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Trading Likely Cautious Due to Holidays. Equities the Focus. Active Calendar Starts Tuesday

Trading Likely Cautious Due to Holidays. Equities the Focus. Active Calendar Starts Tuesday
  October 13, 2014 00:00 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

20:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
Equities wound up the week in a defensive RISK-OFF posture heading into a long weekend in North America and Japan. Equities in Far East and European markets all ended lower after the Thursday U.S. sell-off. The EURUSD is holding below its 1.2712 pivot.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets ended steady to lower. Peripheral bond yields are mixed. The U.K. 10-yr gilt yield was down.   The U.S. 10-yr yield was lower. The psychological focus has shifted lower to 2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed broadly lower. The Nikkei was down again. Bourses in Europe closed weak. U.S. shares were weak.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS:  CN- Trade, JP- Holiday, CA- Holiday, US- Holiday
  • After an unusually quiet week, rest of the month sees an active data news calendar. Monday gets off to a quiet start with Japan, Canada and the U.S. closed for holidays.
  • Tuesday sees Key U.K. inflation data and the German ZEW Survey.
  • On Wednesday, markets will b looking at Chinese CPI data, U.K. employment figures, U.S. CPI and the Fed's Beige Book.
  • Thursday sees final EZ HICP for September, Weekly Jobless plus a number of U.S. releases.
  • On Friday, the focus is on North America with Canadian CPI data in the spotlight. The U.S. features Housing data and the preliminary October University of Michigan survey.
  • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

CA Holiday
JP Holiday
US Holiday
02:00 CN Trade  Key Growth Measure. Seen Weaker

08:30 GB CPI/ RPI-X BOE targets Inflation
05:30 JP Ind Out yy in contraction
07:00 EZ Draghi Frankfurt
08:30 GB Employment  Seen Stronger
12:30 US Ret Sales  Seen weaker
12:30 US PPI Steady
18:00 FRB Beige Book Fed Economic Briefing Papers
09:00 EZ HICP Final data. Flash was soft
12:30 US Initial Claims Bouncing along the bottom
13:15 US Ind Prod & Cap Util Growth seen
14:00 US Philly Fed Regional PMI seen better
20:00 US TIC Data Measure of Capital flows (new time)
12:30 CA BOC CPI BOC targets Inflation
12:30 FRB Yellen Boston
12:30 US House Starts & Permits Key housing measures
13:55 US U Mich prelim Consumer sentiment measure

Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
13/10/14 0:00 A MONDAY
13/10/14 0:00 A CA Holiday n/a n/a
13/10/14 0:00 A JP Holiday n/a n/a
13/10/14 0:00 A US Holiday n/a n/a
13/10/14 2:00 A CN Trade 41.4 49.83
14/10/14 0:00 A TUESDAY
14/10/14 8:30 A GB CPI mm 0.20% 0.40%
14/10/14 8:30 A GB CPI yy 1.40% 1.90%
14/10/14 8:30 A GB RPI-X 2.40% 2.50%
14/10/14 8:30 B GB C-Out PPI y 0.00% -0.30%
14/10/14 9:00 B DE ZEW Conditions 15 25.4
14/10/14 9:00 B DE ZEW Expectations 0 6.9
14/10/14 9:00 B EZ Ind Prod mm -1.60% 1.00%
14/10/14 9:00 B EZ Ind Prod yy -0.90% 2.20%
14/10/14 18:00 B FRB Discount Minutes n/a n/a
14/10/14 20:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
15/10/14 0:00 A WEDNESDAY
15/10/14 1:30 CN CPI 1.70% 2.00%
15/10/14 5:30 A JP Ind Out yy -2.90% -2.90%
15/10/14 7:00 A EZ Draghi Frankfurt n/a n/a
15/10/14 8:30 A GB ILO Unemploy 6.10% 6.20%
15/10/14 8:30 A GB Avg Earn x-bonus 0.80% 0.70%
15/10/14 8:30 A GB Avg Earn + bonus 0.70% 0.60%
15/10/14 8:30 A GB Claimant Count k Mar -35 -37.2
15/10/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
15/10/14 12:30 A US Ret Sales -0.10% 0.60%
15/10/14 12:30 A US Sales x-auto 0.10% 0.30%
15/10/14 12:30 A US Sales X-auto&gas n/a n/a
15/10/14 12:30 B US Empire PMI 20 27.5
15/10/14 12:30 A US PPI core 0.10% 0.10%
15/10/14 12:30 A US PPI 0.10% 0.00%
15/10/14 14:00 C US Bus Inv 0.30% 0.40%
15/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a 5
15/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 1.18
15/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Distillate mn n/a 0.44
15/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 89.3
15/10/14 18:00 A FRB Beige Book n/a n/a

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved


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Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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