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Monday August 11, 2014 - 09:08:21 GMT -

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Risk-On Session So Far today. No Major Data Releases Due

Risk-On Session So Far today. No Major Data Releases Due
August 11, 2014 09.15 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Early in Europe, markets have been in a pervasive risk-on posture, after tensions in the various hot spots did not worsen Israel and Hamas are in yet another cease-fire. The Ukraine situation remains unsettled.  The EURUSD is back below 1.3400 (risk-on?.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mostly higher  The 10-yr bund is 1.06% +1bp. The 1.00% line is an obvious psychological target. Peripheral bond yields are higher on the day.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.48%  -+2bp. The expected +25bp BOE rate by end-2014 is in question?
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.43%, +4bp. The psychological pivot remains 2.50%
  • Far East equities closed  higher. Bourses in Europe are better. U.S. share futures are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS: No Major Data
  • The upcoming week is only moderately active on the data front. Monday features no major data releases
  • The Chinese CPI released early on Saturday increased +2.30% y/y as expected and suggested no inflationary issues for the government..
  • See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.
  •  Tuesday will see Japanese 2Q14 GDP data.
  • On Wednesday, U.K. Employment data are due along with the latest German ZEW Survey. EZ Industrial Production and The quarterly Bank of England Monetary Policy Report are slated. Key U.S. Retail Sales data are also featured.
  • Thursday sees high profile EZ data with GDP and HICP figure in the spotlight.
  • To end the week, Friday will see UK GDP revisions, U.S. Industrial Production figures and the preliminary University of Michigan Survey.
  • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
No Major Data
JP GDP qq 1Q14
TRY 3-yr Auction
JP BOJ Minutes
GB  Unemployment
GB BOE Inflation Report
US Ret Sales
TRY 10-yr Auction
US Initial Claims
TRY 30-yr Auction
US Ind Prod
US U Mich prelim
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items:

Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
12/08/14 0:00 TUESDAY
12/08/14 0:50 A JP GDP qq 1Q14 -1.80% 1.60%
12/08/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 3-yr n/a n/a
12/08/14 20:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
12/08/14 23:50 A JP BOJ Minutes n/a n/a
13/08/14 0:00 WEDNESDAY
13/08/14 8:30 A GB ILO Unemploy 6.40% 6.60%
13/08/14 8:30 A GB Avg Earn 3myy 0.70% 0.70%
13/08/14 8:30 A GB Claimant Count k Mar -30 -36.3
13/08/14 9:00 B DE ZEW Conditions 54 61.8
13/08/14 9:00 B DE ZEW Expectations 17 27.1
13/08/14 9:00 B EZ Ind Prod mm 0.40% -1.10%
13/08/14 9:00 B EZ Ind Prod yy 0.20% 0.50%
13/08/14 9:30 A GB BOE Inflation Report n/a n/a
13/08/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
13/08/14 12:30 A US Ret Sales May 0.60% 0.20%
13/08/14 12:30 A US Sales x-auto 0.40% 0.40%
13/08/14 12:30 A US Sales X-auto&gas n/a n/a
13/08/14 14:00 C US Bus Inv 0.40% 0.50%
13/08/14 14:30 A US EIA Distillate mn n/a n/a
13/08/14 14:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a n/a
13/08/14 14:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a n/a
13/08/14 14:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a n/a
13/08/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 10-yr n/a n/a
14/08/14 0:00 THURSDAY
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ 2Q14 GDP qq 0.10% 0.20%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ GDP yy 0.70% 0.90%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ HICP mm -0.60% 0.10%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ HICP yy 0.40% 0.40%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ HICP core y 0.80% 0.80%
14/08/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a n/a
14/08/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 295 289
14/08/14 12:30 C US Imp Prices n/a 0.10%
14/08/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a n/a

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved


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