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Focus on Iraq Instability. Data on Thursday Mostly Disappoints

Focus on Iraq Instability. Data  on Thursday Mostly Disappoints
June 13, 2014 00:00 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

  • Markets are in an increasingly risk-off posture. A possible disintegration of Iraq is a major worry. U.S. data Thursday were not stellar.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mostly a touch lower,. while yields on the periphery are higher.
  • U.K. yields are steady while U.S. yields have eased. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.62%, -1 bp.
  • Equities closed lower in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are closing lower. U.S. share futures are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- Industrial Output, Bank of Japan, US- PPI, University of Michigan
  • U.S. weekly Jobless and the latest Retail Sales data were  lackluster. worries continue to mount over Iraq.
  •  Australian Employment data fell short of expectations in May with net employment falling, rather than increasing as expected, Recent job growth has been disappointing.  The AUD was not impacted adversely by the report.  See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen. 
  • Friday's economic calendar features a Bank of Japan policy Board meeting, US  PPI  and the preliminary monthly University of Michigan Survey. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.

    FRIDAY 13 June 2014
    • JP- BOJ - No rate change
    • US- PPI- Part of the picture
    • US- Univ of Mich Survey prelim-  Key data

    MONDAY 16 June 2014
    • EZ- CPI- ECB targets Inflation
    • US- TIC Flows- Watched closely by some
    • US-  Industrial  Production- Key cyclical indicator 

    TUESDAY 17June 2014
    • GB-  CPI, RPIX etc.- BOE targets inflation
    • DE- ZEW Survey- key sentiment index
    • US- Housing Starts & Permits- Key housing Statistic
    • US- CPI- Price metric for Fed

    18 June 2014
    • GB- BOE Policy Minutes- latest policy decision
    • US- Current Account- broadest measure of trade
    • US-  Fed Decision + Presser-  policy outlook key  

    THURSDAY 19 June 2014
    • CH- Swiss National Bank Decision
    • UK- Retail Sales- top economic metric
    • US- Weekly Jobless- most current read on jobs

    FRIDAY 20 June 2014
    • CA- Retail Sales- dated but key data
    • CA- CPI- BOC policy metric

    Time   Country Title Cons Last
    13/06/14 0:50 JP Ind Out Aprf yy n/a 4.10%
    13/06/14 4:30 JP Bank of Japan 0.10% 0.10%
    13/06/14 12:30 US PPI core 0.20% 0.50%
    13/06/14 12:30 US PPI Apr 0.10% 0.60%
    13/06/14 13:45 US U Mich prelim 83 81.9
    13/06/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a

    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved


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