testing.�

CNN